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000
AGUS71 KTIR 051639
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1239 PM EDT Thursday, May 5, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Cloudiness will linger over most of the Ohio Valley today, but rainfall has
diminished to just the Appalachians by Thursday afternoon.  An active weather
pattern over the next 10 days or so will keep the threat of rain in the Ohio
Valley about every two or three days.  But none of this looks to be a heavy rain
event.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
The potential for any new flooding from expected rainfall is low through the
weekend.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Much of the Ohio Valley had rainfall of a half inch or less, although small
areas throughout the basin had amounts a half inch and one inch..

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
The Appalachians could still receive an inch of rain during the daylight hours
today, but the rain is mostly over for the remaining areas through the end of
the week.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Thursday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
White River      Petersburg            16         17.2    Falling

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
Mark J. Fenbers





000
AGUS71 KTIR 051639
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1239 PM EDT Thursday, May 5, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Cloudiness will linger over most of the Ohio Valley today, but rainfall has
diminished to just the Appalachians by Thursday afternoon.  An active weather
pattern over the next 10 days or so will keep the threat of rain in the Ohio
Valley about every two or three days.  But none of this looks to be a heavy rain
event.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
The potential for any new flooding from expected rainfall is low through the
weekend.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Much of the Ohio Valley had rainfall of a half inch or less, although small
areas throughout the basin had amounts a half inch and one inch..

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
The Appalachians could still receive an inch of rain during the daylight hours
today, but the rain is mostly over for the remaining areas through the end of
the week.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Thursday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
White River      Petersburg            16         17.2    Falling

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
Mark J. Fenbers





000
AGUS71 KTIR 041009
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
609 AM EDT Wednesday, May 4, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
A closed low pressure system will be the main weather maker for the second half
of the work week as it traverses across the region from NW to SE.  This system
will usher in cooler air along with showers and embedded thunderstorms. The
vast majority of the region will see precipitation today with the threat moving
to the eastern basin by Thursday. A ridge moves in from the west late Friday
leading to a pleasant day Saturday before another system passes late Saturday
into Sunday. This system looks to bring another round of mainly light
precipitation to the Ohio Valley.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
The potential for any new flooding from expected rainfall is low at this
point. Rivers in flood this morning will be allowed to recede even with
additional rain in the next 48 hours.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Only notable precipitation in today`s run would be in West Virginia where up to
one quarter of inch fell in the past 24 hours. Any other precipitation that
fell was mainly under one tenth of an inch and led to little if any responses
in the rivers.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
With a closed low pressure system passing through the region, some decent
precipitation is expected over the next 48 hours. The highest volume will be in
West Virginia as the system hangs up in the mountains. Locations in WV will see
mainly between 0.5 and 1 inch with localized higher amounts possible. Other
locations in the central and eastern basin will see between 0.25 and 0.50
inches. The western basin will see the lightest amounts with totals expected to
remain at or below 0.25 inches.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Wednesday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
White River      Edwardsport           15         15.4    Steady
White River      Petersburg            16         16.9    Rising

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
Ryan Fliehman





000
AGUS71 KTIR 031600
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1200 PM EDT Tuesday, May 3, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
The Ohio Valley will see a series of light to moderate rain events over the next
10 days.  The first one will occur starting tonight as a cold front approaches
the northwest basin and pushes southeastward through Wednesday.  This system
will linger in the southeastern basin into Friday.  The second system will move
into the basin on Saturday night and linger through Mother`s Day.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
The potential for any new flood from expected rainfall is rather not so great.
Rivers in flood this morning will be allowed to recede even with new rain.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms in the southeastern basin produced
generally less than an inch of rainfall.  Little or none fell elsewhere.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Forecast amounts are expected to be mostly less than a half an inch across the
basin through daybreak Thursday.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Tuesday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
Kentucky River   Ravenna               21         22.1    Falling
White River      Edwardsport           15         15.4    Steady
White River      Petersburg            16         16.9    Rising
Little Wabash Ri Clay City             18         18.7    Falling
Great Lakes Drai Woodville              9          9.2    Falling

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
Mark J. Fenbers






000
AGUS71 KTIR 031600
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1200 PM EDT Tuesday, May 3, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
The Ohio Valley will see a series of light to moderate rain events over the next
10 days.  The first one will occur starting tonight as a cold front approaches
the northwest basin and pushes southeastward through Wednesday.  This system
will linger in the southeastern basin into Friday.  The second system will move
into the basin on Saturday night and linger through Mother`s Day.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
The potential for any new flood from expected rainfall is rather not so great.
Rivers in flood this morning will be allowed to recede even with new rain.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms in the southeastern basin produced
generally less than an inch of rainfall.  Little or none fell elsewhere.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Forecast amounts are expected to be mostly less than a half an inch across the
basin through daybreak Thursday.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Tuesday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
Kentucky River   Ravenna               21         22.1    Falling
White River      Edwardsport           15         15.4    Steady
White River      Petersburg            16         16.9    Rising
Little Wabash Ri Clay City             18         18.7    Falling
Great Lakes Drai Woodville              9          9.2    Falling

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
Mark J. Fenbers






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