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000
AGUS71 KTIR 301711
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
111 PM EDT Monday, May 30, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Next few days in the Ohio Rvier forecast basin should be relatively dry ones as
abundant moisture that was present the last couple of days in the Ohio valley
has decreased.  A few showers and scattered thunderstorms are still possible
along the eastern fringes as the heat of the day progresses.

Otherwise, next widespread chance for basin-wide precipitation is looking to be
at the end of the week on Thursday and on into Friday.  This cold front will
also transform the general pattern to one of more trough-iness across the
eastern third of the nation.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
No flooding is expected at this time.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Scattered areas of precipitation fell through much of the central and eastern
basins.  Heaviest amounts measured a half inch to on up to over two inches in
very localized areas in southern Ohio.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Some light QPF was forecast along the western and eastern fringes of the Ohio
River forecast basin.  Otherwise much of the basin is forecast to receive zero
over the next 48 hours.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
None.

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

$$







000
AGUS71 KTIR 291458
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1058 AM EDT Sunday, May 29, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Deep trough in the middle of the country and amplified ridge centered over the
east coast is bringing warm, humid air to the Ohio valley.  This regime is also
allowing periods of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to pop-up
through the Ohio River forecast basin. TN, and OH.
This ridge will be tamped down somewhat as a low crosses well to the north of
the basin on later on Sunday, but the airmass will still remain warm and
generally humid.  This will be the status quo for the Ohio valley until a cold
front will finally make its way through the area late in the week, cooling
things down and sweeping out much of the moisture/humidity.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
No flooding is expected at this time, save for an isolated thunderstorm laying
over a small, local basin for a irregularly long period.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Scattered areas of convective precipitation were observed through areas of
western OH, western PA, SW NY, and IN.  A few of these small swaths had up over
an inch in localized areas due to the convective nature of the precip.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Scattered, spotty areas of precipitation could occur in many areas of
the basin.  As is the nature of convective/summertime precipitation, however,
some areas will receive a healthy dose of quick accumulating rain while other
areas will not receive a drop. Today`s QPF is more concentrated in the central
basin where cores of a quarter to a half inch or forecast.  Other area are
forecast to receive less basin-average wise, but local showers could produce
locally heavy totals.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
None.

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

$$







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