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000
AGAK78 PACR 302256
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW FOR THE STATE OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAD A LOW NORTH OF THE STATE
WITH A TROUGH INTO THE SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY... ANOTHER LOW IN
THE BASE OF THE TROUGH... A RIDGE FROM THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC ACROSS
THE AKPEN AND INTO THE BERING... AND A LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS.
THE TROUGH AND YUKON TERRITORY LOW WILL SWING EAST TODAY.  ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND THE NORTHERN LOW WILL CONTINUE THE SHOWERS
OVER NORTHERN ALASKA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THE LOW SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE EASTWARD TODAY BEFORE TURNING NORTHEAST
TOWARDS THE GULF.  THIS LOW WILL ALSO ABSORB THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM KAMMURI.  THE FRONT FROM THIS LOW WILL BEGIN
IMPACTING SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST THURSDAY MORNING... WITH PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAIN SPREADING FROM SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST
TO NORTHERN SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING RANGED FROM 300 TO 3000 FT OVER THE
MAINLAND... RISING TO 4300-5600 FT OVER SOUTHEAST.  FREEZING LEVELS
WILL BE STEADY OR FALLING OVER MOST OF THE STATE TODAY.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  1.13
ALEA2    ALSEK RIVER          PC RG :  0.60
DCKA2    DAHL CREEK NR KOBUK  PC RG :  0.42
BGLA2    BERING GLACIER RAWS  PC RG :  0.37
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  0.34
BKLA2    BUCKLAND UPLANDS     PC RG :  0.31
SRYA2    SITUK RIVER          PC RG :  0.30
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.24
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  0.24
MCAA2    MONTANA CREEK        PC RG :  0.24
SOUA2    SOULE RIVER          PC RG :  0.20

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE COASTAL NORTH SLOPE... THE WESTERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL REGIONS... AND THE AKPEN.  THERE ARE INCREASED
CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR...
SOUTHEAST MAINLAND... PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND... AND
NORTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND FROM THE YUKON
DELTA TO THE AKPEN AND KODIAK ISLAND.  THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES
FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE INTERIOR AND
NORTHERN MAINLAND.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL




000
AGAK78 PACR 302256
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW FOR THE STATE OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAD A LOW NORTH OF THE STATE
WITH A TROUGH INTO THE SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY... ANOTHER LOW IN
THE BASE OF THE TROUGH... A RIDGE FROM THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC ACROSS
THE AKPEN AND INTO THE BERING... AND A LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS.
THE TROUGH AND YUKON TERRITORY LOW WILL SWING EAST TODAY.  ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND THE NORTHERN LOW WILL CONTINUE THE SHOWERS
OVER NORTHERN ALASKA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THE LOW SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE EASTWARD TODAY BEFORE TURNING NORTHEAST
TOWARDS THE GULF.  THIS LOW WILL ALSO ABSORB THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM KAMMURI.  THE FRONT FROM THIS LOW WILL BEGIN
IMPACTING SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST THURSDAY MORNING... WITH PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAIN SPREADING FROM SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST
TO NORTHERN SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING RANGED FROM 300 TO 3000 FT OVER THE
MAINLAND... RISING TO 4300-5600 FT OVER SOUTHEAST.  FREEZING LEVELS
WILL BE STEADY OR FALLING OVER MOST OF THE STATE TODAY.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  1.13
ALEA2    ALSEK RIVER          PC RG :  0.60
DCKA2    DAHL CREEK NR KOBUK  PC RG :  0.42
BGLA2    BERING GLACIER RAWS  PC RG :  0.37
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  0.34
BKLA2    BUCKLAND UPLANDS     PC RG :  0.31
SRYA2    SITUK RIVER          PC RG :  0.30
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.24
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  0.24
MCAA2    MONTANA CREEK        PC RG :  0.24
SOUA2    SOULE RIVER          PC RG :  0.20

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE COASTAL NORTH SLOPE... THE WESTERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL REGIONS... AND THE AKPEN.  THERE ARE INCREASED
CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR...
SOUTHEAST MAINLAND... PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND... AND
NORTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND FROM THE YUKON
DELTA TO THE AKPEN AND KODIAK ISLAND.  THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES
FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE INTERIOR AND
NORTHERN MAINLAND.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL





000
AGAK78 PACR 292256
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

PERIODS OF MODERATE RAIN ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY.  THIS RAIN WILL CAUSE AFFECTED STREAMS
AND RIVERS TO RISE RAPIDLY... BUT FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW FOR THE REST OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAD A LOW NEAR BARROW WITH A
TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH ACROSS THE MAINLAND... A TROUGH OVER
SOUTHEAST... A RIDGE IN THE BERING... AND A LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS.  THE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SHOWERS OVER SOUTHEAST WILL
MOVE EAST INTO CANADA AS A LOW DEVELOPS IN THE BASE OF THE MAINLAND
TROUGH... WHICH ALSO MOVES EAST.  THIS NEW LOW WILL BRING PERIODS OF
MODERATE PRECIPITATION TO PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ON
TUESDAY.  THE TROUGH OVER THE MAINLAND WILL GENERATE SHOWERS OVER
THE NEXT TWO DAYS.  THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE SLOWLY
INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING RANGED FROM THE NEAR THE SURFACE TO
2400 FT OVER THE CENTRAL... NORTHERN... AND WESTERN MAINLAND...
RISING TO 4200-5800 FT OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MAINLAND
AND SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST.  FREEZING LEVELS WILL BE STEADY OR FALLING
OVER MOST OF THE STATE TODAY.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  3.02
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  2.97
LLKA2    LONG LAKE SNOTEL     PC RM :  2.60
SOUA2    SOULE RIVER          PC RG :  2.40
PANT     ANNETTE              PP RZ :  2.02
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  1.69
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PC RG :  1.38
ZMBA2    ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PC RG :  1.28
KKEA2    KAKE RAWS            PC RG :  1.03
MCAA2    MONTANA CREEK        PC RG :  0.84
ALEA2    ALSEK RIVER          PC RG :  0.80
PAHN     HAINES LANDING STRIP PP RZ :  0.74
SDIA2    SOUTH DOUGLAS        PC RZ :  0.70
PAGY     SKAGWAY              PP RZ :  0.62
WULA2    WULIK RIVER          PC RG :  0.57
PAJN     JUNEAU               PP RZ :  0.57
KELA2    KELLY RIVER RAWS     PC RG :  0.49
SWKA2    SELAWIK FLATS RAWS   PC RG :  0.41
SRYA2    SITUK RIVER          PC RG :  0.40
SRKA2    SQUIRREL RIVER RAWS  PC RG :  0.37
KAVA2    KAVET CREEK RAWS     PC RG :  0.37
PAVL     KIVALINA             PP RZ :  0.34
BLTA2    BARTLETT COVE        PC RG :  0.32
BKLA2    BUCKLAND UPLANDS     PC RG :  0.32
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.29
PAOH     HOONAH               PP RZ :  0.26

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE COASTAL NORTH SLOPE AND THE WEST COAST.
THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE
EASTERN INTERIOR... SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND... AND
NORTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.  THERE
ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF
THE MAINLAND.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL




000
AGAK78 PACR 292256
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

PERIODS OF MODERATE RAIN ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY.  THIS RAIN WILL CAUSE AFFECTED STREAMS
AND RIVERS TO RISE RAPIDLY... BUT FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW FOR THE REST OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAD A LOW NEAR BARROW WITH A
TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH ACROSS THE MAINLAND... A TROUGH OVER
SOUTHEAST... A RIDGE IN THE BERING... AND A LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS.  THE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SHOWERS OVER SOUTHEAST WILL
MOVE EAST INTO CANADA AS A LOW DEVELOPS IN THE BASE OF THE MAINLAND
TROUGH... WHICH ALSO MOVES EAST.  THIS NEW LOW WILL BRING PERIODS OF
MODERATE PRECIPITATION TO PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ON
TUESDAY.  THE TROUGH OVER THE MAINLAND WILL GENERATE SHOWERS OVER
THE NEXT TWO DAYS.  THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE SLOWLY
INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING RANGED FROM THE NEAR THE SURFACE TO
2400 FT OVER THE CENTRAL... NORTHERN... AND WESTERN MAINLAND...
RISING TO 4200-5800 FT OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MAINLAND
AND SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST.  FREEZING LEVELS WILL BE STEADY OR FALLING
OVER MOST OF THE STATE TODAY.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  3.02
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  2.97
LLKA2    LONG LAKE SNOTEL     PC RM :  2.60
SOUA2    SOULE RIVER          PC RG :  2.40
PANT     ANNETTE              PP RZ :  2.02
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  1.69
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PC RG :  1.38
ZMBA2    ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PC RG :  1.28
KKEA2    KAKE RAWS            PC RG :  1.03
MCAA2    MONTANA CREEK        PC RG :  0.84
ALEA2    ALSEK RIVER          PC RG :  0.80
PAHN     HAINES LANDING STRIP PP RZ :  0.74
SDIA2    SOUTH DOUGLAS        PC RZ :  0.70
PAGY     SKAGWAY              PP RZ :  0.62
WULA2    WULIK RIVER          PC RG :  0.57
PAJN     JUNEAU               PP RZ :  0.57
KELA2    KELLY RIVER RAWS     PC RG :  0.49
SWKA2    SELAWIK FLATS RAWS   PC RG :  0.41
SRYA2    SITUK RIVER          PC RG :  0.40
SRKA2    SQUIRREL RIVER RAWS  PC RG :  0.37
KAVA2    KAVET CREEK RAWS     PC RG :  0.37
PAVL     KIVALINA             PP RZ :  0.34
BLTA2    BARTLETT COVE        PC RG :  0.32
BKLA2    BUCKLAND UPLANDS     PC RG :  0.32
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.29
PAOH     HOONAH               PP RZ :  0.26

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE COASTAL NORTH SLOPE AND THE WEST COAST.
THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE
EASTERN INTERIOR... SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND... AND
NORTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.  THERE
ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF
THE MAINLAND.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL





000
AGAK78 PACR 282251
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST LATE
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY HAS CAUSED AFFECTED STREAMS AND RIVERS TO RISE
RAPIDLY... BUT FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW FOR THE REST OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAD A LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS... A LOW NORTH OF THE BERING STRAIT... A RIDGE FROM
SOUTHCENTRAL TO THE NORTHEAST MAINLAND... AND A LOW IN THE GULF WITH
A STALLED FRONT OVER SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST.  THE GULF LOW WILL WEAKEN
AND MOVE EAST OVER THE NEXT DAY... PUSHING THE FRONT THROUGH
SOUTHEAST AND ENDING THE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTHERN
SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING.  THE NORTHERN LOW WILL MOVE EAST AND DIG A
TROUGH SOUTHWARD OVER THE MAINLAND... BRINGING SHOWERS TO MUCH OF
THE MAINLAND LATE SATURDAY INTO MONDAY.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING RANGED FROM THE 3400-4600 FT OVER THE
NORTHERN AND WESTERN MAINLAND TO 5700-7700 FT OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST MAINLAND...ON UP TO 10600 FT OVER SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST.
FREEZING LEVELS WILL FALL OVER MOST OF THE STATE TODAY AND MONDAY.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
PAKT     KETCHIKAN            PP RZ :  6.71
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  5.95
PANT     ANNETTE              PP RZ :  3.49
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  3.21
ZMBA2    ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PC RG :  2.50
SOUA2    SOULE RIVER          PC RG :  2.30
BGLA2    BERING GLACIER RAWS  PC RG :  2.21
LLKA2    LONG LAKE SNOTEL     PC RM :  2.20
ALEA2    ALSEK RIVER          PC RG :  1.50
PAHN     HAINES LANDING STRIP PP RZ :  1.47
SRYA2    SITUK RIVER          PC RG :  1.40
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PC RG :  1.23
PAYA     YAKUTAT              PP RZ :  1.22
SDIA2    SOUTH DOUGLAS        PC RZ :  1.10
PAJN     JUNEAU               PP RZ :  1.09
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.77
PAVL     KIVALINA             PP RZ :  0.75
PAOH     HOONAH               PP RZ :  0.75
HONA2    HOONAH RAWS          PC RG :  0.70
BLTA2    BARTLETT COVE        PC RG :  0.56
KKEA2    KAKE RAWS            PC RG :  0.55
PACV     CORDOVA              PP RZ :  0.53
KELA2    KELLY RIVER RAWS     PC RG :  0.50
PAGY     SKAGWAY              PP RZ :  0.48
PAOT     KOTZEBUE             PP RZ :  0.47
PADQ     KODIAK               PP RZ :  0.41
CXCA2    CHITINA RAWS         PC RG :  0.38
PAGN     ANGOON               PP RZ :  0.37

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE NORTH SLOPE... THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE
MAINLAND... THE AKPEN... KODIAK ISLAND... AND SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST.
THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE
EASTERN INTERIOR... SOUTHEAST MAINLAND... PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL... AND NORTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA.  THERE ARE
INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE
MAINLAND.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL




000
AGAK78 PACR 282251
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST LATE
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY HAS CAUSED AFFECTED STREAMS AND RIVERS TO RISE
RAPIDLY... BUT FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW FOR THE REST OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAD A LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS... A LOW NORTH OF THE BERING STRAIT... A RIDGE FROM
SOUTHCENTRAL TO THE NORTHEAST MAINLAND... AND A LOW IN THE GULF WITH
A STALLED FRONT OVER SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST.  THE GULF LOW WILL WEAKEN
AND MOVE EAST OVER THE NEXT DAY... PUSHING THE FRONT THROUGH
SOUTHEAST AND ENDING THE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTHERN
SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING.  THE NORTHERN LOW WILL MOVE EAST AND DIG A
TROUGH SOUTHWARD OVER THE MAINLAND... BRINGING SHOWERS TO MUCH OF
THE MAINLAND LATE SATURDAY INTO MONDAY.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING RANGED FROM THE 3400-4600 FT OVER THE
NORTHERN AND WESTERN MAINLAND TO 5700-7700 FT OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST MAINLAND...ON UP TO 10600 FT OVER SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST.
FREEZING LEVELS WILL FALL OVER MOST OF THE STATE TODAY AND MONDAY.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
PAKT     KETCHIKAN            PP RZ :  6.71
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  5.95
PANT     ANNETTE              PP RZ :  3.49
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  3.21
ZMBA2    ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PC RG :  2.50
SOUA2    SOULE RIVER          PC RG :  2.30
BGLA2    BERING GLACIER RAWS  PC RG :  2.21
LLKA2    LONG LAKE SNOTEL     PC RM :  2.20
ALEA2    ALSEK RIVER          PC RG :  1.50
PAHN     HAINES LANDING STRIP PP RZ :  1.47
SRYA2    SITUK RIVER          PC RG :  1.40
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PC RG :  1.23
PAYA     YAKUTAT              PP RZ :  1.22
SDIA2    SOUTH DOUGLAS        PC RZ :  1.10
PAJN     JUNEAU               PP RZ :  1.09
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.77
PAVL     KIVALINA             PP RZ :  0.75
PAOH     HOONAH               PP RZ :  0.75
HONA2    HOONAH RAWS          PC RG :  0.70
BLTA2    BARTLETT COVE        PC RG :  0.56
KKEA2    KAKE RAWS            PC RG :  0.55
PACV     CORDOVA              PP RZ :  0.53
KELA2    KELLY RIVER RAWS     PC RG :  0.50
PAGY     SKAGWAY              PP RZ :  0.48
PAOT     KOTZEBUE             PP RZ :  0.47
PADQ     KODIAK               PP RZ :  0.41
CXCA2    CHITINA RAWS         PC RG :  0.38
PAGN     ANGOON               PP RZ :  0.37

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE NORTH SLOPE... THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE
MAINLAND... THE AKPEN... KODIAK ISLAND... AND SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST.
THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE
EASTERN INTERIOR... SOUTHEAST MAINLAND... PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL... AND NORTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA.  THERE ARE
INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE
MAINLAND.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL





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