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000
AGAK78 PACR 212333
HMDACR

AGAK78 PACR DDHHMM
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT THU AUG 21 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE KENAI RIVER FROM KENAI LAKE TO THE MOUTH
HAS ENDED. WATER LEVELS ARE NOW BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE AND WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE ONLY THING TO REPORT REGARDING THE WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY WAS THE
SHORT WAVE SWEEPING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST AND INTERIOR PART OF THE
STATE. QUICK PULSES OF RAIN DUMPED QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN
INCH IN PORTIONS OF THAT REGION IN RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF TIME.

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN CONTINUES TO BE DOMINATED BY A LARGE SLOW
EASTWARDLY MOVING LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND ITS COUNTER-
PART... A BROAD RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THE RIDGE AXIS WAS
THIS MORNING EXTENDING UP THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA AND INTO
CENTRAL ALASKA. THE ONLY CAVEAT IS THE SHORT WAVE OVER NORTHERN
ALASKA THAT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS IN THAT REGION.

IN THE LONGER RANGE... ANOMALOUSLY STRONG RIDGE IN THE PACIFIC
APPEARS TO REMAIN INTACT UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK... WITH MODEL
CONSENSUS REMAINING STRONG. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE DOESN`T
SHOW UP UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING WERE BETWEEN 5200 FT AT NOME AND 8000
FT AT ANCHORAGE OVER THE MAINLAND... RISING TO BETWEEN 7600 FT TO
9600 FT OVER THE COASTAL LOCATIONS. FREEZING LEVELS WILL NOT CHANGE
MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS    24 HR
======== ====                 == ==    =====
PAOM     NOME                 PP RZ :   0.50
PAKV     KALTAG               PP RZ :   0.50
HATA2    HATCHER PASS         PC R2 :   0.50
KAIA2    KAIYUH FLATS RAWS    PP RG :   0.46
BOXA2    BOX RIVER RAWS       PC RG :   0.45
MTRA2    MT RYAN SNOTEL       PC RM :   0.40
DKLA2    DUNKLE HILLS         PP RG :   0.40
PMNA2    GALENA RAWS AT POORM PP RG :   0.39
EVCA2    EIELSON VISITORS CEN PP RG :   0.38
TAGA2    TAG MOUNTAIN RAWS NE PP RG :   0.37
NESA2    NENANA SNOTEL        PC RM :   0.37
HATA2    HATCHER PASS         PP RG :   0.37
MTRA2    MT RYAN SNOTEL       PP RG :   0.35
BKSA2    BLAIR LAKES RAWS     PP RG :   0.33
FYNA2    FORT YUKON SNOTEL    PC RZ :   0.32
KSHA2    KANTISHNA            PC RM :   0.30
FYRA2    FORT YUKON RAWS      PP RG :   0.30
COFA2    COLDFOOT SNOTEL      PC RM :   0.30
BTAA2    BOLIO RAWS           PP RG :   0.27
MKLA2    MCKINLEY RIVER RAWS  PP RG :   0.21
UNCA2    UPPER NOME CREEK     PC RM :   0.20
TTLA2    TOTATLANIKA RAWS     PC RG :   0.20
SUGA2    SUGARLOAF MOUNTAIN   PC RM :   0.20
OKLA2    OKLAHOMA RAWS NR FAI PP RG :   0.20
NRUA2    NORUTAK LAKE RAWS    PP RG :   0.20
GOBA2    GOBBLERS KNOB SNOTEL PC RM :   0.20
DOYA2    DONNELLY RAWS        PP RG :   0.20
ATGA2    ATIGUN PASS SNOTEL   PC RM :   0.20

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA...
AND INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ETH




000
AGAK78 PACR 212333
HMDACR

AGAK78 PACR DDHHMM
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT THU AUG 21 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE KENAI RIVER FROM KENAI LAKE TO THE MOUTH
HAS ENDED. WATER LEVELS ARE NOW BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE AND WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE ONLY THING TO REPORT REGARDING THE WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY WAS THE
SHORT WAVE SWEEPING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST AND INTERIOR PART OF THE
STATE. QUICK PULSES OF RAIN DUMPED QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN
INCH IN PORTIONS OF THAT REGION IN RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF TIME.

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN CONTINUES TO BE DOMINATED BY A LARGE SLOW
EASTWARDLY MOVING LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND ITS COUNTER-
PART... A BROAD RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THE RIDGE AXIS WAS
THIS MORNING EXTENDING UP THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA AND INTO
CENTRAL ALASKA. THE ONLY CAVEAT IS THE SHORT WAVE OVER NORTHERN
ALASKA THAT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS IN THAT REGION.

IN THE LONGER RANGE... ANOMALOUSLY STRONG RIDGE IN THE PACIFIC
APPEARS TO REMAIN INTACT UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK... WITH MODEL
CONSENSUS REMAINING STRONG. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE DOESN`T
SHOW UP UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING WERE BETWEEN 5200 FT AT NOME AND 8000
FT AT ANCHORAGE OVER THE MAINLAND... RISING TO BETWEEN 7600 FT TO
9600 FT OVER THE COASTAL LOCATIONS. FREEZING LEVELS WILL NOT CHANGE
MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS    24 HR
======== ====                 == ==    =====
PAOM     NOME                 PP RZ :   0.50
PAKV     KALTAG               PP RZ :   0.50
HATA2    HATCHER PASS         PC R2 :   0.50
KAIA2    KAIYUH FLATS RAWS    PP RG :   0.46
BOXA2    BOX RIVER RAWS       PC RG :   0.45
MTRA2    MT RYAN SNOTEL       PC RM :   0.40
DKLA2    DUNKLE HILLS         PP RG :   0.40
PMNA2    GALENA RAWS AT POORM PP RG :   0.39
EVCA2    EIELSON VISITORS CEN PP RG :   0.38
TAGA2    TAG MOUNTAIN RAWS NE PP RG :   0.37
NESA2    NENANA SNOTEL        PC RM :   0.37
HATA2    HATCHER PASS         PP RG :   0.37
MTRA2    MT RYAN SNOTEL       PP RG :   0.35
BKSA2    BLAIR LAKES RAWS     PP RG :   0.33
FYNA2    FORT YUKON SNOTEL    PC RZ :   0.32
KSHA2    KANTISHNA            PC RM :   0.30
FYRA2    FORT YUKON RAWS      PP RG :   0.30
COFA2    COLDFOOT SNOTEL      PC RM :   0.30
BTAA2    BOLIO RAWS           PP RG :   0.27
MKLA2    MCKINLEY RIVER RAWS  PP RG :   0.21
UNCA2    UPPER NOME CREEK     PC RM :   0.20
TTLA2    TOTATLANIKA RAWS     PC RG :   0.20
SUGA2    SUGARLOAF MOUNTAIN   PC RM :   0.20
OKLA2    OKLAHOMA RAWS NR FAI PP RG :   0.20
NRUA2    NORUTAK LAKE RAWS    PP RG :   0.20
GOBA2    GOBBLERS KNOB SNOTEL PC RM :   0.20
DOYA2    DONNELLY RAWS        PP RG :   0.20
ATGA2    ATIGUN PASS SNOTEL   PC RM :   0.20

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA...
AND INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ETH





000
AGAK78 PACR 202217
HMDACR

AGAK78 PACR DDHHMM
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT WED AUG 20 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE KENAI RIVER FROM KENAI LAKE TO THE
MOUTH... AND FOR THE KASILOF RIVER AROUND TUSTAMENA LAKE... REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM AKDT THURSDAY.

PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIFIC PRODUCT FOR INFORMATION REGARDING THIS
EVENT.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN ON
TUESDAY HAD A TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN BERING WITH AN
EMBEDDED LOW NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A LINE OF SHORT WAVES
MARCHED ACROSS THE WEST CREATING DIURNAL SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
STATE.

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WAS DOMINATED BY LARGE LOW OVER THE EASTERN
BERING AND A ACTIVE SUBTROPICAL JET EXTENDING FROM JAPAN TO THE WEST
COAST... WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE. MUCH SMALLER BUT AT THIS
POINT THE DOMINATE WEATHER PRODUCING ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE SHORT
WAVE ACTIVITY CROSS THE INTERIOR AND NORTHWEST. PULSES OF SHOWERS OF
UP TO A HALF INCH HAVE ALREADY BEEN RECORDED AS OF NOON. THERE WAS
ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IN THE GULF BUT IT LOOKS TO BE FALLING APART
BEFORE IT REACHES THE PANHANDLE.

IN THE LONGER RANGE... A NICE RIDGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL BE
STRENGTHENING AS IT MIGRATES EAST FROM THE WEST COAST TO THE
PANHANDLE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT SHORT
WAVE DOESN`T SHOW UP UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING WERE BETWEEN 5000 FT AT NOME TO 7700 FT
AT ANCHORAGE OVER THE MAINLAND... RISING TO BETWEEN 8300 TO 9800
FEET OVER THE COASTAL LOCATIONS. FREEZING LEVELS WILL NOT CHANGE
MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS    24 HR
======== ====                 == ==    =====
PADM     MARSHALL             PP RZ :   0.74
SGSA2    SKILAK GUARD STATION PP RG :   0.64
SEGA2    SOUTH FORK EAGLE RIV PC RP :   0.50
COVA2    COVILLE RAWS         PP RG :   0.46
KAIA2    KAIYUH FLATS RAWS    PP RG :   0.42
PAKV     KALTAG               PP RZ :   0.39
PABL     BUCKLAND             PP RZ :   0.36
SMTA2    SALMON TROUT RAWS    PP RG :   0.35
PMZA2    POINT MAC RAWS       PP RG :   0.32
AWRA2    HELMET MOUNTAIN RAWS PP RG :   0.31
WLVA2    WOLVERINE GLACIER NR PC R2 :   0.29
GDPA2    GOODPASTER RAWS      PP RG :   0.25
BKLA2    BUCKLAND UPLANDS RAW PP RG :   0.24
SGRA2    SAGAVANIRKTOK RIVER  PP RG :   0.22
IKPA2    IKPIKPUK RIVER BELOW PP RG :   0.22
FMRA2    FORTYMILE RIVER AT T PP RG :   0.22
SHKA2    SHAKTOOLIK RIVER RAW PP RG :   0.21
PARY     RUBY                 PP RZ :   0.21
JCKA2    JARVIS CREEK RAWS    PP RG :   0.21
FYRA2    FORT YUKON RAWS      PP RG :   0.21
BTAA2    BOLIO RAWS           PP RG :   0.21
PMKA2    POINT MACKENZIE      PC RM :   0.20
NUKA2    NUKA GLACIER SNOTEL  PC RM :   0.20
LRCA2    LITTLE RABBIT CREEK  PC RP :   0.20
LLKA2    LONG LAKE SNOTEL     PC RM :   0.20
FYNA2    FORT YUKON SNOTEL    PC RM :   0.20
COFA2    COLDFOOT SNOTEL      PC RM :   0.20
PMNA2    GALENA RAWS AT POORM PP RG :   0.19
LIVA2    LIVENGOOD RAWS       PP RG :   0.19

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA...
AND INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ETH





000
AGAK78 PACR 202217
HMDACR

AGAK78 PACR DDHHMM
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT WED AUG 20 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE KENAI RIVER FROM KENAI LAKE TO THE
MOUTH... AND FOR THE KASILOF RIVER AROUND TUSTAMENA LAKE... REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM AKDT THURSDAY.

PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIFIC PRODUCT FOR INFORMATION REGARDING THIS
EVENT.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN ON
TUESDAY HAD A TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN BERING WITH AN
EMBEDDED LOW NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A LINE OF SHORT WAVES
MARCHED ACROSS THE WEST CREATING DIURNAL SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
STATE.

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WAS DOMINATED BY LARGE LOW OVER THE EASTERN
BERING AND A ACTIVE SUBTROPICAL JET EXTENDING FROM JAPAN TO THE WEST
COAST... WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE. MUCH SMALLER BUT AT THIS
POINT THE DOMINATE WEATHER PRODUCING ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE SHORT
WAVE ACTIVITY CROSS THE INTERIOR AND NORTHWEST. PULSES OF SHOWERS OF
UP TO A HALF INCH HAVE ALREADY BEEN RECORDED AS OF NOON. THERE WAS
ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IN THE GULF BUT IT LOOKS TO BE FALLING APART
BEFORE IT REACHES THE PANHANDLE.

IN THE LONGER RANGE... A NICE RIDGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL BE
STRENGTHENING AS IT MIGRATES EAST FROM THE WEST COAST TO THE
PANHANDLE DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT SHORT
WAVE DOESN`T SHOW UP UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING WERE BETWEEN 5000 FT AT NOME TO 7700 FT
AT ANCHORAGE OVER THE MAINLAND... RISING TO BETWEEN 8300 TO 9800
FEET OVER THE COASTAL LOCATIONS. FREEZING LEVELS WILL NOT CHANGE
MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS    24 HR
======== ====                 == ==    =====
PADM     MARSHALL             PP RZ :   0.74
SGSA2    SKILAK GUARD STATION PP RG :   0.64
SEGA2    SOUTH FORK EAGLE RIV PC RP :   0.50
COVA2    COVILLE RAWS         PP RG :   0.46
KAIA2    KAIYUH FLATS RAWS    PP RG :   0.42
PAKV     KALTAG               PP RZ :   0.39
PABL     BUCKLAND             PP RZ :   0.36
SMTA2    SALMON TROUT RAWS    PP RG :   0.35
PMZA2    POINT MAC RAWS       PP RG :   0.32
AWRA2    HELMET MOUNTAIN RAWS PP RG :   0.31
WLVA2    WOLVERINE GLACIER NR PC R2 :   0.29
GDPA2    GOODPASTER RAWS      PP RG :   0.25
BKLA2    BUCKLAND UPLANDS RAW PP RG :   0.24
SGRA2    SAGAVANIRKTOK RIVER  PP RG :   0.22
IKPA2    IKPIKPUK RIVER BELOW PP RG :   0.22
FMRA2    FORTYMILE RIVER AT T PP RG :   0.22
SHKA2    SHAKTOOLIK RIVER RAW PP RG :   0.21
PARY     RUBY                 PP RZ :   0.21
JCKA2    JARVIS CREEK RAWS    PP RG :   0.21
FYRA2    FORT YUKON RAWS      PP RG :   0.21
BTAA2    BOLIO RAWS           PP RG :   0.21
PMKA2    POINT MACKENZIE      PC RM :   0.20
NUKA2    NUKA GLACIER SNOTEL  PC RM :   0.20
LRCA2    LITTLE RABBIT CREEK  PC RP :   0.20
LLKA2    LONG LAKE SNOTEL     PC RM :   0.20
FYNA2    FORT YUKON SNOTEL    PC RM :   0.20
COFA2    COLDFOOT SNOTEL      PC RM :   0.20
PMNA2    GALENA RAWS AT POORM PP RG :   0.19
LIVA2    LIVENGOOD RAWS       PP RG :   0.19

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA...
AND INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ETH




000
AGAK78 PACR 192344
HMDACR

AGAK78 PACR DDHHMM
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE KENAI RIVER FROM KENAI LAKE TO THE
MOUTH... AND FOR THE KASILOF RIVER AROUND TUSTAMENA LAKE... REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM AKDT THURSDAY.

PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIFIC PRODUCT FOR INFORMATION REGARDING THIS
EVENT.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN HAS A TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN
BERING... WITH AN EMBEDDED LOW NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS... AND A
WEAK RIDGE OVER ALASKA AND THE YUKON TERRITORY.  DIURNAL SHOWERS...
WITH ISOLATED THUNDER SHOWERS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN... WILL BE THE
MAIN SOURCE OF RAIN INTO MIDWEEK.  THE EXCEPTION IS AN AREA OF RAIN
AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE FROM THE
SEWARD PENINSULA OVER NORTHERN ALASKA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING WERE BETWEEN 5600 FT AND 8900 FT OVER
THE MAINLAND... RISING TO 9500 FT OVER KODIAK ISLAND.  FREEZING
LEVELS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS    24 HR
======== ====                 == ==    =====
JCKA2    JARVIS CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  0.76
BTAA2    BOLIO RAWS           PC RG :  0.75
DOYA2    DONNELLY RAWS        PC RG :  0.70
PABI     DELTA JUNCTION       PP RZ :  0.67
GECA2    GEORGE CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  0.60
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.45
LCRA2    LITTLE CHENA RIDGE   PC R2 :  0.44
SMTA2    SALMON TROUT RAWS    PC RG :  0.42
OKLA2    OKLAHOMA RAWS        PC RG :  0.40
MDBA2    COPPER RIVER         PC RG :  0.40
BENA2    BEN CREEK            PC RG :  0.38
UCEA2    UPPER CHENA DOME     PC R2 :  0.37
SLRA2    SALCHA RIVER RAWS    PC RG :  0.37
STNA2    STONY STRIP RAWS     PC RG :  0.35
LBKA2    LITTLE BLACK         PC RG :  0.35
FMRA2    FORTYMILE RIVER      PC RG :  0.32
MSOA2    MUNSON RIDGE SNOTEL  PC R2 :  0.31
GDPA2    GOODPASTER RAWS      PC RG :  0.31
PAEG     EAGLE                PP RZ :  0.30
HATA2    HATCHER PASS         PC R2 :  0.30
BIRA2    BIRCH CREEK RAWS     PC RG :  0.30
FWLA2    FAREWELL FLATS RAWS  PC RG :  0.29
PAFS     NIKOLAI              PP RZ :  0.28
ALSA2    PORT ALSWORTH RAWS   PC RG :  0.28
KLAA2    KLAWASKI RAWS        PC RG :  0.28
COVA2    COVILLE RAWS         PC RG :  0.27
CHLA2    LITTLE CHENA RIVER   PC RG :  0.27
KTZA2    NOATAK RAWS          PC RG :  0.26
DCKA2    DAHL CREEK NR KOBUK  PC RG :  0.25

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE MAINLAND AND THE
NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA... AND INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL




000
AGAK78 PACR 192344
HMDACR

AGAK78 PACR DDHHMM
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE KENAI RIVER FROM KENAI LAKE TO THE
MOUTH... AND FOR THE KASILOF RIVER AROUND TUSTAMENA LAKE... REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM AKDT THURSDAY.

PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIFIC PRODUCT FOR INFORMATION REGARDING THIS
EVENT.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN HAS A TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN
BERING... WITH AN EMBEDDED LOW NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS... AND A
WEAK RIDGE OVER ALASKA AND THE YUKON TERRITORY.  DIURNAL SHOWERS...
WITH ISOLATED THUNDER SHOWERS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN... WILL BE THE
MAIN SOURCE OF RAIN INTO MIDWEEK.  THE EXCEPTION IS AN AREA OF RAIN
AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE FROM THE
SEWARD PENINSULA OVER NORTHERN ALASKA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING WERE BETWEEN 5600 FT AND 8900 FT OVER
THE MAINLAND... RISING TO 9500 FT OVER KODIAK ISLAND.  FREEZING
LEVELS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS    24 HR
======== ====                 == ==    =====
JCKA2    JARVIS CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  0.76
BTAA2    BOLIO RAWS           PC RG :  0.75
DOYA2    DONNELLY RAWS        PC RG :  0.70
PABI     DELTA JUNCTION       PP RZ :  0.67
GECA2    GEORGE CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  0.60
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.45
LCRA2    LITTLE CHENA RIDGE   PC R2 :  0.44
SMTA2    SALMON TROUT RAWS    PC RG :  0.42
OKLA2    OKLAHOMA RAWS        PC RG :  0.40
MDBA2    COPPER RIVER         PC RG :  0.40
BENA2    BEN CREEK            PC RG :  0.38
UCEA2    UPPER CHENA DOME     PC R2 :  0.37
SLRA2    SALCHA RIVER RAWS    PC RG :  0.37
STNA2    STONY STRIP RAWS     PC RG :  0.35
LBKA2    LITTLE BLACK         PC RG :  0.35
FMRA2    FORTYMILE RIVER      PC RG :  0.32
MSOA2    MUNSON RIDGE SNOTEL  PC R2 :  0.31
GDPA2    GOODPASTER RAWS      PC RG :  0.31
PAEG     EAGLE                PP RZ :  0.30
HATA2    HATCHER PASS         PC R2 :  0.30
BIRA2    BIRCH CREEK RAWS     PC RG :  0.30
FWLA2    FAREWELL FLATS RAWS  PC RG :  0.29
PAFS     NIKOLAI              PP RZ :  0.28
ALSA2    PORT ALSWORTH RAWS   PC RG :  0.28
KLAA2    KLAWASKI RAWS        PC RG :  0.28
COVA2    COVILLE RAWS         PC RG :  0.27
CHLA2    LITTLE CHENA RIVER   PC RG :  0.27
KTZA2    NOATAK RAWS          PC RG :  0.26
DCKA2    DAHL CREEK NR KOBUK  PC RG :  0.25

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE MAINLAND AND THE
NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA... AND INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL





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