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000
AGAK78 PACR 292101
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE STATE OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... FOR SOUTHEAST
ALASKA...BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON A FRONT AND ELONGATED LOW
WILL DEVELOP JUST OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND MODEL
GUIDANCE GENERALLY STRENGTHENS THIS LOW AND MOVES IT INTO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF BY THURSDAY MORNING. THERE IS SOME MODEL
DIVERGENCE ON EXACT QPF BUT IT SHOULD ACCUMULATE TO LESS THAN AN
INCH.  LITTLE PRECIP IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE STATE.

FREEZING LEVELS WERE AT THE SURFACE OVER MOST OF THE MAINLAND THIS
MORNING... RISING TO 1500-2500 FT FROM BETHEL TO KODIAK... AND UP TO
4300 FT OVER THE PANHANDLE.  FREEZING LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO TO
CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:


LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
THBA2    THORNE BAY WATER     PP RZ :  1.33
PAKT     KETCHIKAN            PP RZ :  1.20
KLWA2    HOLLIS               PP RZ :  1.17
PPAQ2    PINE PASS            PC RG :  1.14
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  1.07
SOUA2    SOULE RIVER NEAR HYD PC RG :  1.00
CFSA2    CRAIG FOREST SERVICE PP RZ :  0.91
SHDQ2    SHEDIN RIVER SNOW PI PC RG :  0.79
PSPQ2    PARSNIP RIVER ABOVE  PC RG :  0.78
KTAA2    KETCHIKAN 13N        PP RZ :  0.76
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  0.73
CKLA2    CAPE KIAVAK RAWS     PC RG :  0.70
CFCA2    COFFMAN COVE         PP RZ :  0.65
ZMBA2    ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PC RG :  0.64
TSAQ2    TSAI CREEK NEAR SMIT PC RG :  0.63
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PC RG :  0.62
PAOU     NELSON LAGOON        PP RZ :  0.62
CBHA2    CORDOVA BOAT HARBOR  PC RP :  0.49
PAPG     PETERSBURG           PP RZ :  0.47
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  0.46
MOGA2    MOTHER GOOSE LAKE RA PC RG :  0.41
PADQ     KODIAK               PP RZ :  0.37
MOBQ2    MOBERLY RIVER NEAR F PC RG :  0.35



...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE THE NORTH SLOPE AND WESTERN BROOKS
RANGE.  THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
OVER MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND OVER THE SOUTHEAST MAINLAND.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE EASTERN INTERIOR AND
NORTHEAST MAINLAND.  THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER THE FAR WESTERN MAINLAND... MUCH OF THE AKPEN...
AND OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

CVB





000
AGAK78 PACR 282301
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE STATE OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAS A LOW NORTHWEST OF
BARROW... A LARGE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF... A DISSIPATING LOW
ENTERING SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA... A RIDGE FROM WESTERN CANADA
INTO THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL INTERIOR... AND A RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN BERING.  THE LOW ENTERING SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA IS
BRINGING SOME PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST TODAY... BUT THERE
WILL NOT BE MUCH OF A BREAK BEFORE THE FRONT FROM THE GULF LOW
REACHES SOUTHEAST WITH MORE PRECIPITATION.  PATTERN WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD... WITH THE GULF LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF... THE BERING
RIDGE IN THE EASTERN GULF... AND THE NORTHERN LOW LOCATED NORTH OF
THE ALCAN BORDER BY THURSDAY MORNING.

FREEZING LEVELS WERE AT THE SURFACE OVER MOST OF THE MAINLAND THIS
MORNING... RISING TO 1500-2700 FT FROM BETHEL TO KODIAK... AND ON TO
4700-5800 FT OVER THE PANHANDLE.  FREEZING LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO TO CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  1.34
PAKT     KETCHIKAN            PP RZ :  1.33
PABE     BETHEL               PP RZ :  0.96
PAVC     KING COVE            PP RZ :  0.90
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PC RG :  0.81
PARS     RUSSIAN MISSION      PP RZ :  0.60
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  0.59
PACD     COLD BAY             PP RZ :  0.53
PANT     ANNETTE              PP RZ :  0.52
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  0.46
AMBA2    ANIAK SNOTEL         PC RM :  0.43
PAOH     HOONAH               PP RZ :  0.33
PAOU     NELSON LAGOON        PP RZ :  0.31
NRDA2    NUYAKUK RIVER        PC RG :  0.28
HONA2    HOONAH RAWS          PC RG :  0.26

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE THE NORTH SLOPE AND WESTERN BROOKS
RANGE.  THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
OVER MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND OVER THE SOUTHEAST MAINLAND.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE EASTERN INTERIOR AND
NORTHEAST MAINLAND.  THERE ARE INCREASED CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER THE FAR WESTERN MAINLAND... MUCH OF THE AKPEN...
AND OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL





000
AGAK78 PACR 272246
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT MON OCT 27 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE STATE OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAS A MATURE LOW NEAR THE
BERING STRAIT WITH A TROUGH SOUTH TO THE ALEUTIANS... A RIDGE OVER
THE EASTERN MAINLAND... AND A LOW IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WHICH
INCLUDES THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT OF ANA.  A NEW LOW IS DEVELOPING
IN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.  THIS LOW WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF ON TUESDAY... PUSHING THE DISSIPATING
NORTHEAST PACIFIC LOW INLAND OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA.

FREEZING LEVELS WERE AT THE SURFACE OVER MOST OF THE MAINLAND THIS
MORNING... RISING TO 2000-4100 FT FROM BETHEL TO KODIAK AND ON TO
THE PANHANDLE. FREEZING LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO TO CHANGE MUCH
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
PABE     BETHEL               PP RZ :  0.42
PAYA     YAKUTAT              PP RZ :  0.41
PAIW     WALES                PP RZ :  0.36
PAKT     KETCHIKAN            PP RZ :  0.32
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.26
PAGY     SKAGWAY              PP RZ :  0.26
HONA2    HOONAH RAWS          PC RG :  0.22
PARS     RUSSIAN MISSION      PP RZ :  0.21

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER MOST OF THE THE NORTH SLOPE.  THERE ARE
INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER MOST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL AND OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
INTERIOR... AS WELL AS PART OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.  THERE ARE
INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL





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