000
FLUS44 KOUN 191910
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
143 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
143 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM MEDFORD...
TO ENID...TO EL RENO...TO LAWTON...AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
LAWTON...TO PAULS VALLEY...TO SEMINOLE. A SLIGHT RISK SURROUNDS
THE MODERATE RISK AREA...AND IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
ARNETT...TO TALOGA...TO GRANDFIELD...TO SEYMOUR.
TIMING... THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS FROM 2 PM
UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO MORE THAN 70 MPH
MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AREA FROM NORTH OF OKLAHOMA CITY TO
MEDFORD AND PONCA CITY.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM 2 PM UNTIL
MIDNIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY...WARM...HUMID...AND VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
ARE DEVELOPING OVER OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. A FAIRLY
STRONG CAPPING INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON. BY MID-AFTERNOON...DAYTIME HEATING
IS FORECAST TO GREATLY WEAKEN THE INVERSION. A DRYLINE WILL MOVE
EAST FROM THE PANHANDLES INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND TO CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA BY LATE AFTERNOON. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRYLINE...PLUS
SUPPORT FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WAVE...SHOULD PUSH A FEW UPDRAFTS
THROUGH THE CAPPING INVERSION. THE STRONG INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN
RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT... AND WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT
ROTATING UPDRAFTS...PARTICULARLY WITHIN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY MAY 20.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE VERY
HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR PARTS OF THE AREA. A RED FLAG
WARNING IS IN EFFECT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST VERSION OF THIS
PRODUCT FOR MORE INFORMATION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA. THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
MONDAY.
$$
000
FLUS44 KOUN 191843
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
143 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
143 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM MEDFORD...
TO ENID...TO EL RENO...TO LAWTON...AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
LAWTON...TO PAULS VALLEY...TO SEMINOLE. A SLIGHT RISK SURROUNDS
THE MODERATE RISK AREA...AND IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
ARNETT...TO TALOGA...TO GRANDFIELD...TO SEYMOUR.
TIMING... THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS FROM 2 PM
UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO MORE THAN 70 MPH
MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AREA FROM NORTH OF OKLAHOMA CITY TO
MEDFORD AND PONCA CITY.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM 2 PM UNTIL
MIDNIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY...WARM...HUMID...AND VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
ARE DEVELOPING OVER OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. A FAIRLY
STRONG CAPPING INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON. BY MID-AFTERNOON...DAYTIME HEATING
IS FORECAST TO GREATLY WEAKEN THE INVERSION. A DRYLINE WILL MOVE
EAST FROM THE PANHANDLES INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND TO CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA BY LATE AFTERNOON. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRYLINE...PLUS
SUPPORT FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WAVE...SHOULD PUSH A FEW UPDRAFTS
THROUGH THE CAPPING INVERSION. THE STRONG INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN
RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT... AND WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT
ROTATING UPDRAFTS...PARTICULARLY WITHIN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY MAY 20.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE VERY
HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR PARTS OF THE AREA. A RED FLAG
WARNING IS IN EFFECT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST VERSION OF THIS
PRODUCT FOR MORE INFORMATION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA. THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
MONDAY.
$$
000
FLUS44 KOUN 191702
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1200 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM MEDFORD...
TO ENID...TO EL RENO...TO LAWTON...AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
LAWTON...TO PAULS VALLEY...TO SEMINOLE. A SLIGHT RISK SURROUNDS
THE MODERATE RISK AREA...AND IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
ARNETT...TO HOBART...TO SEYMOUR TEXAS.
TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM 2 PM
UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO MORE THAN 70 MPH
MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AREA FROM NORTH OF OKLAHOMA CITY TO
MEDFORD AND PONCA CITY.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM 2 PM UNTIL
MIDNIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY...WARM...HUMID...AND VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
ARE DEVELOPING OVER OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. A FAIRLY
STRONG CAPPING INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON. BY MID-AFTERNOON...DAYTIME HEATING
IS FORECAST TO GREATLY WEAKEN THE INVERSION. A DRYLINE WILL MOVE
EAST FROM THE PANHANDLES INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND TO CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA BY LATE AFTERNOON. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRYLINE...PLUS
SUPPORT FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WAVE...SHOULD PUSH A FEW UPDRAFTS
THROUGH THE CAPPING INVERSION. THE STRONG INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN
RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT... AND WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT
ROTATING UPDRAFTS...PARTICULARLY WITHIN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY MAY 20.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE VERY
HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR PARTS OF THE AREA. A RED FLAG
WARNING IS IN EFFECT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST VERSION OF THIS
PRODUCT FOR MORE INFORMATION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA. THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
MONDAY.
$$
000
FLUS44 KOUN 190945
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
445 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-200000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
445 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM MEDFORD...
TO ENID...TO EL RENO...TO LAWTON...AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
LAWTON...TO PAULS VALLEY...TO SEMINOLE. A SLIGHT RISK SURROUNDS
THE MODERATE RISK AREA...AND IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
ARNETT...TO HOBART...TO SEYMOUR TEXAS.
TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM 2 PM
THROUGH 3 AM.
IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO MORE THAN 70 MPH
MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AREA FROM NORTH OF OKLAHOMA CITY TO
MEDFORD AND PONCA CITY.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM 2 PM UNTIL
3 AM.
DISCUSSION...
MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY...WARM...HUMID...AND VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
WILL COVER MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. A FAIRLY
STRONG CAPPING INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE MORNING. BY MID-AFTERNOON...DAYTIME HEATING
IS FORECAST TO GREATLY WEAKEN THE INVERSION. A DRYLINE WILL MOVE
EAST FROM THE PANHANDLES INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING...AND
POSSIBLY INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE DRYLINE...PLUS SUPPORT FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL WAVE...SHOULD PUSH
A FEW UPDRAFTS THROUGH THE CAPPING INVERSION SOMETIME THIS AFTERNOON.
THE STRONG INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...
AND WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS...PARTICULARLY WITHIN
THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY MAY 20.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...90 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE VERY
HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR PARTS OF THE AREA. A RED FLAG
WARNING IS IN EFFECT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST VERSION OF THIS
PRODUCT FOR MORE INFORMATION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA. THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON
TODAY.
$$
CMS
000
FLUS44 KOUN 190211
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
910 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
910 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE REMAINDER OF
TONIGHT.
LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA INCLUDES MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM CHANDLER...
TO SULPHUR...TO MARIETTA INCLUDING ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BEFORE
MIDNIGHT...WITH DECREASING CHANCES THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.
IMPACTS...
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL NEAR THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS MAY CREATE DAMAGE TO
CROPS...ROOFS AND CARS. DAMAGING WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND POWER
LINES AND CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. GUSTY WINDS AND BLOWING
DUST WILL ALSO OCCUR FAR REMOVED FROM THE AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS...
WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH LIKELY. THESE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY WEST
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS TO GRADUALLY
WIND DOWN THROUGH LATE EVENING.
DISCUSSION...
A DRYLINE OVER FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WILL
MOVE WEST INTO THE EASTERN TEXAS PANAHANDLE TONIGHT. ONGOING
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO AN INCREASINGLY STABLE AND
CAPPED AIRMASS. THESE TWO CONDITIONS WILL LESSEN...BUT NOT TOTALLY
END THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT.
HOWEVER...THE DRYLINE WILL SHIFT EAST INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTH TEXAS BY MIDDAY SUNDAY SETTING THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
SEVERE STORMS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE STRONGER ON
SUNDAY CAUSING STRONGER WIND SHEAR AND AN ELEVATED CHANCE FOR
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. ADDITIONAL
DETAILS WILL BE CONTAINED IN THE SUNDAY MORNING HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY MAY 19.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE LOCAL FLOODING IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
AN ELEVATED RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...
AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH A CHANCE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY...THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOW AFTER
TUESDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
SUNDAY.
$$
CMS/30/26/16
000
FLUS44 KOUN 181719
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1219 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1219 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA...AND A SLIGHT RISK THAT INCLUDES
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST AND
NORTH OF A LINE FROM NEAR CHEROKEE...TO WATONGA...TO WEATHERFORD...
TO ELK CITY. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA INCLUDES MUCH OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE
FROM CHANDLER... TO SULPHUR...TO MARIETTA INCLUDING ALL OF WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS.
TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM 4 PM
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
IMPACTS...
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL LARGER THAN BASEBALLS MAY CREATE DAMAGE TO CROPS..
ROOFS AND CARS. DAMAGING WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES AND DAMAGE
STRUCTURES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION...
A DRYLINE WILL LIE ALONG THE BORDER BETWEEN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRYLINE...PLUS LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL WAVE...WILL HELP GENERATE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG INSTABILITY AND MODERATE
TO STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS VERY FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA...CONDITIONS WILL
SUPPORT A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME LESS NUMEROUS AFTER MIDNIGHT
REDUCING THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY MAY 19.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...80 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
AN ELEVATED RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...
AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY. A CHANCE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOW AFTER TUESDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
SUNDAY.
$$
CMS/30/26
000
FLUS44 KOUN 181112
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
615 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA...AND A SLIGHT RISK THAT INCLUDES
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST OF A
LINE FROM NEAR FREEDOM...TO WEATHERFORD...TO ELK CITY. THE SLIGHT
RISK AREA INCLUDES MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS...GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM STILLWATER...TO
NORMAN...TO HENRIETTA TEXAS.
TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM MID-
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION...
A DRYLINE WILL LIE ALONG THE BORDER BETWEEN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRYLINE...PLUS LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
AN UPPER-LEVEL WAVE...WILL HELP GENERATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG INSTABILITY AND A SUPPORTIVE VERTICAL
WIND PROFILE WILL PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA...CONDITIONS WILL
SUPPORT A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS...AND TORNADOES. A
CAPPING INVERSION IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN LATE THIS EVENING...AND
EVENTUALLY CUT OFF SURFACE-BASED SUPPORT FOR THESE STORMS...CAUSING
A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND. STORMS MAY CONTINUE WELL INTO THE NIGHT...
BUT THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE STORMS...AND EVEN SOME RAIN
SHOWERS...WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY MAY 19.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...80 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
AN ELEVATED RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...
AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY. A CHANCE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOW AFTER TUESDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON
TODAY.
$$
CMS
000
FLUS44 KOUN 181000
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
500 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA...AND A SLIGHT RISK THAT INCLUDES
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST OF A
LINE FROM NEAR FREEDOM...TO WEATHERFORD...TO ELK CITY. THE SLIGHT
RISK AREA INCLUDES MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS...GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM STILLWATER...TO
NORMAN...TO HENRIETTA TEXAS.
TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM MID-
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION...
A DRYLINE WILL LIE ALONG THE BORDER BETWEEN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRYLINE...PLUS LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
AN UPPER-LEVEL WAVE...WILL HELP GENERATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG INSTABILITY AND A SUPPORTIVE VERTICAL
WIND PROFILE WILL PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA...CONDITIONS WILL
SUPPORT A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS...AND TORNADOES. A
CAPPING INVERSION IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN LATE THIS EVENING...AND
EVENTUALLY CUT OFF SURFACE-BASED SUPPORT FOR THESE STORMS...CAUSING
A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND. STORMS MAY CONTINUE WELL INTO THE NIGHT...
BUT THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE STORMS WILL BE ELEVATED AND
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY MAY 19.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...80 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
AN ELEVATED RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...
AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY. A CHANCE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOW AFTER TUESDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON
TODAY.
$$
CMS
000
FLUS44 KOUN 180043
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
743 PM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
743 PM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...
A DRYLINE WILL CONTINUE TO MIX EASTWARD THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
ISOLATED STORMS THAT DEVELOPED THIS EVENING HAVE MOVED SOUTH OF THE
REGION...AND WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL STABILITY...NO ADDITIONAL STORMS
ARE EXPECTED. SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AS THE AIR
BECOMES MORE SATURATED.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAY 18.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...ZERO PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
AREAS OF FOG WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...SOME LOCALLY DENSE FOG MAY
DEVELOP...LEADING TO HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. EXERCISE CAUTION
IF TRAVELING LATE TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS WESTERN PARTS OF OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS. THE BETTER POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE SUNDAY AND MONDAY WHEN A DRYLINE AND WEAK COLD FRONT MOVE INTO THE
AREA. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER BOTH SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. VERY LARGE HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE WINDS...AND TORNADOES WILL ALL
BE POSSIBLE. THE DETAILS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE...SO
CHECK THE FORECAST OFTEN AND PUT YOUR SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY PLANS INTO
ACTION.
STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE OVERALL RISK
OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOWER...BUT THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF ISOLATED
SEVERE WEATHER.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN
LOW-LYING AND/OR POORLY DRAINED AREAS FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
SATURDAY.
$$
MAXWELL/AUSTIN
000
FLUS44 KOUN 171653
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1152 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1152 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO MAY AFFECT PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. IF A STORM DOES DEVELOP...
IT COULD BECOME SEVERE.
DISCUSSION...
STRONG SURFACE HEATING OF A MOIST AIRMASS IN WESTERN NORTH TEXAS MAY
BE SUFFICIENT FOR A STORM OR TWO TO OVERCOME THE CAP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING. HOWEVER... THIS CAP IS STRONG SO THERE IS A
GOOD CHANCE THAT NO STORMS DEVELOP. IF A STORM DOES DEVELOP... IT
COULD BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH AND HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF QUARTERS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL END AFTER
SUNSET.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAY 18.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...10 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...60 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS WESTERN PARTS OF OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS. THE BETTER POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE SUNDAY AND MONDAY WHEN A DRYLINE AND WEAK COLD FRONT ARE IN THE AREA.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER BOTH DAYS WITH
VERY LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS... AND TORNADOES. THE DETAILS FOR
SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE SO CHECK THE FORECAST OFTEN
AND PUT A SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY PLAN IN PLACE.
STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT THE RISK
OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE MUCH LOWER.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN
LOW-LYING AND/OR POORLY DRAINED AREAS.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
SATURDAY.
$$
MAXWELL
000
FLUS44 KOUN 171002
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
500 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND
TONIGHT. NO STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAY 18.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
AREAS OF FOG WILL COVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING. DENSE FOG WILL BE MOST LIKELY OVER
THE NORTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS...AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...BUT THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE MUCH LOWER.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON
TODAY.
$$
CMS
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