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000
FLUS44 KTSA 270121
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
821 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
821 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THE TIMING FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER HAS NOW SHIFTED UNTIL AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.  STORMS ONGOING
ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WILL EXPAND
NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT.  SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND STRONG
WINDS ALOFT WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR BOTH LARGE
HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.  ALSO...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING MONDAY...THOUGH
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DECREASING AS THE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL ACT TO LIMIT INSTABILITY ACROSS THE
REGION.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE
FALLEN.  AFTER MONDAY...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








000
FLUS44 KTSA 270121
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
821 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
821 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THE TIMING FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER HAS NOW SHIFTED UNTIL AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.  STORMS ONGOING
ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WILL EXPAND
NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT.  SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND STRONG
WINDS ALOFT WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR BOTH LARGE
HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.  ALSO...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING MONDAY...THOUGH
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DECREASING AS THE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL ACT TO LIMIT INSTABILITY ACROSS THE
REGION.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE
FALLEN.  AFTER MONDAY...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 262205
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
505 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
505 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS REMAIN UNSTABLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND THIS INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.  SHOULD STORMS SPREAD INTO THIS REGION THEY WILL
POSE A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE
MOST LIKELY HAZARD...WITH A LESSER CHANCE OF TORNADOES.

AFTER MIDNIGHT...THE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE
ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  THE
BULK OF THE HIGHER INSTABILITY WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40.  LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS WILL
REMAIN THE PRIMARY HAZARD...WITH CONDITIONS BECOMING LESS LIKELY
FOR TORNADIC POTENTIAL.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING MONDAY...THOUGH
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DECREASING AS THE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL ACT TO LIMIT INSTABILITY ACROSS THE
REGION.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE
FALLEN.  AFTER MONDAY...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 262205
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
505 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
505 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS REMAIN UNSTABLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND THIS INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.  SHOULD STORMS SPREAD INTO THIS REGION THEY WILL
POSE A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE
MOST LIKELY HAZARD...WITH A LESSER CHANCE OF TORNADOES.

AFTER MIDNIGHT...THE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE
ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  THE
BULK OF THE HIGHER INSTABILITY WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40.  LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS WILL
REMAIN THE PRIMARY HAZARD...WITH CONDITIONS BECOMING LESS LIKELY
FOR TORNADIC POTENTIAL.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING MONDAY...THOUGH
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DECREASING AS THE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL ACT TO LIMIT INSTABILITY ACROSS THE
REGION.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE
FALLEN.  AFTER MONDAY...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








000
FLUS44 KTSA 261542
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1041 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1041 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM...MORE LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY ACROSS
NORTHWEST TEXAS AND INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...NEAR THE INTERSECTION
OF THE WARM FRONT AND DRYLINE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD GRADUALLY
EAST THIS EVENING INTO PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AS THE UPPER SYSTEM
EJECTS EAST. THE BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THIS EVENING
THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE THE
BEST INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL BE LOCATED. LARGE HAIL WOULD BE
THE BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES FARTHER NORTH ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA ALONG WITH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAVE LESSENED AS
FORECAST INSTABILITY APPEARS WEAKER.

PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD LATE TONIGHT AND
INTO MONDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST INTO EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND PERHAPS
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY MORNING. A LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE REGION. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE
FORECAST TO DECREASE DURING THE DAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN
CHANCES REMAINING POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY BEFORE THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM EXITS TO TH EAST.

BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SET UP
OVER THE PLAINS ALLOWING FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING
TEMPERATURE TREND FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$










000
FLUS44 KTSA 261542
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1041 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1041 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM...MORE LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY ACROSS
NORTHWEST TEXAS AND INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...NEAR THE INTERSECTION
OF THE WARM FRONT AND DRYLINE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD GRADUALLY
EAST THIS EVENING INTO PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AS THE UPPER SYSTEM
EJECTS EAST. THE BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THIS EVENING
THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE THE
BEST INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL BE LOCATED. LARGE HAIL WOULD BE
THE BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES FARTHER NORTH ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA ALONG WITH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAVE LESSENED AS
FORECAST INSTABILITY APPEARS WEAKER.

PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD LATE TONIGHT AND
INTO MONDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST INTO EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND PERHAPS
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY MORNING. A LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE REGION. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE
FORECAST TO DECREASE DURING THE DAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN
CHANCES REMAINING POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY BEFORE THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM EXITS TO TH EAST.

BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SET UP
OVER THE PLAINS ALLOWING FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING
TEMPERATURE TREND FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$











000
FLUS44 KTSA 261002
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015


...THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL INCREASES THIS EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AFTER 10 PM NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AS WELL AS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
INCREASE THIS EVENING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR THE RED RIVER THIS
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AS INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE UPPER
LOW INTERACTS WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AFTER 7 PM AND INTO
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AFTER 10 PM THIS EVENING. A LIMITED SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING...WITH AREAS OF ELEVATED
POTENTIAL OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. LARGE HAIL LOOKS TO BE THE MAIN
HAZARD WITH ALSO A POSSIBLE DAMAGING WIND THREAT. OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT...THE SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BEGIN TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD
AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO TEXAS.

DURING THE DAY TODAY...GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE 15 TO 30
MPH RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY MORNING. A LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE REGION. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE
FORECAST TO DECREASE DURING THE DAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN
CHANCES REMAINING POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY BEFORE THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM EXITS TO TH EAST.

BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SET UP
OVER THE PLAINS ALLOWING FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING
TEMPERATURE TREND FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








000
FLUS44 KTSA 261002
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015


...THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL INCREASES THIS EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AFTER 10 PM NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AS WELL AS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
INCREASE THIS EVENING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR THE RED RIVER THIS
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AS INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE UPPER
LOW INTERACTS WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AFTER 7 PM AND INTO
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AFTER 10 PM THIS EVENING. A LIMITED SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING...WITH AREAS OF ELEVATED
POTENTIAL OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. LARGE HAIL LOOKS TO BE THE MAIN
HAZARD WITH ALSO A POSSIBLE DAMAGING WIND THREAT. OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT...THE SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BEGIN TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD
AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO TEXAS.

DURING THE DAY TODAY...GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE 15 TO 30
MPH RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY MORNING. A LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE REGION. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE
FORECAST TO DECREASE DURING THE DAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN
CHANCES REMAINING POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY BEFORE THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM EXITS TO TH EAST.

BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SET UP
OVER THE PLAINS ALLOWING FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING
TEMPERATURE TREND FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 252201
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
501 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
501 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE SUNDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM CROSSES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL REMAIN IN THE COOLER
AIR BEHIND A FRONT WHICH WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON
SUNDAY.  DESPITE THE COOLER AIR...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY
HAZARD.  ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.  DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE THEN
FORECAST TO PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 252201
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
501 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
501 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE SUNDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM CROSSES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL REMAIN IN THE COOLER
AIR BEHIND A FRONT WHICH WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON
SUNDAY.  DESPITE THE COOLER AIR...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY
HAZARD.  ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.  DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE THEN
FORECAST TO PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








000
FLUS44 KTSA 251731
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1231 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1231 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
        RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN
EXITING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HELP TRANSPORT MUCH
WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION TODAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES
COMBINED WITH DRIER AIR AND BREEZY WINDS WILL RESULTING A LIMITED
FIRE WEATHER DANGER OVER PARTS OF THE REGION...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST
OF HIGHWAY 75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE CONCERNS
SHOULD DECREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES RECOVER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE REGION. INSTABILITY
INTERACTING WITH THE BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO EXIT THE REGION BY THE
MIDDLE PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP
OVER THE PLAINS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$










000
FLUS44 KTSA 251731
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1231 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1231 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
        RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN
EXITING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HELP TRANSPORT MUCH
WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION TODAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES
COMBINED WITH DRIER AIR AND BREEZY WINDS WILL RESULTING A LIMITED
FIRE WEATHER DANGER OVER PARTS OF THE REGION...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST
OF HIGHWAY 75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE CONCERNS
SHOULD DECREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES RECOVER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE REGION. INSTABILITY
INTERACTING WITH THE BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO EXIT THE REGION BY THE
MIDDLE PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP
OVER THE PLAINS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$











000
FLUS44 KTSA 251002
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
PATCHY AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF LESS THAN ONE MILE HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER PARTS OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY IN WESTERN
ARKANSAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN COMMON DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS BEFORE WINDS AND TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO INCREASE.

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN EXITING
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HELP TRANSPORT MUCH WARMER
TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION TODAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES COMBINED
WITH DRIER AIR AND BREEZY WINDS WILL AID IN A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER
DANGER OVER PARTS OF THE REGION...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE CONCERNS SHOULD
DECREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
RECOVER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE REGION. INSTABILITY
INTERACTING WITH THE BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST
TO EXIT THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE PLAINS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








000
FLUS44 KTSA 251002
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
PATCHY AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF LESS THAN ONE MILE HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER PARTS OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY IN WESTERN
ARKANSAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN COMMON DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS BEFORE WINDS AND TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO INCREASE.

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN EXITING
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HELP TRANSPORT MUCH WARMER
TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION TODAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES COMBINED
WITH DRIER AIR AND BREEZY WINDS WILL AID IN A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER
DANGER OVER PARTS OF THE REGION...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE CONCERNS SHOULD
DECREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
RECOVER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE REGION. INSTABILITY
INTERACTING WITH THE BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST
TO EXIT THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE PLAINS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








000
FLUS44 KTSA 251002
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
PATCHY AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF LESS THAN ONE MILE HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER PARTS OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY IN WESTERN
ARKANSAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN COMMON DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS BEFORE WINDS AND TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO INCREASE.

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN EXITING
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HELP TRANSPORT MUCH WARMER
TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION TODAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES COMBINED
WITH DRIER AIR AND BREEZY WINDS WILL AID IN A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER
DANGER OVER PARTS OF THE REGION...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE CONCERNS SHOULD
DECREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
RECOVER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE REGION. INSTABILITY
INTERACTING WITH THE BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST
TO EXIT THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE PLAINS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 251002
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
PATCHY AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF LESS THAN ONE MILE HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER PARTS OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY IN WESTERN
ARKANSAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN COMMON DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS BEFORE WINDS AND TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO INCREASE.

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN EXITING
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HELP TRANSPORT MUCH WARMER
TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION TODAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES COMBINED
WITH DRIER AIR AND BREEZY WINDS WILL AID IN A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER
DANGER OVER PARTS OF THE REGION...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE CONCERNS SHOULD
DECREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
RECOVER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE REGION. INSTABILITY
INTERACTING WITH THE BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST
TO EXIT THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE PLAINS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 242204
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
504 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND MAY IMPACT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE... WITH LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WIND... AND HEAVY RAINFALL BEING
THE MAIN THREATS.

THE ONGOING PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN
TEXAS HAS GREATLY AFFECTED THE MOISTURE RETURN AND INSTABILITY
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY.
THEREFORE... THE CHANCES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EASTWARD
INTO PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS REMAIN
QUITE LIMITED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW... ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF
UNEVENTFUL WEATHER.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 242204
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
504 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND MAY IMPACT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE... WITH LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WIND... AND HEAVY RAINFALL BEING
THE MAIN THREATS.

THE ONGOING PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN
TEXAS HAS GREATLY AFFECTED THE MOISTURE RETURN AND INSTABILITY
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY.
THEREFORE... THE CHANCES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EASTWARD
INTO PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS REMAIN
QUITE LIMITED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW... ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF
UNEVENTFUL WEATHER.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








000
FLUS44 KTSA 241942
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
242 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
242 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.


SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS THROUGH AT LEAST THE LATE
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE DAY...AND MAY
IMPACT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MAINLY AFTER 5 PM. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE.

THE ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS HAS GREATLY AFFECTED THE MOISTURE
RETURN AND INSTABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THEREFORE... THE CHANCES OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFF THE DRYLINE AND INTO PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ARE QUITE SLIM THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW... ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF
UNEVENTFUL WEATHER.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$









000
FLUS44 KTSA 241942
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
242 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
242 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.


SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS THROUGH AT LEAST THE LATE
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE DAY...AND MAY
IMPACT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MAINLY AFTER 5 PM. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE.

THE ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS HAS GREATLY AFFECTED THE MOISTURE
RETURN AND INSTABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THEREFORE... THE CHANCES OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFF THE DRYLINE AND INTO PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ARE QUITE SLIM THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW... ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF
UNEVENTFUL WEATHER.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








000
FLUS44 KTSA 241811
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
110 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
110 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TODAY MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS THROUGH AT LEAST THE LATE
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ACROSS PARTS OF TEXAS
WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE DAY...AND MAY IMPACT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA MAINLY AFTER 5 PM. THE ATMOSPHERE BY THAT TIME IS EXPECTED
TO BE MORE UNSTABLE AND GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR
PROFILES...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA GOING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA NEAR THE RED RIVER WILL HAVE A LIMITED TORNADO
THREAT...ALTHOUGH THE HIGHEST TORNADO THREAT SHOULD REMAIN FARTHER
SOUTH INTO TEXAS. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA SHOULD WIND DOWN LATER THIS EVENING.

THE ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHERN TEXAS HAS GREATLY AFFECTED THE MOISTURE RETURN AND
INSTABILITY ACROSS A LARGE PART OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THUS...THE CHANCES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFF THE
DRYLINE AND IMPACTING PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS ARE QUITE SLIM THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE REMAIN AWARE OF THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$











000
FLUS44 KTSA 241811
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
110 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
110 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TODAY MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS THROUGH AT LEAST THE LATE
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ACROSS PARTS OF TEXAS
WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE DAY...AND MAY IMPACT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA MAINLY AFTER 5 PM. THE ATMOSPHERE BY THAT TIME IS EXPECTED
TO BE MORE UNSTABLE AND GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR
PROFILES...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA GOING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA NEAR THE RED RIVER WILL HAVE A LIMITED TORNADO
THREAT...ALTHOUGH THE HIGHEST TORNADO THREAT SHOULD REMAIN FARTHER
SOUTH INTO TEXAS. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA SHOULD WIND DOWN LATER THIS EVENING.

THE ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHERN TEXAS HAS GREATLY AFFECTED THE MOISTURE RETURN AND
INSTABILITY ACROSS A LARGE PART OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THUS...THE CHANCES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFF THE
DRYLINE AND IMPACTING PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS ARE QUITE SLIM THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE REMAIN AWARE OF THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$










000
FLUS44 KTSA 241811
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
110 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
110 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TODAY MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS THROUGH AT LEAST THE LATE
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ACROSS PARTS OF TEXAS
WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE DAY...AND MAY IMPACT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA MAINLY AFTER 5 PM. THE ATMOSPHERE BY THAT TIME IS EXPECTED
TO BE MORE UNSTABLE AND GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR
PROFILES...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA GOING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA NEAR THE RED RIVER WILL HAVE A LIMITED TORNADO
THREAT...ALTHOUGH THE HIGHEST TORNADO THREAT SHOULD REMAIN FARTHER
SOUTH INTO TEXAS. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA SHOULD WIND DOWN LATER THIS EVENING.

THE ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHERN TEXAS HAS GREATLY AFFECTED THE MOISTURE RETURN AND
INSTABILITY ACROSS A LARGE PART OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THUS...THE CHANCES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFF THE
DRYLINE AND IMPACTING PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS ARE QUITE SLIM THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE REMAIN AWARE OF THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$











000
FLUS44 KTSA 241811
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
110 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
110 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TODAY MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS THROUGH AT LEAST THE LATE
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ACROSS PARTS OF TEXAS
WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE DAY...AND MAY IMPACT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA MAINLY AFTER 5 PM. THE ATMOSPHERE BY THAT TIME IS EXPECTED
TO BE MORE UNSTABLE AND GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR
PROFILES...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA GOING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA NEAR THE RED RIVER WILL HAVE A LIMITED TORNADO
THREAT...ALTHOUGH THE HIGHEST TORNADO THREAT SHOULD REMAIN FARTHER
SOUTH INTO TEXAS. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA SHOULD WIND DOWN LATER THIS EVENING.

THE ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHERN TEXAS HAS GREATLY AFFECTED THE MOISTURE RETURN AND
INSTABILITY ACROSS A LARGE PART OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THUS...THE CHANCES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFF THE
DRYLINE AND IMPACTING PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS ARE QUITE SLIM THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE REMAIN AWARE OF THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$










000
FLUS44 KTSA 241015
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
515 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
515 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015


...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED THIS MORNING...SIGNIFICANT AFTER 3 PM.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND ALSO LIFT NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FROM NORTHERN TEXAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE EXITING OFF TO THE EAST AND
NORTHEAST. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO NEAR 40 MPH WILL AID IN
INCREASING MOISTURE OVER THE REGION AND COMBINE WITH INSTABILITY
ALREADY IN PLACE TO ALLOW FOR A LIMITED TO ELEVATED SEVERE
POTENTIAL DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WITH THE HIGHER CHANCES OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL LOOKS TO BE
THE MAIN THREAT...WITH ALSO A POSSIBLE DAMAGING WIND THREAT INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

MID AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM AS WELL AS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD IS HIGHLY CONDITIONAL ON HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE AND
INSTABILITY CAN RECOVER FROM THE MORNING ROUND OF THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING
THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG AND NEAR A DRYLINE
POSITIONED OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS AS THE DRYLINE APPROACH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THAT SUSTAIN THEMSELVES
WOULD HAVE AN ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL UP TOWARD THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS...DAMAGING WINDS OF UP TOWARD 80 MILES PER HOUR AND ALSO
A TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE. GREATER SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WHERE THE
ATMOSPHERE AND INSTABILITY HAVE A HIGHER CHANCE OF RECOVERING.

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...
AN ELEVATED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE DRYLINE AND
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVE THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ALSO A TORNADO
THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO
TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS OFF TO THE EAST.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 241015
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
515 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
515 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015


...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED THIS MORNING...SIGNIFICANT AFTER 3 PM.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND ALSO LIFT NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FROM NORTHERN TEXAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE EXITING OFF TO THE EAST AND
NORTHEAST. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO NEAR 40 MPH WILL AID IN
INCREASING MOISTURE OVER THE REGION AND COMBINE WITH INSTABILITY
ALREADY IN PLACE TO ALLOW FOR A LIMITED TO ELEVATED SEVERE
POTENTIAL DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WITH THE HIGHER CHANCES OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL LOOKS TO BE
THE MAIN THREAT...WITH ALSO A POSSIBLE DAMAGING WIND THREAT INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

MID AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM AS WELL AS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD IS HIGHLY CONDITIONAL ON HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE AND
INSTABILITY CAN RECOVER FROM THE MORNING ROUND OF THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING
THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG AND NEAR A DRYLINE
POSITIONED OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS AS THE DRYLINE APPROACH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THAT SUSTAIN THEMSELVES
WOULD HAVE AN ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL UP TOWARD THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS...DAMAGING WINDS OF UP TOWARD 80 MILES PER HOUR AND ALSO
A TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE. GREATER SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WHERE THE
ATMOSPHERE AND INSTABILITY HAVE A HIGHER CHANCE OF RECOVERING.

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...
AN ELEVATED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE DRYLINE AND
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVE THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ALSO A TORNADO
THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO
TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS OFF TO THE EAST.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 241015
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
515 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
515 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015


...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED THIS MORNING...SIGNIFICANT AFTER 3 PM.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND ALSO LIFT NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FROM NORTHERN TEXAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE EXITING OFF TO THE EAST AND
NORTHEAST. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO NEAR 40 MPH WILL AID IN
INCREASING MOISTURE OVER THE REGION AND COMBINE WITH INSTABILITY
ALREADY IN PLACE TO ALLOW FOR A LIMITED TO ELEVATED SEVERE
POTENTIAL DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WITH THE HIGHER CHANCES OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL LOOKS TO BE
THE MAIN THREAT...WITH ALSO A POSSIBLE DAMAGING WIND THREAT INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

MID AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM AS WELL AS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD IS HIGHLY CONDITIONAL ON HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE AND
INSTABILITY CAN RECOVER FROM THE MORNING ROUND OF THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING
THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG AND NEAR A DRYLINE
POSITIONED OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS AS THE DRYLINE APPROACH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THAT SUSTAIN THEMSELVES
WOULD HAVE AN ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL UP TOWARD THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS...DAMAGING WINDS OF UP TOWARD 80 MILES PER HOUR AND ALSO
A TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE. GREATER SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WHERE THE
ATMOSPHERE AND INSTABILITY HAVE A HIGHER CHANCE OF RECOVERING.

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...
AN ELEVATED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE DRYLINE AND
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVE THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ALSO A TORNADO
THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO
TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXITS OFF TO THE EAST.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION...HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS WITHIN
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








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