000
FLUS44 KTSA 190358
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1058 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191600-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1058 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 1 AM.
DISCUSSION...
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AS
AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS CONTINUES TO
PUSH SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS SEVERAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS RETURNING.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 182137
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
437 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
437 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AS SEVERAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS RETURNING.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 181742
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1242 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1242 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
A RELATIVELY STABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL TO
OUR SOUTH AND WEST. PATCHY FOG WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AS SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVE OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 180934
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
434 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
434 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
PATCHY FOG WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE WITH THE FOG LIFTING.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AS SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVE OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 180219
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
919 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
919 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS NEAR THE RED RIVER ON
TUESDAY...BEFORE RETURNING BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY THE
WEEKEND.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 172153
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
453 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
452 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
A VERY TROPICAL-LIKE AIRMASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING. THERE IS A LAYER OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DENSER AIR AT THE
SURFACE WITH VERY MOIST AIR ALOFT. THIS AIRMASS IS PRODUCING
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING... AND IS NOT VERY
SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE STORMS... ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT. HOWEVER... IN KEEPING
WITH THE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE. LOW TOPPED CELLS THAT LOOK FAIRLY INNOCUOUS ON RADAR
HAVE BEEN PRODUCING HEAVY... ALBEIT BRIEF DOWNPOURS ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND MAY
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS NEAR THE RED RIVER ON
TUESDAY...BEFORE RETURNING BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY THE
WEEKEND.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 171753
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1253 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1253 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...
A SMALL SCALE UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE PRODUCED BY AN OVERNIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL DRIFT SLOWLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR
THIS FEATURE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A FEW STRONG
CELLS POSSIBLE. MORE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST AGAIN
LATER TODAY AND POTENTIALLY GROW INTO ANOTHER COMPLEX. SOME OF
THESE STORMS COULD IMPACT SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT...AGAIN WITH A LIMITED THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS NEAR THE RED RIVER ON
TUESDAY...BEFORE RETURNING BACK TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY THE WEEKEND.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 171314
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
814 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
813 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AFTERNOON ELSEWHERE.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE OUT OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS MORNING...AND WILL POSE A
LIMITED THREAT OF STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH ABOUT
10 AM. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG ANY BOUNDARIES AS THE AIRMASS ACROSS
THE REGION REMAINS MOIST AND UNSTABLE.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS NEAR THE RED RIVER
ON TUESDAY BEFORE RETURNING BACK TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 171303
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
803 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
802 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AFTERNOON ELSEWHERE.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE OUT OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS MORNING...AND WILL POSE A
LIMITED THREAT OF STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH ABOUT
10 AM. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG ANY BOUNDARIES AND EVENING AS THE AIRMASS ACROSS
THE REGION REMAINS MOIST AND UNSTABLE.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS NEAR THE RED RIVER
ON TUESDAY BEFORE RETURNING BACK TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 171000
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...NIL.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTH AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...ONGOING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. THERE IS ENOUGH INSTABILITY
FOR SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE
WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE CONCERN. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION REMAINS MOIST AND UNSTABLE.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS NEAR THE RED RIVER
ON TUESDAY BEFORE RETURNING BACK TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 170449
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1150 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171500-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1150 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA... EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 100 AM.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 100 AM.
DISCUSSION...
A LARGE AND SEVERE SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY MOVING
INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA WILL SWEEP THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT ALONG WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF A MIAMI...TULSA...HUGO LINE WHERE THE HIGHEST
INSTABILITY REMAINS. THE THUNDERSTORM LINE MAY WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS
STORMS MOVE INTO EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE
TONIGHT...HOWEVER AT LEAST A LIMITED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL
REMAIN.
IN ADDITION...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD
OF THE MAIN LINE. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY WITH ALL
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT. ANY AREAS WHERE STORMS MOVE OVER
THE SAME LOCATIONS WILL HAVE AN ENHANCED FLOODING THREAT...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY SEEN SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING IN THE
MORNING. AN OUTFLOW REINFORCED EAST-WEST ORIENTED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE LAID OUT OVER OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE...AND COMBINE THIS WITH INCREASING
NORTHWESTERLY DEEP LAYER SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS
INCREASES. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS. IF A DISCRETE SUPERCELL CAN DEVELOP...THEN AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.
THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ALOFT...AND THIS WILL PUT AN
END TO THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 170251
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
951 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171500-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
951 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA... EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR
ADDITIONAL ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WITH
SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS BEING STRONG TO SEVERE. DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. VERY QUICK AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS HAVE ALSO BEEN COMMON ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CREATED FLASH
FLOODING CONDITIONS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING.
THIS ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING.
ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS MONDAY. ONE OR MORE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES ARE EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE AND MOVE INTO THE
AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARD...ALONG WITH SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IN THE STRONGER
CORES.
GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE ATMOSPHERE FOR
STORMS TO WORK WITH...HEAVY RAINFALL RATES WILL BE THE RESULT. IF
STORMS END UP TRAINING OVER THE SAME AREAS...SEVERAL INCHES OF
RAINFALL COULD FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THIS COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ALSO
ACROSS AREAS THAT RECEIVED A LOT OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING IN THE
MORNING. AN OUTFLOW REINFORCED EAST-WEST ORIENTED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE LAID OUT OVER OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE...AND COMBINE THIS WITH INCREASING
NORTHWESTERLY DEEP LAYER SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS
INCREASES. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS. IF A DISCRETE SUPERCELL CAN DEVELOP...THEN AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.
THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ALOFT...AND THIS WILL PUT AN
END TO THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 162201
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
501 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
501 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING. ADDITIONAL FOR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE
WITH HAIL AND WINDS. VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE STRONGER STORMS...WHICH COULD CREATE FLASH FLOODING
CONDITIONS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING.
THE GREATER SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ONE OR MORE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES ARE
EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE AND MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...ALONG WITH SOME
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IN THE STRONGER CORES.
GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE ATMOSPHERE FOR
STORMS TO WORK WITH...HEAVY RAINFALL RATES WILL BE THE RESULT. IF
STORMS END UP TRAINING OVER THE SAME AREAS...SEVERAL INCHES OF
RAINFALL COULD FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THIS COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING IN THE
MORNING. AN OUTFLOW REINFORCED EAST-WEST ORIENTED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE LAID OUT OVER OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE...AND COMBINE THIS WITH INCREASING
NORTHWESTERLY DEEP LAYER SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS
INCREASES. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS. IF A DISCRETE SUPERCELL CAN DEVELOP...THEN AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.
THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ALOFT...AND THIS WILL PUT AN
END TO THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 162053
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
352 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
352 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON POPCORN THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY IN PLACE. AN
ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUST AND HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
ACTIVITY...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
THE GREATER SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ONE OR MORE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES ARE
EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE AND MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...ALONG WITH SOME
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IN THE STRONGER CORES.
GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE ATMOSPHERE FOR
STORMS TO WORK WITH...HEAVY RAINFALL RATES WILL BE THE RESULT. IF
STORMS END UP TRAINING OVER THE SAME AREAS...SEVERAL INCHES OF
RAINFALL COULD FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THIS COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING IN THE
MORNING. AN OUTFLOW REINFORCED EAST-WEST ORIENTED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE LAID OUT OVER OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE...AND COMBINE THIS WITH INCREASING
NORTHWESTRLY DEEP LAYER SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS
INCREASES. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS. IF A DISCRETE SUPERCELL CAN DEVELOP...THEN AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.
THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ALOFT...AND THIS WILL PUT AN
END TO THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 161822
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
122 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
121 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON POPCORN THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY IN PLACE. AN
ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUST IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY...ALONG
WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
THE GREATER SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ONE OR MORE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES ARE
EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE AND MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...ALONG WITH SOME
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IN THE STRONGER CORES.
GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE ATMOSPHERE FOR
STORMS TO WORK WITH...HEAVY RAINFALL RATES WILL BE THE RESULT. IF
STORMS END UP TRAINING OVER THE SAME AREAS...SEVERAL INCHES OF
RAINFALL COULD FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THIS COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING IN THE
MORNING. AN OUTFLOW REINFORCED EAST-WEST ORIENTED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE LAID OUT OVER OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE...AND COMBINE THIS WITH INCREASING
NORTHWESTRLY DEEP LAYER SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS
INCREASES. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS. IF A DISCRETE SUPERCELL CAN DEVELOP...THEN AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.
THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ALOFT...AND THIS WILL PUT AN
END TO THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KTSA 161000
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...PRIMARILY LATE EVENING.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...OVERNIGHT.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...OVERNIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH A WEAKENING
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE STILL AFFECTING THE AREA. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
LEFT OVER FROM A DECAYING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL ALSO PROVIDE
A LIFTING MECHANISM FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY. THE AIRMASS WILL BE UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT STRONG TO
MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL THE CONCERN.
THE BEST CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME LATE THIS EVENING AND
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX ORGANIZES OVER
KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AND MOVES SOUTHEAST INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN WITH MANY AREAS ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA SEEING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT. THIS COULD LEAD TO
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING MONDAY MORNING AS THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX
CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE MONDAY MORNING. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL THEN BECOME THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
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