Home > Products > Valid Products > HWO

000
FLUS44 KTSA 302157
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
457 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
457 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED JUST TO THE EAST OF THE AREA IN SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS.
THE CHANCE FOR THUNDER LOOKS TO BE MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. BEHIND THIS NEXT SYSTEM...A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SET UP OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER CONDITIONS AND A TEMPERATURE WARMING TREND FOR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 301758
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1258 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1258 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH FAR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY...A NARROW AXIS OF INSTABILITY COULD ALLOW FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON OVER FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
FORT SMITH ARKANSAS TO EUREKA SPRINGS ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES SHOULD EXIT THE REGION THIS EVENING WITH THE DEPARTING
FRONT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE
AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDER LOOKS TO BE
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
BEHIND THIS NEXT SYSTEM...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
SET UP OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER
CONDITIONS AND A TEMPERATURE WARMING TREND FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 301758
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1258 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1258 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH FAR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY...A NARROW AXIS OF INSTABILITY COULD ALLOW FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON OVER FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
FORT SMITH ARKANSAS TO EUREKA SPRINGS ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES SHOULD EXIT THE REGION THIS EVENING WITH THE DEPARTING
FRONT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE
AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDER LOOKS TO BE
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
BEHIND THIS NEXT SYSTEM...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
SET UP OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER
CONDITIONS AND A TEMPERATURE WARMING TREND FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 301000
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...TODAY.


DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY. LOCATIONS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...MAINLY
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MAY SEE ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TODAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO PARTS OF THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE
INTO MONDAY AS A WEAKER SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA. ONCE THIS SYSTEM CLEARS
THE REGION LATER IN THE DAY ON MONDAY...A PERIOD OF SETTLED
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 292146
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
446 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
446 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS AND CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT.

INCREASING INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT OUT
WEST WILL AID IN A CONTINUING POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LARGE HAIL ALONG WITH A DAMAGING WIND
POTENTIAL LOOK TO BE THE MAIN HAZARDS FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND ALSO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A NEARLY STATIONARY WARM FRONT
REMAINS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF
THIS BOUNDARY...GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
ALLOW FOR AN INCREASED TORNADO POTENTIAL AS WELL AS A LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY SOUTH OF A MCALESTER TO POTEAU LINE.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ALSO FORECAST ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OF AROUND A HALF INCH TO GREATER THAN ONE INCH ON TOP OF
RAINS THAT FELL THIS MORNING WILL HELP TO CREATE POSSIBLE FLASH
FLOODING CONDITIONS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS PARTS OF
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PARTS
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY MORNING AS A
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION. INSTABILITY AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL TO REMAIN THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE FRONT IS
FORECAST TO EXIT THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TAPERING OFF WITH THE EXITING FRONT. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES QUICKLY RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE PLAINS.
BEHIND THIS NEXT SYSTEM...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO MOVE
INTO THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES WITH MORE QUIET WEATHER FOR THE
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 291826
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
126 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
126 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016


...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL CONTINUES INTO TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTH OF A MCALESTER TO POTEAU LINE.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTH OF A MCALESTER TO POTEAU LINE IN
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS.

DISCUSSION...
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS AND CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT.

INCREASING INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT OUT
WEST WILL AID IN A CONTINUING POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LARGE HAIL ALONG WITH A DAMAGING WIND
POTENTIAL LOOK TO BE THE MAIN HAZARDS FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND ALSO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A NEARLY STATIONARY WARM FRONT
REMAINED NEAR THE RED RIVER OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY...GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASED TORNADO POTENTIAL AS WELL
AS A LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL THROUGH THIS EVENING
FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...MAINLY SOUTH OF A MCALESTER TO
POTEAU LINE.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ALSO FORECAST ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OF AROUND A HALF INCH TO GREATER THAN ONE INCH ON TOP OF
RAINS THAT FELL THIS MORNING WILL HELP TO CREATE POSSIBLE FLASH
FLOODING CONDITIONS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS PARTS OF
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PARTS
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY MORNING AS A
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION. INSTABILITY AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST A LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL TO REMAIN THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE FRONT IS
FORECAST TO EXIT THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TAPERING OFF WITH THE EXITING FRONT. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES QUICKLY RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE PLAINS.
BEHIND THIS NEXT SYSTEM...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO MOVE
INTO THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES WITH MORE QUIET WEATHER FOR THE
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 291036
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
538 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
538 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016


....SEVERE STORM AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL THROUGH TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
IN RESPONSE TO A LOW LEVEL JET AND A NORTHWARD ADVANCING WARM
FRONT. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL MAINTAIN SEVERE POTENTIAL
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND
POSSIBLY WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEFORE WEAKENING SOME AS THE LOW
LEVEL JET SUBSIDES. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH
MORNING STORMS.

AT LEAST SOME DEGREE OF THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. HOWEVER...THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
WILL SERVE AS FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION BY THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS WILL ALSO CARRY A SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH LARGE HAIL AS
THE PRIMARY THREAT. STORMS THAT DEVELOP AND SUSTAIN THEMSELVES
ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL ALSO HAVE A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT.
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR NORTH THE BOUNDARY PROGRESSES EXISTS.
MORNING CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SLOW NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM
FRONT...AND AT THIS TIME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL HAVE THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY EXPAND NORTH SHOULD THE WARM FRONT
ADVANCE MORE THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.


ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ALONG THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL CARRY AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE POTENTIAL...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AS THE
MAIN THREATS. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

ADDITIONALLY...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES THAT
OCCUROVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT THIS
MORNING THROUGH 7 AM SATURDAY.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SOME RAIN AND THUNDER MAY LINGER ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRING
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BACK TO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A
PERIOD OF SETTLED WEATHER TO FOLLOW FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 291029
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
529 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
529 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016



THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
IN RESPONSE TO A LOW LEVEL JET AND A NORTHWARD ADVANCING WARM
FRONT. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL MAINTAIN SEVERE POTENTIAL
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND
POSSIBLY WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEFORE WEAKENING SOME AS THE LOW
LEVEL JET SUBSIDES. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH
MORNING STORMS.

AT LEAST SOME DEGREE OF THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. HOWEVER...THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
WILL SERVE AS FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION BY THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS WILL ALSO CARRY A SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH LARGE HAIL AS
THE PRIMARY THREAT. STORMS THAT DEVELOP AND SUSTAIN THEMSELVES
ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL ALSO HAVE A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT.
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR NORTH THE BOUNDARY PROGRESSES EXISTS.
MORNING CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SLOW NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM
FRONT...AND AT THIS TIME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL HAVE THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY EXPAND NORTH SHOULD THE WARM FRONT
ADVANCE MORE THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ALONG THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL CARRY AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE POTENTIAL...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AS THE
MAIN THREATS. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SOME RAIN AND THUNDER MAY LINGER ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRING
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BACK TO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A
PERIOD OF SETTLED WEATHER TO FOLLOW FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 291029
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
529 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
529 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016



THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
IN RESPONSE TO A LOW LEVEL JET AND A NORTHWARD ADVANCING WARM
FRONT. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL MAINTAIN SEVERE POTENTIAL
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND
POSSIBLY WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEFORE WEAKENING SOME AS THE LOW
LEVEL JET SUBSIDES. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH
MORNING STORMS.

AT LEAST SOME DEGREE OF THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. HOWEVER...THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
WILL SERVE AS FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION BY THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS WILL ALSO CARRY A SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH LARGE HAIL AS
THE PRIMARY THREAT. STORMS THAT DEVELOP AND SUSTAIN THEMSELVES
ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL ALSO HAVE A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT.
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR NORTH THE BOUNDARY PROGRESSES EXISTS.
MORNING CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SLOW NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM
FRONT...AND AT THIS TIME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL HAVE THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY EXPAND NORTH SHOULD THE WARM FRONT
ADVANCE MORE THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ALONG THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL CARRY AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE POTENTIAL...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AS THE
MAIN THREATS. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SOME RAIN AND THUNDER MAY LINGER ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRING
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BACK TO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A
PERIOD OF SETTLED WEATHER TO FOLLOW FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 282148
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
448 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
448 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
NEAR A WARM FRONT AND MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
THE MAIN CONCERN. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER IN
THE DAY TO OUR WEST AND WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SEVERITY AND
TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER THAT OCCURS WITH THESE STORMS WILL DEPEND
ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT RETREATS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT...WHILE TORNADOES...
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY. AT THIS TIME...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAVE
THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS

IF THE WARM FRONT SETS UP NEAR THE RED RIVER ON FRIDAY...THE SETUP
WOULD FAVOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
POSSIBLE.

SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY BUT WILL DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN THE DAY AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 282148
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
448 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
448 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
NEAR A WARM FRONT AND MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
THE MAIN CONCERN. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER IN
THE DAY TO OUR WEST AND WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SEVERITY AND
TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER THAT OCCURS WITH THESE STORMS WILL DEPEND
ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT RETREATS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT...WHILE TORNADOES...
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY. AT THIS TIME...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAVE
THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS

IF THE WARM FRONT SETS UP NEAR THE RED RIVER ON FRIDAY...THE SETUP
WOULD FAVOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
POSSIBLE.

SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY BUT WILL DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN THE DAY AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 281751 CCA
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1251 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1251 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT AS THE
STORMS MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH DAYBREAK.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING. STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER IN THE DAY TO OUR
WEST AND WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE SEVERITY AND TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER THAT OCCURS WITH THESE
STORMS WILL DEPEND ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT RETREATS. LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE
FRONT...WHILE TORNADOES...HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY. AT THIS TIME...EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS

IF THE WARM FRONT SETS UP NEAR THE RED RIVER ON FRIDAY...THE SETUP
WOULD FAVOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
POSSIBLE.

SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY BUT WILL DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN THE DAY AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY





000
FLUS44 KTSA 281750
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1250 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1250 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT AS THE
STORMS MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH DAYBREAK.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING. STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER IN THE DAY TO OUR
WEST AND WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE SEVERITY AND TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER THAT OCCURS WITH THESE
STORMS WILL DEPEND ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT RETREATS. LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE
FRONT...WHILE TORNADOES...HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY. AT THIS TIME...EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS

IF THE WARM FRONT SETS UP NEAR THE RED RIVER ON FRIDAY...THE SETUP
WOULD FAVOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
POSSIBLE.

SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY BUT WILL DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN THE DAY AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY





000
FLUS44 KTSA 281013
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
513 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
513 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016



THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.



DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS...AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL RETURN LATE TONIGHT
TO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO A LOW LEVEL JET THAT
WILL DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF A SURFACE WARM FRONT. LARGE HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MOVE NORTH
NORTHEAST...AND INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FRIDAY
MORNING. THE SEVERITY...AND TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER THAT OCCURS
DURING THE DAY WILL DEPEND ON WHERE THE WARM FRONT SETS UP. LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE
FRONT...WHILE TORNADOES...HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY.

AT THIS TIME... IT APPEARS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL SEE THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER AS THIS AREA WILL BE JUST NORTH OF THE
WARM FRONT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. THIS SETUP ALSO FAVORS THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF AN
EASTWARD ADVANCING DRY LINE. STORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH FROM
WEST TO EAST ON SATURDAY AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS THE AREA.
AFTER A DRY AND COOLER SUNDAY...LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO
PARTS OF THE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 272320
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
620 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
620 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN
         POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

AFTER A SHORT BREAK...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL AND TYPE FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHERE THE SURFACE
BOUNDARIES SET UP. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.

ANOTHER WEAKER SYSTEM WILL BRING THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE UPPER AIR PATTERN FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK DOES
NOT LOOK CONDUCIVE FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AT THIS POINT.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY





    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities