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000
FLUS44 KTSA 032141
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
 RISK...LIMITED.
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SOUTH OF I-44.
    ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED ALONG A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY LOCATED
ROUGHLY JUST SOUTH OF I-44. WIND SHEAR IS WEAK ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON BUT THERE IS ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL BE DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WIND UP TO 70 MPH. HAIL UP TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET BUT THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATELY STRONG
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL BOTH DAYS. ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND
WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK. THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL BE INCREASED WITH
THE EARLY WEEK STORMS AND LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69




000
FLUS44 KTSA 032141
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
 RISK...LIMITED.
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SOUTH OF I-44.
    ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED ALONG A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY LOCATED
ROUGHLY JUST SOUTH OF I-44. WIND SHEAR IS WEAK ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON BUT THERE IS ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL BE DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WIND UP TO 70 MPH. HAIL UP TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET BUT THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATELY STRONG
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL BOTH DAYS. ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND
WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK. THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL BE INCREASED WITH
THE EARLY WEEK STORMS AND LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69





000
FLUS44 KTSA 032141
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
 RISK...LIMITED.
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SOUTH OF I-44.
    ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED ALONG A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY LOCATED
ROUGHLY JUST SOUTH OF I-44. WIND SHEAR IS WEAK ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON BUT THERE IS ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL BE DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WIND UP TO 70 MPH. HAIL UP TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET BUT THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATELY STRONG
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL BOTH DAYS. ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND
WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK. THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL BE INCREASED WITH
THE EARLY WEEK STORMS AND LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69





000
FLUS44 KTSA 032141
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
441 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
 RISK...LIMITED.
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SOUTH OF I-44.
    ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED ALONG A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY LOCATED
ROUGHLY JUST SOUTH OF I-44. WIND SHEAR IS WEAK ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON BUT THERE IS ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL BE DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WIND UP TO 70 MPH. HAIL UP TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET BUT THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATELY STRONG
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL BOTH DAYS. ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND
WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK. THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL BE INCREASED WITH
THE EARLY WEEK STORMS AND LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69




000
FLUS44 KTSA 031755
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DISCUSSION... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...IN THE VICINITY OF A LINGERING WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR AS WELL...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME FLASH
FLOODING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS NORTHWEST
FLOW REMAINS ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY AND A FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
WILL BE INCREASED WITH THE EARLY WEEK STORMS. A GENERAL DRYING
TREND WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




000
FLUS44 KTSA 031755
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DISCUSSION... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...IN THE VICINITY OF A LINGERING WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR AS WELL...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME FLASH
FLOODING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS NORTHWEST
FLOW REMAINS ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY AND A FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
WILL BE INCREASED WITH THE EARLY WEEK STORMS. A GENERAL DRYING
TREND WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 031755
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DISCUSSION... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...IN THE VICINITY OF A LINGERING WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR AS WELL...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME FLASH
FLOODING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS NORTHWEST
FLOW REMAINS ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY AND A FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
WILL BE INCREASED WITH THE EARLY WEEK STORMS. A GENERAL DRYING
TREND WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




000
FLUS44 KTSA 030936
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
436 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
436 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING THIS MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS...WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY ENDING DURING THE MID TO LATE
MORNING HOURS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN
THE VICINITY OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERING ACROSS THE AREA. THE
GREATEST COVERAGE AND THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 WHERE INSTABILITY IS
MAXIMIZED. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS NORTHWEST
FLOW REMAINS ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY AND A FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
WILL BE INCREASED WITH THE EARLY WEEK STORMS. A GENERAL DRYING
TREND WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 030936
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
436 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
436 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING THIS MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS...WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY ENDING DURING THE MID TO LATE
MORNING HOURS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN
THE VICINITY OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERING ACROSS THE AREA. THE
GREATEST COVERAGE AND THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 WHERE INSTABILITY IS
MAXIMIZED. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS NORTHWEST
FLOW REMAINS ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY AND A FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
WILL BE INCREASED WITH THE EARLY WEEK STORMS. A GENERAL DRYING
TREND WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




000
FLUS44 KTSA 030235
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
935 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
935 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THIS
EVENING IN RESPONSE TO A NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OVER THE REGION. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A LIMITED SEVERE THREAT OF STRONG WINDS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE NIGHT WITHIN ANY THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT...OTHERWISE HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS LOOK TO BE
THE MAIN HAZARDS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ON TOP OF LOCATIONS THAT HAVE RECEIVED RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO
CREATE POTENTIAL FLASH FLOOD CONDITIONS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL...GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2
INCHES. THE FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN LOCATIONS WHERE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE OCCURRED.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WHICH WILL
TEMPER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOME DURING THE DAY. ANOTHER UPPER
WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
RESULTING IN DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




000
FLUS44 KTSA 022151
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
451 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
451 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING HOURS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
    RISK...ELEVATED.
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
    ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NEAR A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT STRETCHED
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE MAIN
SEVERE RISK WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SINK SOUTH DURING THE
EVENING HOURS...AND SLOWLY WEAKEN WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR A LARGE
PART OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL...GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2
INCHES. THE FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN LOCATIONS WHERE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE OCCURED.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WHICH WILL
TEMPER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOME DURING THE DAY. ANOTHER UPPER
WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
RESULTING IN DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




000
FLUS44 KTSA 022151
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
451 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
451 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING HOURS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
    RISK...ELEVATED.
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
    ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NEAR A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT STRETCHED
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE MAIN
SEVERE RISK WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SINK SOUTH DURING THE
EVENING HOURS...AND SLOWLY WEAKEN WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR A LARGE
PART OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL...GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2
INCHES. THE FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN LOCATIONS WHERE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE OCCURED.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WHICH WILL
TEMPER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOME DURING THE DAY. ANOTHER UPPER
WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
RESULTING IN DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 021746
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON. ONGOING SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
NEAR THE BOUNDARY. THE MAIN SEVERE RISK WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
..AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE
THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL BE MAINTAINED AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... LOCAL
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL...GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2
INCHES. THE FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN LOCATIONS WHERE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE OCCURED.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WHICH WILL
TEMPER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOME DURING THE DAY. ANOTHER UPPER
WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
RESULTING IN DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




000
FLUS44 KTSA 021746
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON. ONGOING SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
NEAR THE BOUNDARY. THE MAIN SEVERE RISK WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
..AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE
THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL BE MAINTAINED AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... LOCAL
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL...GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2
INCHES. THE FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN LOCATIONS WHERE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE OCCURED.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WHICH WILL
TEMPER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOME DURING THE DAY. ANOTHER UPPER
WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
RESULTING IN DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 021746
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON. ONGOING SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
NEAR THE BOUNDARY. THE MAIN SEVERE RISK WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
..AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE
THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL BE MAINTAINED AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... LOCAL
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL...GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2
INCHES. THE FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN LOCATIONS WHERE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE OCCURED.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WHICH WILL
TEMPER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOME DURING THE DAY. ANOTHER UPPER
WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
RESULTING IN DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




000
FLUS44 KTSA 020958
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
NEAR THE BOUNDARY... WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS... INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL... GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2 INCHES. THE
FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN ANY LOCATIONS WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WITH A
BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER... ANOTHER
UPPER SHORT WAVE/FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY... INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 020958
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
NEAR THE BOUNDARY... WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS... INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL... GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2 INCHES. THE
FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN ANY LOCATIONS WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WITH A
BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER... ANOTHER
UPPER SHORT WAVE/FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY... INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




000
FLUS44 KTSA 020232
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
932 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
932 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO
NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WITH MORE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY
ONGOING ACROSS MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE
FRONT IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS BY MIDNIGHT AS A LOW LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE AIR MASS ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS IS VERY MOIST AND
MODERATELY UNSTABLE. STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH
MODERATELY STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTHWEST IS RESULTING IN
WIND SHEAR CAPABLE OF SUSTAINING SEVERE UPDRAFTS. AS SUCH...THE
ACTIVITY IN MISSOURI WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD FAR NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...AND ESPECIALLY NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. SOME OF
THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT. DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE...AND AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A SURFACE FRONT MOVES
SOUTH INTO THE REGION. VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND CONSIDERABLE WIND SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...GIVEN A VERY MOIST
ATMOSPHERE THAT RESIDES OVER THE AREA.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY LINGER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON FRIDAY...RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FRONT. STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS
OVER THE REGION. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH THE
AREA ALONG WITH WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL SUPPORT THIS DAILY
POTENTIAL. LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FRIDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69




000
FLUS44 KTSA 020232
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
932 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
932 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO
NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WITH MORE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY
ONGOING ACROSS MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE
FRONT IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS BY MIDNIGHT AS A LOW LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE AIR MASS ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS IS VERY MOIST AND
MODERATELY UNSTABLE. STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH
MODERATELY STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTHWEST IS RESULTING IN
WIND SHEAR CAPABLE OF SUSTAINING SEVERE UPDRAFTS. AS SUCH...THE
ACTIVITY IN MISSOURI WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD FAR NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...AND ESPECIALLY NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. SOME OF
THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT. DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE...AND AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A SURFACE FRONT MOVES
SOUTH INTO THE REGION. VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND CONSIDERABLE WIND SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...GIVEN A VERY MOIST
ATMOSPHERE THAT RESIDES OVER THE AREA.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY LINGER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON FRIDAY...RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FRONT. STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS
OVER THE REGION. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH THE
AREA ALONG WITH WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL SUPPORT THIS DAILY
POTENTIAL. LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FRIDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69





000
FLUS44 KTSA 020232
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
932 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
932 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO
NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WITH MORE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY
ONGOING ACROSS MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE
FRONT IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS BY MIDNIGHT AS A LOW LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE AIR MASS ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS IS VERY MOIST AND
MODERATELY UNSTABLE. STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH
MODERATELY STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTHWEST IS RESULTING IN
WIND SHEAR CAPABLE OF SUSTAINING SEVERE UPDRAFTS. AS SUCH...THE
ACTIVITY IN MISSOURI WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD FAR NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...AND ESPECIALLY NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. SOME OF
THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT. DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE...AND AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A SURFACE FRONT MOVES
SOUTH INTO THE REGION. VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND CONSIDERABLE WIND SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...GIVEN A VERY MOIST
ATMOSPHERE THAT RESIDES OVER THE AREA.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY LINGER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON FRIDAY...RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FRONT. STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS
OVER THE REGION. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH THE
AREA ALONG WITH WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL SUPPORT THIS DAILY
POTENTIAL. LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FRIDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69





000
FLUS44 KTSA 012206
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
506 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
506 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKNASAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING ALONG A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI. THESE
STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND MAY IMPACT FAR NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS EVENING. THE COMBINATION
OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION. IF
SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY DOES MOVE INTO NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...LARGE HAIL TO
TENNIS BALL SIZE...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES FROM 100 TO 103 ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS EVENING. IN
THE MEANTIME...THOSE ENGAGED IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD TAKE
FREQUENT BREAKS FROM THE HEAT AND STAY HYDRATED. SOUTHERLY WIND
GUSTING TO NEAR 30 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL
WEAKEN AS SUNSET APPROACHES.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A SURFACE FRONT MOVES
SOUTH INTO THE REGION. VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND CONSIDERABLE WIND SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...GIVEN A VERY MOIST
ATMOSPHERE THAT RESIDES OVER THE AREA.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY LINGER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON FRIDAY...RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FRONT. STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS
OVER THE REGION. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH THE
AREA ALONG WITH WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL SUPPORT THIS DAILY
POTENTIAL. LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FRIDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69




000
FLUS44 KTSA 012206
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
506 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
506 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKNASAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING ALONG A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI. THESE
STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND MAY IMPACT FAR NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS EVENING. THE COMBINATION
OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION. IF
SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY DOES MOVE INTO NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...LARGE HAIL TO
TENNIS BALL SIZE...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE.

HEAT INDEX VALUES FROM 100 TO 103 ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS EVENING. IN
THE MEANTIME...THOSE ENGAGED IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD TAKE
FREQUENT BREAKS FROM THE HEAT AND STAY HYDRATED. SOUTHERLY WIND
GUSTING TO NEAR 30 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL
WEAKEN AS SUNSET APPROACHES.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A SURFACE FRONT MOVES
SOUTH INTO THE REGION. VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND CONSIDERABLE WIND SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...GIVEN A VERY MOIST
ATMOSPHERE THAT RESIDES OVER THE AREA.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY LINGER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON FRIDAY...RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FRONT. STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS
OVER THE REGION. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH THE
AREA ALONG WITH WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL SUPPORT THIS DAILY
POTENTIAL. LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FRIDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69





000
FLUS44 KTSA 011742
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1242 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1242 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015



THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...TONIGHT.


DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.


DISCUSSION...
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF KANSAS...AND MOVE SOUTH INTO PARTS OF FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT. ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS
OVERNIGHT WILL CARRY A LIMITED SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND RISK.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A SURFACE FRONT MOVES
SOUTH INTO THE REGION. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSLATE FURTHER SOUTH BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND WILL LINGER ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL EXIST EACH
DAY IN THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 011742
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1242 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1242 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015



THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...TONIGHT.


DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.


DISCUSSION...
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF KANSAS...AND MOVE SOUTH INTO PARTS OF FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT. ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS
OVERNIGHT WILL CARRY A LIMITED SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND RISK.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A SURFACE FRONT MOVES
SOUTH INTO THE REGION. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSLATE FURTHER SOUTH BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND WILL LINGER ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL EXIST EACH
DAY IN THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




000
FLUS44 KTSA 010956
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
456 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
456 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID DAY.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
AN MCS MOVING SOUTHWARD OUT OF MISSOURI MAY SPREAD SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
THIS MORNING. THERE WILL BE A LIMITED CHANCE THAT THIS ACTIVITY
COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS.

OTHERWISE... ANOTHER HOT... HUMID... AND BREEZY DAY IS IN TAP.
HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH 105 ACROSS A WIDE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A SURFACE FRONT DROPS
SOUTH INTO THE REGION. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSLATE FURTHER SOUTH BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND WILL STALL BY THE
WEEKEND... WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EACH DAY NEAR THE BOUNDARY.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 010956
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
456 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
456 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID DAY.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
AN MCS MOVING SOUTHWARD OUT OF MISSOURI MAY SPREAD SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO A PORTION OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
THIS MORNING. THERE WILL BE A LIMITED CHANCE THAT THIS ACTIVITY
COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS.

OTHERWISE... ANOTHER HOT... HUMID... AND BREEZY DAY IS IN TAP.
HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH 105 ACROSS A WIDE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A SURFACE FRONT DROPS
SOUTH INTO THE REGION. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSLATE FURTHER SOUTH BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND WILL STALL BY THE
WEEKEND... WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EACH DAY NEAR THE BOUNDARY.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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