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000
FLUS44 KTSA 231800
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AS REMNANT BOUNDARIES AND SMALL SCALE FEATURES FROM
THE OVERNIGHT STORMS CONTINUE TO SPARK NEW ACTIVITY. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS THE CONCERN. ADDITIONAL STORM
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
THIS ACTIVITY COULD MOVE INTO THE AREA AGAIN LATE TONIGHT. THESE STORMS
COULD ALSO BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE DAILY THIS WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.  INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS SUPPORTING PERIODIC CHANCES FOR SEVERE
WEATHER...HOWEVER THE FOCUS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER WILL REMAIN WEST AND NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH
THURSDAY.  A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS ON FRIDAY
AND RAISE THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





000
FLUS44 KTSA 211805
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
105 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
105 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE LATE SUNDAY...WITH HIGHER CHANCES
EXPECTED ON MONDAY.  ADDITIONALLY...INCREASING MOISTURE WILL
LEAD TO GREATER INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION WHICH WILL SUPPORT
A CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER BEGINNING MONDAY.  THE UNSETTLED
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...INCLUDING
PERIODIC CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





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