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000
AGXX40 KNHC 270545
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1245 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FAR SE WATERS. A SECOND FRONT IS
JUST MOVING INTO THE NW WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS
AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE NW WATERS. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE EXCEPT FOR THE SW WATERS WHERE GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE GULF
WATERS EXCEPT FOR THE SW WATERS WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT
RANGE. THE COLD FRONT OVER THE SE WATERS WILL STALL OVER THE
FLORIDA STRAITS TODAY AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH SAT. THE FRONT
OVER THE NW WATERS WILL DRIFT INTO THE NORTHERN WATERS BEFORE
STALLING AND BECOMING DIFFUSE TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. SE RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP OVER THE WESTERN
WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK AND PREVAIL AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT WINDS INCREASING TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS PREVAILS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...FRESH TRADES PREVAILS OVER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WHILE GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE
8-10 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-7 FT RANGE OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 7-9 FT
OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL N OF
THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE
PULSING OF WINDS TO GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS EACH NIGHT. NE SWELLS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN
8 FT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH TUE WHILE SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N
ATLC WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN WATERS WHILE A
COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO SOUTHERN FLORIDA. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA INDICATE WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW GALE FORCE OVER THE
NORTHERN WATERS. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE NE AND
SE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WHILE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE OVER THE NE
WATERS...AND 5-7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS OUTSIDE THE
BAHAMAS. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE COLD
FRONT N OF 28N WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE BOUNDARY WILL WEAKEN TO
A SHEARLINE THROUGH SUN BEFORE DISSIPATING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
 GALE WARNING DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS THROUGH SAT.
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS SAT THROUGH TUE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 270545
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1245 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FAR SE WATERS. A SECOND FRONT IS
JUST MOVING INTO THE NW WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS
AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE NW WATERS. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE EXCEPT FOR THE SW WATERS WHERE GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE GULF
WATERS EXCEPT FOR THE SW WATERS WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT
RANGE. THE COLD FRONT OVER THE SE WATERS WILL STALL OVER THE
FLORIDA STRAITS TODAY AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH SAT. THE FRONT
OVER THE NW WATERS WILL DRIFT INTO THE NORTHERN WATERS BEFORE
STALLING AND BECOMING DIFFUSE TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. SE RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP OVER THE WESTERN
WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK AND PREVAIL AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT WINDS INCREASING TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS PREVAILS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...FRESH TRADES PREVAILS OVER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WHILE GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE
8-10 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-7 FT RANGE OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 7-9 FT
OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL N OF
THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE
PULSING OF WINDS TO GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS EACH NIGHT. NE SWELLS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN
8 FT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH TUE WHILE SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N
ATLC WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE EASTERN WATERS WHILE A
COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO SOUTHERN FLORIDA. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA INDICATE WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW GALE FORCE OVER THE
NORTHERN WATERS. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE NE AND
SE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WHILE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE OVER THE NE
WATERS...AND 5-7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS OUTSIDE THE
BAHAMAS. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE COLD
FRONT N OF 28N WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE BOUNDARY WILL WEAKEN TO
A SHEARLINE THROUGH SUN BEFORE DISSIPATING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
 GALE WARNING DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS THROUGH SAT.
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS SAT THROUGH TUE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 261916
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
216 PM EST THU FEB 26 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT REACHES FROM NEAR FORT MYERS IN SW FLORIDA TO THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA WHERE IT BECOMES STATIONARY. MAINLY MODERATE TO
FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ARE NOW BEHIND THE FRONT WITH AN AREA OF
8-11 FT SEAS OVER THE NE CORNER OF THE GULF WHERE FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS WERE PREVIOUSLY NOTED. SW WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE ARE
OBSERVED SE OF THE FRONT BASED ON SURFACE AND SCATTEROMETER DATA.

THE FRONT IS CONNECTED TO A DEEP LOW PRES AREA CURRENTLY LOCATED
NEAR CAPE HATTERAS. IT IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SE ACROSS THE SE GULF
THE REST OF TODAY...THEN STALL ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SATURDAY. HIGH PRES
BUILDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS OF UNITED STATES WILL SUPPORT
THE PUSH OF A REINFORCING FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS
TONIGHT...THAT WILL BECOME DIFFUSE THROUGH FRI. THIS WILL RESULT
IN AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE GULF WATERS BEGINNING
TONIGHT AND PERSISTING DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. MARINE
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT MAINLY N OF 25N AND
BUILDING SEAS OF 8-9 FT...HIGHEST IN THE NW GULF. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL DIMINISH LATE ON SUNDAY AS THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS EAST. LIGHT
TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ON MONDAY. NO MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE NEAR THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS AS A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS N OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THE BUILDING RIDGE WILL ALLOW TRADES TO
INCREASE FROM THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH THE SW CARIBBEAN FRIDAY
INTO SUNDAY...THEN DIMINISH SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WEAKENS AND STRONGER RIDGING BUILDS
FARTHER WEST OVER THE CAROLINAS...WHICH IN TURN WILL ALLOW FOR
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE S CENTRAL...SW AND NW CARIBBEAN
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THIS PERSISTENT TRADE WIND FLOW...
EXPECT BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FRI
THROUGH SUN. WITH THE MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN AROUND 90 NM
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...EXPECT BUILDING SEAS OF 12-13 FT BY
FRI NIGHT...AND OF 13-15 FT BY SAT NIGHT AND SUN NIGHT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

SCATTEROMETER DATA CONFIRMED THE PRESENCE OF GALE FORCE WINDS
ACROSS PARTS OF ZONES AMZ111 AND AMZ113 IN ASSOCIATION WITH A DEEP
LOW PRES AREA CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AND THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT THAT MOVED INTO THE FORECAST REGION THIS
MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE ACROSS
THE DISCUSSION AREA AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
MOST OF THE N WATERS WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF FRESH TO
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL
REACH FROM 31N73W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TONIGHT...AND FROM
31N67W TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND CENTRAL CUBA FRI NIGHT...THEN STALL
ALONG 27N AND LIFT NORTHWARD SAT THROUGH EARLY SUN ACROSS THE NW
BAHAMAS BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SUN. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD BEHIND
THE FRONT RESULTING IN STRONG EASTERLY WINDS SAT AND
SUN...DIMINISHING MON AS THE HIGH PRES WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SAT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO MON NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING TODAY.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING TODAY.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 261916
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
216 PM EST THU FEB 26 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT REACHES FROM NEAR FORT MYERS IN SW FLORIDA TO THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA WHERE IT BECOMES STATIONARY. MAINLY MODERATE TO
FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ARE NOW BEHIND THE FRONT WITH AN AREA OF
8-11 FT SEAS OVER THE NE CORNER OF THE GULF WHERE FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS WERE PREVIOUSLY NOTED. SW WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE ARE
OBSERVED SE OF THE FRONT BASED ON SURFACE AND SCATTEROMETER DATA.

THE FRONT IS CONNECTED TO A DEEP LOW PRES AREA CURRENTLY LOCATED
NEAR CAPE HATTERAS. IT IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SE ACROSS THE SE GULF
THE REST OF TODAY...THEN STALL ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SATURDAY. HIGH PRES
BUILDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS OF UNITED STATES WILL SUPPORT
THE PUSH OF A REINFORCING FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS
TONIGHT...THAT WILL BECOME DIFFUSE THROUGH FRI. THIS WILL RESULT
IN AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE GULF WATERS BEGINNING
TONIGHT AND PERSISTING DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. MARINE
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT MAINLY N OF 25N AND
BUILDING SEAS OF 8-9 FT...HIGHEST IN THE NW GULF. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL DIMINISH LATE ON SUNDAY AS THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS EAST. LIGHT
TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ON MONDAY. NO MAJOR
DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE NEAR THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS AS A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS N OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THE BUILDING RIDGE WILL ALLOW TRADES TO
INCREASE FROM THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH THE SW CARIBBEAN FRIDAY
INTO SUNDAY...THEN DIMINISH SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WEAKENS AND STRONGER RIDGING BUILDS
FARTHER WEST OVER THE CAROLINAS...WHICH IN TURN WILL ALLOW FOR
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE S CENTRAL...SW AND NW CARIBBEAN
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THIS PERSISTENT TRADE WIND FLOW...
EXPECT BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FRI
THROUGH SUN. WITH THE MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN AROUND 90 NM
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...EXPECT BUILDING SEAS OF 12-13 FT BY
FRI NIGHT...AND OF 13-15 FT BY SAT NIGHT AND SUN NIGHT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

SCATTEROMETER DATA CONFIRMED THE PRESENCE OF GALE FORCE WINDS
ACROSS PARTS OF ZONES AMZ111 AND AMZ113 IN ASSOCIATION WITH A DEEP
LOW PRES AREA CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AND THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT THAT MOVED INTO THE FORECAST REGION THIS
MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE ACROSS
THE DISCUSSION AREA AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
MOST OF THE N WATERS WILL CONTINUE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF FRESH TO
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL
REACH FROM 31N73W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TONIGHT...AND FROM
31N67W TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND CENTRAL CUBA FRI NIGHT...THEN STALL
ALONG 27N AND LIFT NORTHWARD SAT THROUGH EARLY SUN ACROSS THE NW
BAHAMAS BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SUN. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD BEHIND
THE FRONT RESULTING IN STRONG EASTERLY WINDS SAT AND
SUN...DIMINISHING MON AS THE HIGH PRES WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SAT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO MON NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING TODAY.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING TODAY.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 260759
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
259 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT REACHES FROM THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA SW TOWARD
THE NW YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE FRONT IS CONNECTED TO A DEEP LOW
PRES AREA THAT FORMED OVER THE NW GULF YESTERDAY AND SHIFTED E ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF AND N FLORIDA...AND IS NOW OVER THE COAST OF
GEORGIA. STRONG WINDS WERE NOTED OVER THE NE GULF THIS PAST
EVENING NEAR THE LOW PRES...ALONG WITH AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE STILL ACTIVE AHEAD OF THE FRONT OFF THE
FLORIDA COAST NEAR TAMPA. A RECENT ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED SEAS
TO 11 FT NEAR 27N87W...INDICATIVE OF 8 TO 11 FT SEAS OVER MUCH OF
THE NE GULF CURRENTLY IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW PRES.

THE FRONT WILL DRIFT SE TODAY...REACHING FROM SW FLORIDA TO THE
NORTHERN YUCATAN...THEN STALL ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SATURDAY. HIGH PRES WILL
BUILD FROM THE PLAINS ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
CAROLINAS LATE TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A REINFORCING COLD
FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF AND DISSIPATING SATURDAY. THIS
WILL RESULTING IN STRONG E WINDS OVER MAINLY THE NORTHERN GULF AND
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN THE NW GULF. WINDS DIMINISH SUNDAY AS THE HIGH
SHIFTS EAST...EXCEPT FOR RESIDUAL FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS OVER
THE NE GULF AND STRONG E WINDS IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. LIGHT TO
MODERATE RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ON MONDAY. NO MAJOR DIFFERENCES
IN MODEL OUTPUT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE WARNING FORCE NEAR THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS AS A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS N OF
THE AREA. THE BUILDING RIDGE WILL ALLOW TRADES TO INCREASE FROM
THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH THE SW CARIBBEAN FRIDAY INTO
SUNDAY...THEN DIMINISH SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WEAKENS AND STRONGER RIDGING BUILDS FARTHER
WEST OVER THE CAROLINAS...WHICH IN TURN WILL ALLOW FOR FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE S CENTRAL...SW AND NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A SHIP OBSERVATION CONFIRMED GALES ARE ONGOING OVER THE AREA OFF
NE FLORIDA THIS MORNING...AHEAD OF DEEP LOW PRES AREA MOVING NE
OFF THE GEORGIA COAST AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE
REGION THROUGH FLORIDA. THE SOUTHWESTERLY GALES WILL PERSIST
THROUGH MID MORNING OVER THE WATERS N OF 29N W OF 75W WITH SEAS
REACHING 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE STRONG S TO SW WINDS WILL ALSO BE
ACTIVE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT N OF 27N W OF 68W THROUGH THIS
MORNING AS WELL. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD REACHING FROM
31N75W TO NEAR W PALM BEACH FLORIDA BY THIS EVENING...FROM NEAR
BERMUDA TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY FRI EVENING...STALL FROM
29N65W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA SATURDAY...BEFORE BECOMING
DIFFUSE SUNDAY. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD BEHIND THE FRONT RESULTING IN
STRONG EASTERLY WINDS SAT AND SUN...DIMINISHING MON AS THE HIGH
WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO MON.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING TODAY.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 260759
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
259 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT REACHES FROM THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA SW TOWARD
THE NW YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE FRONT IS CONNECTED TO A DEEP LOW
PRES AREA THAT FORMED OVER THE NW GULF YESTERDAY AND SHIFTED E ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF AND N FLORIDA...AND IS NOW OVER THE COAST OF
GEORGIA. STRONG WINDS WERE NOTED OVER THE NE GULF THIS PAST
EVENING NEAR THE LOW PRES...ALONG WITH AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE STILL ACTIVE AHEAD OF THE FRONT OFF THE
FLORIDA COAST NEAR TAMPA. A RECENT ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED SEAS
TO 11 FT NEAR 27N87W...INDICATIVE OF 8 TO 11 FT SEAS OVER MUCH OF
THE NE GULF CURRENTLY IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW PRES.

THE FRONT WILL DRIFT SE TODAY...REACHING FROM SW FLORIDA TO THE
NORTHERN YUCATAN...THEN STALL ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SATURDAY. HIGH PRES WILL
BUILD FROM THE PLAINS ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
CAROLINAS LATE TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A REINFORCING COLD
FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF AND DISSIPATING SATURDAY. THIS
WILL RESULTING IN STRONG E WINDS OVER MAINLY THE NORTHERN GULF AND
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN THE NW GULF. WINDS DIMINISH SUNDAY AS THE HIGH
SHIFTS EAST...EXCEPT FOR RESIDUAL FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS OVER
THE NE GULF AND STRONG E WINDS IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. LIGHT TO
MODERATE RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ON MONDAY. NO MAJOR DIFFERENCES
IN MODEL OUTPUT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE WARNING FORCE NEAR THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS AS A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS N OF
THE AREA. THE BUILDING RIDGE WILL ALLOW TRADES TO INCREASE FROM
THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH THE SW CARIBBEAN FRIDAY INTO
SUNDAY...THEN DIMINISH SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WEAKENS AND STRONGER RIDGING BUILDS FARTHER
WEST OVER THE CAROLINAS...WHICH IN TURN WILL ALLOW FOR FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE S CENTRAL...SW AND NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A SHIP OBSERVATION CONFIRMED GALES ARE ONGOING OVER THE AREA OFF
NE FLORIDA THIS MORNING...AHEAD OF DEEP LOW PRES AREA MOVING NE
OFF THE GEORGIA COAST AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE
REGION THROUGH FLORIDA. THE SOUTHWESTERLY GALES WILL PERSIST
THROUGH MID MORNING OVER THE WATERS N OF 29N W OF 75W WITH SEAS
REACHING 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE STRONG S TO SW WINDS WILL ALSO BE
ACTIVE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT N OF 27N W OF 68W THROUGH THIS
MORNING AS WELL. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD REACHING FROM
31N75W TO NEAR W PALM BEACH FLORIDA BY THIS EVENING...FROM NEAR
BERMUDA TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY FRI EVENING...STALL FROM
29N65W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA SATURDAY...BEFORE BECOMING
DIFFUSE SUNDAY. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD BEHIND THE FRONT RESULTING IN
STRONG EASTERLY WINDS SAT AND SUN...DIMINISHING MON AS THE HIGH
WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO MON.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING TODAY.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 251913
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
213 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A LOW PRES DEVELOPED THIS MORNING OVER THE NW PART OF THE GULF.
AT 25/1800 UTC...THE LOW PRES OF 1005 MB IS NEAR SE LOUISIANA.
THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT EXTENDS SW TO 20N96W. A RECENT
SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH A QUICK SURGE OF COLD AIR OVER RELATIVELY
WARM WATERS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE
NOTED PER SURFACE DATA AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAINLY N OF 25N. THESE
WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING AND HIGHER GUSTS COULD
OCCUR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED
TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE LOW PRES
IS FORECAST TO MOVE NE OF THE BASIN THIS EVENING WHILE DEEPENING.
THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND BRIEFLY STALL FROM
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY EARLY
FRI...THEN REACH WESTERN CUBA AND THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN LATER ON
FRI BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SE OF AREA THROUGH SAT. HIGH PRES WILL
BUILD N OF THE AREA THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT SUPPORTING FRESH TO
STRONG EASTERLY FLOW...WITH MODERATE TO FRESH RETURN FLOW EXPECTED
SUN AND SUN NIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE NEAR THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS AS A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS N OF
THE AREA. CURRENTLY...SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOW NE TO E WINDS IN
THE 20-25 KT RANGE THERE. AN EARLIER ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED SEAS
TO 12 FT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE
TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BASIN AND TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS THROUGH LATE TODAY...THEN START TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE
RIDGE BUILDS EAST OF THE BAHAMAS.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N66W TO 28N79W WHERE IT BECOMES
STATIONARY. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS ARE OBSERVED BEHIND THE
FRONT PER THE MOST RECENT ASCAT PASS. SIMILAR WIND SPEEDS ARE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. HOWEVER...A RAPIDSCAT SHOWED WINDS TO NEAR
GALE FORCE AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT IT APPEARS TO BE RELATED TO
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NOTED N OF 29N E OF FRONT
TO NEAR 61W. THE FRONT WILL LIFT N OF THE AREA AHEAD OF ANOTHER
AREA OF DEVELOPING LOW PRES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE SECOND LOW
WILL MOVE NE REACHING THE WATERS JUST OFF THE GEORGIA COAST
TONIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE SE SIDE OF THE LOW PRES CAN BE
EXPECTED N OF 30N BETWEEN 75W AND 80W TONIGHT AND EARLY THU. THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE FORECAST WATERS LATE TONIGHT
REACHING FROM 31N73W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA EARLY ON FRI AND
FROM 31N66W TO WESTERN CUBA FRI NIGHT...THEN STALL AND LIFT N SAT
THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SUN. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO FRI.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO MON.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING THU.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 251913
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
213 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A LOW PRES DEVELOPED THIS MORNING OVER THE NW PART OF THE GULF.
AT 25/1800 UTC...THE LOW PRES OF 1005 MB IS NEAR SE LOUISIANA.
THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT EXTENDS SW TO 20N96W. A RECENT
SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH A QUICK SURGE OF COLD AIR OVER RELATIVELY
WARM WATERS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE
NOTED PER SURFACE DATA AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAINLY N OF 25N. THESE
WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING AND HIGHER GUSTS COULD
OCCUR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED
TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE LOW PRES
IS FORECAST TO MOVE NE OF THE BASIN THIS EVENING WHILE DEEPENING.
THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND BRIEFLY STALL FROM
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY EARLY
FRI...THEN REACH WESTERN CUBA AND THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN LATER ON
FRI BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SE OF AREA THROUGH SAT. HIGH PRES WILL
BUILD N OF THE AREA THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT SUPPORTING FRESH TO
STRONG EASTERLY FLOW...WITH MODERATE TO FRESH RETURN FLOW EXPECTED
SUN AND SUN NIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE NEAR THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS AS A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS N OF
THE AREA. CURRENTLY...SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOW NE TO E WINDS IN
THE 20-25 KT RANGE THERE. AN EARLIER ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED SEAS
TO 12 FT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE
TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BASIN AND TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS THROUGH LATE TODAY...THEN START TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE
RIDGE BUILDS EAST OF THE BAHAMAS.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N66W TO 28N79W WHERE IT BECOMES
STATIONARY. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS ARE OBSERVED BEHIND THE
FRONT PER THE MOST RECENT ASCAT PASS. SIMILAR WIND SPEEDS ARE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. HOWEVER...A RAPIDSCAT SHOWED WINDS TO NEAR
GALE FORCE AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT IT APPEARS TO BE RELATED TO
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NOTED N OF 29N E OF FRONT
TO NEAR 61W. THE FRONT WILL LIFT N OF THE AREA AHEAD OF ANOTHER
AREA OF DEVELOPING LOW PRES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE SECOND LOW
WILL MOVE NE REACHING THE WATERS JUST OFF THE GEORGIA COAST
TONIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE SE SIDE OF THE LOW PRES CAN BE
EXPECTED N OF 30N BETWEEN 75W AND 80W TONIGHT AND EARLY THU. THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE FORECAST WATERS LATE TONIGHT
REACHING FROM 31N73W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA EARLY ON FRI AND
FROM 31N66W TO WESTERN CUBA FRI NIGHT...THEN STALL AND LIFT N SAT
THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE SUN. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO FRI.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO MON.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING THU.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 250758
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
258 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR TAMPA FLORIDA TO THE FAR SW GULF WILL
MEANDER NORTHWARD THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A SHARP MID TO UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. ASSOCIATED LOW PRES MAY BE STARTING TO FORM OFF THE COAST
OF NE MEXICO CURRENTLY. COASTAL AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
PRESSURE IS LOWERING IN THIS AREA CURRENTLY WITH WEAK CYCLONIC
TURNING BECOMING ORGANIZED...SUGGESTING THE LOW PRES IS FORMING AS
ANTICIPATED. SHORT RANGE MODEL OUTPUT IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING THE
LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS NE TO OFF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TOWARD PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA THIS EVENING. SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR
GALE FORCE THIS EVENING OVER MUCH OF THE N CENTRAL AND NE
GULF...WITH SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ACCOMPANY THE LOW PRES AS IT SHIFTS NE OF THE AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.

THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SE...EVENTUALLY
STALLING  FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BY
LATE FRI AS THE SUPPORTING FLOW BECOMES MORE SW. MEANWHILE STRONG
HIGH PRES WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES...SUPPORTING
FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF
FROM LATE FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...DIMINISHING AND VEER MORE
SE BY LATE SUNDAY AS THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS EAST. NO SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RECENT SHIP OBSERVATIONS NEAR CARTAGENA COLOMBIA INDICATED NEAR
GALE FORCE WINDS...INDICATIVE OF WINDS PULSING TO GALE FORCE
FARTHER EAST OFF BARRANQUILLA AND SANTA MARTA OVERNIGHT...BEFORE
DIMINISHING BELOW GALE FORCE LATER IN THE MORNING. ELSEWHERE
LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BASIN AND
TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH LATE TODAY...THEN START TO
INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE RIDGE BUILDS EAST OF THE BAHAMAS. THE
STRENGTHENING RIDGE WILL ALSO SUPPORT PULSES TO GALE FORCE EACH
NIGHT OFF COLOMBIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH HAS PUSHED OFF THE COAST AND IS
SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRES NEAR 33N72W. RECENT BUOY
REPORTS AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE SW WINDS REACHED GALE
FORCE NEAR 31N72W RECENTLY ON THE SE SIDE OF THE LOW PRES. THESE
GALES WERE BRIEF AND MORE RECENT DATA SUGGESTS WINDS ARE 25 TO 30
KT N OF 30N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W. ASSOCIATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
MOVING AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...COVERING THE WATERS N OF 29N E OF
70W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N73W TO NEAR ST AUGUSTINE
FLORIDA. THIS WILL LIFT N OF THE AREA AHEAD OF ANOTHER AREA OF
DEVELOPING LOW PRES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE SECOND LOW WILL
SHIFT FROM THE NE GULF ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO
31N77W TONIGHT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING SW
GALES AGAIN TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU AHEAD OF THIS SECOND LOW...OVER
THE AREA N OF 30N BETWEEN 75W AND 80W. THERE REMAINS SOME MINOR
DIFFERENCES IN POSITION AND STRENGTH WITH REGARD TO THE LOW
PRES...ALTHOUGH WITH MORE AGREEMENT THAN IN PREVIOUS RUNS. THE
ECMWF REMAINS A GOOD COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE STRONGER UKMET AND
WEAKER AND FASTER GFS.

STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO ENVELOP THE REGION N OF 27N
THROUGH LATE THU AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE
FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N75W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY EARLY
FRI...BEFORE STALLING AND MEANDERING NORTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHER BAHAMAS THROUGH LATE SATURDAY...BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE
SUNDAY. HIGH PRES BUILDING OVER THE CAROLINA COAST WILL SUPPORT
STRONG EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY.
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING THU EARLY THU.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 250758
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
258 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR TAMPA FLORIDA TO THE FAR SW GULF WILL
MEANDER NORTHWARD THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A SHARP MID TO UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. ASSOCIATED LOW PRES MAY BE STARTING TO FORM OFF THE COAST
OF NE MEXICO CURRENTLY. COASTAL AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
PRESSURE IS LOWERING IN THIS AREA CURRENTLY WITH WEAK CYCLONIC
TURNING BECOMING ORGANIZED...SUGGESTING THE LOW PRES IS FORMING AS
ANTICIPATED. SHORT RANGE MODEL OUTPUT IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING THE
LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS NE TO OFF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN TOWARD PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA THIS EVENING. SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR
GALE FORCE THIS EVENING OVER MUCH OF THE N CENTRAL AND NE
GULF...WITH SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ACCOMPANY THE LOW PRES AS IT SHIFTS NE OF THE AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.

THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SE...EVENTUALLY
STALLING  FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BY
LATE FRI AS THE SUPPORTING FLOW BECOMES MORE SW. MEANWHILE STRONG
HIGH PRES WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES...SUPPORTING
FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF
FROM LATE FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...DIMINISHING AND VEER MORE
SE BY LATE SUNDAY AS THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS EAST. NO SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RECENT SHIP OBSERVATIONS NEAR CARTAGENA COLOMBIA INDICATED NEAR
GALE FORCE WINDS...INDICATIVE OF WINDS PULSING TO GALE FORCE
FARTHER EAST OFF BARRANQUILLA AND SANTA MARTA OVERNIGHT...BEFORE
DIMINISHING BELOW GALE FORCE LATER IN THE MORNING. ELSEWHERE
LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BASIN AND
TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH LATE TODAY...THEN START TO
INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE RIDGE BUILDS EAST OF THE BAHAMAS. THE
STRENGTHENING RIDGE WILL ALSO SUPPORT PULSES TO GALE FORCE EACH
NIGHT OFF COLOMBIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH HAS PUSHED OFF THE COAST AND IS
SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRES NEAR 33N72W. RECENT BUOY
REPORTS AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE SW WINDS REACHED GALE
FORCE NEAR 31N72W RECENTLY ON THE SE SIDE OF THE LOW PRES. THESE
GALES WERE BRIEF AND MORE RECENT DATA SUGGESTS WINDS ARE 25 TO 30
KT N OF 30N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W. ASSOCIATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
MOVING AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...COVERING THE WATERS N OF 29N E OF
70W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N73W TO NEAR ST AUGUSTINE
FLORIDA. THIS WILL LIFT N OF THE AREA AHEAD OF ANOTHER AREA OF
DEVELOPING LOW PRES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE SECOND LOW WILL
SHIFT FROM THE NE GULF ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO
31N77W TONIGHT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING SW
GALES AGAIN TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU AHEAD OF THIS SECOND LOW...OVER
THE AREA N OF 30N BETWEEN 75W AND 80W. THERE REMAINS SOME MINOR
DIFFERENCES IN POSITION AND STRENGTH WITH REGARD TO THE LOW
PRES...ALTHOUGH WITH MORE AGREEMENT THAN IN PREVIOUS RUNS. THE
ECMWF REMAINS A GOOD COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE STRONGER UKMET AND
WEAKER AND FASTER GFS.

STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO ENVELOP THE REGION N OF 27N
THROUGH LATE THU AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE
FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N75W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY EARLY
FRI...BEFORE STALLING AND MEANDERING NORTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHER BAHAMAS THROUGH LATE SATURDAY...BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE
SUNDAY. HIGH PRES BUILDING OVER THE CAROLINA COAST WILL SUPPORT
STRONG EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY.
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING THU EARLY THU.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 241914
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
214 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM A WEAK 1018 MB LOW PRES NEAR
29N84W TO A SECOND WEAK LOW PRES NEAR 25N91W TO THE CENTRAL BAY OF
CAMPECHE. COASTAL OBSERVATIONS AND RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA
INDICATE FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW FUNNELING ALONG THE MEXICAN
COASTLINE W OF THE FRONT AND MAINLY S OF 26N WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.
THE FRONT WILL MEANDER NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN ALONG 26N TONIGHT.
SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION AS A NEW LOW
PRES DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NW GULF AND MOVES NE OF THE GULF BY WED
NIGHT. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SE AND REACH FROM TAMPA
BAY TO THE EAST BAY OF CAMPECHE THU MORNING THEN STALL FROM THE
FLORIDA KEYS TO THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA FRI...BEFORE LIFTING N
AND BECOMING DIFFUSE SAT. MARINE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS FRESH TO STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PARTICULARLY N OF 25N...
WITH BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT LATE WED AND WED NIGHT. EXPECT ALSO
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS
TO 8 FT. BY FRI...WEAK HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE REINFORCED
BY A STRONGER HIGH PRES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS OF UNITED STATES.
THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS FRI AND SAT. CURRENTLY...THE FORECAST CALLS FOR NORTHERLY
WINDS OF 20-25 KT AND RAISING SEAS OF 6-9 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE NORTH AND CENTRAL WATERS.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

GALE FORCE WINDS WERE NOTED NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THIS
MORNING BY SCATTEROMETER DATA AND A PAIR OF SHIP OBSERVATIONS.
WINDS HAVE NOW DIMINISHED TO 25-30 KT. LIGHT TO MODERATE NE WINDS
ARE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN...AND GENERALLY MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES
ARE BLOWING ELSEWHERE. WINDS OFF COLOMBIA WILL PULSE TO MINIMAL
GALE FORCE AGAIN TONIGHT.

THE SURFACE RIDGE THAT PREVAILED N OF THE AREA HAS STARTED TO
RETREAT TO THE SOUTHEAST...ALLOWING WINDS TO DIMINISH OVER MUCH OF
THE BASIN. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN ON WED AND WED NIGHT REACHING 20-25 KT W OF 85W...
INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THIS WINDS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH
A STALLING COLD FRONT OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO. TRADES ACROSS
THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL INCREASE AGAIN WED NIGHT
THROUGH SAT AS THE RIDGE BECOMES RE-ESTABLISHED N OF THE AREA.
THIS WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF WINDS PULSING TO MINIMAL GALE
FORCE OFF COLOMBIA FRI NIGHT AND SAT NIGHT WITH FRESH TO STRONG
TRADES ELSEWHERE EXCEPT FOR MODERATE EASTERLIES OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN. NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT.

IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC...PERSISTENT STRONG TRADES OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC HAS PROMOTED EASTERLY SWELL
WITH WAVE HEIGHTS TO 9 FT IN THE WATERS E OF THE LEEWARD AND
WINDWARD ISLANDS TO 55W. SEAS WILL SLIGHTLY SUBSIDE ON WED TO 6-7
FT BUT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT AS
A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS N OF AREA. EXPECT BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT
JUST EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALONG 27N IS SHIFTING SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N67W TO 29N75W WHERE IT BECOMES
STATIONARY TO A WEAK LOW PRES LOCATED IN THE NE PART OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO. THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD AS THE LOW PRES IN THE
GULF MOVES NE ACROSS N FLORIDA INTO THE SW N ATLANTIC LATER TODAY.
THE LOW PRES WILL BE N OF AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT BUT WILL
PRODUCE SW TO W WINDS IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE ACROSS THE N WATERS
WITH SEAS OF 8-11 FT THROUGH AT LEAST WED MORNING.

ANOTHER LOW PRES AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS N FLORIDA AND OFF THE NE
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH WED NIGHT. SW WINDS TO GALE FORCE ARE
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE LOW PRES AND ACROSS PARTS OF ZONES AMZ111
AND AMZ113 WED NIGHT INTO EARLY THU. CURRENTLY...THE SREF
PROBABILITIES OF GALE FORCE WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 50-60 PERCENT
WHILE THE GEFS PROBABILITIES REACH 40-50 PERCENT. THE LOW WILL
MOVE NE OF THE AREA THROUGH THU WITH THE TRAILING COLD FRONT
REACHING FROM BERMUDA TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY LATE FRI BEFORE
STALLING THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SAT. FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE
CAROLINA COAST BEHIND THE FRONT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING WED NIGHT INTO THU.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING THU.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 241914
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
214 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM A WEAK 1018 MB LOW PRES NEAR
29N84W TO A SECOND WEAK LOW PRES NEAR 25N91W TO THE CENTRAL BAY OF
CAMPECHE. COASTAL OBSERVATIONS AND RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA
INDICATE FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW FUNNELING ALONG THE MEXICAN
COASTLINE W OF THE FRONT AND MAINLY S OF 26N WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.
THE FRONT WILL MEANDER NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN ALONG 26N TONIGHT.
SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION AS A NEW LOW
PRES DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NW GULF AND MOVES NE OF THE GULF BY WED
NIGHT. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SE AND REACH FROM TAMPA
BAY TO THE EAST BAY OF CAMPECHE THU MORNING THEN STALL FROM THE
FLORIDA KEYS TO THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA FRI...BEFORE LIFTING N
AND BECOMING DIFFUSE SAT. MARINE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS FRESH TO STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PARTICULARLY N OF 25N...
WITH BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT LATE WED AND WED NIGHT. EXPECT ALSO
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS
TO 8 FT. BY FRI...WEAK HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE REINFORCED
BY A STRONGER HIGH PRES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS OF UNITED STATES.
THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS FRI AND SAT. CURRENTLY...THE FORECAST CALLS FOR NORTHERLY
WINDS OF 20-25 KT AND RAISING SEAS OF 6-9 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE NORTH AND CENTRAL WATERS.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

GALE FORCE WINDS WERE NOTED NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THIS
MORNING BY SCATTEROMETER DATA AND A PAIR OF SHIP OBSERVATIONS.
WINDS HAVE NOW DIMINISHED TO 25-30 KT. LIGHT TO MODERATE NE WINDS
ARE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN...AND GENERALLY MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES
ARE BLOWING ELSEWHERE. WINDS OFF COLOMBIA WILL PULSE TO MINIMAL
GALE FORCE AGAIN TONIGHT.

THE SURFACE RIDGE THAT PREVAILED N OF THE AREA HAS STARTED TO
RETREAT TO THE SOUTHEAST...ALLOWING WINDS TO DIMINISH OVER MUCH OF
THE BASIN. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN ON WED AND WED NIGHT REACHING 20-25 KT W OF 85W...
INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THIS WINDS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH
A STALLING COLD FRONT OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO. TRADES ACROSS
THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL INCREASE AGAIN WED NIGHT
THROUGH SAT AS THE RIDGE BECOMES RE-ESTABLISHED N OF THE AREA.
THIS WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF WINDS PULSING TO MINIMAL GALE
FORCE OFF COLOMBIA FRI NIGHT AND SAT NIGHT WITH FRESH TO STRONG
TRADES ELSEWHERE EXCEPT FOR MODERATE EASTERLIES OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN. NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT.

IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC...PERSISTENT STRONG TRADES OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC HAS PROMOTED EASTERLY SWELL
WITH WAVE HEIGHTS TO 9 FT IN THE WATERS E OF THE LEEWARD AND
WINDWARD ISLANDS TO 55W. SEAS WILL SLIGHTLY SUBSIDE ON WED TO 6-7
FT BUT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT AS
A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS N OF AREA. EXPECT BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT
JUST EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALONG 27N IS SHIFTING SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N67W TO 29N75W WHERE IT BECOMES
STATIONARY TO A WEAK LOW PRES LOCATED IN THE NE PART OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO. THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD AS THE LOW PRES IN THE
GULF MOVES NE ACROSS N FLORIDA INTO THE SW N ATLANTIC LATER TODAY.
THE LOW PRES WILL BE N OF AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT BUT WILL
PRODUCE SW TO W WINDS IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE ACROSS THE N WATERS
WITH SEAS OF 8-11 FT THROUGH AT LEAST WED MORNING.

ANOTHER LOW PRES AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS N FLORIDA AND OFF THE NE
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH WED NIGHT. SW WINDS TO GALE FORCE ARE
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE LOW PRES AND ACROSS PARTS OF ZONES AMZ111
AND AMZ113 WED NIGHT INTO EARLY THU. CURRENTLY...THE SREF
PROBABILITIES OF GALE FORCE WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 50-60 PERCENT
WHILE THE GEFS PROBABILITIES REACH 40-50 PERCENT. THE LOW WILL
MOVE NE OF THE AREA THROUGH THU WITH THE TRAILING COLD FRONT
REACHING FROM BERMUDA TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY LATE FRI BEFORE
STALLING THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SAT. FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE
CAROLINA COAST BEHIND THE FRONT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING WED NIGHT INTO THU.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING THU.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 241914
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
214 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM A WEAK 1018 MB LOW PRES NEAR
29N84W TO A SECOND WEAK LOW PRES NEAR 25N91W TO THE CENTRAL BAY OF
CAMPECHE. COASTAL OBSERVATIONS AND RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA
INDICATE FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW FUNNELING ALONG THE MEXICAN
COASTLINE W OF THE FRONT AND MAINLY S OF 26N WITH SEAS OF 5-7 FT.
THE FRONT WILL MEANDER NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN ALONG 26N TONIGHT.
SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION AS A NEW LOW
PRES DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NW GULF AND MOVES NE OF THE GULF BY WED
NIGHT. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SE AND REACH FROM TAMPA
BAY TO THE EAST BAY OF CAMPECHE THU MORNING THEN STALL FROM THE
FLORIDA KEYS TO THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA FRI...BEFORE LIFTING N
AND BECOMING DIFFUSE SAT. MARINE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS FRESH TO STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PARTICULARLY N OF 25N...
WITH BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT LATE WED AND WED NIGHT. EXPECT ALSO
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS
TO 8 FT. BY FRI...WEAK HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE REINFORCED
BY A STRONGER HIGH PRES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS OF UNITED STATES.
THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS FRI AND SAT. CURRENTLY...THE FORECAST CALLS FOR NORTHERLY
WINDS OF 20-25 KT AND RAISING SEAS OF 6-9 FT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE NORTH AND CENTRAL WATERS.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

GALE FORCE WINDS WERE NOTED NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THIS
MORNING BY SCATTEROMETER DATA AND A PAIR OF SHIP OBSERVATIONS.
WINDS HAVE NOW DIMINISHED TO 25-30 KT. LIGHT TO MODERATE NE WINDS
ARE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN...AND GENERALLY MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES
ARE BLOWING ELSEWHERE. WINDS OFF COLOMBIA WILL PULSE TO MINIMAL
GALE FORCE AGAIN TONIGHT.

THE SURFACE RIDGE THAT PREVAILED N OF THE AREA HAS STARTED TO
RETREAT TO THE SOUTHEAST...ALLOWING WINDS TO DIMINISH OVER MUCH OF
THE BASIN. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN ON WED AND WED NIGHT REACHING 20-25 KT W OF 85W...
INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THIS WINDS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH
A STALLING COLD FRONT OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO. TRADES ACROSS
THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL INCREASE AGAIN WED NIGHT
THROUGH SAT AS THE RIDGE BECOMES RE-ESTABLISHED N OF THE AREA.
THIS WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF WINDS PULSING TO MINIMAL GALE
FORCE OFF COLOMBIA FRI NIGHT AND SAT NIGHT WITH FRESH TO STRONG
TRADES ELSEWHERE EXCEPT FOR MODERATE EASTERLIES OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN. NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT.

IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC...PERSISTENT STRONG TRADES OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC HAS PROMOTED EASTERLY SWELL
WITH WAVE HEIGHTS TO 9 FT IN THE WATERS E OF THE LEEWARD AND
WINDWARD ISLANDS TO 55W. SEAS WILL SLIGHTLY SUBSIDE ON WED TO 6-7
FT BUT WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT AS
A STRONG RIDGE BUILDS N OF AREA. EXPECT BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT
JUST EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALONG 27N IS SHIFTING SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N67W TO 29N75W WHERE IT BECOMES
STATIONARY TO A WEAK LOW PRES LOCATED IN THE NE PART OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO. THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD AS THE LOW PRES IN THE
GULF MOVES NE ACROSS N FLORIDA INTO THE SW N ATLANTIC LATER TODAY.
THE LOW PRES WILL BE N OF AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT BUT WILL
PRODUCE SW TO W WINDS IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE ACROSS THE N WATERS
WITH SEAS OF 8-11 FT THROUGH AT LEAST WED MORNING.

ANOTHER LOW PRES AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS N FLORIDA AND OFF THE NE
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH WED NIGHT. SW WINDS TO GALE FORCE ARE
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE LOW PRES AND ACROSS PARTS OF ZONES AMZ111
AND AMZ113 WED NIGHT INTO EARLY THU. CURRENTLY...THE SREF
PROBABILITIES OF GALE FORCE WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 50-60 PERCENT
WHILE THE GEFS PROBABILITIES REACH 40-50 PERCENT. THE LOW WILL
MOVE NE OF THE AREA THROUGH THU WITH THE TRAILING COLD FRONT
REACHING FROM BERMUDA TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY LATE FRI BEFORE
STALLING THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SAT. FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE
CAROLINA COAST BEHIND THE FRONT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE WARNING WED NIGHT INTO THU.
.AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...
     GALE WARNING THU.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





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