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000
AGXX40 KNHC 041953
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM WEAK HIGH
PRES NEAR THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR HOUSTON
WILL SUPPORT BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH
MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
THROUGH THU. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THE USUAL NOCTURNAL TROUGH
FEATURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EACH EVENING AND MOVING NW THROUGH EARLY MORNING THEN DISSIPATING
OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON...THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TUE THROUGH THU AS
THE MID-ATLANTIC HIGH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. MINIMAL GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH
EARLY MON...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1200 UTC
MON MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT CONTINUOUS GALES...BUT THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN 32-33 KT MAX WINDS IN FORECAST GRIDS DURING LULL PERIODS
AND 34-36 WINDS DURING PEAK PERIODS WAS NOT DEEMED SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH TO BREAK OUT GALE AND NON-GALE EPISODES IN THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST CONSIDERING THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS VIRTUALLY
UNCHANGED THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN HANDLING THIS ENTIRE SCENARIO QUITE WELL. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUN AND MON AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS
WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WED AS THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST WHILE THE LOW OVER COLOMBIA
REMAINS FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC ALONG 46W WILL
REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
BY WED. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON
AND MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. TOTAL PRECIP WATER TPW
IMAGERY INDICATES EACH OF THESE WAVES LACK DEEP MOISTURE TO TAP
INTO FOR MAJOR CHANGES IN WEATHER AS THEY PASS A GIVEN LOCATION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ALONG 29N-30N WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THU.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST TUE WILL
DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE...AND ALSO DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THAT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 041953
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM WEAK HIGH
PRES NEAR THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR HOUSTON
WILL SUPPORT BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH
MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
THROUGH THU. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THE USUAL NOCTURNAL TROUGH
FEATURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EACH EVENING AND MOVING NW THROUGH EARLY MORNING THEN DISSIPATING
OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON...THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TUE THROUGH THU AS
THE MID-ATLANTIC HIGH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. MINIMAL GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH
EARLY MON...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1200 UTC
MON MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT CONTINUOUS GALES...BUT THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN 32-33 KT MAX WINDS IN FORECAST GRIDS DURING LULL PERIODS
AND 34-36 WINDS DURING PEAK PERIODS WAS NOT DEEMED SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH TO BREAK OUT GALE AND NON-GALE EPISODES IN THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST CONSIDERING THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS VIRTUALLY
UNCHANGED THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN HANDLING THIS ENTIRE SCENARIO QUITE WELL. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUN AND MON AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS
WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WED AS THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST WHILE THE LOW OVER COLOMBIA
REMAINS FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC ALONG 46W WILL
REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
BY WED. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON
AND MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. TOTAL PRECIP WATER TPW
IMAGERY INDICATES EACH OF THESE WAVES LACK DEEP MOISTURE TO TAP
INTO FOR MAJOR CHANGES IN WEATHER AS THEY PASS A GIVEN LOCATION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ALONG 29N-30N WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THU.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST TUE WILL
DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE...AND ALSO DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THAT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 041953
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM WEAK HIGH
PRES NEAR THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR HOUSTON
WILL SUPPORT BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH
MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
THROUGH THU. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THE USUAL NOCTURNAL TROUGH
FEATURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EACH EVENING AND MOVING NW THROUGH EARLY MORNING THEN DISSIPATING
OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON...THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TUE THROUGH THU AS
THE MID-ATLANTIC HIGH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. MINIMAL GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH
EARLY MON...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1200 UTC
MON MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT CONTINUOUS GALES...BUT THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN 32-33 KT MAX WINDS IN FORECAST GRIDS DURING LULL PERIODS
AND 34-36 WINDS DURING PEAK PERIODS WAS NOT DEEMED SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH TO BREAK OUT GALE AND NON-GALE EPISODES IN THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST CONSIDERING THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS VIRTUALLY
UNCHANGED THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN HANDLING THIS ENTIRE SCENARIO QUITE WELL. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUN AND MON AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS
WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WED AS THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST WHILE THE LOW OVER COLOMBIA
REMAINS FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC ALONG 46W WILL
REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
BY WED. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON
AND MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. TOTAL PRECIP WATER TPW
IMAGERY INDICATES EACH OF THESE WAVES LACK DEEP MOISTURE TO TAP
INTO FOR MAJOR CHANGES IN WEATHER AS THEY PASS A GIVEN LOCATION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ALONG 29N-30N WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THU.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST TUE WILL
DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE...AND ALSO DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THAT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 041953
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM WEAK HIGH
PRES NEAR THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR HOUSTON
WILL SUPPORT BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH
MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
THROUGH THU. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THE USUAL NOCTURNAL TROUGH
FEATURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EACH EVENING AND MOVING NW THROUGH EARLY MORNING THEN DISSIPATING
OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON...THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TUE THROUGH THU AS
THE MID-ATLANTIC HIGH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. MINIMAL GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH
EARLY MON...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1200 UTC
MON MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT CONTINUOUS GALES...BUT THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN 32-33 KT MAX WINDS IN FORECAST GRIDS DURING LULL PERIODS
AND 34-36 WINDS DURING PEAK PERIODS WAS NOT DEEMED SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH TO BREAK OUT GALE AND NON-GALE EPISODES IN THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST CONSIDERING THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS VIRTUALLY
UNCHANGED THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN HANDLING THIS ENTIRE SCENARIO QUITE WELL. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUN AND MON AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS
WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WED AS THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST WHILE THE LOW OVER COLOMBIA
REMAINS FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC ALONG 46W WILL
REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
BY WED. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON
AND MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. TOTAL PRECIP WATER TPW
IMAGERY INDICATES EACH OF THESE WAVES LACK DEEP MOISTURE TO TAP
INTO FOR MAJOR CHANGES IN WEATHER AS THEY PASS A GIVEN LOCATION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ALONG 29N-30N WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THU.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST TUE WILL
DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE...AND ALSO DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THAT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 041700
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM WEAK HIGH
PRES NEAR THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR HOUSTON
WILL SUPPORT BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH
MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
THROUGH THU. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THE USUAL NOCTURNAL TROUGH
FEATURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EACH EVENING AND MOVING NW THROUGH EARLY MORNING THEN DISSIPATING
OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON...THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TUE THROUGH THU AS
THE MID-ATLANTIC HIGH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. MINIMAL GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH
EARLY MON...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1200 UTC
MON MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT CONTINUOUS GALES...BUT THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN 32-33 KT MAX WINDS IN FORECAST GRIDS DURING LULL PERIODS
AND 34-36 WINDS DURING PEAK PERIODS WAS NOT DEEMED SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH TO BREAK OUT GALE AND NON-GALE EPISODES IN THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST CONSIDERING THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS VIRTUALLY
UNCHANGED THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN HANDLING THIS ENTIRE SCENARIO QUITE WELL. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUN AND MON AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS
WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WED AS THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST WHILE THE LOW OVER COLOMBIA
REMAINS FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC ALONG 46W WILL
REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
BY WED. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON
AND MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. TOTAL PRECIP WATER TPW
IMAGERY INDICATES EACH OF THESE WAVES LACK DEEP MOISTURE TO TAP
INTO FOR MAJOR CHANGES IN WEATHER AS THEY PASS A GIVEN LOCATION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ALONG 29N-30N WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THU.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST TUE WILL
DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE...AND ALSO DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THAT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 041700
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM WEAK HIGH
PRES NEAR THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR HOUSTON
WILL SUPPORT BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH
MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
THROUGH THU. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THE USUAL NOCTURNAL TROUGH
FEATURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EACH EVENING AND MOVING NW THROUGH EARLY MORNING THEN DISSIPATING
OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON...THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TUE THROUGH THU AS
THE MID-ATLANTIC HIGH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. MINIMAL GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH
EARLY MON...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1200 UTC
MON MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT CONTINUOUS GALES...BUT THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN 32-33 KT MAX WINDS IN FORECAST GRIDS DURING LULL PERIODS
AND 34-36 WINDS DURING PEAK PERIODS WAS NOT DEEMED SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH TO BREAK OUT GALE AND NON-GALE EPISODES IN THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST CONSIDERING THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS VIRTUALLY
UNCHANGED THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN HANDLING THIS ENTIRE SCENARIO QUITE WELL. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUN AND MON AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS
WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WED AS THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST WHILE THE LOW OVER COLOMBIA
REMAINS FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC ALONG 46W WILL
REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
BY WED. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON
AND MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. TOTAL PRECIP WATER TPW
IMAGERY INDICATES EACH OF THESE WAVES LACK DEEP MOISTURE TO TAP
INTO FOR MAJOR CHANGES IN WEATHER AS THEY PASS A GIVEN LOCATION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ALONG 29N-30N WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THU.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST TUE WILL
DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE...AND ALSO DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THAT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 041700
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM WEAK HIGH
PRES NEAR THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR HOUSTON
WILL SUPPORT BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH
MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
THROUGH THU. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THE USUAL NOCTURNAL TROUGH
FEATURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EACH EVENING AND MOVING NW THROUGH EARLY MORNING THEN DISSIPATING
OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON...THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TUE THROUGH THU AS
THE MID-ATLANTIC HIGH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. MINIMAL GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH
EARLY MON...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1200 UTC
MON MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT CONTINUOUS GALES...BUT THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN 32-33 KT MAX WINDS IN FORECAST GRIDS DURING LULL PERIODS
AND 34-36 WINDS DURING PEAK PERIODS WAS NOT DEEMED SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH TO BREAK OUT GALE AND NON-GALE EPISODES IN THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST CONSIDERING THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS VIRTUALLY
UNCHANGED THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN HANDLING THIS ENTIRE SCENARIO QUITE WELL. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUN AND MON AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS
WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WED AS THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST WHILE THE LOW OVER COLOMBIA
REMAINS FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC ALONG 46W WILL
REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
BY WED. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON
AND MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. TOTAL PRECIP WATER TPW
IMAGERY INDICATES EACH OF THESE WAVES LACK DEEP MOISTURE TO TAP
INTO FOR MAJOR CHANGES IN WEATHER AS THEY PASS A GIVEN LOCATION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ALONG 29N-30N WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THU.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST TUE WILL
DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE...AND ALSO DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THAT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 041700
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM WEAK HIGH
PRES NEAR THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR HOUSTON
WILL SUPPORT BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH
MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
THROUGH THU. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THE USUAL NOCTURNAL TROUGH
FEATURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EACH EVENING AND MOVING NW THROUGH EARLY MORNING THEN DISSIPATING
OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON...THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TUE THROUGH THU AS
THE MID-ATLANTIC HIGH WEAKENS AND SHIFTS EASTWARD. MINIMAL GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH
EARLY MON...AND A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1200 UTC
MON MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT CONTINUOUS GALES...BUT THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN 32-33 KT MAX WINDS IN FORECAST GRIDS DURING LULL PERIODS
AND 34-36 WINDS DURING PEAK PERIODS WAS NOT DEEMED SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH TO BREAK OUT GALE AND NON-GALE EPISODES IN THE HIGH SEAS
FORECAST CONSIDERING THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS VIRTUALLY
UNCHANGED THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN HANDLING THIS ENTIRE SCENARIO QUITE WELL. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUN AND MON AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS
WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON
THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WED AS THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST WHILE THE LOW OVER COLOMBIA
REMAINS FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC ALONG 46W WILL
REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
BY WED. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON
AND MOVE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. TOTAL PRECIP WATER TPW
IMAGERY INDICATES EACH OF THESE WAVES LACK DEEP MOISTURE TO TAP
INTO FOR MAJOR CHANGES IN WEATHER AS THEY PASS A GIVEN LOCATION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF WIND/WAVE MODELS BLENDED WITH THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ALONG 29N-30N WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THU.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST TUE WILL
DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE...AND ALSO DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THAT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 040718
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
318 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS FOR
WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO
THROUGH WED NIGHT...WITH MODERATE E TO SE TRADES PRIMARILY S OF
26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS IN THE NW GULF. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS A WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA EACH EVENING...MOVING W EACH NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING THEN DISSIPATING IN THE SW GULF EACH DAY. THIS FEATURE
WILL BE AMPLIFIED AHEAD OF TROPICAL WAVES EXPECTED TO PASS
THROUGH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA MON MORNING AND THU MORNING. A
FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUN NIGHT AS WELL
AS TUE NIGHT AND WED NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS FOR
WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A PERSISTENT RIDGE N OF THE AREA
ALONG 30N AND LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA WILL
CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE TRADES IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
WED... WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA EXPECTED THROUGH MON MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY MON AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION...SHIFTING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FARTHER N AWAY
FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. THE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
COMPROMISED AS THE HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WEAKENS TUE NIGHT
THROUGH WED NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY
IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON AFTERNOON THROUGH WED.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 72W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC
ALONG 43W WILL MOVE W THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND REACH
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUE. A THIRD WAVE ALONG 28W WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON AND CROSS 70W BY WED NIGHT.
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT LACK OF
DEEP MOISTURE ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS
A RESULT THE WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP TROPICS MAY NOT HAVE
THE USUAL AMOUNT OF GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS NORMALLY ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FEATURE AS THEY TRAVERSE THE REGION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS AND
12Z ECMWF FOR WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS AND
12 EC WAVE FOR WAVES. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ROUGHLY ALONG 30N WILL SUPPORT LARGE SCALE
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S WINDS N
OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. THE 12Z ECMWF
IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE 00Z GFS HERE...WITH THE ECMWF HOLDING
THE HIGH PRESSURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT FARTHER N NEAR BERMUDA TUE
THAN THE GFS. THESE DIFFERENCES ARE VERY MINOR. A BLEND OF THE GFS
AND ECMWF WAS USED TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE DIFFERENCES AND FOR THE
PREFERENCE TO ADD THE EC WAVE TO THE FORECAST AS IT GENERALLY DOES
BEST WITH SWELL IN THE OPEN ATLC. BOTH MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO SUN NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT INTO MON.
.AMZ033...CARIBBEAN S OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W INCLUDING VENEZUELA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 040718
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
318 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS FOR
WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO
THROUGH WED NIGHT...WITH MODERATE E TO SE TRADES PRIMARILY S OF
26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS IN THE NW GULF. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS A WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA EACH EVENING...MOVING W EACH NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING THEN DISSIPATING IN THE SW GULF EACH DAY. THIS FEATURE
WILL BE AMPLIFIED AHEAD OF TROPICAL WAVES EXPECTED TO PASS
THROUGH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA MON MORNING AND THU MORNING. A
FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUN NIGHT AS WELL
AS TUE NIGHT AND WED NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS FOR
WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A PERSISTENT RIDGE N OF THE AREA
ALONG 30N AND LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA WILL
CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE TRADES IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
WED... WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA EXPECTED THROUGH MON MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY MON AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION...SHIFTING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FARTHER N AWAY
FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. THE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
COMPROMISED AS THE HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WEAKENS TUE NIGHT
THROUGH WED NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY
IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON AFTERNOON THROUGH WED.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 72W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC
ALONG 43W WILL MOVE W THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND REACH
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUE. A THIRD WAVE ALONG 28W WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON AND CROSS 70W BY WED NIGHT.
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT LACK OF
DEEP MOISTURE ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS
A RESULT THE WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP TROPICS MAY NOT HAVE
THE USUAL AMOUNT OF GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS NORMALLY ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FEATURE AS THEY TRAVERSE THE REGION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS AND
12Z ECMWF FOR WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS AND
12 EC WAVE FOR WAVES. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ROUGHLY ALONG 30N WILL SUPPORT LARGE SCALE
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S WINDS N
OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. THE 12Z ECMWF
IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE 00Z GFS HERE...WITH THE ECMWF HOLDING
THE HIGH PRESSURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT FARTHER N NEAR BERMUDA TUE
THAN THE GFS. THESE DIFFERENCES ARE VERY MINOR. A BLEND OF THE GFS
AND ECMWF WAS USED TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE DIFFERENCES AND FOR THE
PREFERENCE TO ADD THE EC WAVE TO THE FORECAST AS IT GENERALLY DOES
BEST WITH SWELL IN THE OPEN ATLC. BOTH MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO SUN NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT INTO MON.
.AMZ033...CARIBBEAN S OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W INCLUDING VENEZUELA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 040718
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
318 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS FOR
WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO
THROUGH WED NIGHT...WITH MODERATE E TO SE TRADES PRIMARILY S OF
26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS IN THE NW GULF. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS A WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA EACH EVENING...MOVING W EACH NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING THEN DISSIPATING IN THE SW GULF EACH DAY. THIS FEATURE
WILL BE AMPLIFIED AHEAD OF TROPICAL WAVES EXPECTED TO PASS
THROUGH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA MON MORNING AND THU MORNING. A
FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUN NIGHT AS WELL
AS TUE NIGHT AND WED NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS FOR
WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A PERSISTENT RIDGE N OF THE AREA
ALONG 30N AND LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA WILL
CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE TRADES IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
WED... WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA EXPECTED THROUGH MON MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY MON AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION...SHIFTING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FARTHER N AWAY
FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. THE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
COMPROMISED AS THE HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WEAKENS TUE NIGHT
THROUGH WED NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY
IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON AFTERNOON THROUGH WED.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 72W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC
ALONG 43W WILL MOVE W THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND REACH
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUE. A THIRD WAVE ALONG 28W WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON AND CROSS 70W BY WED NIGHT.
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT LACK OF
DEEP MOISTURE ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS
A RESULT THE WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP TROPICS MAY NOT HAVE
THE USUAL AMOUNT OF GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS NORMALLY ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FEATURE AS THEY TRAVERSE THE REGION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS AND
12Z ECMWF FOR WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS AND
12 EC WAVE FOR WAVES. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ROUGHLY ALONG 30N WILL SUPPORT LARGE SCALE
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S WINDS N
OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. THE 12Z ECMWF
IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE 00Z GFS HERE...WITH THE ECMWF HOLDING
THE HIGH PRESSURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT FARTHER N NEAR BERMUDA TUE
THAN THE GFS. THESE DIFFERENCES ARE VERY MINOR. A BLEND OF THE GFS
AND ECMWF WAS USED TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE DIFFERENCES AND FOR THE
PREFERENCE TO ADD THE EC WAVE TO THE FORECAST AS IT GENERALLY DOES
BEST WITH SWELL IN THE OPEN ATLC. BOTH MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO SUN NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT INTO MON.
.AMZ033...CARIBBEAN S OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W INCLUDING VENEZUELA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 040718
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
318 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS FOR
WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO
THROUGH WED NIGHT...WITH MODERATE E TO SE TRADES PRIMARILY S OF
26N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS IN THE NW GULF. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS A WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA EACH EVENING...MOVING W EACH NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING THEN DISSIPATING IN THE SW GULF EACH DAY. THIS FEATURE
WILL BE AMPLIFIED AHEAD OF TROPICAL WAVES EXPECTED TO PASS
THROUGH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA MON MORNING AND THU MORNING. A
FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUN NIGHT AS WELL
AS TUE NIGHT AND WED NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS FOR
WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A PERSISTENT RIDGE N OF THE AREA
ALONG 30N AND LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA WILL
CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE TRADES IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
WED... WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA EXPECTED THROUGH MON MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY MON AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION...SHIFTING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FARTHER N AWAY
FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. THE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
COMPROMISED AS THE HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WEAKENS TUE NIGHT
THROUGH WED NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY
IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON AFTERNOON THROUGH WED.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 72W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC
ALONG 43W WILL MOVE W THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SUN AND REACH
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY TUE. A THIRD WAVE ALONG 28W WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON AND CROSS 70W BY WED NIGHT.
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT LACK OF
DEEP MOISTURE ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS
A RESULT THE WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP TROPICS MAY NOT HAVE
THE USUAL AMOUNT OF GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS NORMALLY ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FEATURE AS THEY TRAVERSE THE REGION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH THE 00Z GFS AND
12Z ECMWF FOR WIND. BLEND OF OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH TAFB NWPS AND
12 EC WAVE FOR WAVES. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ROUGHLY ALONG 30N WILL SUPPORT LARGE SCALE
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S WINDS N
OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NE WATERS TUE NIGHT. THE 12Z ECMWF
IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE 00Z GFS HERE...WITH THE ECMWF HOLDING
THE HIGH PRESSURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT FARTHER N NEAR BERMUDA TUE
THAN THE GFS. THESE DIFFERENCES ARE VERY MINOR. A BLEND OF THE GFS
AND ECMWF WAS USED TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE DIFFERENCES AND FOR THE
PREFERENCE TO ADD THE EC WAVE TO THE FORECAST AS IT GENERALLY DOES
BEST WITH SWELL IN THE OPEN ATLC. BOTH MODELS SHOW FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA...WITH THE AREA OF
WIND SHRINKING CLOSER TO THE COAST MON THROUGH WED AS THE RIDGE TO
THE N WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO SUN NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT INTO MON.
.AMZ033...CARIBBEAN S OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W INCLUDING VENEZUELA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 031745
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
145 PM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM THE BIG BEND
OF FLORIDA TO NEAR HOUSTON TEXAS WILL SUPPORT ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND
GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH WED. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL FEATURE OF A WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING MOVING NW EACH NIGHT
AND EARLY MORNING...THEN DISSIPATING IN THE SW GULF EACH DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED... WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE
NW COAST OF COLOMBIA EXPECTED THROUGH SUN MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS WILL
ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH EVER SO SLIGHTLY IN THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SUN THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WEDNESDAY
AS THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST. MEANWHILE
THE LANDLOCKED LOW OVER N COLOMBIA WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 65W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MON NIGHT. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC
ALONG 40W WILL MOVE W INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC LATE SUN. TPW
IMAGERY SHOWS A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE ALONG THE
CONVERGENCE ZONE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT THE WAVES
MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP TROPICS MAY NOT HAVE THE USUAL AMOUNT OF
GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS NORMALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE AS
THEY TRAVERSE THE REGION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ROUGHLY ALONG 30N FROM A NEARLY STATIONARY
SUBTROPICAL HIGH 34N48W TO NORTHERN FLORIDA WILL SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST
N OF 35N TUE WILL DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE. THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH WILL SHIFT E WED ALLOWING WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH LATER IN
THE FCST PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUN MORNING.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 031745
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
145 PM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM THE BIG BEND
OF FLORIDA TO NEAR HOUSTON TEXAS WILL SUPPORT ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND
GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH WED. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL FEATURE OF A WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING MOVING NW EACH NIGHT
AND EARLY MORNING...THEN DISSIPATING IN THE SW GULF EACH DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED... WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE
NW COAST OF COLOMBIA EXPECTED THROUGH SUN MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS WILL
ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH EVER SO SLIGHTLY IN THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SUN THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WEDNESDAY
AS THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST. MEANWHILE
THE LANDLOCKED LOW OVER N COLOMBIA WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 65W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MON NIGHT. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC
ALONG 40W WILL MOVE W INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC LATE SUN. TPW
IMAGERY SHOWS A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE ALONG THE
CONVERGENCE ZONE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT THE WAVES
MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP TROPICS MAY NOT HAVE THE USUAL AMOUNT OF
GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS NORMALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE AS
THEY TRAVERSE THE REGION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ROUGHLY ALONG 30N FROM A NEARLY STATIONARY
SUBTROPICAL HIGH 34N48W TO NORTHERN FLORIDA WILL SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST
N OF 35N TUE WILL DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE. THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH WILL SHIFT E WED ALLOWING WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH LATER IN
THE FCST PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUN MORNING.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 031745
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
145 PM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG 29N FROM THE BIG BEND
OF FLORIDA TO NEAR HOUSTON TEXAS WILL SUPPORT ANTICYCLONIC WIND
FLOW ACROSS THE GULF...WITH MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 26N AND
GENTLE TO MODERATE SE TO S WINDS N OF 26N...EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH WED. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL FEATURE OF A WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING MOVING NW EACH NIGHT
AND EARLY MORNING...THEN DISSIPATING IN THE SW GULF EACH DAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE NE OF THE AREA ALONG 30N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLC IN COMBINATION WITH DEEP LOW PRES ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN
COLOMBIA WILL SUPPORT VERY STRONG TRADES TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED... WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE
NW COAST OF COLOMBIA EXPECTED THROUGH SUN MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY SUNDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST N OF 35N. THIS WILL
ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH EVER SO SLIGHTLY IN THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SUN THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER WEDNESDAY
AS THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHIFTS EAST. MEANWHILE
THE LANDLOCKED LOW OVER N COLOMBIA WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CONSTANT.

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 65W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MON NIGHT. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC
ALONG 40W WILL MOVE W INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC LATE SUN. TPW
IMAGERY SHOWS A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE ALONG THE
CONVERGENCE ZONE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC. AS A RESULT THE WAVES
MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP TROPICS MAY NOT HAVE THE USUAL AMOUNT OF
GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS NORMALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE AS
THEY TRAVERSE THE REGION.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ROUGHLY ALONG 30N FROM A NEARLY STATIONARY
SUBTROPICAL HIGH 34N48W TO NORTHERN FLORIDA WILL SUPPORT LARGE
SCALE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ACROSS THE TROPICAL WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND ALLOW MODERATE E TO SE TRADES S OF 27N AND GENTLE SE TO S
WINDS N OF 27N TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST
N OF 35N TUE WILL DISRUPT AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE. THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH WILL SHIFT E WED ALLOWING WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH LATER IN
THE FCST PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUN MORNING.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 030759
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
347 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM TAMPA BAY TO NE TEXAS WILL SHIFT N TO A
POSITION FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA TO THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA ON FRI
THROUGH MON. A WEAK TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NW COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING...MOVE NW LATE EACH NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY MORNING AND DISSIPATE OVER THE SW GULF BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

.ATLC HIGH PRES WILL MAINTAIN STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE S CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W S OF 19N WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 62W WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE
AREA WILL APPROACH NEAR 55W TODAY AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
FRI NIGHT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGE FROM NEAR 30N65W TO E CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL CHANGE LITTLE
THROUGH MON. A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA
COAST AND QUICKLY DISSIPATE. STRONG NOCTURNAL TRADES WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA THROUGH THE PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
 GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT.
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 030759
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
347 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM TAMPA BAY TO NE TEXAS WILL SHIFT N TO A
POSITION FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA TO THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA ON FRI
THROUGH MON. A WEAK TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NW COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING...MOVE NW LATE EACH NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY MORNING AND DISSIPATE OVER THE SW GULF BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

.ATLC HIGH PRES WILL MAINTAIN STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE S CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W S OF 19N WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 62W WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE
AREA WILL APPROACH NEAR 55W TODAY AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
FRI NIGHT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGE FROM NEAR 30N65W TO E CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL CHANGE LITTLE
THROUGH MON. A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA
COAST AND QUICKLY DISSIPATE. STRONG NOCTURNAL TRADES WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA THROUGH THE PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
 GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT.
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 030759
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
347 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM TAMPA BAY TO NE TEXAS WILL SHIFT N TO A
POSITION FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA TO THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA ON FRI
THROUGH MON. A WEAK TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NW COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING...MOVE NW LATE EACH NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY MORNING AND DISSIPATE OVER THE SW GULF BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

.ATLC HIGH PRES WILL MAINTAIN STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE S CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W S OF 19N WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 62W WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE
AREA WILL APPROACH NEAR 55W TODAY AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
FRI NIGHT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGE FROM NEAR 30N65W TO E CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL CHANGE LITTLE
THROUGH MON. A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA
COAST AND QUICKLY DISSIPATE. STRONG NOCTURNAL TRADES WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA THROUGH THE PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
 GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT.
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 030759
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
347 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM TAMPA BAY TO NE TEXAS WILL SHIFT N TO A
POSITION FROM CEDAR KEY FLORIDA TO THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA ON FRI
THROUGH MON. A WEAK TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NW COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING...MOVE NW LATE EACH NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY MORNING AND DISSIPATE OVER THE SW GULF BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

.ATLC HIGH PRES WILL MAINTAIN STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE S CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W S OF 19N WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 62W WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE
AREA WILL APPROACH NEAR 55W TODAY AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
FRI NIGHT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGE FROM NEAR 30N65W TO E CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL CHANGE LITTLE
THROUGH MON. A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA
COAST AND QUICKLY DISSIPATE. STRONG NOCTURNAL TRADES WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA THROUGH THE PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
 GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT.
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 030747
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
347 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGE EXTENDING FROM TAMPA BAY TO NE TEXAS WILL SHIFT N TO CEDAR
KEY FLORIDA TO THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA ON FRI THROUGH MON. A WEAK
TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
EACH...MOVE NW LATE EACH NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MORNING AND DISSIPATE
OVER THE SW GULF BY EARLY LATE.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

.ATLC HIGH PRES WILL MAINTAIN STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE S CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W S OF 19N WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 62W WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE
AREA WILL APPROACH NEAR 55W TODAY AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
FRI NIGHT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGE FROM NEAR 30N65W TO E CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL CHANGE LITTLE
THROUGH MON. A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA
COAST AND QUICKLY DISSIPATE. STRONG NOCTURNAL TRADES WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA THROUGH THE PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
 GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT.
 GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 021854
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
254 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: FOR WINDS USED 12Z GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. USED TAFB NWPS PARAMETERS
FOR WAVEHEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TAMPA BAY TO THE EXTREME NE TX COAST WITH A
SURFACE HIGH EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE RIDGE OVER THE NE GULF
WATERS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOONS AND INTO THE EARLY EVENINGS AS
AFTERNOON HEAT TROUGHING DEVELOPS OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
TEMPORARILY SEPARATES THE GULF RIDGE SEGMENT FROM THE ATLC RIDGE.
LATEST BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW GENERALLY LIGHT-GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC
FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS. THE OBSERVATIONS ALONG WITH A COUPLE
OF RECENT ALTIMETER PASSES ARE INDICATING SEAS IN THE RANGE OF 3-5
FT SE OF A LINE FROM NE TEXAS TO NW CUBA...AND LOWER SEAS IN THE
2-3 FT RANGE N OF THE SAME LINE. THE OVERALL PATTERN HAS NOT
CHANGED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...AND LITTLE CHANGES ARE EXPECTED
FOR THIS PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A THE TYPICAL THERMAL TROUGH
THAT DEVELOPS ALONG THE NW YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING...AND
MOVES NW LATE EACH NIGHT INTO EARLY IN THE MORNINGS AND DISSIPATES
OVER THE SW GULF BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOONS. THE GRADIENT INDUCED
BETWEEN THIS TROUGH AND HIGH PRES OVER THE NE GULF WILL BRIEFLY
RESULT IN E-SE 20-25 KT WINDS ABOUT 120 NM E OF THE TROUGH. THE
RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT N TO A POSITION FROM NEAR CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
TO THE MS DELTA THROUGH TUE.

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PRESENT OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF NEAR THE
NE COAST OF MEXICO AND COAST OF SOUTHERN TEXAS HAS DIMINISHED BOTH
IN COVERAGE AND IN INTENSITY AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH HAS MOVED
INLAND NE MEXICO.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: FOR WINDS USED 12Z GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL. USED 12Z MWW3/TAFB NWPS PARAMETERS BLEND FOR
WAVEHEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

ATLC RIDGE N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES
OVER NW COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN BASIN.  ANOTHER NOCTURNAL PULSE TO
MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS IS AGAIN EXPECTED ALONG AND WITHIN 120 NM
NW OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA LATE TONIGHT AND LATE FRI NIGHT
POSSIBLY LASTING TILL 12Z SAT MORNING. SEAS WITHIN THE GALE WIND
AREA ARE FORECAST TO MAX OUT TO AROUND 15 FT. ALTIMETER DATA FROM
THIS MORNING SUGGESTED SEAS OF 13-14 FT JUST W OF THE GALE WIND
AREA...AND ALSO HIGHLIGHTED SEAS TO 9 FT FROM 09N-10N BETWEEN
76W-80W. SEAS TO 10 FT ARE ALREADY IMPACTING ZONE 29 DUE TO
RESULTANT NE SWELLS FROM THE PROLONGED GALE EPISODES OF THE PAST
FEW WEEKS IN ZONE 31. THE NOCTURNAL INCREASE OF TRADES TO 20-25
KT ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF HONDURAS IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE
TONIGHT AS A TROPICAL WAVE THERE MOVES INLAND. THESE WINDS
DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT DURING FRI MORNING...THEN MATERIALIZE AGAIN
FRI NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING SAT AFTERNOON TO 15-20 KT. A SECOND
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 82W S OF 19N WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REST OF
WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH FRI. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 59W S OF
17N WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FRI INTO EARLY SAT...
THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT AND THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN MON AND TUE. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WELL E OF THE AREA
ALONG 48W IS FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 55W FRI AFTERNOON... THEN MOVE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH SAT...THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...AND THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN MON THROUGH TUE. NE SWELLS TO 8 FT ARE NOTED OVER THE
FAR EASTERN FRINGE OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC ZONES. THESE SWELLS WILL
INCREASE THERE TO 8-9 FT SAT NIGHT WITH WINDS THERE INCREASING TO
20-25 KT SAT NIGHT INTO SUN BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 15-20 KT SUN
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...NE SWELLS WITH SEAS TO 8 FT WILL LINGER
THROUGH EARLY MON.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: FOR WINDS 12Z GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL FORECAST. USED 12Z MWW3/TAFB NWPS GUIDANCE BLEND
FOR WAVEHIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE WILL CHANGE LITTLE FROM NEAR 30N65W TO E CENTRAL FLORIDA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SLY FLOW N OF THE RIDGE WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE
10-15 KT RANGE BUT PULSE TO 15-20 KT N OF 30N AS WEAK TROUGHS MOVE
OFF THE SE GA COAST IMMEDIATELY STALLING AND WASHING OUT OVER THE
WATERS JUST OFFSHORE NE FLORIDA AND SE GEORGIA. MODERATE E-SE
TRADES ARE OBSERVED S OF THE RIDGE...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 20-25 KT
ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA AND THE APPROACHES TO THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOONS INTO EARLY EVENINGS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
 GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT AND LATE FRI NIGHT WITHIN 120 NM OF
 COAST OF NW COLOMBIA.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





000
AGXX40 KNHC 020536
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
136 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: FOR WINDS LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. TAFB NWPS USED FOR SEAS
HEIGHTS AND PRIMARY WAVE PERIOD. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

AN E-W RIDGE EXTENDS TAMPA BAY TO THE EXTREME NE TX COAST WITH A
SURFACE HIGH EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE RIDGE OVER THE NE
GULF WATERS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOONS AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENINGS AS AFTERNOON HEAT TROUGHING DEVELOPS OVER THE FL
PENINSULA AND TEMPORARILY SEPARATES THE GULF RIDGE SEGMENT FROM
THE ATLC RIDGE. LIGHT-GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC WINDS EXPECTED WITHIN
180 NM OF THE RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE E-SE WINDS EXPECTED
FURTHER OUTWARD AROUND THE S AND SW PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND
WESTERLY 10-15 KT WINDS EXPECTED N OF THE RIDGE OVER THE FAR NE
WATERS. THE EXCEPTION CONTINUES TO BE THE THERMAL TROUGH 20-25
KT ENHANCEMENT DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA EACH EVENING THAT WILL MOVE WNW AS AN INVERTED TROUGH
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY DAYLIGHT HOURS...AND DISSIPATE
BY EARLY AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT AN E-SE 20-25 KT WIND SHIFT
WITHIN ABOUT 120 NM OF THE TROUGH. AN UPPER CYCLONE HAS MOVED SE
TO OVER FL BAY WITH UPPER DIFFLUENCE OVER ITS E SEMICIRCLE
PROVIDING FAVORABLE UPPER SUPPORT FOR CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR
CENTRAL FL AND OVER WESTERN CUBA. A UPPER SHORTWAVE RIDGE OVER
THE WESTERN GULF HAS SET UP AN AREA OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE
SUPPORTING CONVECTION OVER THE FAR NW GULF. THESE AREAS WILL BE
DENOTED IN WEATHER GRIDS FOR TODAY. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT
FURTHER N TO A POSITION FROM CEDAR KEY FL TO THE MS DELTA
THROUGH MON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: FOR WINDS LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. TAFB NWPS USED FOR SEAS
HEIGHTS AND PRIMARY WAVE PERIOD. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

ATLC RIDGE N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER NW
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. A NOCTURNAL PULSE TO NEAR GALE FORCE
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY DAYLIGHT HOURS THIS
MORNING ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA. ANOTHER PULSE TO MINIMAL
GALE FORCE IS EXPECTED ON THU NIGHT AND AGAIN ON FRI NIGHT. THE
NOCTURNAL INCREASE OF TRADES TO 20-25 KT ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF
OF HONDURAS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AGAIN ON THU...FRI AND SAT
NIGHTS.

A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W THROUGH THE GULF OF HONDURAS TODAY.
A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
TODAY THROUGH FRI. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY S OF 13N
ALONG 47W WILL REACH ALONG 55W ON SAT AND ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN
ON SUN.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: FOR WINDS LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. TAFB NWPS USED FOR SEAS
HEIGHTS AND PRIMARY WAVE PERIOD. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE WILL MEANDER FROM ROUGHLY 30N65W TO CAPE CANAVERAL
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTHERLY FLOW N OF THE RIDGE WILL BE MOSTLY
IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE BUT PULSE TO 15-20 KT N OF 30N AS WEAK
TROUGHS MOVE OFF THE SE GA COAST IMMEDIATELY STALLING AND
WASHING OUT OVER THE WATERS JUST OFFSHORE NE FL/SE GA. MODERATE
E-SE TRADES ARE OBSERVED S OF THE RIDGE...EXCEPT INCREASING TO
20-25 KT ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA AND THE APPROACHES TO
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOONS INTO EARLY
EVENINGS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO FRI NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




000
AGXX40 KNHC 020536
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
136 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: FOR WINDS LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. TAFB NWPS USED FOR SEAS
HEIGHTS AND PRIMARY WAVE PERIOD. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

AN E-W RIDGE EXTENDS TAMPA BAY TO THE EXTREME NE TX COAST WITH A
SURFACE HIGH EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE RIDGE OVER THE NE
GULF WATERS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOONS AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENINGS AS AFTERNOON HEAT TROUGHING DEVELOPS OVER THE FL
PENINSULA AND TEMPORARILY SEPARATES THE GULF RIDGE SEGMENT FROM
THE ATLC RIDGE. LIGHT-GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC WINDS EXPECTED WITHIN
180 NM OF THE RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE E-SE WINDS EXPECTED
FURTHER OUTWARD AROUND THE S AND SW PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND
WESTERLY 10-15 KT WINDS EXPECTED N OF THE RIDGE OVER THE FAR NE
WATERS. THE EXCEPTION CONTINUES TO BE THE THERMAL TROUGH 20-25
KT ENHANCEMENT DEVELOPING ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA EACH EVENING THAT WILL MOVE WNW AS AN INVERTED TROUGH
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY DAYLIGHT HOURS...AND DISSIPATE
BY EARLY AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT AN E-SE 20-25 KT WIND SHIFT
WITHIN ABOUT 120 NM OF THE TROUGH. AN UPPER CYCLONE HAS MOVED SE
TO OVER FL BAY WITH UPPER DIFFLUENCE OVER ITS E SEMICIRCLE
PROVIDING FAVORABLE UPPER SUPPORT FOR CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR
CENTRAL FL AND OVER WESTERN CUBA. A UPPER SHORTWAVE RIDGE OVER
THE WESTERN GULF HAS SET UP AN AREA OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE
SUPPORTING CONVECTION OVER THE FAR NW GULF. THESE AREAS WILL BE
DENOTED IN WEATHER GRIDS FOR TODAY. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT
FURTHER N TO A POSITION FROM CEDAR KEY FL TO THE MS DELTA
THROUGH MON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: FOR WINDS LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. TAFB NWPS USED FOR SEAS
HEIGHTS AND PRIMARY WAVE PERIOD. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

ATLC RIDGE N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER NW
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. A NOCTURNAL PULSE TO NEAR GALE FORCE
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY DAYLIGHT HOURS THIS
MORNING ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA. ANOTHER PULSE TO MINIMAL
GALE FORCE IS EXPECTED ON THU NIGHT AND AGAIN ON FRI NIGHT. THE
NOCTURNAL INCREASE OF TRADES TO 20-25 KT ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF
OF HONDURAS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AGAIN ON THU...FRI AND SAT
NIGHTS.

A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE W THROUGH THE GULF OF HONDURAS TODAY.
A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
TODAY THROUGH FRI. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY S OF 13N
ALONG 47W WILL REACH ALONG 55W ON SAT AND ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN
ON SUN.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: FOR WINDS LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS
OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. TAFB NWPS USED FOR SEAS
HEIGHTS AND PRIMARY WAVE PERIOD. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE WILL MEANDER FROM ROUGHLY 30N65W TO CAPE CANAVERAL
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTHERLY FLOW N OF THE RIDGE WILL BE MOSTLY
IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE BUT PULSE TO 15-20 KT N OF 30N AS WEAK
TROUGHS MOVE OFF THE SE GA COAST IMMEDIATELY STALLING AND
WASHING OUT OVER THE WATERS JUST OFFSHORE NE FL/SE GA. MODERATE
E-SE TRADES ARE OBSERVED S OF THE RIDGE...EXCEPT INCREASING TO
20-25 KT ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA AND THE APPROACHES TO
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOONS INTO EARLY
EVENINGS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO FRI NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.





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