000
AGXX40 KNHC 221802
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
202 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.
A HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 30N FROM THE WESTERN ATLC
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF TO THE TEXAS COAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THU. DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. EXPECTED
TO PUSH COLD FRONT INTO THE NE GULF FRI NIGHT...DRIFT E THROUGH
SUN...THEN BECOME DIFFUSE MON. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 3-4
FT ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF THIS WEEKEND BEHIND FRONT. GFS MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS MODERATE TO FRESH NE TO E WINDS IN THE GULF OF
CAMPECHE THIS WEEKEND ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY
CROSSING CENTRAL AMERICA AS IT INTENSIFIES BETWEEN 90W-95W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES N-NE OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TRADE WINDS
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH SUN. A REPOSITIONED TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 79W S OF 14N MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA THROUGH
THU NIGHT WILL MAINTAIN FRESH E WINDS IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS. A
NEW TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED ALONG 43W S OF 07S IS PROJECTED TO
REACH THE SOUTHERN PART OF TROPICAL N ATLC FRI THEN MOVE INTO
THE SE CARIBBEAN EARLY SUN WITH AN INCREASE IN TRADE WINDS AND
SHOWER ACTIVITY. FRESH E-NE WINDS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA ARE
EXPECTED FRI AND SAT THEN DIMINISH SUN AS A COLD FRONT MOVING
ACROSS THE SW N ATLANTIC WEAKENS THE RIDGE N OF THE CARIBBEAN.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES ALONG 31N IN THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLC WILL MAINTAIN LIGHT
TO MODERATE SE WINDS N OF 25N AND MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER
SOUTHERN WATERS. SE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE W OF 70W THU
AS A WEAK TROUGH DEVELOPS OFF NE FLORIDA N OF GRAND BAHAMA. A
DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL PUSH A
COLD FRONT OFF THE SOUTHERN GEORGIA COAST FRI NIGHT WHICH SLIDES
EASTWARD THROUGH SUN THEN WEAKENS NE OF THE REGION MON. GFS
MODEL AND WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS BRIEF PERIOD OF N-NE WINDS
TO 25 KT IMMEDIATELY BEHIND FRONT N OF 30N EARLY SAT INCREASING
SEAS TO 6-7 FT...BUT LITTLE OF NOTE OTHERWISE.
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
000
AGXX40 KNHC 220545
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
145 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
...GULF OF MEXICO...GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLC ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF TO
THE TEXAS COAST WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH THU. WINDS ACROSS THE NW
GULF HAVE DECREASED AS THE RIDGE HAS SHIFTED EWD. COLD FRONT MAY
MOVE INTO THE NE GULF FRI THEN DRIFT S THROUGH SAT. SEAS 1-2 FT ACROSS
THE EASTREN GULF WILL THEN INCREASE TO 3-5 FT WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE.
OTHERWISE SEAS AROUND 3-5 FT ACROSS THE REAMIANDER OF THE GULF.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
MOVING INTO NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADE WINDS OVER THE REGION...WITH STRONGER WINDS AT TIMES
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE WINDS
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY THE END OF
THE WEEK AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES W AND THE RIDGE TO THE N
WEAKENS AND SHIFTS E.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE
FLOW N OF 25N AND MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES S OF 25N. SE FLOW WILL
INCREASE SLIGHTLY W OF 70W BY THU AS WEAK TROUGHING DEVELOPS OFF
NE FLORIDA N OF GRAND BAHAMA. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA FRI THEN MOVE SLOWLY E ACROSS THE
AREA N OF 27N THROUGH SAT THEN E OF THE AREA SUN.
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
000
AGXX40 KNHC 211937
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
247 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
...GULF OF MEXICO...GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLC ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF TO
THE TEXAS COAST WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH THU. SLY WINDS 15-20 KT
ACROSS THE NW GULF TODAY THEN DECREASE WED AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS
EWD. COLD FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE NE GULF FRI THEN DRIFT S
THROUGH SAT. SEAS ACROSS THE NE GULF WILL THEN INCREASE TO 4-5 FT
WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SEAS WILL BE THEN BE AROUND 3-5 FT ACROSS
THE REAMIANDER OF THE GULF WITH HIGHEST SEAS IN THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
MOVING INTO NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADE WINDS OVER THE REGION...WITH STRONGER WINDS AT TIMES
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THE WINDS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA ARE EXPECTED TO
DECREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES W AND
THE RIDGE TO THE N WEAKENS AND SHIFTS E.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE
FLOW N OF 25N AND MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES S OF 25N. SE FLOW WILL
INCREASE SLIGHTLY W OF 70W BY THU AS WEAK TROUGHING DEVELOPS OFF
NE FLORIDA N OF GRAND BAHAMA. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA FRI THEN MOVE SLOWLY E ACROSS THE
AREA N OF 27N THROUGH SAT.
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
.FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
000
AGXX40 KNHC 211847
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
247 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
...GULF OF MEXICO...GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLC ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF TO
THE TEXAS COAST WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH THU. SLY WINDS 15-20 KT
ACROSS THE NW GULF TODAY THEN DECREASE WED AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS
EWD. COLD FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE NE GULF FRI THEN DRIFT S
THROUGH SAT. SEAS ACROSS THE NE GULF WILL THEN INCREASE TO 4-5 FT
WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SEAS WILL BE THEN BE AROUND 3-5 FT ACROSS
THE REAMIANDER OF THE GULF WITH HIGHEST SEAS IN THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
MOVING INTO NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADE WINDS OVER THE REGION...WITH STRONGER WINDS AT TIMES
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THE WINDS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA ARE EXPECTED TO
DECREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES E AND
THE RIDGE TO THE N WEAKENS AND SHIFTS E.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE
FLOW N OF 25N AND MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES S OF 25N. SE FLOW WILL
INCREASE SLIGHTLY W OF 70W BY THU AS WEAK TROUGHING DEVELOPS OFF
NE FLORIDA N OF GRAND BAHAMA. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA FRI THEN MOVE SLOWLY E ACROSS THE
AREA N OF 27N THROUGH SAT.
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
.FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
000
AGXX40 KNHC 210602
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
202 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
...GULF OF MEXICO...GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLC ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF TO
THE TEXAS COAST WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH THU. SLY WINDS 15-20 KT
ACROSS THE NW GULF TODAY THEN DECREASE WED AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS
EWD. COLD FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE NE GULF FRI THEN DRIFT S
THROUGH SAT. SEAS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF REMAIN RELATIVELY FLAT
AROUND 1-2 FT...AND AROUND 3-5 FT ACROSS THE REAMIANDER OF THE
GULF.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
MOVING INTO NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADE WINDS OVER THE REGION...WITH STRONGER WINDS AT TIMES
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS THROUGH
MID WEEK. THE WINDS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA ARE EXPECTED TO
DECREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES E AND
THE RIDGE TO THE N WEAKENS AND SHIFTS E.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE
FLOW N OF 25N AND MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES S OF 25N. SE FLOW WILL
INCREASE SLIGHTLY W OF 70W BY THU AS WEAK TROUGHING DEVELOPS OFF
NE FLORIDA N OF GRAND BAHAMA. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA FRI THEN MOVE SLOWLY E ACROSS THE
AREA N OF 27N THROUGH SAT.
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
000
AGXX40 KNHC 201839
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
239 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
...GULF OF MEXICO...GFS BLENDED WITH NAM80 THROUGH 48 HOURS AND
WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST THROUGH REMAINDER OF PERIOD WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
MORNING SCATTEROMETER AND BUOY DATA INDICATED MODERATE TO FRESH
SE FLOW OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN A RIDGE TO THE NE AND
LOW PRES REMAINING OVER N CENTRAL TEXAS. THE MAIN AREA OF WINDS TO
20 KT REMAINS OFF YUCATAN DUE TO LOCAL EFFECTS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. GLOBAL AND ENSEMBLE MODELS REMAIN IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT THROUGH THIS WEEK SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN
WITH A MID LEVEL PERTURBATION PUSHING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY
TUE...THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH WED THEN LIFTING OUT THROUGH
LATE IN THE WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW THE RIDGE TO WEAKEN THROUGH WED
AND WINDS TO DIMINISH OVER THE WESTERN GULF. THE FORECAST IS A
BLEND OF GFS AND NAM80 THROUGH 60 HOURS TO CAPTURE LOCAL EFFECTS
OFF YUCATAN AND THE ENHANCED FLOW OVER THE NW GULF. LOOKING AHEAD TO
SAT...THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT SHOWING A WEAK
COLD FRONT PENETRATING THE NE GULF
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.
OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER DATA AGAIN INDICATED WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...AS WELL AS IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE
STRONGER WINDS WILL LIKELY RETURN OFF COLOMBIA TONIGHT AS HIGH
PRES BUILD AGAIN TO THE NORTH. FARTHER TO THE SE...A TROPICAL WAVE
CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS S OF
13N...AND WILL PUSH THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS INTO THE SE
CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
OVER NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA AND THE HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN
ATLC WILL ALLOW EASTERLY TRADE WINDS TO FRESHEN ACROSS THE SE
CARIBBEAN INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WHILE THERE IS LITTLE
DIFFERENCE IN THE GLOBAL OR ENSEMBLE MODELS WITH REGARD TO THE
PATTERN...FORECAST FOLLOWS GFS BLEND WITH THE OFFICIAL TO CAPTURE
STRONGER WINDS OFF COLOMBIA.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE THROUGH WED THEN GENERAL MODEL BLEND FOR THU AND FRI
WITH AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.
STRONG HIGH PRES IS BUILDING N OF THE AREA BEHIND A COLD FRONT
THAT PUSHED SE OF BERMUDA OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. BUOYS AND
SCATTEROMETER DATA ARE SHOWING A SWATH OF E TO SE WINDS MAINLY S
OF 25N THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LIGHTER WINDS N OF 25N. SEAS OUTSIDE
THE BAHAMAS ARE RUNNING 4 TO 6 FT. THE HIGH PRES WILL SHIFT E
THROUGH MID WEEK...ALLOWING SLIGHTLY INCREASED E TO SE WINDS FROM
PUERTO RICO THROUGH THE BAHAMAS. LOOKING AHEAD...GLOBAL AND
ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE
PATTERN LATE IN THE WEEK. THE LATEST GFS AND ECMWF SEEMED TO BE
CONVERGING ON A LATE SEASON COLD FRONT PUSHING DOWN THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND STALLING OVER S FLORIDA BY SAT. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL
BE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED NE WINDS OFF NE FLORIDA AND N OF THE GRAND
BAHAMA FRI AND SAT.
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
000
AGXX40 KNHC 200540
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
140 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
...GULF OF MEXICO...GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICAL FORCAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG ROUGHLY 27N ACROSS THE GULF. MODERATE
TO FRESH SE FLOW OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THE RIDGE
TO THE EAST AND LOW PRES OVER NW TEXAS. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN
THROUGH WED AND WINDS TO DIMINISH OVER THE WESTERN GULF.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W..
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
THE COMBINATION OF A TROPICAL WAVE OVER NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA
AND THE HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN ATLC WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADE WINDS MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TODAY THEN DECREASE SOME TUE THROUGH
FRI.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 29N65 TO
30N70W TO 31N27W. HIGH PRES BUILDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL MAINTAIN
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES S OF 25N. THE AREA OF MODERATE TO FRESH
SE WINDS WILL EXPAND TO COVER ALL OF THE BAHAMAS TO THE NE FLORIDA
COAST AS THE HIGH PRES MOVES EAST.
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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