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000
FPUS74 KTSA 010000
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
700 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-010100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
700 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 7:00 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED
THAT THE REMAINING ISOLATED SHOWERS HAD DISSIPATED OVER NORTHEAST
AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. NOW THAT THE SUN IS SETTING...DAYTIME
HEATING WILL END AND ANY ADDITIONAL SHOWER OR STORM DEVELOPMENT IS
UNLIKELY. THIS WILL BE THE LAST SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR THIS
EVENT.

$$

16




000
FPUS74 KTSA 010000
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
700 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-010100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
700 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 7:00 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED
THAT THE REMAINING ISOLATED SHOWERS HAD DISSIPATED OVER NORTHEAST
AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. NOW THAT THE SUN IS SETTING...DAYTIME
HEATING WILL END AND ANY ADDITIONAL SHOWER OR STORM DEVELOPMENT IS
UNLIKELY. THIS WILL BE THE LAST SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR THIS
EVENT.

$$

16





000
FPUS74 KTSA 010000
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
700 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-010100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
700 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 7:00 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED
THAT THE REMAINING ISOLATED SHOWERS HAD DISSIPATED OVER NORTHEAST
AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. NOW THAT THE SUN IS SETTING...DAYTIME
HEATING WILL END AND ANY ADDITIONAL SHOWER OR STORM DEVELOPMENT IS
UNLIKELY. THIS WILL BE THE LAST SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR THIS
EVENT.

$$

16




000
FPUS74 KTSA 312301
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
601 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-010015-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
601 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 6:00 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A COUPLE ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF EAST
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...MAINLY WITHIN OSAGE...PAWNEE...AND CREEK
COUNTIES. THE STORMS HAD REMAINED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. ALL THIS
ACTIVITY WAS SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH...AROUND 15 MILES PER
HOUR.

THROUGH 7:00 PM...ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...MAINLY NORTHWEST OF
HIGHWAY 44. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH
AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS.

$$

16





000
FPUS74 KTSA 312124
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
424 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312300-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
424 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 4:24 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...MAINLY WITHIN
OSAGE...PAWNEE...AND CREEK COUNTIES. THE STORMS HAD REMAINED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST...AROUND 15 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 6:00 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM BARTLESVILLE TO HUGO.
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AVERAGE HOURLY
RAINFALL AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

16





000
FPUS74 KTSA 312124
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
424 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312300-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
424 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 4:24 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...MAINLY WITHIN
OSAGE...PAWNEE...AND CREEK COUNTIES. THE STORMS HAD REMAINED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST...AROUND 15 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 6:00 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM BARTLESVILLE TO HUGO.
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AVERAGE HOURLY
RAINFALL AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

16




000
FPUS74 KTSA 312002
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
302 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312130-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
302 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 3:00 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...MAINLY WITHIN
OSAGE...PAWNEE...AND CREEK COUNTIES. THE STORMS HAD REMAINED
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST...AROUND 15 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 4:30 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM BARTLESVILLE TO HUGO.
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AVERAGE HOURLY
RAINFALL AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

16





000
FPUS74 KTSA 312002
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
302 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312130-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
302 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 3:00 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...MAINLY WITHIN
OSAGE...PAWNEE...AND CREEK COUNTIES. THE STORMS HAD REMAINED
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST...AROUND 15 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 4:30 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM BARTLESVILLE TO HUGO.
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AVERAGE HOURLY
RAINFALL AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

16




000
FPUS74 KTSA 311718
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1218 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1218 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...
AT 12:18 PM...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA. WEAKENING SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WERE
ALSO INDICATED NEAR THE PITTSBURG AND PUSHMATAHA COUNTY LINES. ALL
OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 3:00 PM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA...HOWEVER SOME OF
THE ACTIVITY MAY BRIEFLY SKIRT FAR WESTERN COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONSIST OF LIGHT TO
OCCASIONAL MODERATE SHOWERS...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO
ONE TENTH OF AN INCH COMMON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO ONE HALF
INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER DOWNPOURS...WITH AMOUNTS TO ONE INCH
POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR. GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

$$





000
FPUS74 KTSA 311718
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1218 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1218 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...
AT 12:18 PM...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA. WEAKENING SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WERE
ALSO INDICATED NEAR THE PITTSBURG AND PUSHMATAHA COUNTY LINES. ALL
OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 3:00 PM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA...HOWEVER SOME OF
THE ACTIVITY MAY BRIEFLY SKIRT FAR WESTERN COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONSIST OF LIGHT TO
OCCASIONAL MODERATE SHOWERS...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO
ONE TENTH OF AN INCH COMMON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO ONE HALF
INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER DOWNPOURS...WITH AMOUNTS TO ONE INCH
POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR. GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

$$




000
FPUS74 KTSA 311718
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1218 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-312000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1218 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...
AT 12:18 PM...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA. WEAKENING SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WERE
ALSO INDICATED NEAR THE PITTSBURG AND PUSHMATAHA COUNTY LINES. ALL
OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 3:00 PM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA...HOWEVER SOME OF
THE ACTIVITY MAY BRIEFLY SKIRT FAR WESTERN COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONSIST OF LIGHT TO
OCCASIONAL MODERATE SHOWERS...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO
ONE TENTH OF AN INCH COMMON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO ONE HALF
INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER DOWNPOURS...WITH AMOUNTS TO ONE INCH
POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR. GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

$$





000
FPUS74 KTSA 311426
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
926 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311630-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
926 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...
AT 9:26 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS
CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF OKLAHOMA...WITH
ALL ACTIVITY MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 11:30 AM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF A
SCIPIO OKLAHOMA TO HUNTSVILLE ARKANSAS LINE. LIGHT TO MODERATE
SHOWERS WILL BE MOST COMMON...RESULTING IN AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL
RANGING FROM ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS. BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

$$





000
FPUS74 KTSA 311426
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
926 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311630-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
926 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...
AT 9:26 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS
CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF OKLAHOMA...WITH
ALL ACTIVITY MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 11:30 AM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF A
SCIPIO OKLAHOMA TO HUNTSVILLE ARKANSAS LINE. LIGHT TO MODERATE
SHOWERS WILL BE MOST COMMON...RESULTING IN AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL
RANGING FROM ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS. BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

$$




000
FPUS74 KTSA 311426
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
926 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311630-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
926 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...
AT 9:26 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS
CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF OKLAHOMA...WITH
ALL ACTIVITY MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 11:30 AM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF A
SCIPIO OKLAHOMA TO HUNTSVILLE ARKANSAS LINE. LIGHT TO MODERATE
SHOWERS WILL BE MOST COMMON...RESULTING IN AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL
RANGING FROM ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS. BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

$$




000
FPUS74 KTSA 311426
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
926 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311630-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
926 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...
AT 9:26 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS
CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF OKLAHOMA...WITH
ALL ACTIVITY MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 11:30 AM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF A
SCIPIO OKLAHOMA TO HUNTSVILLE ARKANSAS LINE. LIGHT TO MODERATE
SHOWERS WILL BE MOST COMMON...RESULTING IN AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL
RANGING FROM ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS. BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

$$





000
FPUS74 KTSA 311223
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
723 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311430-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
723 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...
AT 7:23 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...WITH THE EASTERN EDGE OF THIS ACTIVITY CATCHING
PORTIONS OF CREEK AND OKFUSKEE COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED
SHOWERS WERE INDICATED OVER FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND THE FAR
NORTHWEST CORNER OF ARKANSAS. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING OFF
TO THE SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 9:30 AM...ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF ARKANSAS...MAINLY NORTH OF A
LINE FROM SCIPIO OKLAHOMA TO HUNTSVILLE ARKANSAS. LIGHT TO
OCCASIONAL MODERATE SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL
RATES RANGING FROM ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH. SOME ISOLATED
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER
DOWNPOURS...ALONG WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS.

$$




000
FPUS74 KTSA 311223
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
723 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311430-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
723 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.NOW...
AT 7:23 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...WITH THE EASTERN EDGE OF THIS ACTIVITY CATCHING
PORTIONS OF CREEK AND OKFUSKEE COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED
SHOWERS WERE INDICATED OVER FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND THE FAR
NORTHWEST CORNER OF ARKANSAS. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING OFF
TO THE SOUTHEAST.

THROUGH 9:30 AM...ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF ARKANSAS...MAINLY NORTH OF A
LINE FROM SCIPIO OKLAHOMA TO HUNTSVILLE ARKANSAS. LIGHT TO
OCCASIONAL MODERATE SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL
RATES RANGING FROM ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH. SOME ISOLATED
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER
DOWNPOURS...ALONG WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS.

$$





000
FPUS74 KTSA 302247
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
547 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-310030-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
547 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...

AT 5:47 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A
LINE FROM MCALESTER TO FORT SMITH. A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS WERE
LOCATED WITHIN NORTHERN LE FLORE COUNTY. THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS...ALONG WITH BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ALL THIS ACTIVITY
WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST...AROUND 20 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 6:30 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. AVERAGE
RAINFALL WILL BE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG DAMAGING WINDS BEING
THE MAIN THREAT. HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL
ALSO BE LIKELY WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS.

$$

16




000
FPUS74 KTSA 302247
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
547 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-310030-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
547 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...

AT 5:47 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A
LINE FROM MCALESTER TO FORT SMITH. A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS WERE
LOCATED WITHIN NORTHERN LE FLORE COUNTY. THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS...ALONG WITH BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ALL THIS ACTIVITY
WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST...AROUND 20 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 6:30 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. AVERAGE
RAINFALL WILL BE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG DAMAGING WINDS BEING
THE MAIN THREAT. HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL
ALSO BE LIKELY WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS.

$$

16





000
FPUS74 KTSA 302056
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
356 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-302230-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
356 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...

AT 3:56 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
A LINE FROM OKEMAH TO BENTONVILLE. A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS WERE
LOCATED WITHIN SOUTHERN ADAIR AND WESTERN MCINTOSH COUNTIES. THE
MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG DOWNBURST
WINDS...ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST...AROUND 20 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 5:30 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
AVERAGE RAINFALL WILL BE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE MAIN THREAT. HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE LIKELY WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS.

$$

16




000
FPUS74 KTSA 302056
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
356 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-302230-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
356 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...

AT 3:56 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
A LINE FROM OKEMAH TO BENTONVILLE. A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS WERE
LOCATED WITHIN SOUTHERN ADAIR AND WESTERN MCINTOSH COUNTIES. THE
MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG DOWNBURST
WINDS...ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST...AROUND 20 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 5:30 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
AVERAGE RAINFALL WILL BE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE MAIN THREAT. HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE LIKELY WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS.

$$

16





000
FPUS74 KTSA 301924
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
224 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-302100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
224 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...

AT 2:24 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. A COUPLE STRONGER
STORMS WERE LOCATED WITHIN OKFUSKEE AND WAGONER COUNTIES. THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS...ALONG
WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ALL THIS
ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST...AROUND 20 MILES PER
HOUR.

THROUGH 4:00 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO WESTERN
ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT. HEAVY RAINFALL AND
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE LIKELY.

$$

16




000
FPUS74 KTSA 301924
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
224 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-302100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
224 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...

AT 2:24 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. A COUPLE STRONGER
STORMS WERE LOCATED WITHIN OKFUSKEE AND WAGONER COUNTIES. THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS...ALONG
WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ALL THIS
ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST...AROUND 20 MILES PER
HOUR.

THROUGH 4:00 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO WESTERN
ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT. HEAVY RAINFALL AND
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE LIKELY.

$$

16





000
FPUS74 KTSA 301746
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-302000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 12:46 PM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALSO
CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...IN THE WAKE OF AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA.

THROUGH 3:00 PM...AS WE ENTER PEAK HEATING AND INSTABILITY
CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE. IN GENERAL...LIGHT TO
MODERATE SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON FOR MOST LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
RESULTING IN AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER
INCH. WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR...HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE
INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY...AND DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
CONVECTION...MAY RESULT IN VERY LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE
OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$




000
FPUS74 KTSA 301746
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-302000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1246 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 12:46 PM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALSO
CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...IN THE WAKE OF AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA.

THROUGH 3:00 PM...AS WE ENTER PEAK HEATING AND INSTABILITY
CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE. IN GENERAL...LIGHT TO
MODERATE SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON FOR MOST LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
RESULTING IN AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER
INCH. WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR...HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE
INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY...AND DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
CONVECTION...MAY RESULT IN VERY LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE
OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$





000
FPUS74 KTSA 301653
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1153 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

OKZ054>074-301900-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...
MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER
1153 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 11:53 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER PARTS
OF OSAGE COUNTY...WITH OTHER WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FURTHER NORTH AND WEST ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTHERN KANSAS. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING VERY SLOWLY
TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. THIS COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND STORMS HAS
PRODUCED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WHICH WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND HAS AT TIMES PROVIDED THE FOCUS FOR
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT.

THROUGH 2:00 PM...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR...
HOWEVER DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY AS WELL. WHILE OVERALL CONVECTION WILL STRUGGLE IN THE
SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...AS THE
AFTERNOON CONTINUES AND INSTABILITY INCREASES WITH DAYTIME HEATING
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN POTENTIAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED. LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL WILL BE COMMON WITH ANY SHOWERS THAT
OCCUR...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES RANGING FROM ONE TENTH UP TO
ONE QUARTER INCH. WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR...HOURLY RAINFALL
RATES OF ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY...AND IN CONJUNCTION WITH
THE SLOW MOVEMENT MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE
OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$





000
FPUS74 KTSA 301653
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1153 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

OKZ054>074-301900-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...
MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER
1153 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 11:53 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER PARTS
OF OSAGE COUNTY...WITH OTHER WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FURTHER NORTH AND WEST ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTHERN KANSAS. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING VERY SLOWLY
TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. THIS COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND STORMS HAS
PRODUCED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WHICH WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND HAS AT TIMES PROVIDED THE FOCUS FOR
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT.

THROUGH 2:00 PM...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR...
HOWEVER DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY AS WELL. WHILE OVERALL CONVECTION WILL STRUGGLE IN THE
SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...AS THE
AFTERNOON CONTINUES AND INSTABILITY INCREASES WITH DAYTIME HEATING
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN POTENTIAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED. LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL WILL BE COMMON WITH ANY SHOWERS THAT
OCCUR...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES RANGING FROM ONE TENTH UP TO
ONE QUARTER INCH. WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR...HOURLY RAINFALL
RATES OF ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY...AND IN CONJUNCTION WITH
THE SLOW MOVEMENT MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE
OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$




000
FPUS74 KTSA 301458
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
958 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

OKZ054>062-064>067-301700-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...BRISTOW...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER
958 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 9:58 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...APPROACHING WESTERN
OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING SLOWLY EAST.

THROUGH 12:00 PM...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES.
HOURLY RAINFALL OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH WILL BE COMMON
WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS AFFECTED AREAS.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND
IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT MAY RESULT IN VERY LOCALIZED
FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY
THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$





000
FPUS74 KTSA 301458
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
958 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

OKZ054>062-064>067-301700-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...BRISTOW...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER
958 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 9:58 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...APPROACHING WESTERN
OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING SLOWLY EAST.

THROUGH 12:00 PM...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES.
HOURLY RAINFALL OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH WILL BE COMMON
WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS AFFECTED AREAS.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND
IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT MAY RESULT IN VERY LOCALIZED
FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY
THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$





000
FPUS74 KTSA 301458
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
958 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

OKZ054>062-064>067-301700-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...BRISTOW...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER
958 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 9:58 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...APPROACHING WESTERN
OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING SLOWLY EAST.

THROUGH 12:00 PM...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES.
HOURLY RAINFALL OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH WILL BE COMMON
WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS AFFECTED AREAS.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND
IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT MAY RESULT IN VERY LOCALIZED
FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY
THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$




000
FPUS74 KTSA 301458
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
958 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

OKZ054>062-064>067-301700-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...BRISTOW...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER
958 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 9:58 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...APPROACHING WESTERN
OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING SLOWLY EAST.

THROUGH 12:00 PM...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES.
HOURLY RAINFALL OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH WILL BE COMMON
WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS AFFECTED AREAS.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND
IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT MAY RESULT IN VERY LOCALIZED
FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY
THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$




000
FPUS74 KTSA 300857
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
357 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

OKZ054>057-059>061-064-301100-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-CREEK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...BRISTOW
357 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 3:55 AM...DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
WASHINGTON COUNTY AND NORTHERN ROGERS COUNTY. OTHER ISOLATED ACTIVITY
WAS LOCATED OVER NOBLE COUNTY. THE ONGOING ACTIVITY WAS DRIFTING
SLOWLY EAST.

THROUGH 6:00 AM...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF A
STILLWATER TO TULSA TO VINITA LINE. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS
WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL.

$$




000
FPUS74 KTSA 300857
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
357 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

OKZ054>057-059>061-064-301100-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-CREEK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...BRISTOW
357 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 3:55 AM...DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
WASHINGTON COUNTY AND NORTHERN ROGERS COUNTY. OTHER ISOLATED ACTIVITY
WAS LOCATED OVER NOBLE COUNTY. THE ONGOING ACTIVITY WAS DRIFTING
SLOWLY EAST.

THROUGH 6:00 AM...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF A
STILLWATER TO TULSA TO VINITA LINE. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS
WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL.

$$





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