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000
FXUS01 KWBC 282054
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
453 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

VALID 00Z SUN MAR 29 2015 - 00Z TUE MAR 31 2015

***RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST AND TROUGH ACROSS THE EAST***

***BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EAST OF THE ROCKIES***

***RELATIVELY QUIET IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION NATION-WIDE*


THE UPPER LEVEL ATMOSPHERIC PATTERN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
WILL BE FEATURED WITH A RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S., AND AN
ABNORMALLY DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S.  AT THE SURFACE, THIS
WILL RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR
FROM THE GREAT PLAINS EASTWARD TO THE EAST COAST.  HIGHS ON SUNDAY
WILL NOT GET OUT OF THE 40S AND 50S FOR MANY AREAS, BUT WARMER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN TIME FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEK.

OUT WEST, SOME RAIN AND HIGH MOUNTAIN SNOW IS LIKELY OVER PARTS OF
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.  DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S., WITH THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUING
UNABATED.

A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE CENTRAL U.S. ON SUNDAY WILL BRING A
ROUND OF SHOWERS FROM ARKANSAS TO THE OHIO VALLEY, AND SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES.  THE MAJORITY OF
THE SNOW WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
BORDER IN CANADA.

D. HAMRICK


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
$$







000
FXUS01 KWBC 282054
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
453 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

VALID 00Z SUN MAR 29 2015 - 00Z TUE MAR 31 2015

***RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST AND TROUGH ACROSS THE EAST***

***BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EAST OF THE ROCKIES***

***RELATIVELY QUIET IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION NATION-WIDE*


THE UPPER LEVEL ATMOSPHERIC PATTERN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
WILL BE FEATURED WITH A RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S., AND AN
ABNORMALLY DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S.  AT THE SURFACE, THIS
WILL RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR
FROM THE GREAT PLAINS EASTWARD TO THE EAST COAST.  HIGHS ON SUNDAY
WILL NOT GET OUT OF THE 40S AND 50S FOR MANY AREAS, BUT WARMER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN TIME FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEK.

OUT WEST, SOME RAIN AND HIGH MOUNTAIN SNOW IS LIKELY OVER PARTS OF
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.  DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S., WITH THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUING
UNABATED.

A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE CENTRAL U.S. ON SUNDAY WILL BRING A
ROUND OF SHOWERS FROM ARKANSAS TO THE OHIO VALLEY, AND SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES.  THE MAJORITY OF
THE SNOW WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
BORDER IN CANADA.

D. HAMRICK


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
$$






000
FXUS06 KWBC 281902
PMDMRD
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSIONS FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

THERE IS NO FORECASTER MESSAGE WRITTEN ON WEEKENDS

NOTES:

AUTOMATED FORECASTS ARE ISSUED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. OCCASIONALLY MANUAL
INTERVENTION IS NECESSARY TO ADDRESS QUALITY CONTROL AND CONSISTENCY ISSUES.
IN THESE CASES, FORECASTS ARE MANUALLY DRAWN BUT A FULL DISCUSSION IS NOT
ISSUED.

THE NOTATION FOR THE CATEGORICAL FORECAST INDICATED ON THE MAPS IS
THE SAME AS THAT IN THE TABLES: A-ABOVE   N-NEAR NORMAL   B-BELOW

THE TEMPERATURE MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING WARMER
(ORANGE, "A"), COLDER (BLUE, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N")
HISTORICAL AVERAGE VALUES FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST
(DASHES, "F").  LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY
(> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).  PROBABILITY OF N IS
ALWAYS < 40%.

THE PRECIPITATION MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING
WETTER (GREEN, "A"), DRIER (TAN, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N")
HISTORICAL MEDIAN VALUES FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST
(DASHES, "INCHES").  LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY
(> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).  PROBABILITY OF N IS
ALWAYS < 40%.

IN THE SOUTHWEST AND OTHER CLIMATOLOGICALLY DRY REGIONS - THERE WILL
BE A GREATER THAN 33.3% CHANCE OF NO PRECIPITATION AND OCCASIONALLY
EVEN A NORMAL (I.E. MEDIAN) VALUE OF ZERO - ESPECIALLY DURING THE DRY
SEASONS.  IN SUCH CASES A FORECAST OF NEAR NORMAL IS EFFECTIVELY A
FORECAST OF LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER USES 1981-2010 BASE PERIOD MEANS FOR
TEMPERATURE...PRECIPITATION...AND 500-HPA HEIGHTS AS REFERENCE IN
THE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS.

ANALOGS TO THE 5 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 3 DAYS AGO (D-3)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 5 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19620402 - 19940330 - 20080309 - 19980312 - 19780327

ANALOGS TO THE 7 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 4 DAYS AGO (D-4)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 7 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19620401 - 20080308 - 19940330 - 19940307 - 19980312

6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR APR 03 - 07, 2015

STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON  B    N     OREGON      B    N     NRN CALIF   B    B
SRN CALIF   A    B     IDAHO       B    N     NEVADA      B    B
W MONTANA   B    A     E MONTANA   B    A     WYOMING     B    N
UTAH        B    B     ARIZONA     A    B     COLORADO    N    B
NEW MEXICO  A    B     N DAKOTA    B    A     S DAKOTA    B    A
NEBRASKA    N    A     KANSAS      N    B     OKLAHOMA    N    N
N TEXAS     A    N     S TEXAS     A    N     W TEXAS     A    B
MINNESOTA   B    A     IOWA        B    A     MISSOURI    N    A
ARKANSAS    N    A     LOUISIANA   A    N     WISCONSIN   B    A
ILLINOIS    B    A     MISSISSIPPI A    A     MICHIGAN    B    A
INDIANA     B    A     OHIO        B    A     KENTUCKY    N    A
TENNESSEE   N    A     ALABAMA     A    A     NEW YORK    B    A
VERMONT     B    A     NEW HAMP    B    A     MAINE       B    A
MASS        B    A     CONN        B    A     RHODE IS    B    A
PENN        B    A     NEW JERSEY  B    A     W VIRGINIA  B    A
MARYLAND    B    A     DELAWARE    B    A     VIRGINIA    B    A
N CAROLINA  N    A     S CAROLINA  A    A     GEORGIA     A    A
FL PNHDL    A    N     FL PENIN    A    B     AK N SLOPE  N    B
AK ALEUTIAN A    A     AK WESTERN  A    N     AK INT BSN  N    N
AK S INT    A    N     AK SO COAST A    N     AK PNHDL    A    N


8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR APR 05 - 11, 2015

STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON  N    A     OREGON      N    A     NRN CALIF   N    N
SRN CALIF   A    B     IDAHO       B    N     NEVADA      N    B
W MONTANA   N    N     E MONTANA   N    N     WYOMING     N    B
UTAH        B    B     ARIZONA     N    B     COLORADO    A    B
NEW MEXICO  N    B     N DAKOTA    N    N     S DAKOTA    N    N
NEBRASKA    A    B     KANSAS      A    B     OKLAHOMA    A    A
N TEXAS     A    A     S TEXAS     A    A     W TEXAS     A    B
MINNESOTA   N    A     IOWA        N    N     MISSOURI    N    N
ARKANSAS    N    A     LOUISIANA   A    A     WISCONSIN   B    A
ILLINOIS    N    A     MISSISSIPPI A    A     MICHIGAN    B    A
INDIANA     B    A     OHIO        B    A     KENTUCKY    N    A
TENNESSEE   N    A     ALABAMA     A    A     NEW YORK    B    A
VERMONT     B    A     NEW HAMP    B    A     MAINE       B    A
MASS        B    A     CONN        B    A     RHODE IS    B    A
PENN        B    A     NEW JERSEY  B    A     W VIRGINIA  B    A
MARYLAND    B    A     DELAWARE    B    A     VIRGINIA    B    A
N CAROLINA  N    A     S CAROLINA  A    A     GEORGIA     A    A
FL PNHDL    A    A     FL PENIN    A    N     AK N SLOPE  B    B
AK ALEUTIAN A    A     AK WESTERN  N    N     AK INT BSN  N    N
AK S INT    N    A     AK SO COAST N    A     AK PNHDL    A    A

                           LEGEND
TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL     PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN
A - ABOVE   N  - NEAR NORMAL     A - ABOVE   N - NEAR MEDIAN
B - BELOW                        B - BELOW

THE FORECAST CLASSES REPRESENT AVERAGES FOR EACH STATE. NORMAL
VALUES - WHICH MAY VARY WIDELY ACROSS SOME STATES - ARE
AVAILABLE FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESSAGE FXUS06 KWBC - ON AWIPS AS
PMDMRD.

$$





000
FXUS06 KWBC 281902
PMDMRD
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSIONS FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

THERE IS NO FORECASTER MESSAGE WRITTEN ON WEEKENDS

NOTES:

AUTOMATED FORECASTS ARE ISSUED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. OCCASIONALLY MANUAL
INTERVENTION IS NECESSARY TO ADDRESS QUALITY CONTROL AND CONSISTENCY ISSUES.
IN THESE CASES, FORECASTS ARE MANUALLY DRAWN BUT A FULL DISCUSSION IS NOT
ISSUED.

THE NOTATION FOR THE CATEGORICAL FORECAST INDICATED ON THE MAPS IS
THE SAME AS THAT IN THE TABLES: A-ABOVE   N-NEAR NORMAL   B-BELOW

THE TEMPERATURE MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING WARMER
(ORANGE, "A"), COLDER (BLUE, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N")
HISTORICAL AVERAGE VALUES FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST
(DASHES, "F").  LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY
(> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).  PROBABILITY OF N IS
ALWAYS < 40%.

THE PRECIPITATION MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING
WETTER (GREEN, "A"), DRIER (TAN, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N")
HISTORICAL MEDIAN VALUES FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST
(DASHES, "INCHES").  LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY
(> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).  PROBABILITY OF N IS
ALWAYS < 40%.

IN THE SOUTHWEST AND OTHER CLIMATOLOGICALLY DRY REGIONS - THERE WILL
BE A GREATER THAN 33.3% CHANCE OF NO PRECIPITATION AND OCCASIONALLY
EVEN A NORMAL (I.E. MEDIAN) VALUE OF ZERO - ESPECIALLY DURING THE DRY
SEASONS.  IN SUCH CASES A FORECAST OF NEAR NORMAL IS EFFECTIVELY A
FORECAST OF LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER USES 1981-2010 BASE PERIOD MEANS FOR
TEMPERATURE...PRECIPITATION...AND 500-HPA HEIGHTS AS REFERENCE IN
THE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS.

ANALOGS TO THE 5 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 3 DAYS AGO (D-3)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 5 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19620402 - 19940330 - 20080309 - 19980312 - 19780327

ANALOGS TO THE 7 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 4 DAYS AGO (D-4)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 7 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19620401 - 20080308 - 19940330 - 19940307 - 19980312

6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR APR 03 - 07, 2015

STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON  B    N     OREGON      B    N     NRN CALIF   B    B
SRN CALIF   A    B     IDAHO       B    N     NEVADA      B    B
W MONTANA   B    A     E MONTANA   B    A     WYOMING     B    N
UTAH        B    B     ARIZONA     A    B     COLORADO    N    B
NEW MEXICO  A    B     N DAKOTA    B    A     S DAKOTA    B    A
NEBRASKA    N    A     KANSAS      N    B     OKLAHOMA    N    N
N TEXAS     A    N     S TEXAS     A    N     W TEXAS     A    B
MINNESOTA   B    A     IOWA        B    A     MISSOURI    N    A
ARKANSAS    N    A     LOUISIANA   A    N     WISCONSIN   B    A
ILLINOIS    B    A     MISSISSIPPI A    A     MICHIGAN    B    A
INDIANA     B    A     OHIO        B    A     KENTUCKY    N    A
TENNESSEE   N    A     ALABAMA     A    A     NEW YORK    B    A
VERMONT     B    A     NEW HAMP    B    A     MAINE       B    A
MASS        B    A     CONN        B    A     RHODE IS    B    A
PENN        B    A     NEW JERSEY  B    A     W VIRGINIA  B    A
MARYLAND    B    A     DELAWARE    B    A     VIRGINIA    B    A
N CAROLINA  N    A     S CAROLINA  A    A     GEORGIA     A    A
FL PNHDL    A    N     FL PENIN    A    B     AK N SLOPE  N    B
AK ALEUTIAN A    A     AK WESTERN  A    N     AK INT BSN  N    N
AK S INT    A    N     AK SO COAST A    N     AK PNHDL    A    N


8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR APR 05 - 11, 2015

STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON  N    A     OREGON      N    A     NRN CALIF   N    N
SRN CALIF   A    B     IDAHO       B    N     NEVADA      N    B
W MONTANA   N    N     E MONTANA   N    N     WYOMING     N    B
UTAH        B    B     ARIZONA     N    B     COLORADO    A    B
NEW MEXICO  N    B     N DAKOTA    N    N     S DAKOTA    N    N
NEBRASKA    A    B     KANSAS      A    B     OKLAHOMA    A    A
N TEXAS     A    A     S TEXAS     A    A     W TEXAS     A    B
MINNESOTA   N    A     IOWA        N    N     MISSOURI    N    N
ARKANSAS    N    A     LOUISIANA   A    A     WISCONSIN   B    A
ILLINOIS    N    A     MISSISSIPPI A    A     MICHIGAN    B    A
INDIANA     B    A     OHIO        B    A     KENTUCKY    N    A
TENNESSEE   N    A     ALABAMA     A    A     NEW YORK    B    A
VERMONT     B    A     NEW HAMP    B    A     MAINE       B    A
MASS        B    A     CONN        B    A     RHODE IS    B    A
PENN        B    A     NEW JERSEY  B    A     W VIRGINIA  B    A
MARYLAND    B    A     DELAWARE    B    A     VIRGINIA    B    A
N CAROLINA  N    A     S CAROLINA  A    A     GEORGIA     A    A
FL PNHDL    A    A     FL PENIN    A    N     AK N SLOPE  B    B
AK ALEUTIAN A    A     AK WESTERN  N    N     AK INT BSN  N    N
AK S INT    N    A     AK SO COAST N    A     AK PNHDL    A    A

                           LEGEND
TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL     PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN
A - ABOVE   N  - NEAR NORMAL     A - ABOVE   N - NEAR MEDIAN
B - BELOW                        B - BELOW

THE FORECAST CLASSES REPRESENT AVERAGES FOR EACH STATE. NORMAL
VALUES - WHICH MAY VARY WIDELY ACROSS SOME STATES - ARE
AVAILABLE FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESSAGE FXUS06 KWBC - ON AWIPS AS
PMDMRD.

$$




000
FXUS06 KWBC 281902
PMDMRD
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSIONS FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

THERE IS NO FORECASTER MESSAGE WRITTEN ON WEEKENDS

NOTES:

AUTOMATED FORECASTS ARE ISSUED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. OCCASIONALLY MANUAL
INTERVENTION IS NECESSARY TO ADDRESS QUALITY CONTROL AND CONSISTENCY ISSUES.
IN THESE CASES, FORECASTS ARE MANUALLY DRAWN BUT A FULL DISCUSSION IS NOT
ISSUED.

THE NOTATION FOR THE CATEGORICAL FORECAST INDICATED ON THE MAPS IS
THE SAME AS THAT IN THE TABLES: A-ABOVE   N-NEAR NORMAL   B-BELOW

THE TEMPERATURE MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING WARMER
(ORANGE, "A"), COLDER (BLUE, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N")
HISTORICAL AVERAGE VALUES FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST
(DASHES, "F").  LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY
(> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).  PROBABILITY OF N IS
ALWAYS < 40%.

THE PRECIPITATION MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING
WETTER (GREEN, "A"), DRIER (TAN, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N")
HISTORICAL MEDIAN VALUES FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST
(DASHES, "INCHES").  LABELS ON THE SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY
(> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).  PROBABILITY OF N IS
ALWAYS < 40%.

IN THE SOUTHWEST AND OTHER CLIMATOLOGICALLY DRY REGIONS - THERE WILL
BE A GREATER THAN 33.3% CHANCE OF NO PRECIPITATION AND OCCASIONALLY
EVEN A NORMAL (I.E. MEDIAN) VALUE OF ZERO - ESPECIALLY DURING THE DRY
SEASONS.  IN SUCH CASES A FORECAST OF NEAR NORMAL IS EFFECTIVELY A
FORECAST OF LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER USES 1981-2010 BASE PERIOD MEANS FOR
TEMPERATURE...PRECIPITATION...AND 500-HPA HEIGHTS AS REFERENCE IN
THE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS.

ANALOGS TO THE 5 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 3 DAYS AGO (D-3)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 5 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19620402 - 19940330 - 20080309 - 19980312 - 19780327

ANALOGS TO THE 7 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 4 DAYS AGO (D-4)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 7 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19620401 - 20080308 - 19940330 - 19940307 - 19980312

6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR APR 03 - 07, 2015

STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON  B    N     OREGON      B    N     NRN CALIF   B    B
SRN CALIF   A    B     IDAHO       B    N     NEVADA      B    B
W MONTANA   B    A     E MONTANA   B    A     WYOMING     B    N
UTAH        B    B     ARIZONA     A    B     COLORADO    N    B
NEW MEXICO  A    B     N DAKOTA    B    A     S DAKOTA    B    A
NEBRASKA    N    A     KANSAS      N    B     OKLAHOMA    N    N
N TEXAS     A    N     S TEXAS     A    N     W TEXAS     A    B
MINNESOTA   B    A     IOWA        B    A     MISSOURI    N    A
ARKANSAS    N    A     LOUISIANA   A    N     WISCONSIN   B    A
ILLINOIS    B    A     MISSISSIPPI A    A     MICHIGAN    B    A
INDIANA     B    A     OHIO        B    A     KENTUCKY    N    A
TENNESSEE   N    A     ALABAMA     A    A     NEW YORK    B    A
VERMONT     B    A     NEW HAMP    B    A     MAINE       B    A
MASS        B    A     CONN        B    A     RHODE IS    B    A
PENN        B    A     NEW JERSEY  B    A     W VIRGINIA  B    A
MARYLAND    B    A     DELAWARE    B    A     VIRGINIA    B    A
N CAROLINA  N    A     S CAROLINA  A    A     GEORGIA     A    A
FL PNHDL    A    N     FL PENIN    A    B     AK N SLOPE  N    B
AK ALEUTIAN A    A     AK WESTERN  A    N     AK INT BSN  N    N
AK S INT    A    N     AK SO COAST A    N     AK PNHDL    A    N


8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR APR 05 - 11, 2015

STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON  N    A     OREGON      N    A     NRN CALIF   N    N
SRN CALIF   A    B     IDAHO       B    N     NEVADA      N    B
W MONTANA   N    N     E MONTANA   N    N     WYOMING     N    B
UTAH        B    B     ARIZONA     N    B     COLORADO    A    B
NEW MEXICO  N    B     N DAKOTA    N    N     S DAKOTA    N    N
NEBRASKA    A    B     KANSAS      A    B     OKLAHOMA    A    A
N TEXAS     A    A     S TEXAS     A    A     W TEXAS     A    B
MINNESOTA   N    A     IOWA        N    N     MISSOURI    N    N
ARKANSAS    N    A     LOUISIANA   A    A     WISCONSIN   B    A
ILLINOIS    N    A     MISSISSIPPI A    A     MICHIGAN    B    A
INDIANA     B    A     OHIO        B    A     KENTUCKY    N    A
TENNESSEE   N    A     ALABAMA     A    A     NEW YORK    B    A
VERMONT     B    A     NEW HAMP    B    A     MAINE       B    A
MASS        B    A     CONN        B    A     RHODE IS    B    A
PENN        B    A     NEW JERSEY  B    A     W VIRGINIA  B    A
MARYLAND    B    A     DELAWARE    B    A     VIRGINIA    B    A
N CAROLINA  N    A     S CAROLINA  A    A     GEORGIA     A    A
FL PNHDL    A    A     FL PENIN    A    N     AK N SLOPE  B    B
AK ALEUTIAN A    A     AK WESTERN  N    N     AK INT BSN  N    N
AK S INT    N    A     AK SO COAST N    A     AK PNHDL    A    A

                           LEGEND
TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL     PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN
A - ABOVE   N  - NEAR NORMAL     A - ABOVE   N - NEAR MEDIAN
B - BELOW                        B - BELOW

THE FORECAST CLASSES REPRESENT AVERAGES FOR EACH STATE. NORMAL
VALUES - WHICH MAY VARY WIDELY ACROSS SOME STATES - ARE
AVAILABLE FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESSAGE FXUS06 KWBC - ON AWIPS AS
PMDMRD.

$$





000
FXUS02 KWBC 281535
PMDEPD

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1135 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

VALID 12Z TUE MAR 31 2015 - 12Z SAT APR 04 2015


FELT IT WAS TIME TO MAKE SOME BIG CHANGES ACROSS THE CONTIGUOUS
UNITED STATES AT THE MEDIUM RANGE THIS FORECAST CYCLE. THE MORE
AMPLIFIED EUROPEAN CENTRE SOLUTIONS OF THE PAST COUPLE DAYS ARE
BEING MET AT LEAST HALFWAY BY THE 00Z/28 CANADIAN MODELS AND--TO A
LESSER EXTENT--THE 06Z/28 GFS/GEFS. BLENDED THE 00Z/28 GDPS WITH
THE 06Z/28 GEFS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE FOR FRONTS AND
PRESSURES--A NOD TOWARD MORE AMPLITUDE WITHOUT COMMITTING TO THE
FULLY-PHASED EUROPEAN CENTRE GUIDANCE. EVEN THE "BLENDED CYCLONE"
DAYS 6 AND 7 IN THIS NEW WPC PACKAGE HAS A SIGNIFICANT ATTENDANT
UPTICK IN RAINFALL, SNOWFALL, AND SEVERE-WEATHER POTENTIAL FROM
THE CENTRAL STATES TO THE EAST. THE WEST COAST IS ALSO STORMIER
THIS PACKAGE LATE DAY 6 INTO DAY 7, WHEN A COLD LOW IS EXPECTED TO
TUCK INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST.


CISCO

$$







000
FXUS02 KWBC 281535
PMDEPD

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1135 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

VALID 12Z TUE MAR 31 2015 - 12Z SAT APR 04 2015


FELT IT WAS TIME TO MAKE SOME BIG CHANGES ACROSS THE CONTIGUOUS
UNITED STATES AT THE MEDIUM RANGE THIS FORECAST CYCLE. THE MORE
AMPLIFIED EUROPEAN CENTRE SOLUTIONS OF THE PAST COUPLE DAYS ARE
BEING MET AT LEAST HALFWAY BY THE 00Z/28 CANADIAN MODELS AND--TO A
LESSER EXTENT--THE 06Z/28 GFS/GEFS. BLENDED THE 00Z/28 GDPS WITH
THE 06Z/28 GEFS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE FOR FRONTS AND
PRESSURES--A NOD TOWARD MORE AMPLITUDE WITHOUT COMMITTING TO THE
FULLY-PHASED EUROPEAN CENTRE GUIDANCE. EVEN THE "BLENDED CYCLONE"
DAYS 6 AND 7 IN THIS NEW WPC PACKAGE HAS A SIGNIFICANT ATTENDANT
UPTICK IN RAINFALL, SNOWFALL, AND SEVERE-WEATHER POTENTIAL FROM
THE CENTRAL STATES TO THE EAST. THE WEST COAST IS ALSO STORMIER
THIS PACKAGE LATE DAY 6 INTO DAY 7, WHEN A COLD LOW IS EXPECTED TO
TUCK INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST.


CISCO

$$






000
FXUS01 KWBC 280742
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
342 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

VALID 12Z SAT MAR 28 2015 - 12Z MON MAR 30 2015

...LIGHT SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...

...TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FROM PARTS
OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES...

A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE
EASTWARD TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY SUNDAY EVENING.  THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE
RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THAT WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/NORTHERN PLAINS BY LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT.  THE STORM WILL TAPE INTO SOME MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO OVERNIGHT SATURDAY ALLOWING THE RAIN TO EXPAND AND MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS BY SUNDAY EVENING.  IN
ADDITION, AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ALSO BY SUNDAY EVENING.
FURTHERMORE, LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES BY SUNDAY MORNING THAT WILL MOVE INTO PARTS OF THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY EVENING.

ELSEWHERE, AN AREA OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL TAPER OFF OVER PARTS OF
THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONALLY, LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE EASTERN TIP OF NEWFOUNDLAND BY LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT.  AS THE STORM MOVES AWAY, POCKETS OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER
PARTS OF THE CAROLINA COAST TO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL
TAPER OFF BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COAST, WEAKENING ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRODUCE RAIN OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN SECTION OF WASHINGTON STATE THROUGH SUNDAY.


ZIEGENFELDER


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
$$






000
FXUS01 KWBC 280742
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
342 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

VALID 12Z SAT MAR 28 2015 - 12Z MON MAR 30 2015

...LIGHT SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...

...TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FROM PARTS
OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES...

A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE
EASTWARD TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY SUNDAY EVENING.  THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE
RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THAT WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/NORTHERN PLAINS BY LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT.  THE STORM WILL TAPE INTO SOME MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO OVERNIGHT SATURDAY ALLOWING THE RAIN TO EXPAND AND MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS BY SUNDAY EVENING.  IN
ADDITION, AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ALSO BY SUNDAY EVENING.
FURTHERMORE, LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES BY SUNDAY MORNING THAT WILL MOVE INTO PARTS OF THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY EVENING.

ELSEWHERE, AN AREA OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL TAPER OFF OVER PARTS OF
THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONALLY, LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE EASTERN TIP OF NEWFOUNDLAND BY LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT.  AS THE STORM MOVES AWAY, POCKETS OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER
PARTS OF THE CAROLINA COAST TO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL
TAPER OFF BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COAST, WEAKENING ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRODUCE RAIN OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN SECTION OF WASHINGTON STATE THROUGH SUNDAY.


ZIEGENFELDER


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
$$







000
FXUS02 KWBC 280353
PMDEPD

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1153 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

VALID 12Z TUE MAR 31 2015 - 12Z SAT APR 04 2015

...OVERVIEW AND GUIDANCE PREFERENCES...

THE TRANSITION TO ZONAL FLOW HAS WREAKED HAVOC WITH THE
ENSEMBLES... AS CAN BE THE CASE. LOW AMPLITUDE WAVES SHOULD
DOMINATE THE PERIOD AS THE PERSISTENT EASTERN TROUGHING MAY ABATE
FOR PERHAPS A COUPLE DAYS NEXT THU-FRI. IT IS DIFFICULT TO ANY
DETERMINISTIC MODEL OVER ANOTHER SINCE ALL FALL WITHIN THE
MULTI-CENTER ENSEMBLE SPREAD. NEVERTHELESS... THE ECMWF HAS BEEN
MORE CONSISTENT WITH SOME -- NOT ALL -- FEATURES ACROSS THE CONUS
THAN THE GFS AND HAS MORE SUPPORT FROM THE CMC/UKMET. NOTHING
SHOWS GOOD MULTI-DAY CONTINUITY AND THE TREND HAS BEEN BOTH SLOWER
AND QUICKER... DEPENDING ON THE SYSTEM OF INTEREST.

OPTED TO BLEND THE 12Z ECMWF/ECENS MEAN TUE-WED IN RESPONSE TO A
SFC WAVE MOVING ALONG 40N OFF THE EAST COAST THAT HAS BETTER
SUPPORT FOR SOMETHING MORE DEFINED /ECMWF/ THAN LESS DEFINED
/GFS/. FOR THU-SAT... TRENDED TOWARD A SPLIT BETWEEN THE 12Z NAEFS
AND ECENS MEANS AS THE RECENT GEFS MEANS WERE MUCH QUICKER TO
BRING IN THE NEXT SHORTWAVE INTO THE PAC NW ON SAT 4/4. BEST
OVERLAPPING ENSEMBLE SUPPORT AMONG ALL THREE ENSEMBLE SYSTEMS --
ECMWF/GEFS/CANADIAN -- LIES IN THE MODESTLY SLOWER CAMP. BUT...
THE CAVEAT REMAINS TIMING DIFFERENCES/INCONSISTENCIES AND WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED IF THIS CHANGES IN SUCCESSIVE RUNS. COURSE OF
LEAST REGRET LIES AWAY FROM EXTREME SOLUTIONS IN QUASI-ZONAL FLOW.


...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS...

WARM TEMPERATURES WILL TRAVEL EASTWARD AHEAD OF THE MAIN SYSTEM
INITIALLY IN THE INTERIOR NW ON TUESDAY. TEMPS 10-20F ABOVE AVG
WILL BE COMMON AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND ABOUT 5-15F BELOW AVG
IN ITS WAKE. PRECIPITATION WILL FOCUS NEAR THE FRONT AND EASTWARD
LEAD SYSTEM AS WELL AS IN THE SOUTH WHERE SOME MODELS/ENSEMBLES
SHOW SE TEXAS RECEIVING A COUPLE INCHES OF RAIN. ENSEMBLES ARE
EXPECTEDLY LESS BULLISH BUT THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR AT LEAST
MODEST RAIN. MORE WIDESPREAD AND PERHAPS HEAVIER PRECIP MAY EXPAND
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC AHEAD
OF THE PROGRESSIVE SFC FRONT NEXT FRIDAY.


FRACASSO

$$






000
FXUS02 KWBC 280353
PMDEPD

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1153 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

VALID 12Z TUE MAR 31 2015 - 12Z SAT APR 04 2015

...OVERVIEW AND GUIDANCE PREFERENCES...

THE TRANSITION TO ZONAL FLOW HAS WREAKED HAVOC WITH THE
ENSEMBLES... AS CAN BE THE CASE. LOW AMPLITUDE WAVES SHOULD
DOMINATE THE PERIOD AS THE PERSISTENT EASTERN TROUGHING MAY ABATE
FOR PERHAPS A COUPLE DAYS NEXT THU-FRI. IT IS DIFFICULT TO ANY
DETERMINISTIC MODEL OVER ANOTHER SINCE ALL FALL WITHIN THE
MULTI-CENTER ENSEMBLE SPREAD. NEVERTHELESS... THE ECMWF HAS BEEN
MORE CONSISTENT WITH SOME -- NOT ALL -- FEATURES ACROSS THE CONUS
THAN THE GFS AND HAS MORE SUPPORT FROM THE CMC/UKMET. NOTHING
SHOWS GOOD MULTI-DAY CONTINUITY AND THE TREND HAS BEEN BOTH SLOWER
AND QUICKER... DEPENDING ON THE SYSTEM OF INTEREST.

OPTED TO BLEND THE 12Z ECMWF/ECENS MEAN TUE-WED IN RESPONSE TO A
SFC WAVE MOVING ALONG 40N OFF THE EAST COAST THAT HAS BETTER
SUPPORT FOR SOMETHING MORE DEFINED /ECMWF/ THAN LESS DEFINED
/GFS/. FOR THU-SAT... TRENDED TOWARD A SPLIT BETWEEN THE 12Z NAEFS
AND ECENS MEANS AS THE RECENT GEFS MEANS WERE MUCH QUICKER TO
BRING IN THE NEXT SHORTWAVE INTO THE PAC NW ON SAT 4/4. BEST
OVERLAPPING ENSEMBLE SUPPORT AMONG ALL THREE ENSEMBLE SYSTEMS --
ECMWF/GEFS/CANADIAN -- LIES IN THE MODESTLY SLOWER CAMP. BUT...
THE CAVEAT REMAINS TIMING DIFFERENCES/INCONSISTENCIES AND WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED IF THIS CHANGES IN SUCCESSIVE RUNS. COURSE OF
LEAST REGRET LIES AWAY FROM EXTREME SOLUTIONS IN QUASI-ZONAL FLOW.


...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS...

WARM TEMPERATURES WILL TRAVEL EASTWARD AHEAD OF THE MAIN SYSTEM
INITIALLY IN THE INTERIOR NW ON TUESDAY. TEMPS 10-20F ABOVE AVG
WILL BE COMMON AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND ABOUT 5-15F BELOW AVG
IN ITS WAKE. PRECIPITATION WILL FOCUS NEAR THE FRONT AND EASTWARD
LEAD SYSTEM AS WELL AS IN THE SOUTH WHERE SOME MODELS/ENSEMBLES
SHOW SE TEXAS RECEIVING A COUPLE INCHES OF RAIN. ENSEMBLES ARE
EXPECTEDLY LESS BULLISH BUT THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR AT LEAST
MODEST RAIN. MORE WIDESPREAD AND PERHAPS HEAVIER PRECIP MAY EXPAND
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC AHEAD
OF THE PROGRESSIVE SFC FRONT NEXT FRIDAY.


FRACASSO

$$







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