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000
FOPZ11 KNHC 010232
PWSEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0300 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)  19(37)   1(38)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   X(12)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   4(14)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   1( 1)  13(14)  18(32)   2(34)   X(34)   X(34)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





000
FOPZ11 KNHC 312054
PWSEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
2100 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   7(15)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  26(41)   2(43)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   1(14)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   7(18)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  29(35)   4(39)   X(39)   X(39)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
FOPZ11 KNHC 311437
PWSEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)
MAZATLAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   6(15)
P VALLARTA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   4(13)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)

L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  18(24)   3(27)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  12(23)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)  10(28)   X(28)   X(28)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
FOPZ11 KNHC 310836
PWSEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)   4(30)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   8(16)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)  20(31)   1(32)   X(32)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
FOPZ11 KNHC 310232
PWSEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0300 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)  11(32)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  31(46)   2(48)   X(48)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   1(18)   X(18)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





000
FOPZ11 KNHC 302033
PWSEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
2100 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)  14(36)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  34(38)   6(44)   X(44)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   2(15)   1(16)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
FOPZ11 KNHC 301446
PWSEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)
SAN BLAS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)
P VALLARTA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)

L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)  15(32)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  26(29)   9(38)   1(39)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   4(12)   1(13)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
FOPZ11 KNHC 300841
PWSEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  20(24)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)  18(45)   2(47)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   1(17)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





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