000
SXUS43 KTOP 251748
RECTOP
EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1248 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
SW WINDS WILL PICK UP THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF AROUND
MIDNIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ALONG AN
NORTH OF OF HWY 36 IN FAR NORTHERN KANSAS AND SHOULD REMAIN A LONG
DISTANCE FROM THE TERMINALS. A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FORMING CLOSER TO
THE TERMINALS BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE
SHOWERS EVEN FORMING AND THEIR LIKELY DISTANCE FROM THE TERMINALS
WILL FORGO ADDING A MENTION IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...BUT THE
POTENTIAL WILL BE MONITORED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
JL
.THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 837 PM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 6 PM 180/16G24 MPH
8 PM 170/14 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 627 AM): 200FT 190/14 MPH
400FT 188/18 MPH
600FT 193/23 MPH
800FT 198/28 MPH
1000FT 211/38 MPH
1500FT 226/44 MPH
2000FT 234/45 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM): SURFACE 186/19 MPH
92FT 187/25 MPH
254FT 187/27 MPH
535FT 188/29 MPH
953FT 189/30 MPH
1495FT 190/31 MPH
2152FT 191/31 MPH
2881FT 192/31 MPH
3693FT 193/32 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM): SURFACE 185/18 MPH
95FT 185/23 MPH
255FT 187/27 MPH
536FT 188/29 MPH
954FT 189/30 MPH
1494FT 190/31 MPH
2152FT 191/32 MPH
2885FT 192/32 MPH
3691FT 193/33 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM): SURFACE 185/15 MPH
92FT 186/21 MPH
254FT 188/25 MPH
535FT 189/29 MPH
950FT 189/30 MPH
1494FT 190/31 MPH
2152FT 191/32 MPH
2885FT 192/32 MPH
3691FT 193/33 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 6 PM 2850 FT
8 PM 2663 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
SUNRISE: 601 AM
SURFACE WIND: 6 AM 160/09 MPH
8 AM 160/13 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 251204
RECTOP
MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
704 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
TRACKING REMNANT MVFR STRATUS AS IT DISSIPATES AHEAD OF A WARM
FRONT AT KTOP/KFOE/KMHK. CLUSTER OF TSRA NEAR KANSAS AND NEBRASKA
BORDER WILL REMAIN NORTH OF SITES AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD. VFR
PREVAILS AFT 14Z AT KMHK AND 15Z KTOP/KFOE AS SOUTHERLY WINDS GUST
AOA 20 KTS. SLIGHT POSSIBILITY FOR CONVECTION DEVELOPING NEAR
TERMINALS OVERNIGHT SATURDAY...HOWEVER LOW CONFIDENCE LEFT NO
MENTION IN TAFS AT THIS ISSUANCE.
.THIS MORNING...
SUNRISE: 602 AM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 8 AM 170/13 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 627 AM): 200FT 190/14 MPH
400FT 188/18 MPH
600FT 193/23 MPH
800FT 198/28 MPH
1000FT 211/38 MPH
1500FT 226/44 MPH
2000FT 234/45 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM): SURFACE 175/13 MPH
68FT 177/17 MPH
223FT 179/21 MPH
492FT 183/27 MPH
893FT 196/32 MPH
1420FT 218/37 MPH
2066FT 233/45 MPH
2787FT 242/54 MPH
3588FT 242/54 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM): SURFACE 164/13 MPH
73FT 165/16 MPH
229FT 167/18 MPH
497FT 170/21 MPH
901FT 189/26 MPH
1428FT 216/28 MPH
2070FT 238/38 MPH
2792FT 245/48 MPH
3595FT 245/51 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM): SURFACE 170/15 MPH
82FT 170/19 MPH
238FT 171/21 MPH
510FT 171/23 MPH
910FT 189/26 MPH
1428FT 216/28 MPH
2070FT 238/38 MPH
2792FT 245/48 MPH
3595FT 245/51 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 8 AM 1945 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 837 PM
SURFACE WIND: 6 PM 180/16G24 MPH
8 PM 170/14 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 250548 AAA
RECTOP
MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1248 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013
STILL EXPECTING CONVECTION TONIGHT TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
TERMINAL SITES OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...STRATOCU DECK AT 2500-3500
FEET HAS STEADILY INCREASED TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE
TERMINALS AND SPREAD AND LOWER INTO ALL TERMINALS BY 08Z BEFORE
SCATTERING BACK OUT AFTER 14Z. WINDS 8-10 KTS WILL VEER FROM
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY DURING THIS SAME TIMEFRAME. THEY WILL THEN
REMAIN SOUTHERLY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN
AFT 14Z WHEN GUSTS OVER 20KTS AREA THEN EXPECTED AS WARM FRONT
LIFTS NORTHWARD. BETTER FOCUS FOR ANY CONVECTION TO FORM NEAR
TERMINALS SATURDAY/SATURDAY EVENING REMAINS NORTH OF THE AREA
AND CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO INSERT INTO TERMINAL FCST AT
THIS TIME.
.THIS MORNING...
SUNRISE: 603 AM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 6 AM 170/12 MPH
8 AM 180/13 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 603 PM): 200FT 142/18 MPH
400FT 141/21 MPH
600FT 138/22 MPH
800FT 139/23 MPH
1000FT 144/23 MPH
1500FT 145/22 MPH
2000FT 149/22 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM): SURFACE 160/10 MPH
73FT 162/14 MPH
228FT 166/18 MPH
500FT 176/24 MPH
900FT 186/31 MPH
1426FT 202/41 MPH
2071FT 218/44 MPH
2793FT 228/42 MPH
3593FT 237/40 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM): SURFACE 160/11 MPH
82FT 161/15 MPH
237FT 165/19 MPH
506FT 174/26 MPH
909FT 186/33 MPH
1437FT 208/34 MPH
2085FT 224/34 MPH
2808FT 234/40 MPH
3611FT 238/41 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM): SURFACE 163/12 MPH
82FT 166/15 MPH
237FT 168/18 MPH
506FT 173/23 MPH
908FT 186/33 MPH
1437FT 208/34 MPH
2085FT 224/34 MPH
2808FT 234/40 MPH
3611FT 238/41 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 6 AM 1479 FT
8 AM 1681 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 837 PM
SURFACE WIND: 6 PM 170/16G23 MPH
8 PM 170/14 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 250446 AAB
RECTOP
EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1146 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 643 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
STILL EXPECTING CONVECTION TONIGHT TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
TERMINAL SITES OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...STRATOCU DECK AT 2500-3500
FEET HAS STEADILY INCREASED TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE
TERMINALS AND SPREAD AND LOWER INTO ALL TERMINALS BY 08Z BEFORE
SCATTERING BACK OUT AFTER 14Z. WINDS 8-10 KTS WILL VEER FROM
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY DURING THIS SAME TIMEFRAME. THEY WILL THEN
REMAIN SOUTHERLY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN
AFT 14Z WHEN GUSTS OVER 20KTS AREA THEN EXPECTED AS WARM FRONT
LIFTS NORTHWARD. BETTER FOCUS FOR ANY CONVECTION TO FORM NEAR
TERMINALS SATURDAY/SATURDAY EVENING REMAINS NORTH OF THE AREA
AND CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO INSERT INTO TERMINAL FCST AT
THIS TIME.
.THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 837 PM
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 603 PM): 200FT 142/18 MPH
400FT 141/21 MPH
600FT 138/22 MPH
800FT 139/23 MPH
1000FT 144/23 MPH
1500FT 145/22 MPH
2000FT 149/22 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM): SURFACE 165/12 MPH
79FT 167/16 MPH
234FT 170/20 MPH
503FT 175/26 MPH
907FT 183/33 MPH
1430FT 194/42 MPH
2074FT 210/48 MPH
2794FT 221/47 MPH
3595FT 229/42 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM): SURFACE 160/12 MPH
82FT 161/16 MPH
237FT 163/19 MPH
506FT 168/23 MPH
906FT 175/29 MPH
1432FT 192/37 MPH
2076FT 213/37 MPH
2798FT 227/35 MPH
3601FT 235/33 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM): SURFACE 169/15 MPH
79FT 170/19 MPH
238FT 171/21 MPH
507FT 173/23 MPH
909FT 175/29 MPH
1432FT 192/37 MPH
2076FT 213/37 MPH
2798FT 227/35 MPH
3601FT 235/33 MPH
.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
SUNRISE: 602 AM
SURFACE WIND: 6 AM 170/12 MPH
8 AM 180/13 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 242356
RECTOP
EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
656 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 643 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
EXPECT CONVECTION TONIGHT TO REMAIN GENERALLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE
TERMINAL SITES TONIGHT. HOWEVER THINK STRATOCU DECK 2500-3500 FEET
SHOULD FORM AFT 09Z BEFORE SCATTERING BACK OUT AFTER 14Z. AT THE
SAME TIME...WINDS WILL VEER FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME. THEY WILL THEN REMAIN SOUTHERLY LATE TONIGHT BUT
NOT INCREASE AGAIN UNTIL 14Z WHEN GUSTS OVER 20KTS AREA THEN
EXPECTED. CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW AT ADD ANY PRECIP TO THE
FCST AT THIS TIME.
.THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 837 PM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 7 PM 130/15 MPH
8 PM 140/14 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 603 PM): 200FT 142/18 MPH
400FT 141/21 MPH
600FT 138/22 MPH
800FT 139/23 MPH
1000FT 144/23 MPH
1500FT 145/22 MPH
2000FT 149/22 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM): SURFACE 141/15 MPH
97FT 141/19 MPH
255FT 142/20 MPH
528FT 142/21 MPH
936FT 143/22 MPH
1467FT 143/22 MPH
2108FT 144/22 MPH
2822FT 144/22 MPH
3613FT 179/24 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM): SURFACE 141/15 MPH
100FT 142/19 MPH
258FT 142/21 MPH
532FT 142/22 MPH
939FT 142/23 MPH
1470FT 143/23 MPH
2113FT 143/23 MPH
2827FT 144/23 MPH
3620FT 182/23 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM): SURFACE 144/16 MPH
94FT 144/21 MPH
252FT 144/23 MPH
526FT 145/25 MPH
932FT 142/23 MPH
1470FT 143/23 MPH
2113FT 143/23 MPH
2827FT 144/23 MPH
3620FT 182/23 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 7 PM 2114 FT
8 PM 1987 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
SUNRISE: 602 AM
SURFACE WIND: 6 AM 170/12 MPH
8 AM 170/13 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 241723
RECTOP
EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1223 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO BUILD THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH BORDERLINE VFR/MVFR CIGS AT TIMES. THERE IS STILL
SOME MODEL UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW HOURS OF
MVFR CIGS SATURDAY MORNING. HAVE ADDED A MENTION OF SCATTERED MVFR
CIGS AT KMHK AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL IN FUTURE
TAF UPDATES. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ADVANCES EASTWARD TOWARD
THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT
FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FROM A PASSING
WAVE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN OCCURRENCE NEAR
THE TAF SITES IS TOO LOW AT THIS TIME TO WARRANT ANY MENTION IN
THE TAFS.
.THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 837 PM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 6 PM 140/13 MPH
8 PM 140/12 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 609 AM): 200FT 124/10 MPH
400FT 127/17 MPH
600FT 133/25 MPH
800FT 137/31 MPH
1000FT 139/32 MPH
1500FT 140/33 MPH
2000FT 140/33 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM): SURFACE 154/18 MPH
97FT 155/22 MPH
257FT 155/24 MPH
533FT 156/25 MPH
943FT 156/26 MPH
1478FT 156/27 MPH
2126FT 157/27 MPH
2848FT 158/27 MPH
3645FT 173/27 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM): SURFACE 155/18 MPH
92FT 155/24 MPH
251FT 155/26 MPH
527FT 156/28 MPH
938FT 157/29 MPH
1474FT 157/29 MPH
2123FT 158/29 MPH
2843FT 158/30 MPH
3641FT 172/30 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM): SURFACE 155/19 MPH
86FT 155/25 MPH
245FT 156/28 MPH
524FT 156/31 MPH
934FT 157/29 MPH
1474FT 157/29 MPH
2123FT 158/29 MPH
2843FT 158/30 MPH
3641FT 172/30 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 6 PM 2103 FT
8 PM 1919 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
SUNRISE: 602 AM
SURFACE WIND: 6 AM 170/13 MPH
8 AM 170/13 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 241122
RECTOP
MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
622 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED. RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INCREASING MIXING COULD LEAVE TO SCATTERED MVFR CLOUDS MAINLY
THROUGH 18Z. THERE ARE SMALL CHANCES FOR HIGH-BASED CONVECTION
THROUGH MUCH OF THIS FORECAST BUT DETAILS IN COVERAGE AND WHEN ANY
WOULD IMPACT THE TERMINALS ARE TOO UNCERTAIN INCLUSION.
.THIS MORNING...
SUNRISE: 603 AM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 7 AM 120/07 MPH
8 AM 120/10 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 609 AM): 200FT 124/10 MPH
400FT 127/17 MPH
600FT 133/25 MPH
800FT 137/31 MPH
1000FT 139/32 MPH
1500FT 140/33 MPH
2000FT 140/33 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM): 34FT 101/09 MPH
117FT 102/13 MPH
268FT 106/21 MPH
533FT 118/28 MPH
929FT 125/31 MPH
1443FT 128/33 MPH
2073FT 132/34 MPH
2771FT 142/32 MPH
3548FT 157/28 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM): 23FT 121/11 MPH
107FT 121/14 MPH
258FT 122/16 MPH
523FT 126/26 MPH
917FT 129/34 MPH
1432FT 132/35 MPH
2057FT 136/34 MPH
2755FT 143/31 MPH
3533FT 159/27 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM): 23FT 137/14 MPH
107FT 138/17 MPH
258FT 138/19 MPH
524FT 138/20 MPH
916FT 129/34 MPH
1432FT 132/35 MPH
2057FT 136/34 MPH
2755FT 143/31 MPH
3533FT 159/27 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 7 AM 651 FT
8 AM 784 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 837 PM
SURFACE WIND: 6 PM 140/13 MPH
8 PM 140/12 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 240445
RECTOP
EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1145 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW INCREASING MOISTURE ADVECTION UP THROUGH
CENTRAL KS AS THE LOW LEVEL JET VEERS AROUND MORE TO THE SOUTH.
LATEST SATELLITE SHOWS A BAND OF AC WITHIN THE AXIS OF MOISTURE
ADVECTION. THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE WITH A MENTION OF VCSH AT MHK
BY MID MORNING AS ISENTROPIC PROGS SHOW SOME LIFT WITH LOWERING
COND PRES DEF DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KS. THINK TOP AND FOE
WILL REMAIN MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE BETTER MOISTURE ADVECTION.
THE NAM HAS BACKED OFF ON THE LOW LEVEL SATURATION AND MVFR CIGS.
WITH THE RUC SHOWING SOME CONSISTENCY IN KEEPING CIGS VFR...HAVE
TAKEN OUT THE MENTION OF MVFR CIGS AT MHK.
.THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 836 PM
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 610 PM): 200FT 056/11 MPH
400FT 049/12 MPH
600FT 046/13 MPH
800FT 049/13 MPH
1000FT 063/12 MPH
1500FT 068/10 MPH
2000FT 058/08 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM): 31FT 128/06 MPH
112FT 127/10 MPH
266FT 128/17 MPH
530FT 130/23 MPH
929FT 130/27 MPH
1443FT 130/29 MPH
2069FT 131/29 MPH
2764FT 129/25 MPH
3539FT 126/19 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM): 23FT 115/10 MPH
106FT 116/13 MPH
258FT 121/20 MPH
524FT 125/28 MPH
920FT 129/32 MPH
1434FT 130/32 MPH
2060FT 128/30 MPH
2756FT 126/26 MPH
3530FT 123/18 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM): 23FT 128/13 MPH
107FT 129/17 MPH
259FT 129/20 MPH
525FT 130/26 MPH
920FT 129/32 MPH
1434FT 130/32 MPH
2060FT 128/30 MPH
2756FT 126/26 MPH
3530FT 123/18 MPH
.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
SUNRISE: 603 AM
SURFACE WIND: 6 AM 120/07 MPH
8 AM 130/10 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 232335
RECTOP
EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
635 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 614 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
WILL HAVE TO MONITOR LOW LEVEL RH ONCE AGAIN FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF MVFR CIGS EARLY FRI MORNING. CONFIDENCE IS LOW SINCE THE RAP
HAS BEEN TRENDING DRIER IN THE LOW LEVELS. OPTED TO MAINTAIN FROM
THE PREV FORECAST A MENTION OF MVFR CIGS AT MHK SINCE THE NAM AND
GFS SHOW SOME LOW LEVEL RH ROTATING UP THROUGH CENTRAL KS WITH THE
LOW LEVEL JET. GOOD MOISTURE AND THETA-E ADVECTION THROUGH THE DAY
FRIDAY COULD LEAD TO SOME ELEVATED SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
CENTRAL KS. THIS COULD IMPACT MHK SO INSERTED A MENTION OF VCSH.
.THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 836 PM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 7 PM 070/10 MPH
8 PM 070/10 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 610 PM): 200FT 056/11 MPH
400FT 049/12 MPH
600FT 046/13 MPH
800FT 049/13 MPH
1000FT 063/12 MPH
1500FT 068/10 MPH
2000FT 058/08 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM): 36FT 073/08 MPH
122FT 074/10 MPH
278FT 074/10 MPH
550FT 074/10 MPH
950FT 074/10 MPH
1473FT 074/10 MPH
2109FT 074/10 MPH
2813FT 075/10 MPH
3593FT 075/09 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM): 39FT 070/09 MPH
125FT 070/10 MPH
281FT 070/11 MPH
551FT 070/11 MPH
955FT 071/12 MPH
1479FT 071/12 MPH
2112FT 071/12 MPH
2818FT 071/12 MPH
3601FT 065/08 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM): 45FT 071/09 MPH
128FT 071/11 MPH
284FT 071/12 MPH
556FT 072/12 MPH
957FT 071/12 MPH
1479FT 071/12 MPH
2112FT 071/12 MPH
2818FT 071/12 MPH
3601FT 065/08 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 7 PM 1738 FT
8 PM 1546 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
SUNRISE: 603 AM
SURFACE WIND: 6 AM 110/07 MPH
8 AM 110/10 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 231737
RECTOP
EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1237 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
MVFR CIGS CONTINUED TO BLANKET THE REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
BUT CIGS SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT TO LOW-END VFR BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. ONE ISSUE OF UNCERTAINTY IS WHETHER OR NOT THE TAF
SITES WILL EXPERIENCE MVFR CIGS ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING. THERE
ARE STILL SOME MODEL DISCREPANCIES REGARDING THIS CLOUD COVER SO
HAVE KEPT ANY MENTION OUT OF KTOP/KFOE TAFS ATTM...BUT THERE IS
SOMEWHAT HIGHER CONFIDENCE OUT TOWARD KMHK SO HAVE GONE AHEAD WITH
A MENTION. WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL VEER FROM NORTHEAST TO
SOUTHEAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SINKS SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA.
.THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 836 PM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 6 PM 060/10 MPH
8 PM 070/09 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 602 AM): 200FT 332/10 MPH
400FT 335/18 MPH
600FT 341/19 MPH
800FT 346/19 MPH
1000FT 350/19 MPH
1500FT 345/17 MPH
2000FT 322/16 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM): 36FT 072/12 MPH
120FT 073/14 MPH
278FT 074/15 MPH
553FT 073/16 MPH
958FT 074/16 MPH
1487FT 074/16 MPH
2126FT 074/16 MPH
2836FT 075/16 MPH
3622FT 076/15 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM): 39FT 074/13 MPH
123FT 075/16 MPH
280FT 075/17 MPH
553FT 076/17 MPH
960FT 076/17 MPH
1486FT 077/17 MPH
2125FT 077/17 MPH
2838FT 077/17 MPH
3624FT 078/17 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM): 45FT 075/13 MPH
132FT 075/16 MPH
288FT 076/18 MPH
560FT 076/19 MPH
966FT 076/17 MPH
1486FT 077/17 MPH
2125FT 077/17 MPH
2838FT 077/17 MPH
3624FT 078/17 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 6 PM 1894 FT
8 PM 1567 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
SUNRISE: 603 AM
SURFACE WIND: 6 AM 100/06 MPH
8 AM 100/09 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 231142
RECTOP
MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
642 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 638 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
LIMITING CEILINGS ARE ON THE DOORSTEP OF THE TERMINALS...WITH
UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS IN THE MVFR RANGE. STRATUS DECK REMAINS TO
BE EXPECTED TO BE RATHER THIN...AND EXPECT VFR TO RETURN BY 17Z.
WINDS SLOWLY VEER TO A EAST TO SOUTHEAST DIRECTION THROUGH THIS FORECAST.
.THIS MORNING...
SUNRISE: 603 AM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 7 AM 330/06 MPH
8 AM 340/08 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 602 AM): 200FT 332/10 MPH
400FT 335/18 MPH
600FT 341/19 MPH
800FT 346/19 MPH
1000FT 350/19 MPH
1500FT 345/17 MPH
2000FT 322/16 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM): 37FT 340/07 MPH
121FT 343/11 MPH
273FT 348/17 MPH
537FT 351/24 MPH
929FT 353/26 MPH
1442FT 354/27 MPH
2064FT 359/30 MPH
2758FT 360/31 MPH
3536FT 353/29 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM): 42FT 360/13 MPH
124FT 001/17 MPH
276FT 001/19 MPH
543FT 001/21 MPH
936FT 002/23 MPH
1448FT 002/26 MPH
2070FT 008/31 MPH
2767FT 008/29 MPH
3547FT 358/26 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM): 42FT 010/15 MPH
124FT 009/18 MPH
277FT 010/20 MPH
544FT 010/21 MPH
937FT 002/23 MPH
1448FT 002/26 MPH
2070FT 008/31 MPH
2767FT 008/29 MPH
3547FT 358/26 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 7 AM 629 FT
8 AM 768 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 836 PM
SURFACE WIND: 6 PM 060/10 MPH
8 PM 070/09 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 230422
RECTOP
EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1122 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
THE RAP AND NAM CONTINUE TO SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR MVFR CIGS
MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH BY 12Z. THEREFORE FORECAST THINKING IS
UNCHANGED. CIGS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE BY NOON WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR A STRATOCU DECK PERSISTING THROUGH A GOOD PORTION OF
THE DAY. SFC WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER WITH RIDGING NOSING IN.
.THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 835 PM
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 605 PM): 200FT 319/08 MPH
400FT 310/11 MPH
600FT 307/13 MPH
800FT 303/14 MPH
1000FT 295/18 MPH
1500FT 291/19 MPH
2000FT 290/20 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM): 28FT 342/07 MPH
110FT 345/11 MPH
262FT 349/16 MPH
527FT 353/21 MPH
920FT 356/24 MPH
1431FT 356/26 MPH
2055FT 347/24 MPH
2750FT 339/21 MPH
3520FT 331/19 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM): 28FT 351/07 MPH
112FT 352/10 MPH
264FT 356/14 MPH
527FT 359/18 MPH
919FT 360/21 MPH
1428FT 358/24 MPH
2051FT 350/22 MPH
2744FT 345/20 MPH
3517FT 336/18 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM): 31FT 359/12 MPH
112FT 359/14 MPH
264FT 359/16 MPH
527FT 359/17 MPH
918FT 360/21 MPH
1428FT 358/24 MPH
2051FT 350/22 MPH
2744FT 345/20 MPH
3517FT 336/18 MPH
.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
SUNRISE: 603 AM
SURFACE WIND: 6 AM 340/06 MPH
8 AM 350/08 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
000
SXUS43 KTOP 222323
RECTOP
EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
623 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
...SHAWNEE COUNTY...
.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 610 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
THINK THAT THE TERMINALS MAY SCATTER OUT THIS EVENING. HOWEVER THE
NAM AND RAP CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME MVFR CIGS AROUND 2500 FT MOVING
BACK IN FROM THE NORTH BY 12Z. THE CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
IMPROVE ABOVE 3 KFT BY NOON THURSDAY WITH A STRATOCU DECK HANGING
IN FOR A PORTION OF THE AFTERNOON. NO PRECIP IS ANTICIPATED DUE TO
A LACK OF FORCING AND SFC WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER THROUGH THE
DAY THURSDAY AS SFC RIDGING NOSES IN.
.THIS EVENING...
SUNSET: 835 PM
SURFACE WIND FORECAST: 7 PM 320/10 MPH
8 PM 320/09 MPH
TOP SND (AGL) (AT 605 PM): 200FT 319/08 MPH
400FT 310/11 MPH
600FT 307/13 MPH
800FT 303/14 MPH
1000FT 295/18 MPH
1500FT 291/19 MPH
2000FT 290/20 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM): 21FT 304/10 MPH
108FT 303/13 MPH
263FT 303/14 MPH
533FT 303/14 MPH
937FT 302/15 MPH
1460FT 302/15 MPH
2094FT 301/15 MPH
2798FT 301/16 MPH
3578FT 301/17 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM): 21FT 313/12 MPH
106FT 312/14 MPH
263FT 311/15 MPH
533FT 311/16 MPH
935FT 309/16 MPH
1459FT 308/17 MPH
2094FT 307/17 MPH
2802FT 305/17 MPH
3583FT 303/17 MPH
RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM): 21FT 321/12 MPH
106FT 321/16 MPH
263FT 320/18 MPH
532FT 318/19 MPH
937FT 309/16 MPH
1459FT 308/17 MPH
2094FT 307/17 MPH
2802FT 305/17 MPH
3583FT 303/17 MPH
DENSITY ALTITUDE: 7 PM 2003 FT
8 PM 1933 FT
.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
SUNRISE: 603 AM
SURFACE WIND: 6 AM 330/07 MPH
8 AM 340/08 MPH
&&
THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA
$$
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