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000
SXUS43 KTOP 240631
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
131 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW ENOUGH OF A PRESSURE GRADIENT TO KEEP SOME
WIND AT THE SURFACE THROUGH THE MORNING. THINK THIS ALONG WITH HIGH
CIRRUS OVERHEAD MAY BE ENOUGH TO KEEP THE FOG LIGHT AND VSBY MVFR.
THE EXCEPTION IS MHK WHERE WINDS HAVE GONE CALM. THERE COULD BE A
BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR VSBY BUT THINK THIS WOULD BE TEMPORARY. WITH
MIXING AND INSOLATION, THE BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD MIX OUT BY LATE
MORNING LEADING TO VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         740 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  200/06 MPH
                                     9 AM  210/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 601 PM):        200FT  164/07 MPH
                                      400FT  171/11 MPH
                                      600FT  176/12 MPH
                                      800FT  180/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  187/11 MPH
                                     1500FT  203/10 MPH
                                     2000FT  231/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 183/08 MPH
                                       81FT  193/17 MPH
                                      234FT  195/19 MPH
                                      501FT  214/27 MPH
                                      900FT  223/34 MPH
                                     1428FT  234/29 MPH
                                     2075FT  249/26 MPH
                                     2793FT  260/25 MPH
                                     3587FT  265/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 188/10 MPH
                                       81FT  193/18 MPH
                                      234FT  194/20 MPH
                                      501FT  215/31 MPH
                                      905FT  220/37 MPH
                                     1434FT  227/33 MPH
                                     2078FT  242/27 MPH
                                     2798FT  257/22 MPH
                                     3596FT  261/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 198/10 MPH
                                       75FT  204/19 MPH
                                      229FT  204/22 MPH
                                      496FT  219/34 MPH
                                      900FT  220/37 MPH
                                     1434FT  227/33 MPH
                                     2078FT  242/27 MPH
                                     2798FT  257/22 MPH
                                     3596FT  261/18 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1210 FT
                                     9 AM  1479 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         633 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   4 PM  220/13 MPH
                    6 PM  220/09 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 232331
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
631 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 559 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

CONCERNED THAT FOG COULD DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND
RECENT RAINFALL. HOWEVER MODELS SHOW THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
GRADUALLY INCREASING OVERNIGHT WHILE HIGH CIRRUS CONTINUES TO
OVERSPREAD THE AREA. MODELS DO NOT SEEM TO BE KEEN ON THE IDEA OF
STRATUS DEVELOPING WITH SOME MID LEVEL DRY AIR ADVECTING IN FROM
THE WEST AND POSSIBLY ENTRAINING INTO THE TOP OF THE BOUNDARY
LAYER. SINCE THERE ISN`T AN IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP, WILL
KEEP A MENTION OF MVFR VSBY AT TOP AND FOE. LESS RAINFALL AND MORE
MIXING THIS AFTERNOON MAKES FOG A LITTLE LESS LIKELY AT MHK SO
WILL MONITOR TRENDS BUT NOT INCLUDE A MENTION OF BR JUST YET.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          633 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 601 PM):        200FT  164/07 MPH
                                      400FT  171/11 MPH
                                      600FT  176/12 MPH
                                      800FT  180/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  187/11 MPH
                                     1500FT  203/10 MPH
                                     2000FT  231/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 154/06 MPH
                                       88FT  156/08 MPH
                                      244FT  157/08 MPH
                                      518FT  159/08 MPH
                                      924FT  164/08 MPH
                                     1451FT  171/07 MPH
                                     2089FT  208/05 MPH
                                     2800FT  267/05 MPH
                                     3587FT  303/07 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 151/06 MPH
                                       90FT  151/09 MPH
                                      247FT  154/11 MPH
                                      517FT  160/12 MPH
                                      923FT  168/11 MPH
                                     1449FT  183/09 MPH
                                     2086FT  219/07 MPH
                                     2798FT  265/08 MPH
                                     3586FT  272/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 158/05 MPH
                                       90FT  158/10 MPH
                                      246FT  164/12 MPH
                                      517FT  172/13 MPH
                                      921FT  168/11 MPH
                                     1449FT  183/09 MPH
                                     2086FT  219/07 MPH
                                     2798FT  265/08 MPH
                                     3586FT  272/08 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        741 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  190/05 MPH
                    9 AM  200/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 231755
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1255 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

MVFR CIGS AT KTOP/KFOE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO VFR (3500 FT) AFT
23Z BUT REMAIN VFR AT KMHK AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AXIS SHIFTS EAST
OF THE KMHK TAF SITE AS WINDS SLOWLY DECREASE. THIS AXIS OF DEEPER
MOISTURE OVERNIGHT MAY ALLOW FOR MVFR CIGS AND FOG TO REDEVELOP IN
THE KTOP/KFOE TERMINALS AFT 06Z HOWEVER. IF CLOUDCOVER OR LOW
LEVEL MIXING AFT 06Z ARE LESS EXTENSIVE/WEAKER...THEN LOWER CIGS
AND VSBYS IN STRATUS AND FOG COULD OCCUR.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          633 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           4 PM  230/06 MPH
                                     6 PM  200/05 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 610 AM):        200FT  170/12 MPH
                                      400FT  172/15 MPH
                                      600FT  181/17 MPH
                                      800FT  190/18 MPH
                                     1000FT  206/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  209/23 MPH
                                     2000FT  213/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        24FT  192/03 MPH
                                      111FT  194/04 MPH
                                      267FT  196/04 MPH
                                      537FT  201/04 MPH
                                      941FT  207/04 MPH
                                     1466FT  215/05 MPH
                                     2102FT  238/05 MPH
                                     2810FT  283/05 MPH
                                     3596FT  338/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        24FT  140/06 MPH
                                      110FT  142/07 MPH
                                      266FT  147/07 MPH
                                      536FT  153/06 MPH
                                      940FT  165/05 MPH
                                     1465FT  189/04 MPH
                                     2100FT  239/04 MPH
                                     2811FT  283/04 MPH
                                     3597FT  341/05 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        24FT  147/05 MPH
                                      107FT  147/09 MPH
                                      263FT  150/10 MPH
                                      535FT  155/09 MPH
                                      939FT  165/05 MPH
                                     1465FT  189/04 MPH
                                     2100FT  239/04 MPH
                                     2811FT  283/04 MPH
                                     3597FT  341/05 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                4 PM  2296 FT
                                     6 PM  2063 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        741 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  190/06 MPH
                    9 AM  200/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 231755
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1255 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

MVFR CIGS AT KTOP/KFOE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO VFR (3500 FT) AFT
23Z BUT REMAIN VFR AT KMHK AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AXIS SHIFTS EAST
OF THE KMHK TAF SITE AS WINDS SLOWLY DECREASE. THIS AXIS OF DEEPER
MOISTURE OVERNIGHT MAY ALLOW FOR MVFR CIGS AND FOG TO REDEVELOP IN
THE KTOP/KFOE TERMINALS AFT 06Z HOWEVER. IF CLOUDCOVER OR LOW
LEVEL MIXING AFT 06Z ARE LESS EXTENSIVE/WEAKER...THEN LOWER CIGS
AND VSBYS IN STRATUS AND FOG COULD OCCUR.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          633 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           4 PM  230/06 MPH
                                     6 PM  200/05 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 610 AM):        200FT  170/12 MPH
                                      400FT  172/15 MPH
                                      600FT  181/17 MPH
                                      800FT  190/18 MPH
                                     1000FT  206/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  209/23 MPH
                                     2000FT  213/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        24FT  192/03 MPH
                                      111FT  194/04 MPH
                                      267FT  196/04 MPH
                                      537FT  201/04 MPH
                                      941FT  207/04 MPH
                                     1466FT  215/05 MPH
                                     2102FT  238/05 MPH
                                     2810FT  283/05 MPH
                                     3596FT  338/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        24FT  140/06 MPH
                                      110FT  142/07 MPH
                                      266FT  147/07 MPH
                                      536FT  153/06 MPH
                                      940FT  165/05 MPH
                                     1465FT  189/04 MPH
                                     2100FT  239/04 MPH
                                     2811FT  283/04 MPH
                                     3597FT  341/05 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        24FT  147/05 MPH
                                      107FT  147/09 MPH
                                      263FT  150/10 MPH
                                      535FT  155/09 MPH
                                      939FT  165/05 MPH
                                     1465FT  189/04 MPH
                                     2100FT  239/04 MPH
                                     2811FT  283/04 MPH
                                     3597FT  341/05 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                4 PM  2296 FT
                                     6 PM  2063 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        741 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  190/06 MPH
                    9 AM  200/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 231140
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
640 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

STRATUS WILL BE THE MAIN ISSUE WITH THIS TAF PERIOD. FOR NOW THE
CIGS APPEAR TO STAY IN THE MVFR CATEGORY AND THE VIS SHOULD REMAIN
IN VFR. MOST OF THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THE CLOUDS WILL LINGER
THROUGH 00Z FRI. AT SOME POINT THE CIGS COULD LIFT TO VFR,
ALTHOUGH GIVEN THE MODEL SPREAD PINNING DOWN THAT TIME IS DIFFICULT.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         740 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  200/07 MPH
                                     9 AM  210/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 610 AM):        200FT  170/12 MPH
                                      400FT  172/15 MPH
                                      600FT  181/17 MPH
                                      800FT  190/18 MPH
                                     1000FT  206/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  209/23 MPH
                                     2000FT  213/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 349/01 MPH
                                       47FT  259/01 MPH
                                      201FT  257/02 MPH
                                      471FT  240/06 MPH
                                      872FT  239/10 MPH
                                     1391FT  244/13 MPH
                                     2026FT  253/15 MPH
                                     2732FT  257/16 MPH
                                     3514FT  260/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 360/01 MPH
                                       56FT  315/01 MPH
                                      210FT  285/03 MPH
                                      480FT  258/07 MPH
                                      878FT  252/10 MPH
                                     1399FT  248/14 MPH
                                     2034FT  250/16 MPH
                                     2740FT  256/16 MPH
                                     3521FT  263/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 180/01 MPH
                                       64FT  203/02 MPH
                                      218FT  234/03 MPH
                                      485FT  242/08 MPH
                                      886FT  252/10 MPH
                                     1399FT  248/14 MPH
                                     2034FT  250/16 MPH
                                     2740FT  256/16 MPH
                                     3521FT  263/18 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1529 FT
                                     9 AM  1593 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         633 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   4 PM  230/06 MPH
                    6 PM  200/05 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 222329
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
629 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 607 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST REMAINS LOW CONFIDENCE MAINLY FOR POSSIBLE MVFR
CONDITIONS AFTER THE PRECIP EXITS. MOST GUIDANCE INCLUDING THE
OBJECTIVE MOS IS SUGGESTING CIGS DROPPING BETWEEN 1 AND 2 KFT
DURING THE MOD MORNING HOURS. THINK IMPACT OF THE -SHRA WILL BE
MINIMAL DUE TO LIMITED OR NO INSTABILITY AND RAINFALL INTENSITIES
REMAINING LIGHT WITH BETTER FORCING STAYING NORTH OF THE AREA. SO
FORECAST IS A BEST GUESS OF WHEN CIGS COULD FALL AND THEN IMPROVE
TOMORROW.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          634 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 603 PM):        200FT  150/13 MPH
                                      400FT  148/19 MPH
                                      600FT  149/21 MPH
                                      800FT  152/23 MPH
                                     1000FT  164/24 MPH
                                     1500FT  177/21 MPH
                                     2000FT  186/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 167/13 MPH
                                       71FT  169/17 MPH
                                      230FT  169/19 MPH
                                      505FT  171/21 MPH
                                      917FT  171/22 MPH
                                     1448FT  173/23 MPH
                                     2095FT  173/24 MPH
                                     2815FT  175/24 MPH
                                     3610FT  176/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 162/10 MPH
                                       71FT  165/16 MPH
                                      229FT  167/20 MPH
                                      504FT  170/24 MPH
                                      912FT  172/26 MPH
                                     1446FT  174/27 MPH
                                     2092FT  176/27 MPH
                                     2809FT  179/27 MPH
                                     3604FT  184/26 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 156/08 MPH
                                       68FT  162/16 MPH
                                      225FT  163/20 MPH
                                      498FT  168/24 MPH
                                      908FT  172/26 MPH
                                     1446FT  174/27 MPH
                                     2092FT  176/27 MPH
                                     2809FT  179/27 MPH
                                     3604FT  184/26 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        740 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  200/07 MPH
                    9 AM  220/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 221742
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1242 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

SHOULD HAVE VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS WITH
INCREASING CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION AND MAINLY MINOR LIMITATIONS
AS A BROKEN FAIRLY WIDE BAND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP AROUND THE TERMINALS. TS SHOULD BE
BRIEF AND ISOLATED AT WORST SO KEPT MENTION OUT. WENT AHEAD WITH
SOME MVFR IN THE MORE LIKELY TIMES OF PRECIP, AND CONTINUED SOUTH
FLOW SHOULD RESULT IN LOW CLOUD THROUGH MUCH OF THE LATTER
PORTIONS OF THIS FORECAST.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          634 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           4 PM  170/17 MPH
                                     6 PM  150/14 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 AM):        200FT  135/09 MPH
                                      400FT  138/17 MPH
                                      600FT  154/23 MPH
                                      800FT  166/29 MPH
                                     1000FT  175/30 MPH
                                     1500FT  176/28 MPH
                                     2000FT  197/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 177/13 MPH
                                       77FT  178/17 MPH
                                      236FT  179/19 MPH
                                      511FT  180/21 MPH
                                      924FT  181/21 MPH
                                     1456FT  182/22 MPH
                                     2103FT  183/22 MPH
                                     2820FT  185/22 MPH
                                     3616FT  187/23 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 159/10 MPH
                                       71FT  162/16 MPH
                                      229FT  164/19 MPH
                                      504FT  167/23 MPH
                                      916FT  170/24 MPH
                                     1447FT  174/25 MPH
                                     2094FT  178/25 MPH
                                     2814FT  184/24 MPH
                                     3609FT  191/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 151/10 MPH
                                       71FT  153/19 MPH
                                      229FT  154/22 MPH
                                      503FT  159/27 MPH
                                      910FT  170/24 MPH
                                     1447FT  174/25 MPH
                                     2094FT  178/25 MPH
                                     2814FT  184/24 MPH
                                     3609FT  191/24 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                4 PM  2366 FT
                                     6 PM  2234 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        740 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  210/07 MPH
                    9 AM  220/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$










000
SXUS43 KTOP 221742
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1242 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

SHOULD HAVE VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS WITH
INCREASING CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION AND MAINLY MINOR LIMITATIONS
AS A BROKEN FAIRLY WIDE BAND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP AROUND THE TERMINALS. TS SHOULD BE
BRIEF AND ISOLATED AT WORST SO KEPT MENTION OUT. WENT AHEAD WITH
SOME MVFR IN THE MORE LIKELY TIMES OF PRECIP, AND CONTINUED SOUTH
FLOW SHOULD RESULT IN LOW CLOUD THROUGH MUCH OF THE LATTER
PORTIONS OF THIS FORECAST.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          634 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           4 PM  170/17 MPH
                                     6 PM  150/14 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 AM):        200FT  135/09 MPH
                                      400FT  138/17 MPH
                                      600FT  154/23 MPH
                                      800FT  166/29 MPH
                                     1000FT  175/30 MPH
                                     1500FT  176/28 MPH
                                     2000FT  197/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 177/13 MPH
                                       77FT  178/17 MPH
                                      236FT  179/19 MPH
                                      511FT  180/21 MPH
                                      924FT  181/21 MPH
                                     1456FT  182/22 MPH
                                     2103FT  183/22 MPH
                                     2820FT  185/22 MPH
                                     3616FT  187/23 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 159/10 MPH
                                       71FT  162/16 MPH
                                      229FT  164/19 MPH
                                      504FT  167/23 MPH
                                      916FT  170/24 MPH
                                     1447FT  174/25 MPH
                                     2094FT  178/25 MPH
                                     2814FT  184/24 MPH
                                     3609FT  191/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 151/10 MPH
                                       71FT  153/19 MPH
                                      229FT  154/22 MPH
                                      503FT  159/27 MPH
                                      910FT  170/24 MPH
                                     1447FT  174/25 MPH
                                     2094FT  178/25 MPH
                                     2814FT  184/24 MPH
                                     3609FT  191/24 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                4 PM  2366 FT
                                     6 PM  2234 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        740 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  210/07 MPH
                    9 AM  220/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$










000
SXUS43 KTOP 221128
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
628 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS. THERE MAY BE
OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 18 TO 22 MPH AT TOP/FOE DURING MID DAY. A
BAND OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TAF SITES LATER THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. THERE COULD BE ISOLATED THUNDER DURING THIS TIME
FRAME. VIS AND OR CIGS MAY DECREASE AFTER THE RAIN TOWARDS THE END OF
THE PERIOD AT MHK.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         739 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  120/08 MPH
                                     9 AM  140/09 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 AM):        200FT  135/09 MPH
                                      400FT  138/17 MPH
                                      600FT  154/23 MPH
                                      800FT  166/29 MPH
                                     1000FT  175/30 MPH
                                     1500FT  176/28 MPH
                                     2000FT  197/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 140/11 MPH
                                       75FT  141/20 MPH
                                      228FT  142/23 MPH
                                      495FT  148/32 MPH
                                      894FT  153/37 MPH
                                     1417FT  163/35 MPH
                                     2056FT  173/30 MPH
                                     2768FT  198/27 MPH
                                     3559FT  231/25 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 148/11 MPH
                                       81FT  150/19 MPH
                                      233FT  151/22 MPH
                                      498FT  156/31 MPH
                                      894FT  160/37 MPH
                                     1419FT  169/35 MPH
                                     2055FT  181/31 MPH
                                     2770FT  205/24 MPH
                                     3562FT  236/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 156/12 MPH
                                       81FT  158/20 MPH
                                      233FT  159/22 MPH
                                      498FT  164/30 MPH
                                      896FT  160/37 MPH
                                     1419FT  169/35 MPH
                                     2055FT  181/31 MPH
                                     2770FT  205/24 MPH
                                     3562FT  236/21 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  974 FT
                                     9 AM  1052 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         634 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   4 PM  170/14 MPH
                    6 PM  160/12 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$










000
SXUS43 KTOP 220430
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1130 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

THE NAM HAS SEEMED TO DEVELOP THE LIGHT PRECIP THIS MORNING CLOSER
TO THE MO STATE LINE, AND SINCE THE RAP AND HRRR CONTINUE TO KEEP
THE TERMINALS DRY WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST. STRATOCU DECK IS
JUST NOW BEGINNING TO FORM. MOST GUIDANCE POINTS TO THIS DECK
REMAINING ABOVE 3 KFT. SO EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. UPPER
TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH VERY LIMITED
INSTABILITY. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH FORCING WITHIN THE MOISTURE AXIS
FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS, WHICH APPEAR MORE LIKELY AFT 06Z FOR TOP
AND FOE. WILL INCLUDE A TEMPO FOR -SHRA LATE IN THE EVENING FOR
MHK.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          635 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 PM):        200FT  118/09 MPH
                                      400FT  119/13 MPH
                                      600FT  123/14 MPH
                                      800FT  130/14 MPH
                                     1000FT  144/13 MPH
                                     1500FT  150/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  162/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 150/06 MPH
                                       86FT  149/16 MPH
                                      237FT  149/18 MPH
                                      501FT  158/30 MPH
                                      900FT  161/34 MPH
                                     1421FT  172/31 MPH
                                     2060FT  189/27 MPH
                                     2771FT  214/27 MPH
                                     3565FT  234/28 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 150/06 MPH
                                       86FT  153/16 MPH
                                      237FT  154/18 MPH
                                      500FT  165/28 MPH
                                      896FT  173/31 MPH
                                     1419FT  182/30 MPH
                                     2056FT  199/29 MPH
                                     2767FT  222/29 MPH
                                     3560FT  235/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 149/07 MPH
                                       86FT  152/17 MPH
                                      236FT  153/19 MPH
                                      499FT  169/27 MPH
                                      895FT  173/31 MPH
                                     1419FT  182/30 MPH
                                     2056FT  199/29 MPH
                                     2767FT  222/29 MPH
                                     3560FT  235/29 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        739 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  130/07 MPH
                    9 AM  150/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 220430
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1130 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

THE NAM HAS SEEMED TO DEVELOP THE LIGHT PRECIP THIS MORNING CLOSER
TO THE MO STATE LINE, AND SINCE THE RAP AND HRRR CONTINUE TO KEEP
THE TERMINALS DRY WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST. STRATOCU DECK IS
JUST NOW BEGINNING TO FORM. MOST GUIDANCE POINTS TO THIS DECK
REMAINING ABOVE 3 KFT. SO EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. UPPER
TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH VERY LIMITED
INSTABILITY. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH FORCING WITHIN THE MOISTURE AXIS
FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS, WHICH APPEAR MORE LIKELY AFT 06Z FOR TOP
AND FOE. WILL INCLUDE A TEMPO FOR -SHRA LATE IN THE EVENING FOR
MHK.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          635 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 PM):        200FT  118/09 MPH
                                      400FT  119/13 MPH
                                      600FT  123/14 MPH
                                      800FT  130/14 MPH
                                     1000FT  144/13 MPH
                                     1500FT  150/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  162/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 150/06 MPH
                                       86FT  149/16 MPH
                                      237FT  149/18 MPH
                                      501FT  158/30 MPH
                                      900FT  161/34 MPH
                                     1421FT  172/31 MPH
                                     2060FT  189/27 MPH
                                     2771FT  214/27 MPH
                                     3565FT  234/28 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 150/06 MPH
                                       86FT  153/16 MPH
                                      237FT  154/18 MPH
                                      500FT  165/28 MPH
                                      896FT  173/31 MPH
                                     1419FT  182/30 MPH
                                     2056FT  199/29 MPH
                                     2767FT  222/29 MPH
                                     3560FT  235/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 149/07 MPH
                                       86FT  152/17 MPH
                                      236FT  153/19 MPH
                                      499FT  169/27 MPH
                                      895FT  173/31 MPH
                                     1419FT  182/30 MPH
                                     2056FT  199/29 MPH
                                     2767FT  222/29 MPH
                                     3560FT  235/29 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        739 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  130/07 MPH
                    9 AM  150/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 212328
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
628 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 539 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME MOISTURE ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC
LIFT BETWEEN 900MB AND 850MB AFTER 06Z. ONLY THE NAM FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THERE IS ANY INSTABILITY WITH THE RAP AND GFS
MAINTAINING SOME INHIBITION ABOVE THIS LAYER. THEREFORE WILL
MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST FOR THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT AND MONITOR
TRENDS. LARGER SCALE FORCING DOES NOT AFFECT THE AREA TOMORROW
UNTIL AFTER 00Z, SO THE FORECAST HAS VFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          635 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 PM):        200FT  118/09 MPH
                                      400FT  119/13 MPH
                                      600FT  123/14 MPH
                                      800FT  130/14 MPH
                                     1000FT  144/13 MPH
                                     1500FT  150/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  162/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        27FT  133/08 MPH
                                      112FT  135/09 MPH
                                      270FT  137/10 MPH
                                      543FT  138/10 MPH
                                      950FT  143/11 MPH
                                     1476FT  147/11 MPH
                                     2119FT  154/11 MPH
                                     2829FT  163/11 MPH
                                     3620FT  179/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACEFT  108/07 MPH
                                      105FT  111/11 MPH
                                      263FT  116/14 MPH
                                      536FT  123/14 MPH
                                      942FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACEFT  107/07 MPH
                                       96FT  107/16 MPH
                                      253FT  109/19 MPH
                                      525FT  114/20 MPH
                                      930FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        739 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  140/08 MPH
                    9 AM  150/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 212328
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
628 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 539 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME MOISTURE ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC
LIFT BETWEEN 900MB AND 850MB AFTER 06Z. ONLY THE NAM FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THERE IS ANY INSTABILITY WITH THE RAP AND GFS
MAINTAINING SOME INHIBITION ABOVE THIS LAYER. THEREFORE WILL
MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST FOR THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT AND MONITOR
TRENDS. LARGER SCALE FORCING DOES NOT AFFECT THE AREA TOMORROW
UNTIL AFTER 00Z, SO THE FORECAST HAS VFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          635 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 PM):        200FT  118/09 MPH
                                      400FT  119/13 MPH
                                      600FT  123/14 MPH
                                      800FT  130/14 MPH
                                     1000FT  144/13 MPH
                                     1500FT  150/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  162/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        27FT  133/08 MPH
                                      112FT  135/09 MPH
                                      270FT  137/10 MPH
                                      543FT  138/10 MPH
                                      950FT  143/11 MPH
                                     1476FT  147/11 MPH
                                     2119FT  154/11 MPH
                                     2829FT  163/11 MPH
                                     3620FT  179/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACEFT  108/07 MPH
                                      105FT  111/11 MPH
                                      263FT  116/14 MPH
                                      536FT  123/14 MPH
                                      942FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACEFT  107/07 MPH
                                       96FT  107/16 MPH
                                      253FT  109/19 MPH
                                      525FT  114/20 MPH
                                      930FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        739 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  140/08 MPH
                    9 AM  150/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 212321
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
621 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 539 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME MOISTURE ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC
LIFT BETWEEN 900MB AND 850MB AFTER 06Z. ONLY THE NAM FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THERE IS ANY INSTABILITY WITH THE RAP AND GFS
MAINTAINING SOME INHIBITION ABOVE THIS LAYER. THEREFORE WILL
MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST FOR THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT AND MONITOR
TRENDS. LARGER SCALE FORCING DOES NOT AFFECT THE AREA TOMORROW
UNTIL AFTER 00Z, SO THE FORECAST HAS VFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          635 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 PM):        200FT  118/09 MPH
                                      400FT  119/13 MPH
                                      600FT  123/14 MPH
                                      800FT  130/14 MPH
                                     1000FT  144/13 MPH
                                     1500FT  150/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  162/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        27FT  133/08 MPH
                                      112FT  135/09 MPH
                                      270FT  137/10 MPH
                                      543FT  138/10 MPH
                                      950FT  143/11 MPH
                                     1476FT  147/11 MPH
                                     2119FT  154/11 MPH
                                     2829FT  163/11 MPH
                                     3620FT  179/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACEFT  108/07 MPH
                                      105FT  111/11 MPH
                                      263FT  116/14 MPH
                                      536FT  123/14 MPH
                                      942FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACEFT  107/07 MPH
                                       96FT  107/16 MPH
                                      253FT  109/19 MPH
                                      525FT  114/20 MPH
                                      930FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        739 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  140/08 MPH
                    9 AM  150/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 212321
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
621 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 539 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME MOISTURE ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC
LIFT BETWEEN 900MB AND 850MB AFTER 06Z. ONLY THE NAM FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THERE IS ANY INSTABILITY WITH THE RAP AND GFS
MAINTAINING SOME INHIBITION ABOVE THIS LAYER. THEREFORE WILL
MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST FOR THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT AND MONITOR
TRENDS. LARGER SCALE FORCING DOES NOT AFFECT THE AREA TOMORROW
UNTIL AFTER 00Z, SO THE FORECAST HAS VFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          635 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 PM):        200FT  118/09 MPH
                                      400FT  119/13 MPH
                                      600FT  123/14 MPH
                                      800FT  130/14 MPH
                                     1000FT  144/13 MPH
                                     1500FT  150/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  162/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        27FT  133/08 MPH
                                      112FT  135/09 MPH
                                      270FT  137/10 MPH
                                      543FT  138/10 MPH
                                      950FT  143/11 MPH
                                     1476FT  147/11 MPH
                                     2119FT  154/11 MPH
                                     2829FT  163/11 MPH
                                     3620FT  179/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACEFT  108/07 MPH
                                      105FT  111/11 MPH
                                      263FT  116/14 MPH
                                      536FT  123/14 MPH
                                      942FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACEFT  107/07 MPH
                                       96FT  107/16 MPH
                                      253FT  109/19 MPH
                                      525FT  114/20 MPH
                                      930FT  132/14 MPH
                                     1469FT  144/13 MPH
                                     2109FT  162/12 MPH
                                     2822FT  179/12 MPH
                                     3610FT  192/13 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        739 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  140/08 MPH
                    9 AM  150/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 211713
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1213 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

VFR EXPECTED AT KTOP/KFOE/KMHK AS SOUTHEAST WINDS BLO 10 KTS
PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. OUTSIDE CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED
SHOWER IMPACTING KFOE/KTOP OTHERWISE FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
INCREASING MOISTURE AND BROKEN STRATUS DEVELOPING NEAR 4 KFT FROM
09Z TO 13Z. IF SHOWERS DEVELOP NEAR SITES, SCATTERED MVFR CIGS ARE
POSSIBLE.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          635 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           4 PM  140/07 MPH
                                     6 PM  120/06 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 603 AM):        200FT  240/02 MPH
                                      400FT  234/03 MPH
                                      600FT  209/03 MPH
                                      800FT  215/04 MPH
                                     1000FT  240/05 MPH
                                     1500FT  243/03 MPH
                                     2000FT  283/03 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        27FT  158/07 MPH
                                      112FT  160/09 MPH
                                      270FT  160/10 MPH
                                      545FT  162/10 MPH
                                      953FT  163/11 MPH
                                     1483FT  164/10 MPH
                                     2128FT  166/10 MPH
                                     2844FT  169/10 MPH
                                     3637FT  171/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        24FT  148/06 MPH
                                      111FT  150/11 MPH
                                      270FT  154/13 MPH
                                      544FT  157/14 MPH
                                      951FT  159/14 MPH
                                     1481FT  159/14 MPH
                                     2125FT  160/13 MPH
                                     2840FT  160/12 MPH
                                     3632FT  163/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        27FT  155/06 MPH
                                      111FT  157/13 MPH
                                      268FT  161/16 MPH
                                      542FT  163/17 MPH
                                      951FT  159/14 MPH
                                     1481FT  159/14 MPH
                                     2125FT  160/13 MPH
                                     2840FT  160/12 MPH
                                     3632FT  163/11 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                4 PM  2333 FT
                                     6 PM  2112 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        739 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  130/07 MPH
                    9 AM  140/09 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









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