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000
SXUS43 KTOP 240449
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1149 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1148 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

SEVERAL HOURS OF LIMITATIONS CONTINUE TO BE ANTICIPATED. BACKED
OFF TSRA TIMING A BIT BASED ON LATEST TRENDS. STILL LOOKS LIKE
MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DOMINATE WITH BRIEF IFR POSSIBLE. IMPROVING
CONDITIONS STILL ON TRACK AROUND 15Z WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          808 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 607 PM):        200FT  171/26 MPH
                                      400FT  172/31 MPH
                                      600FT  170/32 MPH
                                      800FT  169/35 MPH
                                     1000FT  169/37 MPH
                                     1500FT  168/33 MPH
                                     2000FT  165/33 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 157/12 MPH
                                       47FT  158/17 MPH
                                      205FT  162/20 MPH
                                      472FT  170/24 MPH
                                      875FT  182/30 MPH
                                     1397FT  193/36 MPH
                                     2033FT  201/45 MPH
                                     2741FT  207/52 MPH
                                     3529FT  212/60 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 161/14 MPH
                                       53FT  163/21 MPH
                                      208FT  165/24 MPH
                                      478FT  170/29 MPH
                                      877FT  178/34 MPH
                                     1400FT  191/39 MPH
                                     2035FT  202/44 MPH
                                     2743FT  210/51 MPH
                                     3532FT  217/58 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 163/14 MPH
                                       56FT  164/20 MPH
                                      211FT  166/23 MPH
                                      481FT  170/27 MPH
                                      880FT  178/34 MPH
                                     1400FT  191/39 MPH
                                     2035FT  202/44 MPH
                                     2743FT  210/51 MPH
                                     3532FT  217/58 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        633 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  220/13 MPH
                    8 AM  250/14 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 240152
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
852 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 641 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

CONFIDENCE ON SPECIFICS OF THE FORECAST IS LOW BUT ATTEMPTED TO
NARROW DOWN MOST LIKELY TIMES OF TSRA. STRONGER CONVECTION NEAR
HLC MAY BE ABLE TO CONGEAL INTO A LINE AND PUSH EAST TOWARD MHK
AROUND 04Z AS SOME HI-RES MODELS SUGGEST AND WILL GO AHEAD WITH A
TEMPO FOR THIS SITE, BUT NOT ENOUGH LIKELIHOOD TO BRING THIS INTO
TOP AND FOE. BETTER CHANCES COMES ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT WITH
MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR ANTICIPATED WITH PRECIP.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          808 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  170/20G28 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 607 PM):        200FT  171/26 MPH
                                      400FT  172/31 MPH
                                      600FT  170/32 MPH
                                      800FT  169/35 MPH
                                     1000FT  169/37 MPH
                                     1500FT  168/33 MPH
                                     2000FT  165/33 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 162/20 MPH
                                       90FT  163/26 MPH
                                      248FT  164/30 MPH
                                      525FT  164/32 MPH
                                      935FT  165/33 MPH
                                     1470FT  166/35 MPH
                                     2115FT  167/35 MPH
                                     2835FT  169/36 MPH
                                     3630FT  170/37 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 163/21 MPH
                                       87FT  164/28 MPH
                                      246FT  165/33 MPH
                                      523FT  166/36 MPH
                                      934FT  167/39 MPH
                                     1467FT  168/40 MPH
                                     2114FT  169/41 MPH
                                     2835FT  170/42 MPH
                                     3632FT  172/42 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 159/17 MPH
                                       81FT  160/26 MPH
                                      239FT  161/31 MPH
                                      513FT  162/37 MPH
                                      923FT  167/39 MPH
                                     1467FT  168/40 MPH
                                     2114FT  169/41 MPH
                                     2835FT  170/42 MPH
                                     3632FT  172/42 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  2890 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        633 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  220/13 MPH
                    8 AM  250/14 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 222343
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
643 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 641 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

WILL CONTINUE VFR FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IN HIGH-BASED CONVECTION
AROUND 11Z IS INCREASING AND WILL GO AHEAD WITH A FEW HOURS OF
VCSH WITH TS COVERAGE LIKELY NOT VERY HIGH. COULD SEE BRIEF
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN A STRONGER CELL. WINDS STILL INCREASING
AND VEERING WITH TIME.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          807 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  110/05 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 612 PM):        200FT  142/04 MPH
                                      400FT  132/04 MPH
                                      600FT  129/04 MPH
                                      800FT  127/05 MPH
                                     1000FT  118/07 MPH
                                     1500FT  106/09 MPH
                                     2000FT  116/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        24FT  106/08 MPH
                                      108FT  108/09 MPH
                                      265FT  107/09 MPH
                                      536FT  108/09 MPH
                                      936FT  108/09 MPH
                                     1456FT  109/09 MPH
                                     2090FT  110/09 MPH
                                     2793FT  110/09 MPH
                                     3573FT  109/09 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        21FT  107/10 MPH
                                      105FT  107/11 MPH
                                      259FT  107/12 MPH
                                      531FT  108/12 MPH
                                      931FT  108/13 MPH
                                     1452FT  109/13 MPH
                                     2084FT  110/13 MPH
                                     2788FT  110/12 MPH
                                     3565FT  112/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACEFT  110/08 MPH
                                      105FT  111/12 MPH
                                      259FT  112/14 MPH
                                      529FT  113/16 MPH
                                      929FT  108/13 MPH
                                     1452FT  109/13 MPH
                                     2084FT  110/13 MPH
                                     2788FT  110/12 MPH
                                     3565FT  112/12 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  1916 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        635 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  140/10 MPH
                    8 AM  140/13 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$







000
SXUS43 KTOP 221736
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1236 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE TRACKS EASTWARD OVER THE REGION. WINDS AT TOP/FOE WILL
VEER FROM THE NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST BY THIS EVENING WITH MID-
LEVEL CLOUDS BUILDING IN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF
25-30KTS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD AND HIGHER GUSTS EXPECTED INTO
THE AFTERNOON.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          807 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           5 PM  110/07 MPH
                                     7 PM  120/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 600 AM):        200FT  030/12 MPH
                                      400FT  035/20 MPH
                                      600FT  037/24 MPH
                                      800FT  039/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  038/26 MPH
                                     1500FT  028/30 MPH
                                     2000FT  017/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        33FT  115/07 MPH
                                      117FT  115/07 MPH
                                      275FT  116/08 MPH
                                      545FT  116/08 MPH
                                      950FT  117/08 MPH
                                     1474FT  118/08 MPH
                                     2109FT  119/07 MPH
                                     2816FT  119/07 MPH
                                     3597FT  120/07 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        33FT  115/09 MPH
                                      117FT  115/10 MPH
                                      272FT  116/11 MPH
                                      545FT  117/11 MPH
                                      948FT  117/11 MPH
                                     1472FT  118/11 MPH
                                     2107FT  119/11 MPH
                                     2815FT  120/11 MPH
                                     3596FT  122/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        27FT  116/07 MPH
                                      111FT  117/11 MPH
                                      266FT  119/13 MPH
                                      538FT  119/14 MPH
                                      940FT  117/11 MPH
                                     1472FT  118/11 MPH
                                     2107FT  119/11 MPH
                                     2815FT  120/11 MPH
                                     3596FT  122/10 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                5 PM  2122 FT
                                     7 PM  1995 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        635 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  150/12 MPH
                    8 AM  150/14 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 221150
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
650 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 631 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD.
LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST TOWARDS 21Z
AND INCREASE TO AROUND 10 KTS. ONLY SCT-BKN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS
THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION AT ANY OF THE TAF
SITES THRU 12Z/23 REMAINS TOO LOW TO INSERT INTO ANY OF THE
TERMINAL FCSTS AT THIS TIME.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         636 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  020/06 MPH
                                     8 AM  030/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 600 AM):        200FT  030/12 MPH
                                      400FT  035/20 MPH
                                      600FT  037/24 MPH
                                      800FT  039/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  038/26 MPH
                                     1500FT  028/30 MPH
                                     2000FT  017/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        44FT  356/04 MPH
                                      123FT  023/14 MPH
                                      273FT  027/16 MPH
                                      536FT  041/24 MPH
                                      923FT  044/26 MPH
                                     1429FT  041/25 MPH
                                     2048FT  023/23 MPH
                                     2735FT  010/25 MPH
                                     3506FT  001/26 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        47FT  045/06 MPH
                                      127FT  043/12 MPH
                                      276FT  044/13 MPH
                                      535FT  053/20 MPH
                                      922FT  055/22 MPH
                                     1426FT  054/21 MPH
                                     2045FT  029/19 MPH
                                     2735FT  013/22 MPH
                                     3504FT  004/25 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        41FT  069/09 MPH
                                      125FT  067/10 MPH
                                      275FT  068/11 MPH
                                      535FT  067/12 MPH
                                      922FT  055/22 MPH
                                     1426FT  054/21 MPH
                                     2045FT  029/19 MPH
                                     2735FT  013/22 MPH
                                     3504FT  004/25 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  378 FT
                                     8 AM  575 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         807 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  120/08 MPH
                    7 PM  130/09 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









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