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000
SXUS43 KTOP 191136
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
636 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 632 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THINK VISBY WILL DROP SLIGHTLY AS SUN COMES UP BUT CLEAR OUT LATER
IN THE MORNING. WINDS MAKE A SLOW SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST
BEFORE THE FRONT COMES THROUGH ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDER
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. BREEZY CONDITIONS COME ALONG WITH IT AND
CONTINUE INTO LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD. WILL LIKELY IMPROVE BY
TOMORROW MORNING BUT WILL NOT ADD A LINE AT THIS TIME.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         640 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  250/03 MPH
                                     9 AM  270/05 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 606 PM):        200FT  106/09 MPH
                                      400FT  112/10 MPH
                                      600FT  118/11 MPH
                                      800FT  122/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  130/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  148/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  096/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 304/05 MPH
                                       73FT  300/11 MPH
                                      226FT  300/13 MPH
                                      490FT  298/17 MPH
                                      885FT  294/19 MPH
                                     1398FT  287/19 MPH
                                     2025FT  273/16 MPH
                                     2723FT  256/14 MPH
                                     3496FT  242/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 322/07 MPH
                                       84FT  324/11 MPH
                                      238FT  323/12 MPH
                                      503FT  320/17 MPH
                                      899FT  316/18 MPH
                                     1413FT  312/18 MPH
                                     2039FT  303/18 MPH
                                     2738FT  290/18 MPH
                                     3511FT  283/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 313/09 MPH
                                       87FT  315/11 MPH
                                      242FT  317/12 MPH
                                      508FT  320/15 MPH
                                      901FT  316/18 MPH
                                     1413FT  312/18 MPH
                                     2039FT  303/18 MPH
                                     2738FT  290/18 MPH
                                     3511FT  283/21 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1487 FT
                                     9 AM  1559 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         804 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  330/18G26 MPH
                    7 PM  340/20G28 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 191136
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
636 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 632 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THINK VISBY WILL DROP SLIGHTLY AS SUN COMES UP BUT CLEAR OUT LATER
IN THE MORNING. WINDS MAKE A SLOW SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST
BEFORE THE FRONT COMES THROUGH ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDER
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. BREEZY CONDITIONS COME ALONG WITH IT AND
CONTINUE INTO LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD. WILL LIKELY IMPROVE BY
TOMORROW MORNING BUT WILL NOT ADD A LINE AT THIS TIME.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         640 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  250/03 MPH
                                     9 AM  270/05 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 606 PM):        200FT  106/09 MPH
                                      400FT  112/10 MPH
                                      600FT  118/11 MPH
                                      800FT  122/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  130/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  148/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  096/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 304/05 MPH
                                       73FT  300/11 MPH
                                      226FT  300/13 MPH
                                      490FT  298/17 MPH
                                      885FT  294/19 MPH
                                     1398FT  287/19 MPH
                                     2025FT  273/16 MPH
                                     2723FT  256/14 MPH
                                     3496FT  242/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 322/07 MPH
                                       84FT  324/11 MPH
                                      238FT  323/12 MPH
                                      503FT  320/17 MPH
                                      899FT  316/18 MPH
                                     1413FT  312/18 MPH
                                     2039FT  303/18 MPH
                                     2738FT  290/18 MPH
                                     3511FT  283/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 313/09 MPH
                                       87FT  315/11 MPH
                                      242FT  317/12 MPH
                                      508FT  320/15 MPH
                                      901FT  316/18 MPH
                                     1413FT  312/18 MPH
                                     2039FT  303/18 MPH
                                     2738FT  290/18 MPH
                                     3511FT  283/21 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1487 FT
                                     9 AM  1559 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         804 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  330/18G26 MPH
                    7 PM  340/20G28 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 190438
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1138 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

SCT SHOWERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE MAIN CLUSTER OF
SHOWERS OF ISOLATED THUNDER BETWEEN KMHK AND KTOP/KFOE. INITIAL
MVFR CONDITIONS THAT ACCOMPANIED A WESTERLY WIND SHIFT IMPROVE TO
VFR UNTIL THE MAIN CLUSTER ARRIVES NEAR 08Z AT KTOP/KFOE.
CONDITIONS MAY TEMPORARILY FALL TO MVFR WITHIN THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS
HOWEVER TRENDS SHOW CIGS IMPROVING TO VFR AS ACTIVITY WEAKENS AND
BECOMES MORE SCATTERED. WITH THE CLOUD DECK LIFTING TO NEAR 10 KFT
BEHIND THE SHOWERS, A SATURATED SFC WITH LIGHT WINDS AFT 09Z ARE
TRENDING TOWARDS PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING AT SITES. WILL NEED TO
MONITOR SINCE MULTIPLE FACTORS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO VISIBILITY BEING
LOWER IN THE IFR CATEGORY. MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF VFR
CONDITIONS BY MID MORNING BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDER FORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT, FALLING
BACK TO MVFR IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS BECOME GUSTY IN
EXCESS OF 25 KTS LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 606 PM):        200FT  106/09 MPH
                                      400FT  112/10 MPH
                                      600FT  118/11 MPH
                                      800FT  122/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  130/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  148/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  096/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 099/03 MPH
                                       70FT  092/08 MPH
                                      224FT  091/10 MPH
                                      490FT  094/11 MPH
                                      888FT  123/07 MPH
                                     1407FT  146/04 MPH
                                     2041FT  214/03 MPH
                                     2742FT  243/07 MPH
                                     3521FT  251/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 360/00 MPH
                                       73FT  090/01 MPH
                                      224FT  101/01 MPH
                                      489FT  099/04 MPH
                                      887FT  139/02 MPH
                                     1405FT  288/02 MPH
                                     2039FT  311/05 MPH
                                     2740FT  323/07 MPH
                                     3518FT  317/09 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 313/05 MPH
                                       70FT  315/06 MPH
                                      221FT  315/06 MPH
                                      486FT  315/07 MPH
                                      882FT  139/02 MPH
                                     1405FT  288/02 MPH
                                     2039FT  311/05 MPH
                                     2740FT  323/07 MPH
                                     3518FT  317/09 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  200/03 MPH
                    9 AM  270/06 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 190438
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1138 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

SCT SHOWERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE MAIN CLUSTER OF
SHOWERS OF ISOLATED THUNDER BETWEEN KMHK AND KTOP/KFOE. INITIAL
MVFR CONDITIONS THAT ACCOMPANIED A WESTERLY WIND SHIFT IMPROVE TO
VFR UNTIL THE MAIN CLUSTER ARRIVES NEAR 08Z AT KTOP/KFOE.
CONDITIONS MAY TEMPORARILY FALL TO MVFR WITHIN THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS
HOWEVER TRENDS SHOW CIGS IMPROVING TO VFR AS ACTIVITY WEAKENS AND
BECOMES MORE SCATTERED. WITH THE CLOUD DECK LIFTING TO NEAR 10 KFT
BEHIND THE SHOWERS, A SATURATED SFC WITH LIGHT WINDS AFT 09Z ARE
TRENDING TOWARDS PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING AT SITES. WILL NEED TO
MONITOR SINCE MULTIPLE FACTORS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO VISIBILITY BEING
LOWER IN THE IFR CATEGORY. MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF VFR
CONDITIONS BY MID MORNING BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDER FORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT, FALLING
BACK TO MVFR IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS BECOME GUSTY IN
EXCESS OF 25 KTS LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 606 PM):        200FT  106/09 MPH
                                      400FT  112/10 MPH
                                      600FT  118/11 MPH
                                      800FT  122/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  130/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  148/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  096/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 099/03 MPH
                                       70FT  092/08 MPH
                                      224FT  091/10 MPH
                                      490FT  094/11 MPH
                                      888FT  123/07 MPH
                                     1407FT  146/04 MPH
                                     2041FT  214/03 MPH
                                     2742FT  243/07 MPH
                                     3521FT  251/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 360/00 MPH
                                       73FT  090/01 MPH
                                      224FT  101/01 MPH
                                      489FT  099/04 MPH
                                      887FT  139/02 MPH
                                     1405FT  288/02 MPH
                                     2039FT  311/05 MPH
                                     2740FT  323/07 MPH
                                     3518FT  317/09 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 313/05 MPH
                                       70FT  315/06 MPH
                                      221FT  315/06 MPH
                                      486FT  315/07 MPH
                                      882FT  139/02 MPH
                                     1405FT  288/02 MPH
                                     2039FT  311/05 MPH
                                     2740FT  323/07 MPH
                                     3518FT  317/09 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  200/03 MPH
                    9 AM  270/06 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 190438
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1138 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

SCT SHOWERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE MAIN CLUSTER OF
SHOWERS OF ISOLATED THUNDER BETWEEN KMHK AND KTOP/KFOE. INITIAL
MVFR CONDITIONS THAT ACCOMPANIED A WESTERLY WIND SHIFT IMPROVE TO
VFR UNTIL THE MAIN CLUSTER ARRIVES NEAR 08Z AT KTOP/KFOE.
CONDITIONS MAY TEMPORARILY FALL TO MVFR WITHIN THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS
HOWEVER TRENDS SHOW CIGS IMPROVING TO VFR AS ACTIVITY WEAKENS AND
BECOMES MORE SCATTERED. WITH THE CLOUD DECK LIFTING TO NEAR 10 KFT
BEHIND THE SHOWERS, A SATURATED SFC WITH LIGHT WINDS AFT 09Z ARE
TRENDING TOWARDS PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING AT SITES. WILL NEED TO
MONITOR SINCE MULTIPLE FACTORS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO VISIBILITY BEING
LOWER IN THE IFR CATEGORY. MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF VFR
CONDITIONS BY MID MORNING BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDER FORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT, FALLING
BACK TO MVFR IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS BECOME GUSTY IN
EXCESS OF 25 KTS LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 606 PM):        200FT  106/09 MPH
                                      400FT  112/10 MPH
                                      600FT  118/11 MPH
                                      800FT  122/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  130/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  148/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  096/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 099/03 MPH
                                       70FT  092/08 MPH
                                      224FT  091/10 MPH
                                      490FT  094/11 MPH
                                      888FT  123/07 MPH
                                     1407FT  146/04 MPH
                                     2041FT  214/03 MPH
                                     2742FT  243/07 MPH
                                     3521FT  251/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 360/00 MPH
                                       73FT  090/01 MPH
                                      224FT  101/01 MPH
                                      489FT  099/04 MPH
                                      887FT  139/02 MPH
                                     1405FT  288/02 MPH
                                     2039FT  311/05 MPH
                                     2740FT  323/07 MPH
                                     3518FT  317/09 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 313/05 MPH
                                       70FT  315/06 MPH
                                      221FT  315/06 MPH
                                      486FT  315/07 MPH
                                      882FT  139/02 MPH
                                     1405FT  288/02 MPH
                                     2039FT  311/05 MPH
                                     2740FT  323/07 MPH
                                     3518FT  317/09 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  200/03 MPH
                    9 AM  270/06 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 182342
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
642 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

CONVECTION OVER NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS IS LIFTING NORTHWARD AND HAS
PUSHED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT MAY IMPACT KMHK BETWEEN 00Z AND
01Z WITH A SHIFT TO WESTERLY WINDS. OTHERWISE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
SHORT TERM MODELS HAS LEAD TO SOMEWHAT LOWER CONFIDENCE ON TIMING
OF CONVECTION FOR TONIGHT. MVFR CONDITIONS MAY IMPACT KMHK AS
EARLY AS 02Z WHILE KTOP/KFOE MAY NOT REACH MVFR UNTIL 04Z. THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDER WILL
GRADUALLY LOWER CLOSER TO IFR NEAR SUNRISE. IMPROVING CONDITIONS
ANTICIPATED BY MID MORNING WITH ACTIVITY SHIFTING EASTWARD AND A
STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST, EXPECTED TO
IMPACT SITES IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS OVER 20 KTS ARE LIKELY
THROUGH 00Z. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDER AND
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  120/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 606 PM):        200FT  106/09 MPH
                                      400FT  112/10 MPH
                                      600FT  118/11 MPH
                                      800FT  122/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  130/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  148/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  096/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 130/11 MPH
                                       67FT  131/14 MPH
                                      221FT  133/15 MPH
                                      492FT  133/16 MPH
                                      891FT  135/17 MPH
                                     1414FT  137/17 MPH
                                     2045FT  159/18 MPH
                                     2751FT  169/18 MPH
                                     3534FT  170/15 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 125/07 MPH
                                       70FT  129/11 MPH
                                      227FT  131/13 MPH
                                      495FT  133/14 MPH
                                      897FT  136/15 MPH
                                     1418FT  140/16 MPH
                                     2049FT  158/18 MPH
                                     2756FT  171/18 MPH
                                     3540FT  173/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 124/05 MPH
                                       82FT  128/09 MPH
                                      236FT  131/11 MPH
                                      507FT  135/13 MPH
                                      907FT  136/15 MPH
                                     1418FT  140/16 MPH
                                     2049FT  158/18 MPH
                                     2756FT  171/18 MPH
                                     3540FT  173/16 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  2108 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  220/03 MPH
                    9 AM  280/05 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 182342
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
642 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

CONVECTION OVER NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS IS LIFTING NORTHWARD AND HAS
PUSHED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT MAY IMPACT KMHK BETWEEN 00Z AND
01Z WITH A SHIFT TO WESTERLY WINDS. OTHERWISE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
SHORT TERM MODELS HAS LEAD TO SOMEWHAT LOWER CONFIDENCE ON TIMING
OF CONVECTION FOR TONIGHT. MVFR CONDITIONS MAY IMPACT KMHK AS
EARLY AS 02Z WHILE KTOP/KFOE MAY NOT REACH MVFR UNTIL 04Z. THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDER WILL
GRADUALLY LOWER CLOSER TO IFR NEAR SUNRISE. IMPROVING CONDITIONS
ANTICIPATED BY MID MORNING WITH ACTIVITY SHIFTING EASTWARD AND A
STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST, EXPECTED TO
IMPACT SITES IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS OVER 20 KTS ARE LIKELY
THROUGH 00Z. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDER AND
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  120/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 606 PM):        200FT  106/09 MPH
                                      400FT  112/10 MPH
                                      600FT  118/11 MPH
                                      800FT  122/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  130/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  148/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  096/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 130/11 MPH
                                       67FT  131/14 MPH
                                      221FT  133/15 MPH
                                      492FT  133/16 MPH
                                      891FT  135/17 MPH
                                     1414FT  137/17 MPH
                                     2045FT  159/18 MPH
                                     2751FT  169/18 MPH
                                     3534FT  170/15 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 125/07 MPH
                                       70FT  129/11 MPH
                                      227FT  131/13 MPH
                                      495FT  133/14 MPH
                                      897FT  136/15 MPH
                                     1418FT  140/16 MPH
                                     2049FT  158/18 MPH
                                     2756FT  171/18 MPH
                                     3540FT  173/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 124/05 MPH
                                       82FT  128/09 MPH
                                      236FT  131/11 MPH
                                      507FT  135/13 MPH
                                      907FT  136/15 MPH
                                     1418FT  140/16 MPH
                                     2049FT  158/18 MPH
                                     2756FT  171/18 MPH
                                     3540FT  173/16 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  2108 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  220/03 MPH
                    9 AM  280/05 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 181926
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
226 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MVFR
TO AREAS OF IFR ARE EXPECTED NEAR MHK THROUGH 20Z THEN AN
IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BY 21Z. SHRA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 21Z AT TOP
AND FOE WITH MHK HAVING A LOW PROBABILITY OF SHRA THROUGH 00Z.
HIGH RESOLUTION SHORT RANGE MODELS DEVELOP TSRA IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL KS THEN MOVE IT NORTHEAST TOWARD MHK BY 06Z, THEN
AFFECTING TOP AND FOE AFTER 09Z. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE 14Z-16Z PERIOD.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           5 PM  150/10 MPH
                                     7 PM  140/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 622 AM):        200FT  150/06 MPH
                                      400FT  150/11 MPH
                                      600FT  151/12 MPH
                                      800FT  152/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/12 MPH
                                     1500FT  175/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  184/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 167/06 MPH
                                       76FT  168/08 MPH
                                      234FT  170/09 MPH
                                      507FT  172/09 MPH
                                      910FT  175/10 MPH
                                     1434FT  180/11 MPH
                                     2071FT  204/13 MPH
                                     2779FT  213/12 MPH
                                     3565FT  229/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 159/07 MPH
                                       74FT  164/10 MPH
                                      228FT  167/13 MPH
                                      501FT  171/16 MPH
                                      903FT  174/17 MPH
                                     1430FT  177/17 MPH
                                     2066FT  182/16 MPH
                                     2772FT  191/15 MPH
                                     3557FT  202/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 155/07 MPH
                                       73FT  159/13 MPH
                                      231FT  161/16 MPH
                                      500FT  165/19 MPH
                                      902FT  174/17 MPH
                                     1430FT  177/17 MPH
                                     2066FT  182/16 MPH
                                     2772FT  191/15 MPH
                                     3557FT  202/14 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                5 PM  2378 FT
                                     7 PM  2307 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  250/03 MPH
                    9 AM  270/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 181926
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
226 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MVFR
TO AREAS OF IFR ARE EXPECTED NEAR MHK THROUGH 20Z THEN AN
IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BY 21Z. SHRA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 21Z AT TOP
AND FOE WITH MHK HAVING A LOW PROBABILITY OF SHRA THROUGH 00Z.
HIGH RESOLUTION SHORT RANGE MODELS DEVELOP TSRA IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL KS THEN MOVE IT NORTHEAST TOWARD MHK BY 06Z, THEN
AFFECTING TOP AND FOE AFTER 09Z. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE 14Z-16Z PERIOD.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           5 PM  150/10 MPH
                                     7 PM  140/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 622 AM):        200FT  150/06 MPH
                                      400FT  150/11 MPH
                                      600FT  151/12 MPH
                                      800FT  152/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/12 MPH
                                     1500FT  175/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  184/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 167/06 MPH
                                       76FT  168/08 MPH
                                      234FT  170/09 MPH
                                      507FT  172/09 MPH
                                      910FT  175/10 MPH
                                     1434FT  180/11 MPH
                                     2071FT  204/13 MPH
                                     2779FT  213/12 MPH
                                     3565FT  229/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 159/07 MPH
                                       74FT  164/10 MPH
                                      228FT  167/13 MPH
                                      501FT  171/16 MPH
                                      903FT  174/17 MPH
                                     1430FT  177/17 MPH
                                     2066FT  182/16 MPH
                                     2772FT  191/15 MPH
                                     3557FT  202/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 155/07 MPH
                                       73FT  159/13 MPH
                                      231FT  161/16 MPH
                                      500FT  165/19 MPH
                                      902FT  174/17 MPH
                                     1430FT  177/17 MPH
                                     2066FT  182/16 MPH
                                     2772FT  191/15 MPH
                                     3557FT  202/14 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                5 PM  2378 FT
                                     7 PM  2307 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  250/03 MPH
                    9 AM  270/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 181926
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
226 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MVFR
TO AREAS OF IFR ARE EXPECTED NEAR MHK THROUGH 20Z THEN AN
IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BY 21Z. SHRA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 21Z AT TOP
AND FOE WITH MHK HAVING A LOW PROBABILITY OF SHRA THROUGH 00Z.
HIGH RESOLUTION SHORT RANGE MODELS DEVELOP TSRA IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL KS THEN MOVE IT NORTHEAST TOWARD MHK BY 06Z, THEN
AFFECTING TOP AND FOE AFTER 09Z. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE 14Z-16Z PERIOD.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           5 PM  150/10 MPH
                                     7 PM  140/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 622 AM):        200FT  150/06 MPH
                                      400FT  150/11 MPH
                                      600FT  151/12 MPH
                                      800FT  152/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/12 MPH
                                     1500FT  175/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  184/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 167/06 MPH
                                       76FT  168/08 MPH
                                      234FT  170/09 MPH
                                      507FT  172/09 MPH
                                      910FT  175/10 MPH
                                     1434FT  180/11 MPH
                                     2071FT  204/13 MPH
                                     2779FT  213/12 MPH
                                     3565FT  229/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 159/07 MPH
                                       74FT  164/10 MPH
                                      228FT  167/13 MPH
                                      501FT  171/16 MPH
                                      903FT  174/17 MPH
                                     1430FT  177/17 MPH
                                     2066FT  182/16 MPH
                                     2772FT  191/15 MPH
                                     3557FT  202/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 155/07 MPH
                                       73FT  159/13 MPH
                                      231FT  161/16 MPH
                                      500FT  165/19 MPH
                                      902FT  174/17 MPH
                                     1430FT  177/17 MPH
                                     2066FT  182/16 MPH
                                     2772FT  191/15 MPH
                                     3557FT  202/14 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                5 PM  2378 FT
                                     7 PM  2307 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  250/03 MPH
                    9 AM  270/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 181926
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
226 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MVFR
TO AREAS OF IFR ARE EXPECTED NEAR MHK THROUGH 20Z THEN AN
IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BY 21Z. SHRA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 21Z AT TOP
AND FOE WITH MHK HAVING A LOW PROBABILITY OF SHRA THROUGH 00Z.
HIGH RESOLUTION SHORT RANGE MODELS DEVELOP TSRA IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL KS THEN MOVE IT NORTHEAST TOWARD MHK BY 06Z, THEN
AFFECTING TOP AND FOE AFTER 09Z. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE 14Z-16Z PERIOD.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           5 PM  150/10 MPH
                                     7 PM  140/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 622 AM):        200FT  150/06 MPH
                                      400FT  150/11 MPH
                                      600FT  151/12 MPH
                                      800FT  152/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/12 MPH
                                     1500FT  175/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  184/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 167/06 MPH
                                       76FT  168/08 MPH
                                      234FT  170/09 MPH
                                      507FT  172/09 MPH
                                      910FT  175/10 MPH
                                     1434FT  180/11 MPH
                                     2071FT  204/13 MPH
                                     2779FT  213/12 MPH
                                     3565FT  229/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 159/07 MPH
                                       74FT  164/10 MPH
                                      228FT  167/13 MPH
                                      501FT  171/16 MPH
                                      903FT  174/17 MPH
                                     1430FT  177/17 MPH
                                     2066FT  182/16 MPH
                                     2772FT  191/15 MPH
                                     3557FT  202/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 155/07 MPH
                                       73FT  159/13 MPH
                                      231FT  161/16 MPH
                                      500FT  165/19 MPH
                                      902FT  174/17 MPH
                                     1430FT  177/17 MPH
                                     2066FT  182/16 MPH
                                     2772FT  191/15 MPH
                                     3557FT  202/14 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                5 PM  2378 FT
                                     7 PM  2307 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  250/03 MPH
                    9 AM  270/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 181144
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
644 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 624 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

TAFS ARE GENERALLY VFR AS FIRST ROUND OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN THE MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND IS EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING AS STORMS DEVELOP WEST OF THE TERMINALS AND
MOVE EAST. COVERAGE IN BETWEEN EXPECTED TO BE SPORADIC AND WON`T
MENTION MORE THAN VCTS AT THIS TIME FOR THE AFTERNOON EVENING
HOURS.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         642 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  140/03 MPH
                                     9 AM  150/05 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 622 AM):        200FT  150/06 MPH
                                      400FT  150/11 MPH
                                      600FT  151/12 MPH
                                      800FT  152/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/12 MPH
                                     1500FT  175/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  184/12 MPH



    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1628 FT
                                     9 AM  1757 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         803 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  150/10 MPH
                    7 PM  140/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 181144
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
644 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 624 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

TAFS ARE GENERALLY VFR AS FIRST ROUND OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN THE MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND IS EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING AS STORMS DEVELOP WEST OF THE TERMINALS AND
MOVE EAST. COVERAGE IN BETWEEN EXPECTED TO BE SPORADIC AND WON`T
MENTION MORE THAN VCTS AT THIS TIME FOR THE AFTERNOON EVENING
HOURS.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         642 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  140/03 MPH
                                     9 AM  150/05 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 622 AM):        200FT  150/06 MPH
                                      400FT  150/11 MPH
                                      600FT  151/12 MPH
                                      800FT  152/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/12 MPH
                                     1500FT  175/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  184/12 MPH



    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1628 FT
                                     9 AM  1757 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         803 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  150/10 MPH
                    7 PM  140/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 181144
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
644 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 624 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

TAFS ARE GENERALLY VFR AS FIRST ROUND OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN THE MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND IS EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING AS STORMS DEVELOP WEST OF THE TERMINALS AND
MOVE EAST. COVERAGE IN BETWEEN EXPECTED TO BE SPORADIC AND WON`T
MENTION MORE THAN VCTS AT THIS TIME FOR THE AFTERNOON EVENING
HOURS.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         642 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  140/03 MPH
                                     9 AM  150/05 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 622 AM):        200FT  150/06 MPH
                                      400FT  150/11 MPH
                                      600FT  151/12 MPH
                                      800FT  152/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/12 MPH
                                     1500FT  175/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  184/12 MPH



    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1628 FT
                                     9 AM  1757 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         803 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  150/10 MPH
                    7 PM  140/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 181144
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
644 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 624 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

TAFS ARE GENERALLY VFR AS FIRST ROUND OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN THE MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND IS EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING AS STORMS DEVELOP WEST OF THE TERMINALS AND
MOVE EAST. COVERAGE IN BETWEEN EXPECTED TO BE SPORADIC AND WON`T
MENTION MORE THAN VCTS AT THIS TIME FOR THE AFTERNOON EVENING
HOURS.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         642 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  140/03 MPH
                                     9 AM  150/05 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 622 AM):        200FT  150/06 MPH
                                      400FT  150/11 MPH
                                      600FT  151/12 MPH
                                      800FT  152/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/12 MPH
                                     1500FT  175/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  184/12 MPH



    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1628 FT
                                     9 AM  1757 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         803 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  150/10 MPH
                    7 PM  140/08 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 180439
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1139 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1134 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

TRICKY FORECAST PERIOD AS SHORT TERM GUIDANCE HAS HAD DIFFICULTY
IN DETERMINING TIMING AND LOCATION OF PRECIP THRU 12Z. HOWEVER
LATEST MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SCT SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
TSRA IMPACTING SITES AFTER 07Z AT KMHK AND 08Z AT KTOP/KFOE. MAY
SEE BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE WITH THE HEAVIER
PRECIP BEFORE IT EXITS EASTWARD EARLY AFTERNOON. LOW CONFIDENCE
THEREAFTER AS MAIN SYSTEM DOES NOT ARRIVE INTO THE AREA UNTIL
SUNDAY MORNING SO WILL LEAVE MENTION OF VCTS.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          802 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 600 PM):        200FT  147/07 MPH
                                      400FT  136/08 MPH
                                      600FT  131/09 MPH
                                      800FT  128/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  138/14 MPH
                                     1500FT  152/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  155/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 119/06 MPH
                                       47FT  124/11 MPH
                                      202FT  126/13 MPH
                                      469FT  136/18 MPH
                                      870FT  151/19 MPH
                                     1394FT  178/17 MPH
                                     2032FT  192/19 MPH
                                     2745FT  191/21 MPH
                                     3535FT  190/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 131/05 MPH
                                       47FT  136/10 MPH
                                      200FT  137/11 MPH
                                      469FT  145/16 MPH
                                      869FT  156/18 MPH
                                     1392FT  187/16 MPH
                                     2028FT  205/19 MPH
                                     2740FT  206/21 MPH
                                     3525FT  202/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 143/08 MPH
                                       44FT  147/11 MPH
                                      200FT  147/13 MPH
                                      469FT  152/17 MPH
                                      869FT  156/18 MPH
                                     1392FT  187/16 MPH
                                     2028FT  205/19 MPH
                                     2740FT  206/21 MPH
                                     3525FT  202/20 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        642 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  130/06 MPH
                    9 AM  130/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 180439
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1139 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1134 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

TRICKY FORECAST PERIOD AS SHORT TERM GUIDANCE HAS HAD DIFFICULTY
IN DETERMINING TIMING AND LOCATION OF PRECIP THRU 12Z. HOWEVER
LATEST MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SCT SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
TSRA IMPACTING SITES AFTER 07Z AT KMHK AND 08Z AT KTOP/KFOE. MAY
SEE BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE WITH THE HEAVIER
PRECIP BEFORE IT EXITS EASTWARD EARLY AFTERNOON. LOW CONFIDENCE
THEREAFTER AS MAIN SYSTEM DOES NOT ARRIVE INTO THE AREA UNTIL
SUNDAY MORNING SO WILL LEAVE MENTION OF VCTS.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          802 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 600 PM):        200FT  147/07 MPH
                                      400FT  136/08 MPH
                                      600FT  131/09 MPH
                                      800FT  128/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  138/14 MPH
                                     1500FT  152/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  155/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 119/06 MPH
                                       47FT  124/11 MPH
                                      202FT  126/13 MPH
                                      469FT  136/18 MPH
                                      870FT  151/19 MPH
                                     1394FT  178/17 MPH
                                     2032FT  192/19 MPH
                                     2745FT  191/21 MPH
                                     3535FT  190/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 131/05 MPH
                                       47FT  136/10 MPH
                                      200FT  137/11 MPH
                                      469FT  145/16 MPH
                                      869FT  156/18 MPH
                                     1392FT  187/16 MPH
                                     2028FT  205/19 MPH
                                     2740FT  206/21 MPH
                                     3525FT  202/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 143/08 MPH
                                       44FT  147/11 MPH
                                      200FT  147/13 MPH
                                      469FT  152/17 MPH
                                      869FT  156/18 MPH
                                     1392FT  187/16 MPH
                                     2028FT  205/19 MPH
                                     2740FT  206/21 MPH
                                     3525FT  202/20 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        642 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  130/06 MPH
                    9 AM  130/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 172331
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
631 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

VFR PREVAILS THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST 6 HOURS OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ACTIVITY FORMING ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN KANSAS IS
EXPECTED TO IMPACT SITES AFTER 06Z. FORECAST SOUNDINGS DENOTE
MOSTLY SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. AFTER 09Z, COVERAGE
INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA WITH RAIN SATURATING CONDITIONS TO MVFR
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SHOWERS EXIT EASTWARD AS UNCERTAINTY
INCREASES FOR THE AFTERNOON IN TIMING OF NEXT ROUND FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAVE A VCTS MENTION WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR FOR THE TIME BEING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          802 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  130/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 600 PM):        200FT  147/07 MPH
                                      400FT  136/08 MPH
                                      600FT  131/09 MPH
                                      800FT  128/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  138/14 MPH
                                     1500FT  152/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  155/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 135/05 MPH
                                       65FT  134/07 MPH
                                      223FT  133/08 MPH
                                      496FT  133/09 MPH
                                      902FT  129/09 MPH
                                     1430FT  128/10 MPH
                                     2070FT  128/12 MPH
                                     2782FT  128/14 MPH
                                     3570FT  126/15 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 201/02 MPH
                                       65FT  186/04 MPH
                                      222FT  178/06 MPH
                                      494FT  170/07 MPH
                                      900FT  164/07 MPH
                                     1426FT  156/08 MPH
                                     2065FT  151/10 MPH
                                     2777FT  146/12 MPH
                                     3567FT  142/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 135/02 MPH
                                       71FT  148/03 MPH
                                      228FT  155/05 MPH
                                      500FT  153/07 MPH
                                      905FT  164/07 MPH
                                     1426FT  156/08 MPH
                                     2065FT  151/10 MPH
                                     2777FT  146/12 MPH
                                     3567FT  142/14 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  2379 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        642 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  130/06 MPH
                    9 AM  130/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 171806
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
106 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 105 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD OUTSIDE OF
CONVECTION. EXPECT ISOLATED TSRA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THEN A
BETTER CHANCE OF MORE WIDESPREAD SHRA AND ISOLATED TSRA AFTER 08Z
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. MVFR VSBYS ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
BRIEF REDUCTIONS OF CIGS INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY. WINDS REMAIN EAST
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KTS.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          802 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           5 PM  140/10 MPH
                                     7 PM  130/09 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 620 AM):        200FT  129/08 MPH
                                      400FT  130/15 MPH
                                      600FT  132/21 MPH
                                      800FT  134/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  133/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2000FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 157/09 MPH
                                       62FT  157/10 MPH
                                      220FT  158/11 MPH
                                      494FT  158/12 MPH
                                      900FT  157/13 MPH
                                     1428FT  157/13 MPH
                                     2071FT  158/14 MPH
                                     2781FT  160/17 MPH
                                     3572FT  163/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 184/06 MPH
                                       65FT  185/08 MPH
                                      223FT  184/10 MPH
                                      496FT  183/11 MPH
                                      902FT  181/12 MPH
                                     1430FT  179/13 MPH
                                     2069FT  178/14 MPH
                                     2782FT  178/15 MPH
                                     3570FT  180/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 207/03 MPH
                                       71FT  207/04 MPH
                                      225FT  204/06 MPH
                                      498FT  202/08 MPH
                                      906FT  181/12 MPH
                                     1430FT  179/13 MPH
                                     2069FT  178/14 MPH
                                     2782FT  178/15 MPH
                                     3570FT  180/16 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                5 PM  2609 FT
                                     7 PM  2484 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        642 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  140/06 MPH
                    9 AM  150/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 171806
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
106 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 105 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD OUTSIDE OF
CONVECTION. EXPECT ISOLATED TSRA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THEN A
BETTER CHANCE OF MORE WIDESPREAD SHRA AND ISOLATED TSRA AFTER 08Z
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. MVFR VSBYS ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
BRIEF REDUCTIONS OF CIGS INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY. WINDS REMAIN EAST
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KTS.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          802 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           5 PM  140/10 MPH
                                     7 PM  130/09 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 620 AM):        200FT  129/08 MPH
                                      400FT  130/15 MPH
                                      600FT  132/21 MPH
                                      800FT  134/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  133/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2000FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 157/09 MPH
                                       62FT  157/10 MPH
                                      220FT  158/11 MPH
                                      494FT  158/12 MPH
                                      900FT  157/13 MPH
                                     1428FT  157/13 MPH
                                     2071FT  158/14 MPH
                                     2781FT  160/17 MPH
                                     3572FT  163/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 184/06 MPH
                                       65FT  185/08 MPH
                                      223FT  184/10 MPH
                                      496FT  183/11 MPH
                                      902FT  181/12 MPH
                                     1430FT  179/13 MPH
                                     2069FT  178/14 MPH
                                     2782FT  178/15 MPH
                                     3570FT  180/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 207/03 MPH
                                       71FT  207/04 MPH
                                      225FT  204/06 MPH
                                      498FT  202/08 MPH
                                      906FT  181/12 MPH
                                     1430FT  179/13 MPH
                                     2069FT  178/14 MPH
                                     2782FT  178/15 MPH
                                     3570FT  180/16 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                5 PM  2609 FT
                                     7 PM  2484 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        642 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  140/06 MPH
                    9 AM  150/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 171806
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
106 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 105 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD OUTSIDE OF
CONVECTION. EXPECT ISOLATED TSRA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THEN A
BETTER CHANCE OF MORE WIDESPREAD SHRA AND ISOLATED TSRA AFTER 08Z
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. MVFR VSBYS ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
BRIEF REDUCTIONS OF CIGS INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY. WINDS REMAIN EAST
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KTS.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          802 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           5 PM  140/10 MPH
                                     7 PM  130/09 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 620 AM):        200FT  129/08 MPH
                                      400FT  130/15 MPH
                                      600FT  132/21 MPH
                                      800FT  134/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  133/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2000FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 157/09 MPH
                                       62FT  157/10 MPH
                                      220FT  158/11 MPH
                                      494FT  158/12 MPH
                                      900FT  157/13 MPH
                                     1428FT  157/13 MPH
                                     2071FT  158/14 MPH
                                     2781FT  160/17 MPH
                                     3572FT  163/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 184/06 MPH
                                       65FT  185/08 MPH
                                      223FT  184/10 MPH
                                      496FT  183/11 MPH
                                      902FT  181/12 MPH
                                     1430FT  179/13 MPH
                                     2069FT  178/14 MPH
                                     2782FT  178/15 MPH
                                     3570FT  180/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 207/03 MPH
                                       71FT  207/04 MPH
                                      225FT  204/06 MPH
                                      498FT  202/08 MPH
                                      906FT  181/12 MPH
                                     1430FT  179/13 MPH
                                     2069FT  178/14 MPH
                                     2782FT  178/15 MPH
                                     3570FT  180/16 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                5 PM  2609 FT
                                     7 PM  2484 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        642 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  140/06 MPH
                    9 AM  150/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 171139
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
639 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

KEPT CURRENT TAF GOING AND ADDED GROUP AFTER 21/22Z FOR PREVAILING
RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER. WILL CARRY THIS THROUGH THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS TWO IMPULSES BRING ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH 12Z. MAY NEED TO DROP CIGS OR VISBY AS TIME DRAWS
CLOSER.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         643 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  100/05 MPH
                                     9 AM  110/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 620 AM):        200FT  129/08 MPH
                                      400FT  130/15 MPH
                                      600FT  132/21 MPH
                                      800FT  134/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  133/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2000FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 058/04 MPH
                                       81FT  069/11 MPH
                                      235FT  080/15 MPH
                                      503FT  100/17 MPH
                                      905FT  109/19 MPH
                                     1433FT  115/21 MPH
                                     2072FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2782FT  127/23 MPH
                                     3570FT  129/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 077/08 MPH
                                       81FT  076/14 MPH
                                      235FT  076/15 MPH
                                      503FT  089/19 MPH
                                      904FT  100/21 MPH
                                     1431FT  106/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  114/23 MPH
                                     2779FT  122/22 MPH
                                     3567FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 095/10 MPH
                                       79FT  095/12 MPH
                                      234FT  095/13 MPH
                                      506FT  098/19 MPH
                                      907FT  100/21 MPH
                                     1431FT  106/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  114/23 MPH
                                     2779FT  122/22 MPH
                                     3567FT  128/20 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1100 FT
                                     9 AM  1441 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         802 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  140/10 MPH
                    7 PM  130/09 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 171139
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
639 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

KEPT CURRENT TAF GOING AND ADDED GROUP AFTER 21/22Z FOR PREVAILING
RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER. WILL CARRY THIS THROUGH THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS TWO IMPULSES BRING ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH 12Z. MAY NEED TO DROP CIGS OR VISBY AS TIME DRAWS
CLOSER.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         643 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  100/05 MPH
                                     9 AM  110/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 620 AM):        200FT  129/08 MPH
                                      400FT  130/15 MPH
                                      600FT  132/21 MPH
                                      800FT  134/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  133/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2000FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 058/04 MPH
                                       81FT  069/11 MPH
                                      235FT  080/15 MPH
                                      503FT  100/17 MPH
                                      905FT  109/19 MPH
                                     1433FT  115/21 MPH
                                     2072FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2782FT  127/23 MPH
                                     3570FT  129/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 077/08 MPH
                                       81FT  076/14 MPH
                                      235FT  076/15 MPH
                                      503FT  089/19 MPH
                                      904FT  100/21 MPH
                                     1431FT  106/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  114/23 MPH
                                     2779FT  122/22 MPH
                                     3567FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 095/10 MPH
                                       79FT  095/12 MPH
                                      234FT  095/13 MPH
                                      506FT  098/19 MPH
                                      907FT  100/21 MPH
                                     1431FT  106/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  114/23 MPH
                                     2779FT  122/22 MPH
                                     3567FT  128/20 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1100 FT
                                     9 AM  1441 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         802 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  140/10 MPH
                    7 PM  130/09 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 171139
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
639 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

KEPT CURRENT TAF GOING AND ADDED GROUP AFTER 21/22Z FOR PREVAILING
RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER. WILL CARRY THIS THROUGH THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS TWO IMPULSES BRING ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH 12Z. MAY NEED TO DROP CIGS OR VISBY AS TIME DRAWS
CLOSER.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         643 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  100/05 MPH
                                     9 AM  110/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 620 AM):        200FT  129/08 MPH
                                      400FT  130/15 MPH
                                      600FT  132/21 MPH
                                      800FT  134/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  133/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2000FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 058/04 MPH
                                       81FT  069/11 MPH
                                      235FT  080/15 MPH
                                      503FT  100/17 MPH
                                      905FT  109/19 MPH
                                     1433FT  115/21 MPH
                                     2072FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2782FT  127/23 MPH
                                     3570FT  129/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 077/08 MPH
                                       81FT  076/14 MPH
                                      235FT  076/15 MPH
                                      503FT  089/19 MPH
                                      904FT  100/21 MPH
                                     1431FT  106/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  114/23 MPH
                                     2779FT  122/22 MPH
                                     3567FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 095/10 MPH
                                       79FT  095/12 MPH
                                      234FT  095/13 MPH
                                      506FT  098/19 MPH
                                      907FT  100/21 MPH
                                     1431FT  106/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  114/23 MPH
                                     2779FT  122/22 MPH
                                     3567FT  128/20 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1100 FT
                                     9 AM  1441 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         802 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  140/10 MPH
                    7 PM  130/09 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 171139
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
639 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

KEPT CURRENT TAF GOING AND ADDED GROUP AFTER 21/22Z FOR PREVAILING
RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER. WILL CARRY THIS THROUGH THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS TWO IMPULSES BRING ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH 12Z. MAY NEED TO DROP CIGS OR VISBY AS TIME DRAWS
CLOSER.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         643 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  100/05 MPH
                                     9 AM  110/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 620 AM):        200FT  129/08 MPH
                                      400FT  130/15 MPH
                                      600FT  132/21 MPH
                                      800FT  134/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  133/22 MPH
                                     1500FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2000FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 058/04 MPH
                                       81FT  069/11 MPH
                                      235FT  080/15 MPH
                                      503FT  100/17 MPH
                                      905FT  109/19 MPH
                                     1433FT  115/21 MPH
                                     2072FT  122/22 MPH
                                     2782FT  127/23 MPH
                                     3570FT  129/22 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 077/08 MPH
                                       81FT  076/14 MPH
                                      235FT  076/15 MPH
                                      503FT  089/19 MPH
                                      904FT  100/21 MPH
                                     1431FT  106/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  114/23 MPH
                                     2779FT  122/22 MPH
                                     3567FT  128/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 095/10 MPH
                                       79FT  095/12 MPH
                                      234FT  095/13 MPH
                                      506FT  098/19 MPH
                                      907FT  100/21 MPH
                                     1431FT  106/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  114/23 MPH
                                     2779FT  122/22 MPH
                                     3567FT  128/20 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1100 FT
                                     9 AM  1441 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         802 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  140/10 MPH
                    7 PM  130/09 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 170454
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1154 PM CDT THU APR 16 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT THU APR 16 2015

VFR CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY THROUGH 18Z, ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME
SMALL POTENTIAL FOR VISIBILITY TO REDUCE BETWEEN 08Z AND 13Z WITH
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THIS AT MHK. THUNDERSTORMS BECOME MORE LIKELY
AND WIDESPREAD FROM AROUND 20Z THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN WITH INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS, BUT
CONFIDENCE IN SPECIFIC TIMING OF THESE FEATURES IS LOW SO HAVE
USED A VCTS GROUP TO HIGHLIGHT THE GENERAL TIMING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          801 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 602 PM):        200FT  128/07 MPH
                                      400FT  131/07 MPH
                                      600FT  123/08 MPH
                                      800FT  116/10 MPH
                                     1000FT  128/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  149/07 MPH
                                     2000FT  145/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 095/03 MPH
                                       78FT  106/07 MPH
                                      232FT  116/11 MPH
                                      504FT  133/14 MPH
                                      904FT  140/15 MPH
                                     1430FT  130/12 MPH
                                     2067FT  109/11 MPH
                                     2775FT  104/13 MPH
                                     3564FT  118/15 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 090/04 MPH
                                       78FT  103/09 MPH
                                      232FT  113/12 MPH
                                      500FT  129/13 MPH
                                      903FT  141/15 MPH
                                     1428FT  140/14 MPH
                                     2064FT  122/12 MPH
                                     2774FT  111/13 MPH
                                     3558FT  123/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 111/07 MPH
                                       81FT  110/12 MPH
                                      235FT  111/13 MPH
                                      503FT  119/16 MPH
                                      906FT  141/15 MPH
                                     1428FT  140/14 MPH
                                     2064FT  122/12 MPH
                                     2774FT  111/13 MPH
                                     3558FT  123/14 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        643 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  100/05 MPH
                    9 AM  120/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 170454
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1154 PM CDT THU APR 16 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT THU APR 16 2015

VFR CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY THROUGH 18Z, ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME
SMALL POTENTIAL FOR VISIBILITY TO REDUCE BETWEEN 08Z AND 13Z WITH
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THIS AT MHK. THUNDERSTORMS BECOME MORE LIKELY
AND WIDESPREAD FROM AROUND 20Z THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN WITH INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS, BUT
CONFIDENCE IN SPECIFIC TIMING OF THESE FEATURES IS LOW SO HAVE
USED A VCTS GROUP TO HIGHLIGHT THE GENERAL TIMING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          801 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 602 PM):        200FT  128/07 MPH
                                      400FT  131/07 MPH
                                      600FT  123/08 MPH
                                      800FT  116/10 MPH
                                     1000FT  128/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  149/07 MPH
                                     2000FT  145/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 095/03 MPH
                                       78FT  106/07 MPH
                                      232FT  116/11 MPH
                                      504FT  133/14 MPH
                                      904FT  140/15 MPH
                                     1430FT  130/12 MPH
                                     2067FT  109/11 MPH
                                     2775FT  104/13 MPH
                                     3564FT  118/15 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 090/04 MPH
                                       78FT  103/09 MPH
                                      232FT  113/12 MPH
                                      500FT  129/13 MPH
                                      903FT  141/15 MPH
                                     1428FT  140/14 MPH
                                     2064FT  122/12 MPH
                                     2774FT  111/13 MPH
                                     3558FT  123/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 111/07 MPH
                                       81FT  110/12 MPH
                                      235FT  111/13 MPH
                                      503FT  119/16 MPH
                                      906FT  141/15 MPH
                                     1428FT  140/14 MPH
                                     2064FT  122/12 MPH
                                     2774FT  111/13 MPH
                                     3558FT  123/14 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        643 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  100/05 MPH
                    9 AM  120/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 162348
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
648 PM CDT THU APR 16 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT THU APR 16 2015

VFR APPEARS LIKELY THROUGH THE TAF OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. THERE IS SOME CHANCE FOR MHK TO BE IMPACTED BY SHRA OR
TS MAINLY BETWEEN 02Z AND 05Z AS SLOW MOVING TS COMPLEX DRIFTS
NORTHEAST TOWARD MHK. THIS IS UNCERTAIN AS THE TS HAVE SHOWN A
RECENT WEAKENING TREND. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR DECREASED VIS
BETWEEN 09Z AND 13Z BUT NOT ENOUGH CHANCE TO WARRANT INCLUSION IN
THE TAF. TS MAY DEVELOP AGAIN AFTER 20Z FRIDAY.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          801 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  120/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 602 PM):        200FT  128/07 MPH
                                      400FT  131/07 MPH
                                      600FT  123/08 MPH
                                      800FT  116/10 MPH
                                     1000FT  128/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  149/07 MPH
                                     2000FT  145/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 119/10 MPH
                                       83FT  120/11 MPH
                                      241FT  120/12 MPH
                                      516FT  120/12 MPH
                                      924FT  120/12 MPH
                                     1454FT  121/12 MPH
                                     2099FT  121/11 MPH
                                     2815FT  121/11 MPH
                                     3604FT  123/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 127/09 MPH
                                       88FT  126/10 MPH
                                      244FT  127/11 MPH
                                      519FT  127/11 MPH
                                      929FT  126/12 MPH
                                     1459FT  126/12 MPH
                                     2101FT  126/12 MPH
                                     2817FT  127/11 MPH
                                     3610FT  130/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 141/06 MPH
                                       88FT  142/09 MPH
                                      247FT  142/11 MPH
                                      521FT  141/12 MPH
                                      928FT  126/12 MPH
                                     1459FT  126/12 MPH
                                     2101FT  126/12 MPH
                                     2817FT  127/11 MPH
                                     3610FT  130/11 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  2301 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        643 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  100/05 MPH
                    9 AM  120/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 162348
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
648 PM CDT THU APR 16 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT THU APR 16 2015

VFR APPEARS LIKELY THROUGH THE TAF OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. THERE IS SOME CHANCE FOR MHK TO BE IMPACTED BY SHRA OR
TS MAINLY BETWEEN 02Z AND 05Z AS SLOW MOVING TS COMPLEX DRIFTS
NORTHEAST TOWARD MHK. THIS IS UNCERTAIN AS THE TS HAVE SHOWN A
RECENT WEAKENING TREND. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR DECREASED VIS
BETWEEN 09Z AND 13Z BUT NOT ENOUGH CHANCE TO WARRANT INCLUSION IN
THE TAF. TS MAY DEVELOP AGAIN AFTER 20Z FRIDAY.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          801 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  120/07 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 602 PM):        200FT  128/07 MPH
                                      400FT  131/07 MPH
                                      600FT  123/08 MPH
                                      800FT  116/10 MPH
                                     1000FT  128/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  149/07 MPH
                                     2000FT  145/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 119/10 MPH
                                       83FT  120/11 MPH
                                      241FT  120/12 MPH
                                      516FT  120/12 MPH
                                      924FT  120/12 MPH
                                     1454FT  121/12 MPH
                                     2099FT  121/11 MPH
                                     2815FT  121/11 MPH
                                     3604FT  123/10 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 127/09 MPH
                                       88FT  126/10 MPH
                                      244FT  127/11 MPH
                                      519FT  127/11 MPH
                                      929FT  126/12 MPH
                                     1459FT  126/12 MPH
                                     2101FT  126/12 MPH
                                     2817FT  127/11 MPH
                                     3610FT  130/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 141/06 MPH
                                       88FT  142/09 MPH
                                      247FT  142/11 MPH
                                      521FT  141/12 MPH
                                      928FT  126/12 MPH
                                     1459FT  126/12 MPH
                                     2101FT  126/12 MPH
                                     2817FT  127/11 MPH
                                     3610FT  130/11 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  2301 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        643 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  100/05 MPH
                    9 AM  120/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








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