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000
SXUS43 KTOP 251813
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
113 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1257 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE KANSAS RIVER
AT NOON TIME, VERY NEAR TAF SITES. CEILINGS SHOULD RISE TO VFR
SHORTLY, WHILE WINDS COULD BE VARIABLE FOR THE NEXT 2 OR 3 HOURS,
PARTICULARLY AT TOP AND FOE BEFORE THE BOUNDARY MOVES BACK NORTH.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL KS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON MAY MOVE THROUGH OR NEAR TAF SITES BY EARLY EVENING SO
HAVE VCTS FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THAT TIME. LATER TONIGHT, MOIST
AIRMASS COULD ALLOW FOG TO FORM.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          838 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 608 AM):        200FT  204/08 MPH
                                      400FT  192/11 MPH
                                      600FT  187/11 MPH
                                      800FT  185/12 MPH
                                     1000FT  177/23 MPH
                                     1500FT  174/35 MPH
                                     2000FT  178/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        39FT  181/09 MPH
                                      125FT  181/12 MPH
                                      287FT  182/14 MPH
                                      565FT  182/15 MPH
                                      981FT  182/17 MPH
                                     1523FT  183/18 MPH
                                     2179FT  185/19 MPH
                                     2910FT  192/22 MPH
                                     3718FT  201/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        36FT  167/07 MPH
                                      122FT  169/11 MPH
                                      285FT  172/14 MPH
                                      566FT  174/17 MPH
                                      983FT  177/19 MPH
                                     1526FT  181/21 MPH
                                     2184FT  184/22 MPH
                                     2917FT  194/26 MPH
                                     3731FT  207/29 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        30FT  153/07 MPH
                                      119FT  156/14 MPH
                                      281FT  160/17 MPH
                                      562FT  166/21 MPH
                                      980FT  177/19 MPH
                                     1526FT  181/21 MPH
                                     2184FT  184/22 MPH
                                     2917FT  194/26 MPH
                                     3731FT  207/29 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        601 AM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$





000
SXUS43 KTOP 250549
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1249 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

WEAKENING TSRA COMPLEX MOVING THROUGH THE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL BE
A CHALLENGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BUT SHOULD BECOME SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST BY 10Z. THERE CONTINUE TO BE SIGNALS OF MVFR STRATUS
INTO THE 18Z PERIOD AND WILL GO ALONG AT THIS POINT. TOO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY FOR ANY LATE PERIOD TSRA AT THIS POINT.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         602 AM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 609 PM):        200FT  176/07 MPH
                                      400FT  176/08 MPH
                                      600FT  169/08 MPH
                                      800FT  165/09 MPH
                                     1000FT  161/09 MPH
                                     1500FT  168/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  174/15 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 131/04 MPH
                                       90FT  149/11 MPH
                                      248FT  158/13 MPH
                                      522FT  178/17 MPH
                                      927FT  193/25 MPH
                                     1460FT  204/44 MPH
                                     2109FT  209/53 MPH
                                     2835FT  215/51 MPH
                                     3646FT  221/45 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        11FT 166/07 MPH
                                       98FT  183/17 MPH
                                      254FT  188/20 MPH
                                      528FT  197/29 MPH
                                      938FT  202/42 MPH
                                     1473FT  205/49 MPH
                                     2127FT  211/48 MPH
                                     2857FT  215/46 MPH
                                     3663FT  218/44 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        25FT 191/14 MPH
                                      110FT  190/23 MPH
                                      270FT  190/26 MPH
                                      546FT  191/33 MPH
                                      958FT  202/42 MPH
                                     1473FT  205/49 MPH
                                     2127FT  211/48 MPH
                                     2857FT  215/46 MPH
                                     3663FT  218/44 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         837 PM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$





000
SXUS43 KTOP 242357
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
657 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 648 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST WITH TIMING AND IMPACTS OF
CONVECTION THE MAIN CHALLENGE. THUNDERSTORMS IN SW KANSAS A BIT
SLOWER THAN EARLIER ANTICIPATED AND HRRR HAS ALSO SLOW
PROGRESSION. ADDED SOME GUSTY WINDS AND IFR VISBYS IN WINDOW OF
GREATEST POTENTIAL. STILL SOME CONCERN FOR MVFR CIGS TO AROUND 18Z
WEDNESDAY BUT NOT SOLD ON INCLUSION YET.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          837 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 609 PM):        200FT  176/07 MPH
                                      400FT  176/08 MPH
                                      600FT  169/08 MPH
                                      800FT  165/09 MPH
                                     1000FT  161/09 MPH
                                     1500FT  168/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  174/15 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        32FT  171/08 MPH
                                      119FT  172/10 MPH
                                      282FT  172/10 MPH
                                      562FT  173/11 MPH
                                      980FT  173/11 MPH
                                     1522FT  174/11 MPH
                                     2178FT  175/11 MPH
                                     2913FT  175/11 MPH
                                     3717FT  178/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        29FT  163/09 MPH
                                      116FT  165/10 MPH
                                      279FT  165/11 MPH
                                      560FT  166/11 MPH
                                      977FT  166/11 MPH
                                     1520FT  168/12 MPH
                                     2177FT  171/12 MPH
                                     2905FT  172/12 MPH
                                     3717FT  174/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        30FT  163/09 MPH
                                      116FT  163/11 MPH
                                      278FT  164/13 MPH
                                      559FT  165/13 MPH
                                      976FT  166/11 MPH
                                     1520FT  168/12 MPH
                                     2177FT  171/12 MPH
                                     2905FT  172/12 MPH
                                     3717FT  174/12 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        602 AM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$





000
SXUS43 KTOP 241228
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
728 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 625 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

TAF WILL AGAIN BE DRIVEN BY CONVECTION WITH A RELATIVELY LOW LEVEL
OF CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST. THIS MORNING, EXPECT MAINLY VFR
CIG/VIS CONDITIONS, ALTHOUGH WITH PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
HEAVY RAIN AT ALL TAF SITES FROM 12Z THROUGH 15 OR 16Z. MUCH OF
THE AFTERNOON SHOULD BE VFR WITH NO PRECIPITATION, ALTHOUGH A
STRAY STORM IS POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT ANY TIME TODAY. INCREASING
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN BY 06Z TO 12Z PERIOD.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         602 AM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 640 AM):        200FT  184/05 MPH
                                      400FT  170/05 MPH
                                      600FT  194/02 MPH
                                      800FT  302/02 MPH
                                     1000FT  354/12 MPH
                                     1500FT  004/27 MPH
                                     2000FT  010/31 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        24FT  173/07 MPH
                                      107FT  181/13 MPH
                                      263FT  187/16 MPH
                                      534FT  195/17 MPH
                                      937FT  206/18 MPH
                                     1463FT  220/17 MPH
                                     2100FT  241/15 MPH
                                     2818FT  267/09 MPH
                                     3616FT  309/05 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        26FT  207/03 MPH
                                      110FT  201/06 MPH
                                      266FT  200/07 MPH
                                      536FT  205/13 MPH
                                      939FT  212/14 MPH
                                     1465FT  220/15 MPH
                                     2103FT  235/13 MPH
                                     2816FT  258/11 MPH
                                     3607FT  272/07 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        23FT  233/10 MPH
                                      107FT  233/12 MPH
                                      264FT  234/13 MPH
                                      536FT  235/15 MPH
                                      943FT  212/14 MPH
                                     1465FT  220/15 MPH
                                     2103FT  235/13 MPH
                                     2816FT  258/11 MPH
                                     3607FT  272/07 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         837 PM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$





000
SXUS43 KTOP 240550
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1250 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

MVFR CLOUD ON THE INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AND WILL BE IMPACTING
THE TERMINALS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WILL BE MONITORING CONVECTIVE
TRENDS BUT STILL APPEARS A WINDOW AROUND 11-14Z WILL BE THE MAIN
WINDOW OF POTENTIAL.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         603 AM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 603 PM):        200FT  132/04 MPH
                                      400FT  167/05 MPH
                                      600FT  185/06 MPH
                                      800FT  191/07 MPH
                                     1000FT  196/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  200/15 MPH
                                     2000FT  203/23 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        35FT  177/07 MPH
                                      122FT  174/16 MPH
                                      275FT  174/18 MPH
                                      547FT  190/20 MPH
                                      955FT  205/19 MPH
                                     1487FT  220/21 MPH
                                     2132FT  229/25 MPH
                                     2853FT  238/25 MPH
                                     3655FT  257/19 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        26FT  189/08 MPH
                                      113FT  191/16 MPH
                                      269FT  191/19 MPH
                                      541FT  193/23 MPH
                                      945FT  203/24 MPH
                                     1479FT  213/25 MPH
                                     2124FT  226/25 MPH
                                     2847FT  234/25 MPH
                                     3643FT  253/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        20FT  187/10 MPH
                                      104FT  187/12 MPH
                                      261FT  187/14 MPH
                                      537FT  196/21 MPH
                                      944FT  203/24 MPH
                                     1479FT  213/25 MPH
                                     2124FT  226/25 MPH
                                     2847FT  234/25 MPH
                                     3643FT  253/20 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         836 PM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$





000
SXUS43 KTOP 232346
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
646 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 646 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS BUT
CHANCES FOR LIMITATIONS IN CLOUDS AND/OR PRECIP SEEM TO BE
INCREASING FOR THE 06Z-18Z WINDOW. MODELS SHOWING SOME
CONSISTENCY IN CUMULUS FIELD IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS DEVELOPING
INTO CONVECTIVE CLUSTER THAT MOVES EAST WITH TIME, AIDED BY A
POSSIBLE WEAK WAVE MOVING OUT OF COLORADO. HAVE GONE AHEAD WITH
PREVAILING SHRA IN MOST LIKELY TIME OF PASSAGE OF THIS MCS.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE ALSO SIMILAR IN RATHER MOIST LOWER LEVELS
DURING THIS PERIOD BRINGING SOME POTENTIAL FOR MVFR CIGS IN A
SIMILAR WINDOW.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          836 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 603 PM):        200FT  132/04 MPH
                                      400FT  167/05 MPH
                                      600FT  185/06 MPH
                                      800FT  191/07 MPH
                                     1000FT  196/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  200/15 MPH
                                     2000FT  203/23 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        42FT  187/09 MPH
                                      128FT  188/11 MPH
                                      284FT  188/11 MPH
                                      560FT  189/12 MPH
                                      970FT  189/13 MPH
                                     1499FT  191/13 MPH
                                     2141FT  192/14 MPH
                                     2857FT  208/20 MPH
                                     3653FT  220/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        40FT  173/09 MPH
                                      125FT  174/11 MPH
                                      284FT  174/12 MPH
                                      558FT  174/13 MPH
                                      968FT  173/13 MPH
                                     1498FT  173/14 MPH
                                     2141FT  174/14 MPH
                                     2859FT  204/19 MPH
                                     3656FT  220/26 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        40FT  184/07 MPH
                                      125FT  181/10 MPH
                                      284FT  180/12 MPH
                                      560FT  179/13 MPH
                                      967FT  173/13 MPH
                                     1498FT  173/14 MPH
                                     2141FT  174/14 MPH
                                     2859FT  204/19 MPH
                                     3656FT  220/26 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        602 AM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$





000
SXUS43 KTOP 231726
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1226 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EASTWARD OUT THE
TOPEKA TERMINALS NEAR 20Z. THE BIG QUESTION MARK THROUGH THE
PERIOD IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN MCS ACROSS THE AREA. CURRENTLY
HAVE VCTS AND MVFR CIGS MENTIONED AT MHK BEGINNING AT 09Z AND 10Z
AT THE TOPEKA TERMINALS. LATER OUTLOOKS WILL CONTINUE TO REFINE
TIMING OF POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          836 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 604 AM):        200FT  169/17 MPH
                                      400FT  171/26 MPH
                                      600FT  174/34 MPH
                                      800FT  177/40 MPH
                                     1000FT  189/44 MPH
                                     1500FT  193/40 MPH
                                     2000FT  194/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        44FT  186/15 MPH
                                      131FT  186/19 MPH
                                      294FT  186/20 MPH
                                      571FT  187/21 MPH
                                      985FT  186/22 MPH
                                     1525FT  186/22 MPH
                                     2178FT  186/22 MPH
                                     2903FT  186/22 MPH
                                     3707FT  187/23 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        45FT  177/14 MPH
                                      131FT  179/18 MPH
                                      293FT  179/20 MPH
                                      571FT  180/21 MPH
                                      984FT  181/22 MPH
                                     1523FT  183/23 MPH
                                     2175FT  186/23 MPH
                                     2903FT  188/23 MPH
                                     3706FT  192/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        42FT  176/13 MPH
                                      128FT  177/17 MPH
                                      287FT  178/20 MPH
                                      567FT  179/22 MPH
                                      980FT  181/22 MPH
                                     1523FT  183/23 MPH
                                     2175FT  186/23 MPH
                                     2903FT  188/23 MPH
                                     3706FT  192/24 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        602 AM
&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$





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