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000
SXUS43 KTOP 181149
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
549 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 535 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014

LATEST RADAR TRENDS INDICATE LIGHT SNOW UNDERNEATH MVFR STRATUS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH 15Z AT KTOP/KFOE. OBSERVATIONS UPSTREAM NOTE
IFR STRATUS PUSHING EASTWARD WHILE SHORT TERM GUIDANCE HINTS AT
CEILINGS LOWERING TO JUST UNDER 1000 FEET AS THE SNOWFALL ENDS.
THESE CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY WITH DRIER AIR NEAR THE
SURFACE ATTEMPTING TO LIFT CLOUD DECK BACK TO LOW END MVFR BY LATE
AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS HOVER NEAR LOW END MVFR THROUGH FORECAST
PERIOD WITH A LOW POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE TO IMPACT
TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         736 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  080/05 MPH
                                     9 AM  080/06 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 509 AM):        200FT  082/09 MPH
                                      400FT  086/13 MPH
                                      600FT  089/15 MPH
                                      800FT  092/16 MPH
                                     1000FT  104/09 MPH
                                     1500FT  174/07 MPH
                                     2000FT  174/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        22FT  077/06 MPH
                                       99FT  077/09 MPH
                                      242FT  077/10 MPH
                                      492FT  082/13 MPH
                                      861FT  093/15 MPH
                                     1346FT  127/15 MPH
                                     1937FT  148/15 MPH
                                     2601FT  167/11 MPH
                                     3340FT  206/09 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        22FT  078/05 MPH
                                      101FT  079/07 MPH
                                      244FT  081/08 MPH
                                      492FT  086/11 MPH
                                      863FT  092/14 MPH
                                     1347FT  124/12 MPH
                                     1936FT  158/13 MPH
                                     2598FT  176/12 MPH
                                     3338FT  204/09 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        25FT  077/06 MPH
                                      101FT  077/08 MPH
                                      244FT  078/09 MPH
                                      495FT  085/12 MPH
                                      863FT  092/14 MPH
                                     1347FT  124/12 MPH
                                     1936FT  158/13 MPH
                                     2598FT  176/12 MPH
                                     3338FT  204/09 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  -1020 FT
                                     9 AM  -947 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         502 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  060/02 MPH
                    4 PM  050/02 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 181149
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
549 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 535 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014

LATEST RADAR TRENDS INDICATE LIGHT SNOW UNDERNEATH MVFR STRATUS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH 15Z AT KTOP/KFOE. OBSERVATIONS UPSTREAM NOTE
IFR STRATUS PUSHING EASTWARD WHILE SHORT TERM GUIDANCE HINTS AT
CEILINGS LOWERING TO JUST UNDER 1000 FEET AS THE SNOWFALL ENDS.
THESE CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY WITH DRIER AIR NEAR THE
SURFACE ATTEMPTING TO LIFT CLOUD DECK BACK TO LOW END MVFR BY LATE
AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS HOVER NEAR LOW END MVFR THROUGH FORECAST
PERIOD WITH A LOW POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE TO IMPACT
TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         736 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  080/05 MPH
                                     9 AM  080/06 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 509 AM):        200FT  082/09 MPH
                                      400FT  086/13 MPH
                                      600FT  089/15 MPH
                                      800FT  092/16 MPH
                                     1000FT  104/09 MPH
                                     1500FT  174/07 MPH
                                     2000FT  174/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        22FT  077/06 MPH
                                       99FT  077/09 MPH
                                      242FT  077/10 MPH
                                      492FT  082/13 MPH
                                      861FT  093/15 MPH
                                     1346FT  127/15 MPH
                                     1937FT  148/15 MPH
                                     2601FT  167/11 MPH
                                     3340FT  206/09 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        22FT  078/05 MPH
                                      101FT  079/07 MPH
                                      244FT  081/08 MPH
                                      492FT  086/11 MPH
                                      863FT  092/14 MPH
                                     1347FT  124/12 MPH
                                     1936FT  158/13 MPH
                                     2598FT  176/12 MPH
                                     3338FT  204/09 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        25FT  077/06 MPH
                                      101FT  077/08 MPH
                                      244FT  078/09 MPH
                                      495FT  085/12 MPH
                                      863FT  092/14 MPH
                                     1347FT  124/12 MPH
                                     1936FT  158/13 MPH
                                     2598FT  176/12 MPH
                                     3338FT  204/09 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  -1020 FT
                                     9 AM  -947 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         502 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  060/02 MPH
                    4 PM  050/02 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 172332
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
532 PM CST WED DEC 17 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 528 PM CST WED DEC 17 2014

KEPT TAF AS PREVIOUS BUT MOVED UP HEAVIER SNOW ABOUT AN HOUR.
CONDITIONS TO IFR/LIFR BY 04Z. SNOW SHOULD LIGHTEN AND START TO
BREAK OUT TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT EXPECT CIGS TO REMAIN LOW AND
OPTED NOT TO ADD A GROUP AT THIS TIME. WILL ALSO NEED TO WATCH FOR
FREEZING DRIZZLE SWITCHOVER IN THE AFTER SUNRISE HOURS.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          502 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 503 PM):        200FT  100/06 MPH
                                      400FT  096/06 MPH
                                      600FT  098/09 MPH
                                      800FT  100/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  119/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  134/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  141/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        33FT  088/06 MPH
                                      109FT  088/07 MPH
                                      253FT  088/08 MPH
                                      500FT  090/08 MPH
                                      871FT  092/08 MPH
                                     1353FT  103/09 MPH
                                     1941FT  133/09 MPH
                                     2604FT  194/08 MPH
                                     3348FT  211/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        28FT  114/05 MPH
                                      107FT  115/06 MPH
                                      250FT  115/06 MPH
                                      498FT  116/07 MPH
                                      867FT  117/07 MPH
                                     1349FT  125/10 MPH
                                     1937FT  141/11 MPH
                                     2602FT  178/07 MPH
                                     3344FT  210/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        25FT  129/04 MPH
                                      104FT  133/05 MPH
                                      248FT  135/06 MPH
                                      496FT  138/06 MPH
                                      867FT  117/07 MPH
                                     1349FT  125/10 MPH
                                     1937FT  141/11 MPH
                                     2602FT  178/07 MPH
                                     3344FT  210/11 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        736 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  080/06 MPH
                    9 AM  080/06 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 172332
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
532 PM CST WED DEC 17 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 528 PM CST WED DEC 17 2014

KEPT TAF AS PREVIOUS BUT MOVED UP HEAVIER SNOW ABOUT AN HOUR.
CONDITIONS TO IFR/LIFR BY 04Z. SNOW SHOULD LIGHTEN AND START TO
BREAK OUT TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT EXPECT CIGS TO REMAIN LOW AND
OPTED NOT TO ADD A GROUP AT THIS TIME. WILL ALSO NEED TO WATCH FOR
FREEZING DRIZZLE SWITCHOVER IN THE AFTER SUNRISE HOURS.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          502 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 503 PM):        200FT  100/06 MPH
                                      400FT  096/06 MPH
                                      600FT  098/09 MPH
                                      800FT  100/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  119/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  134/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  141/12 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        33FT  088/06 MPH
                                      109FT  088/07 MPH
                                      253FT  088/08 MPH
                                      500FT  090/08 MPH
                                      871FT  092/08 MPH
                                     1353FT  103/09 MPH
                                     1941FT  133/09 MPH
                                     2604FT  194/08 MPH
                                     3348FT  211/14 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        28FT  114/05 MPH
                                      107FT  115/06 MPH
                                      250FT  115/06 MPH
                                      498FT  116/07 MPH
                                      867FT  117/07 MPH
                                     1349FT  125/10 MPH
                                     1937FT  141/11 MPH
                                     2602FT  178/07 MPH
                                     3344FT  210/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        25FT  129/04 MPH
                                      104FT  133/05 MPH
                                      248FT  135/06 MPH
                                      496FT  138/06 MPH
                                      867FT  117/07 MPH
                                     1349FT  125/10 MPH
                                     1937FT  141/11 MPH
                                     2602FT  178/07 MPH
                                     3344FT  210/11 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        736 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  080/06 MPH
                    9 AM  080/06 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 171205
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
605 AM CST WED DEC 17 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 537 AM CST WED DEC 17 2014

PATCHY MVFR STRATUS WILL PERSIST OVER TERMINALS BEFORE LIFTING
TO VFR BETWEEN 15Z AND 17Z. MID LEVEL CLOUDS INCREASE THROUGH THE
DAY AS DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHEAST TOWARDS SOUTH CENTRAL KS.
CONFIDENCE WAVERS ON EXACT TIMING OF SNOWFALL AS SHORT TERM
GUIDANCE IS IN DISAGREEMENT. BELIEVE DRIER AIR AT THE SURFACE WILL
TAKE SOME TIME TO OVERCOME SO HAVE DELAYED SNOWFALL BEGINNING UNTIL
2Z TO 3Z. CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY DETERIORATE WITH SNOWFALL THIS
EVENING FROM MVFR TO LIKELY IFR AND LIFR BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 12Z.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         736 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  060/03 MPH
                                     9 AM  070/03 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 531 AM):        200FT  018/09 MPH
                                      400FT  019/09 MPH
                                      600FT  016/09 MPH
                                      800FT  009/08 MPH
                                     1000FT  000/06 MPH
                                     1500FT  348/02 MPH
                                     2000FT  296/06 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        38FT  047/05 MPH
                                      116FT  047/06 MPH
                                      257FT  046/06 MPH
                                      505FT  046/06 MPH
                                      870FT  046/06 MPH
                                     1345FT  046/06 MPH
                                     1925FT  022/04 MPH
                                     2580FT  283/08 MPH
                                     3326FT  264/17 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        38FT  048/06 MPH
                                      114FT  046/07 MPH
                                      255FT  047/08 MPH
                                      502FT  046/08 MPH
                                      867FT  047/08 MPH
                                     1344FT  050/07 MPH
                                     1922FT  031/03 MPH
                                     2580FT  273/08 MPH
                                     3324FT  262/17 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        33FT  048/06 MPH
                                      111FT  047/08 MPH
                                      252FT  048/08 MPH
                                      498FT  048/09 MPH
                                      861FT  047/08 MPH
                                     1344FT  050/07 MPH
                                     1922FT  031/03 MPH
                                     2580FT  273/08 MPH
                                     3324FT  262/17 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  -1368 FT
                                     9 AM  -1368 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         502 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  090/06 MPH
                    4 PM  100/06 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 171205
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
605 AM CST WED DEC 17 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 537 AM CST WED DEC 17 2014

PATCHY MVFR STRATUS WILL PERSIST OVER TERMINALS BEFORE LIFTING
TO VFR BETWEEN 15Z AND 17Z. MID LEVEL CLOUDS INCREASE THROUGH THE
DAY AS DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHEAST TOWARDS SOUTH CENTRAL KS.
CONFIDENCE WAVERS ON EXACT TIMING OF SNOWFALL AS SHORT TERM
GUIDANCE IS IN DISAGREEMENT. BELIEVE DRIER AIR AT THE SURFACE WILL
TAKE SOME TIME TO OVERCOME SO HAVE DELAYED SNOWFALL BEGINNING UNTIL
2Z TO 3Z. CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY DETERIORATE WITH SNOWFALL THIS
EVENING FROM MVFR TO LIKELY IFR AND LIFR BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 12Z.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         736 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  060/03 MPH
                                     9 AM  070/03 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 531 AM):        200FT  018/09 MPH
                                      400FT  019/09 MPH
                                      600FT  016/09 MPH
                                      800FT  009/08 MPH
                                     1000FT  000/06 MPH
                                     1500FT  348/02 MPH
                                     2000FT  296/06 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        38FT  047/05 MPH
                                      116FT  047/06 MPH
                                      257FT  046/06 MPH
                                      505FT  046/06 MPH
                                      870FT  046/06 MPH
                                     1345FT  046/06 MPH
                                     1925FT  022/04 MPH
                                     2580FT  283/08 MPH
                                     3326FT  264/17 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        38FT  048/06 MPH
                                      114FT  046/07 MPH
                                      255FT  047/08 MPH
                                      502FT  046/08 MPH
                                      867FT  047/08 MPH
                                     1344FT  050/07 MPH
                                     1922FT  031/03 MPH
                                     2580FT  273/08 MPH
                                     3324FT  262/17 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        33FT  048/06 MPH
                                      111FT  047/08 MPH
                                      252FT  048/08 MPH
                                      498FT  048/09 MPH
                                      861FT  047/08 MPH
                                     1344FT  050/07 MPH
                                     1922FT  031/03 MPH
                                     2580FT  273/08 MPH
                                     3324FT  262/17 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  -1368 FT
                                     9 AM  -1368 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         502 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  090/06 MPH
                    4 PM  100/06 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 170536
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1136 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1133 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

PERSISTENT THIN LAYER OF LOW STRATUS CONTINUES TO IMPACT TAF SITES
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BUT ANTICIPATE THINNING TREND TO CONTINUE.
NEXT IMPACT ON FLIGHT CATEGORIES DOESN`T COME UNTIL LATE TOMORROW
EVENING AS NEXT UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY SPREADS
SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING DRIZZLE...ACROSS NE KANSAS
THROUGH THE NIGHT BEYOND THIS TAF PERIOD.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 502 PM):        200FT  337/09 MPH
                                      400FT  334/13 MPH
                                      600FT  331/14 MPH
                                      800FT  332/14 MPH
                                     1000FT  328/14 MPH
                                     1500FT  325/15 MPH
                                     2000FT  334/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        38FT  039/04 MPH
                                      114FT  038/05 MPH
                                      256FT  038/05 MPH
                                      505FT  039/06 MPH
                                      874FT  040/06 MPH
                                     1352FT  040/06 MPH
                                     1935FT  351/03 MPH
                                     2597FT  277/13 MPH
                                     3339FT  266/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        41FT  066/05 MPH
                                      119FT  066/06 MPH
                                      262FT  068/07 MPH
                                      510FT  069/07 MPH
                                      876FT  071/07 MPH
                                     1357FT  073/07 MPH
                                     1940FT  078/03 MPH
                                     2597FT  293/08 MPH
                                     3342FT  273/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        41FT  052/06 MPH
                                      119FT  054/08 MPH
                                      262FT  055/09 MPH
                                      507FT  056/09 MPH
                                      875FT  071/07 MPH
                                     1357FT  073/07 MPH
                                     1940FT  078/03 MPH
                                     2597FT  293/08 MPH
                                     3342FT  273/13 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        736 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  040/03 MPH
                    9 AM  060/03 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 161748
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1148 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

MVFR STRATUS BECOMING RATHER THIN WITH SOME BREAKS VIA VISUAL
INSPECTION AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, THOUGH OBS IN CLEARING AREA
STRUGGLING TO REPORT NO CEILING. HAVE BACKED OFF ON VFR ONCE AGAIN
WITH CONFIDENCE REMAINING SOMEWHAT LOW. LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH CLOUD
SHOULD DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           2 PM  320/14 MPH
                                     4 PM  320/10 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 528 AM):        200FT  328/15 MPH
                                      400FT  326/19 MPH
                                      600FT  326/21 MPH
                                      800FT  326/22 MPH
                                     1000FT  324/25 MPH
                                     1500FT  331/28 MPH
                                     2000FT  327/30 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        51FT  336/10 MPH
                                      128FT  336/13 MPH
                                      273FT  337/14 MPH
                                      521FT  336/15 MPH
                                      891FT  337/16 MPH
                                     1371FT  336/17 MPH
                                     1955FT  336/18 MPH
                                     2608FT  335/19 MPH
                                     3347FT  331/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        49FT  333/09 MPH
                                      128FT  335/12 MPH
                                      271FT  336/13 MPH
                                      521FT  336/14 MPH
                                      888FT  336/15 MPH
                                     1371FT  336/16 MPH
                                     1955FT  337/17 MPH
                                     2607FT  338/19 MPH
                                     3342FT  333/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        46FT  339/09 MPH
                                      125FT  340/11 MPH
                                      268FT  340/12 MPH
                                      518FT  340/13 MPH
                                      887FT  336/15 MPH
                                     1371FT  336/16 MPH
                                     1955FT  337/17 MPH
                                     2607FT  338/19 MPH
                                     3342FT  333/18 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                2 PM  -919 FT
                                     4 PM  -773 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        736 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  040/03 MPH
                    9 AM  060/05 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 161748
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1148 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

MVFR STRATUS BECOMING RATHER THIN WITH SOME BREAKS VIA VISUAL
INSPECTION AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, THOUGH OBS IN CLEARING AREA
STRUGGLING TO REPORT NO CEILING. HAVE BACKED OFF ON VFR ONCE AGAIN
WITH CONFIDENCE REMAINING SOMEWHAT LOW. LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH CLOUD
SHOULD DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           2 PM  320/14 MPH
                                     4 PM  320/10 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 528 AM):        200FT  328/15 MPH
                                      400FT  326/19 MPH
                                      600FT  326/21 MPH
                                      800FT  326/22 MPH
                                     1000FT  324/25 MPH
                                     1500FT  331/28 MPH
                                     2000FT  327/30 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        51FT  336/10 MPH
                                      128FT  336/13 MPH
                                      273FT  337/14 MPH
                                      521FT  336/15 MPH
                                      891FT  337/16 MPH
                                     1371FT  336/17 MPH
                                     1955FT  336/18 MPH
                                     2608FT  335/19 MPH
                                     3347FT  331/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        49FT  333/09 MPH
                                      128FT  335/12 MPH
                                      271FT  336/13 MPH
                                      521FT  336/14 MPH
                                      888FT  336/15 MPH
                                     1371FT  336/16 MPH
                                     1955FT  337/17 MPH
                                     2607FT  338/19 MPH
                                     3342FT  333/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        46FT  339/09 MPH
                                      125FT  340/11 MPH
                                      268FT  340/12 MPH
                                      518FT  340/13 MPH
                                      887FT  336/15 MPH
                                     1371FT  336/16 MPH
                                     1955FT  337/17 MPH
                                     2607FT  338/19 MPH
                                     3342FT  333/18 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                2 PM  -919 FT
                                     4 PM  -773 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        736 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  040/03 MPH
                    9 AM  060/05 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 161154
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
554 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 533 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

MAIN FOCUS IS BAND OF MVFR STRATUS AND UNCERTAINTY ON HOW QUICKLY IT
ERODES EASTWARD WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT FOR KMHK TO DISSIPATE
TO A SCATTERED MVFR DECK BY 17Z WHILE SOME DISCREPANCY EXISTS IN
KTOP/KFOE. LATEST TRENDS IN THE PAST FEW HOURS INDICATE KTOP/KFOE
MAY CLEAR TO SCT MVFR STRATUS NEAR 20Z. IN ADDITION, GUSTY NORTH
WINDS ARE STRONGEST IN THE MORNING HOURS UNTIL SURFACE LOW EXITS
AND WINDS WANE AT OR BELOW 10 KTS FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         735 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  320/17G26 MPH
                                     9 AM  320/17G26 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 528 AM):        200FT  328/15 MPH
                                      400FT  326/19 MPH
                                      600FT  326/21 MPH
                                      800FT  326/22 MPH
                                     1000FT  324/25 MPH
                                     1500FT  331/28 MPH
                                     2000FT  327/30 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        33FT  331/15 MPH
                                      113FT  332/20 MPH
                                      257FT  333/23 MPH
                                      506FT  335/27 MPH
                                      877FT  337/30 MPH
                                     1361FT  338/33 MPH
                                     1947FT  339/34 MPH
                                     2598FT  346/41 MPH
                                     3329FT  352/42 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        41FT  326/13 MPH
                                      118FT  329/19 MPH
                                      262FT  330/22 MPH
                                      513FT  332/26 MPH
                                      884FT  334/29 MPH
                                     1368FT  336/32 MPH
                                     1953FT  341/36 MPH
                                     2608FT  347/43 MPH
                                     3339FT  354/44 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        43FT  319/12 MPH
                                      123FT  321/17 MPH
                                      267FT  323/20 MPH
                                      516FT  326/23 MPH
                                      888FT  334/29 MPH
                                     1368FT  336/32 MPH
                                     1953FT  341/36 MPH
                                     2608FT  347/43 MPH
                                     3339FT  354/44 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  -970 FT
                                     9 AM  -972 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         501 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  320/15 MPH
                    4 PM  320/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 161154
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
554 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 533 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

MAIN FOCUS IS BAND OF MVFR STRATUS AND UNCERTAINTY ON HOW QUICKLY IT
ERODES EASTWARD WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT FOR KMHK TO DISSIPATE
TO A SCATTERED MVFR DECK BY 17Z WHILE SOME DISCREPANCY EXISTS IN
KTOP/KFOE. LATEST TRENDS IN THE PAST FEW HOURS INDICATE KTOP/KFOE
MAY CLEAR TO SCT MVFR STRATUS NEAR 20Z. IN ADDITION, GUSTY NORTH
WINDS ARE STRONGEST IN THE MORNING HOURS UNTIL SURFACE LOW EXITS
AND WINDS WANE AT OR BELOW 10 KTS FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         735 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  320/17G26 MPH
                                     9 AM  320/17G26 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 528 AM):        200FT  328/15 MPH
                                      400FT  326/19 MPH
                                      600FT  326/21 MPH
                                      800FT  326/22 MPH
                                     1000FT  324/25 MPH
                                     1500FT  331/28 MPH
                                     2000FT  327/30 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        33FT  331/15 MPH
                                      113FT  332/20 MPH
                                      257FT  333/23 MPH
                                      506FT  335/27 MPH
                                      877FT  337/30 MPH
                                     1361FT  338/33 MPH
                                     1947FT  339/34 MPH
                                     2598FT  346/41 MPH
                                     3329FT  352/42 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        41FT  326/13 MPH
                                      118FT  329/19 MPH
                                      262FT  330/22 MPH
                                      513FT  332/26 MPH
                                      884FT  334/29 MPH
                                     1368FT  336/32 MPH
                                     1953FT  341/36 MPH
                                     2608FT  347/43 MPH
                                     3339FT  354/44 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        43FT  319/12 MPH
                                      123FT  321/17 MPH
                                      267FT  323/20 MPH
                                      516FT  326/23 MPH
                                      888FT  334/29 MPH
                                     1368FT  336/32 MPH
                                     1953FT  341/36 MPH
                                     2608FT  347/43 MPH
                                     3339FT  354/44 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  -970 FT
                                     9 AM  -972 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         501 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  320/15 MPH
                    4 PM  320/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 160533
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1133 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1120 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AND
INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS. AS EXPECTED THE TIMING OF THE CLOUD
DEPARTURE IS IN QUESTION. HAVE EXTENDED THE VFR TIMING A FEW HOURS
LATER.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 507 PM):        200FT  278/15 MPH
                                      400FT  281/21 MPH
                                      600FT  286/22 MPH
                                      800FT  289/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  294/29 MPH
                                     1500FT  299/31 MPH
                                     2000FT  302/31 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        33FT  319/17 MPH
                                      113FT  321/24 MPH
                                      257FT  323/27 MPH
                                      506FT  325/31 MPH
                                      877FT  326/35 MPH
                                     1359FT  328/39 MPH
                                     1943FT  329/40 MPH
                                     2596FT  335/44 MPH
                                     3320FT  345/47 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        38FT  328/16 MPH
                                      115FT  330/22 MPH
                                      259FT  332/26 MPH
                                      508FT  333/30 MPH
                                      879FT  335/34 MPH
                                     1363FT  337/37 MPH
                                     1946FT  338/40 MPH
                                     2598FT  346/46 MPH
                                     3329FT  352/48 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        43FT  325/16 MPH
                                      120FT  327/22 MPH
                                      264FT  329/25 MPH
                                      513FT  330/29 MPH
                                      883FT  335/34 MPH
                                     1363FT  337/37 MPH
                                     1946FT  338/40 MPH
                                     2598FT  346/46 MPH
                                     3329FT  352/48 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        735 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  320/18G26 MPH
                    9 AM  320/16G25 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 160533
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1133 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1120 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AND
INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS. AS EXPECTED THE TIMING OF THE CLOUD
DEPARTURE IS IN QUESTION. HAVE EXTENDED THE VFR TIMING A FEW HOURS
LATER.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 507 PM):        200FT  278/15 MPH
                                      400FT  281/21 MPH
                                      600FT  286/22 MPH
                                      800FT  289/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  294/29 MPH
                                     1500FT  299/31 MPH
                                     2000FT  302/31 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        33FT  319/17 MPH
                                      113FT  321/24 MPH
                                      257FT  323/27 MPH
                                      506FT  325/31 MPH
                                      877FT  326/35 MPH
                                     1359FT  328/39 MPH
                                     1943FT  329/40 MPH
                                     2596FT  335/44 MPH
                                     3320FT  345/47 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        38FT  328/16 MPH
                                      115FT  330/22 MPH
                                      259FT  332/26 MPH
                                      508FT  333/30 MPH
                                      879FT  335/34 MPH
                                     1363FT  337/37 MPH
                                     1946FT  338/40 MPH
                                     2598FT  346/46 MPH
                                     3329FT  352/48 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        43FT  325/16 MPH
                                      120FT  327/22 MPH
                                      264FT  329/25 MPH
                                      513FT  330/29 MPH
                                      883FT  335/34 MPH
                                     1363FT  337/37 MPH
                                     1946FT  338/40 MPH
                                     2598FT  346/46 MPH
                                     3329FT  352/48 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        735 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  320/18G26 MPH
                    9 AM  320/16G25 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 160159
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
759 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

THE CURRENT LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND
SHOULD EXIT THE TAF SITES AROUND 00Z. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
VERY LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW LINGERS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD BEYOND 00Z.
CEILINGS ARE FORECAST TO STAY MAINLY MVFR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 507 PM):        200FT  278/15 MPH
                                      400FT  281/21 MPH
                                      600FT  286/22 MPH
                                      800FT  289/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  294/29 MPH
                                     1500FT  299/31 MPH
                                     2000FT  302/31 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT  ):       / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT  ):       / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT  ):       / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        735 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  320/17G25 MPH
                    9 AM  320/16G24 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 160159
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
759 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

THE CURRENT LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND
SHOULD EXIT THE TAF SITES AROUND 00Z. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
VERY LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW LINGERS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD BEYOND 00Z.
CEILINGS ARE FORECAST TO STAY MAINLY MVFR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 507 PM):        200FT  278/15 MPH
                                      400FT  281/21 MPH
                                      600FT  286/22 MPH
                                      800FT  289/24 MPH
                                     1000FT  294/29 MPH
                                     1500FT  299/31 MPH
                                     2000FT  302/31 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT  ):       / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT  ):       / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT  ):       / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH
                                     FT  / MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        735 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  320/17G25 MPH
                    9 AM  320/16G24 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 152330
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
530 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

THE CURRENT LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND
SHOULD EXIT THE TAF SITES AROUND 00Z. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
VERY LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW LINGERS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD BEYOND 00Z.
CEILINGS ARE FORECAST TO STAY MAINLY MVFR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 504 AM):        200FT  127/16 MPH
                                      400FT  131/23 MPH
                                      600FT  139/27 MPH
                                      800FT  146/30 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/36 MPH
                                     1500FT  164/33 MPH
                                     2000FT  175/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 283/16 MPH
                                       98FT  284/21 MPH
                                      244FT  285/24 MPH
                                      497FT  286/27 MPH
                                      875FT  289/30 MPH
                                     1365FT  292/32 MPH
                                     1960FT  295/34 MPH
                                     2621FT  300/34 MPH
                                     3361FT  300/25 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        22 287/16 MPH
                                      101FT  290/21 MPH
                                      246FT  290/24 MPH
                                      499FT  292/27 MPH
                                      876FT  295/30 MPH
                                     1365FT  302/34 MPH
                                     1960FT  307/37 MPH
                                     2623FT  310/38 MPH
                                     3360FT  311/35 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        25 296/17 MPH
                                      104FT  298/22 MPH
                                      249FT  299/25 MPH
                                      504FT  301/28 MPH
                                      878FT  295/30 MPH
                                     1365FT  302/34 MPH
                                     1960FT  307/37 MPH
                                     2623FT  310/38 MPH
                                     3360FT  311/35 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        735 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  320/17G25 MPH
                    9 AM  320/16G24 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 152330
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
530 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

THE CURRENT LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND
SHOULD EXIT THE TAF SITES AROUND 00Z. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
VERY LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW LINGERS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD BEYOND 00Z.
CEILINGS ARE FORECAST TO STAY MAINLY MVFR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 504 AM):        200FT  127/16 MPH
                                      400FT  131/23 MPH
                                      600FT  139/27 MPH
                                      800FT  146/30 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/36 MPH
                                     1500FT  164/33 MPH
                                     2000FT  175/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 283/16 MPH
                                       98FT  284/21 MPH
                                      244FT  285/24 MPH
                                      497FT  286/27 MPH
                                      875FT  289/30 MPH
                                     1365FT  292/32 MPH
                                     1960FT  295/34 MPH
                                     2621FT  300/34 MPH
                                     3361FT  300/25 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        22 287/16 MPH
                                      101FT  290/21 MPH
                                      246FT  290/24 MPH
                                      499FT  292/27 MPH
                                      876FT  295/30 MPH
                                     1365FT  302/34 MPH
                                     1960FT  307/37 MPH
                                     2623FT  310/38 MPH
                                     3360FT  311/35 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        25 296/17 MPH
                                      104FT  298/22 MPH
                                      249FT  299/25 MPH
                                      504FT  301/28 MPH
                                      878FT  295/30 MPH
                                     1365FT  302/34 MPH
                                     1960FT  307/37 MPH
                                     2623FT  310/38 MPH
                                     3360FT  311/35 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        735 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  320/17G25 MPH
                    9 AM  320/16G24 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 151739
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1139 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

LOW CLOUD TO BE THE MAIN PLAYER IN THIS FORECAST WITH STORM SYSTEM
SLOWLY DEPARTING. SLOW DRYING TO OCCUR THROUGH THIS PERIOD AND
SHOULD RESULT IN GRADUALLY RAISING CEILINGS WITH CURRENT IFR
CONDITIONS IN A FEW LOCATIONS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY. THERE IS
SOME UNCERTAINTY ON WHEN VFR RETURNS. WINDS BECOMING PERSISTENT NW
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           2 PM  290/22G31 MPH
                                     4 PM  300/23G32 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 504 AM):        200FT  127/16 MPH
                                      400FT  131/23 MPH
                                      600FT  139/27 MPH
                                      800FT  146/30 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/36 MPH
                                     1500FT  164/33 MPH
                                     2000FT  175/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        25FT  290/17 MPH
                                      104FT  292/24 MPH
                                      250FT  293/27 MPH
                                      504FT  295/31 MPH
                                      881FT  296/33 MPH
                                     1372FT  298/36 MPH
                                     1967FT  301/38 MPH
                                     2630FT  307/40 MPH
                                     3368FT  305/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        25FT  292/19 MPH
                                      104FT  294/25 MPH
                                      249FT  295/28 MPH
                                      503FT  296/31 MPH
                                      881FT  298/34 MPH
                                     1371FT  300/37 MPH
                                     1966FT  303/40 MPH
                                     2628FT  309/41 MPH
                                     3362FT  313/40 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        27FT  294/20 MPH
                                      107FT  296/26 MPH
                                      252FT  297/30 MPH
                                      502FT  299/34 MPH
                                      879FT  298/34 MPH
                                     1371FT  300/37 MPH
                                     1966FT  303/40 MPH
                                     2628FT  309/41 MPH
                                     3362FT  313/40 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                2 PM  685 FT
                                     4 PM  535 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        735 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  320/17G25 MPH
                    9 AM  320/17G25 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 151739
RECTOP

AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1139 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

LOW CLOUD TO BE THE MAIN PLAYER IN THIS FORECAST WITH STORM SYSTEM
SLOWLY DEPARTING. SLOW DRYING TO OCCUR THROUGH THIS PERIOD AND
SHOULD RESULT IN GRADUALLY RAISING CEILINGS WITH CURRENT IFR
CONDITIONS IN A FEW LOCATIONS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY. THERE IS
SOME UNCERTAINTY ON WHEN VFR RETURNS. WINDS BECOMING PERSISTENT NW
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:                          501 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           2 PM  290/22G31 MPH
                                     4 PM  300/23G32 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 504 AM):        200FT  127/16 MPH
                                      400FT  131/23 MPH
                                      600FT  139/27 MPH
                                      800FT  146/30 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/36 MPH
                                     1500FT  164/33 MPH
                                     2000FT  175/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):        25FT  290/17 MPH
                                      104FT  292/24 MPH
                                      250FT  293/27 MPH
                                      504FT  295/31 MPH
                                      881FT  296/33 MPH
                                     1372FT  298/36 MPH
                                     1967FT  301/38 MPH
                                     2630FT  307/40 MPH
                                     3368FT  305/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):        25FT  292/19 MPH
                                      104FT  294/25 MPH
                                      249FT  295/28 MPH
                                      503FT  296/31 MPH
                                      881FT  298/34 MPH
                                     1371FT  300/37 MPH
                                     1966FT  303/40 MPH
                                     2628FT  309/41 MPH
                                     3362FT  313/40 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):        27FT  294/20 MPH
                                      107FT  296/26 MPH
                                      252FT  297/30 MPH
                                      502FT  299/34 MPH
                                      879FT  298/34 MPH
                                     1371FT  300/37 MPH
                                     1966FT  303/40 MPH
                                     2628FT  309/41 MPH
                                     3362FT  313/40 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                2 PM  685 FT
                                     4 PM  535 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        735 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  320/17G25 MPH
                    9 AM  320/17G25 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









000
SXUS43 KTOP 151248
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
648 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 552 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

THE TAF IS COMPLEX THIS AM AS THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK ALMOST
DIRECTLY OVER TOP AND FOE, AND JUST SOUTH OF MHK. THE RESULT WILL
BE FREQUENT WIND SHIFTS EARLY IN THE TAF ALONG WITH FREQUENT AND
SOMETIMES TEMPORARY CHANGES IN CEILING HEIGHT. TS IS ALSO POSSIBLE
THROUGH AROUND 15Z OR SO. A COLD FRONT SHIFTS WINDS OUT OF THE NW
WITH GUSTS 20-30 KTS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE REST OF THE
TAF. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BRING CIGS TO IFR OR LOW END MVFR
BEFORE GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO AROUND 2500 FEET BY LATE AFTERNOON.
EXPECT THESE MVFR CIGS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         734 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  160/06 MPH
                                     9 AM  220/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 504 AM):        200FT  127/16 MPH
                                      400FT  131/23 MPH
                                      600FT  139/27 MPH
                                      800FT  146/30 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/36 MPH
                                     1500FT  164/33 MPH
                                     2000FT  175/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 152/08 MPH
                                       90FT  155/14 MPH
                                      240FT  157/16 MPH
                                      504FT  163/21 MPH
                                      894FT  168/25 MPH
                                     1401FT  171/30 MPH
                                     2021FT  174/35 MPH
                                     2706FT  174/38 MPH
                                     3469FT  172/39 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 149/07 MPH
                                       90FT  153/13 MPH
                                      240FT  155/15 MPH
                                      501FT  160/20 MPH
                                      891FT  166/26 MPH
                                     1401FT  174/30 MPH
                                     2017FT  180/32 MPH
                                     2702FT  182/32 MPH
                                     3460FT  182/31 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 186/10 MPH
                                       95FT  189/17 MPH
                                      246FT  190/20 MPH
                                      509FT  193/22 MPH
                                      898FT  166/26 MPH
                                     1401FT  174/30 MPH
                                     2017FT  180/32 MPH
                                     2702FT  182/32 MPH
                                     3460FT  182/31 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1313 FT
                                     9 AM  1163 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         501 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  290/22G31 MPH
                    4 PM  300/23G32 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$








000
SXUS43 KTOP 151248
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
648 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 552 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

THE TAF IS COMPLEX THIS AM AS THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK ALMOST
DIRECTLY OVER TOP AND FOE, AND JUST SOUTH OF MHK. THE RESULT WILL
BE FREQUENT WIND SHIFTS EARLY IN THE TAF ALONG WITH FREQUENT AND
SOMETIMES TEMPORARY CHANGES IN CEILING HEIGHT. TS IS ALSO POSSIBLE
THROUGH AROUND 15Z OR SO. A COLD FRONT SHIFTS WINDS OUT OF THE NW
WITH GUSTS 20-30 KTS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE REST OF THE
TAF. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BRING CIGS TO IFR OR LOW END MVFR
BEFORE GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO AROUND 2500 FEET BY LATE AFTERNOON.
EXPECT THESE MVFR CIGS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         734 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  160/06 MPH
                                     9 AM  220/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 504 AM):        200FT  127/16 MPH
                                      400FT  131/23 MPH
                                      600FT  139/27 MPH
                                      800FT  146/30 MPH
                                     1000FT  160/36 MPH
                                     1500FT  164/33 MPH
                                     2000FT  175/36 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 152/08 MPH
                                       90FT  155/14 MPH
                                      240FT  157/16 MPH
                                      504FT  163/21 MPH
                                      894FT  168/25 MPH
                                     1401FT  171/30 MPH
                                     2021FT  174/35 MPH
                                     2706FT  174/38 MPH
                                     3469FT  172/39 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 149/07 MPH
                                       90FT  153/13 MPH
                                      240FT  155/15 MPH
                                      501FT  160/20 MPH
                                      891FT  166/26 MPH
                                     1401FT  174/30 MPH
                                     2017FT  180/32 MPH
                                     2702FT  182/32 MPH
                                     3460FT  182/31 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 186/10 MPH
                                       95FT  189/17 MPH
                                      246FT  190/20 MPH
                                      509FT  193/22 MPH
                                      898FT  166/26 MPH
                                     1401FT  174/30 MPH
                                     2017FT  180/32 MPH
                                     2702FT  182/32 MPH
                                     3460FT  182/31 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  1313 FT
                                     9 AM  1163 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         501 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  290/22G31 MPH
                    4 PM  300/23G32 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$









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