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000
FGUS52 KCAE 251509
RVDCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-
037-039-055-057-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-251909-

DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1109 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

...River levels were gradually falling this morning across central
South Carolina and east-central Georgia...

Light to moderate rain will taper off from west to east through
the late morning. A warm frontal boundary will lift north late
this afternoon into the early evening. As it does...a moist and
destabilizing atmosphere will support scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Locally heavy showers are possible...but coverage
is not expected to be great enough to cause additional rises on
area rivers. Dry weather will return by Sunday afternoon and
continue through the early part of the week.

Area reservoirs will continue to maintain high pools for the next
several days. However...gradually falling or fluctuating stages are
expected on area rivers.


.BR CAE 0425 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF
.B1 DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:River Data
:                 Fld  8am   24hr   Forecast at 8am edt        Crest
:ID   Name        Stg  Stg    Chg   Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu  Stg/Time

CMDS1 :Camden     27: 20.4 /:-0.4: 19.9/19.2/18.7/17.9/15.8:      M
COLS1 :Columbia   19:  7.3 /:-0.9:  6.3/ 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.0/ 5.8:      M
CHES1 :Cheraw     30: 12.4 /:-6.2: 11.4/ 8.2/ 7.5/ 8.8/ 9.3:      M
ORBS1 :Orangeburg  8:  6.3 /:-0.2:  6.5/ 6.5/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.2:      M
AUGG1 :Btlr Cr.117.5:105.2 /:-0.6:105.9/106.7/106.6/106.2/105.6:  M
CEAS1 :C Eastman 115:113.0 /:-2.0:110.3/110.2/109.8/109.5/109.0:  M
WATS1 :L Wateree 100: 99.8 /:-0.4: 99.4/99.2/98.9/98.1/97.7:      M
.END

.BR CAE 0425 DH12/HP/DRH+24/QIIFF/DRH+48/QIIFF/DRH+72/QIIFF
.B1 DRH+96/QIIFF/DRH+120/QIIFF
:Lake data
:                 Full    7am  24 hr    7am Inflow in CFS
:ID    Name       Pool   Level Change   Sun    Mon    Tue   Wed   Thu

IRMS1 :Lake Murray 360: 358.1/: -0.2 : 4730/  4160/  3940/ 3840/ 3500
PASS1 :Parr Shoals 267: 260.7/: -0.0 : 6970/  6990/  6350/ 5620/ 5170
PNVS1 :Lake Marion  77:  76.2/:  0.2 :35940/ 32780/ 31820/30740/29230
CHDS1 :Lk Thurmond 330: 330.6/:  0.0 :17250/  8270/  5140/ 4260/ 4040
.END

During periods of high water and flooding...river stage and crest
forecast can be obtained from River Flood Warnings and River Flood
Statements. This information is also available at the National
Weather Service Columbia website at {www.erh.noaa.gov/cae}.

$$
ACM






000
FGUS52 KCAE 251509
RVDCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-
037-039-055-057-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-251909-

DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1109 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

...River levels were gradually falling this morning across central
South Carolina and east-central Georgia...

Light to moderate rain will taper off from west to east through
the late morning. A warm frontal boundary will lift north late
this afternoon into the early evening. As it does...a moist and
destabilizing atmosphere will support scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Locally heavy showers are possible...but coverage
is not expected to be great enough to cause additional rises on
area rivers. Dry weather will return by Sunday afternoon and
continue through the early part of the week.

Area reservoirs will continue to maintain high pools for the next
several days. However...gradually falling or fluctuating stages are
expected on area rivers.


.BR CAE 0425 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF
.B1 DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:River Data
:                 Fld  8am   24hr   Forecast at 8am edt        Crest
:ID   Name        Stg  Stg    Chg   Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu  Stg/Time

CMDS1 :Camden     27: 20.4 /:-0.4: 19.9/19.2/18.7/17.9/15.8:      M
COLS1 :Columbia   19:  7.3 /:-0.9:  6.3/ 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.0/ 5.8:      M
CHES1 :Cheraw     30: 12.4 /:-6.2: 11.4/ 8.2/ 7.5/ 8.8/ 9.3:      M
ORBS1 :Orangeburg  8:  6.3 /:-0.2:  6.5/ 6.5/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.2:      M
AUGG1 :Btlr Cr.117.5:105.2 /:-0.6:105.9/106.7/106.6/106.2/105.6:  M
CEAS1 :C Eastman 115:113.0 /:-2.0:110.3/110.2/109.8/109.5/109.0:  M
WATS1 :L Wateree 100: 99.8 /:-0.4: 99.4/99.2/98.9/98.1/97.7:      M
.END

.BR CAE 0425 DH12/HP/DRH+24/QIIFF/DRH+48/QIIFF/DRH+72/QIIFF
.B1 DRH+96/QIIFF/DRH+120/QIIFF
:Lake data
:                 Full    7am  24 hr    7am Inflow in CFS
:ID    Name       Pool   Level Change   Sun    Mon    Tue   Wed   Thu

IRMS1 :Lake Murray 360: 358.1/: -0.2 : 4730/  4160/  3940/ 3840/ 3500
PASS1 :Parr Shoals 267: 260.7/: -0.0 : 6970/  6990/  6350/ 5620/ 5170
PNVS1 :Lake Marion  77:  76.2/:  0.2 :35940/ 32780/ 31820/30740/29230
CHDS1 :Lk Thurmond 330: 330.6/:  0.0 :17250/  8270/  5140/ 4260/ 4040
.END

During periods of high water and flooding...river stage and crest
forecast can be obtained from River Flood Warnings and River Flood
Statements. This information is also available at the National
Weather Service Columbia website at {www.erh.noaa.gov/cae}.

$$
ACM





000
FGUS52 KCAE 251509
RVDCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-
037-039-055-057-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-251909-

DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1109 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

...River levels were gradually falling this morning across central
South Carolina and east-central Georgia...

Light to moderate rain will taper off from west to east through
the late morning. A warm frontal boundary will lift north late
this afternoon into the early evening. As it does...a moist and
destabilizing atmosphere will support scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Locally heavy showers are possible...but coverage
is not expected to be great enough to cause additional rises on
area rivers. Dry weather will return by Sunday afternoon and
continue through the early part of the week.

Area reservoirs will continue to maintain high pools for the next
several days. However...gradually falling or fluctuating stages are
expected on area rivers.


.BR CAE 0425 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF
.B1 DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:River Data
:                 Fld  8am   24hr   Forecast at 8am edt        Crest
:ID   Name        Stg  Stg    Chg   Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu  Stg/Time

CMDS1 :Camden     27: 20.4 /:-0.4: 19.9/19.2/18.7/17.9/15.8:      M
COLS1 :Columbia   19:  7.3 /:-0.9:  6.3/ 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.0/ 5.8:      M
CHES1 :Cheraw     30: 12.4 /:-6.2: 11.4/ 8.2/ 7.5/ 8.8/ 9.3:      M
ORBS1 :Orangeburg  8:  6.3 /:-0.2:  6.5/ 6.5/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.2:      M
AUGG1 :Btlr Cr.117.5:105.2 /:-0.6:105.9/106.7/106.6/106.2/105.6:  M
CEAS1 :C Eastman 115:113.0 /:-2.0:110.3/110.2/109.8/109.5/109.0:  M
WATS1 :L Wateree 100: 99.8 /:-0.4: 99.4/99.2/98.9/98.1/97.7:      M
.END

.BR CAE 0425 DH12/HP/DRH+24/QIIFF/DRH+48/QIIFF/DRH+72/QIIFF
.B1 DRH+96/QIIFF/DRH+120/QIIFF
:Lake data
:                 Full    7am  24 hr    7am Inflow in CFS
:ID    Name       Pool   Level Change   Sun    Mon    Tue   Wed   Thu

IRMS1 :Lake Murray 360: 358.1/: -0.2 : 4730/  4160/  3940/ 3840/ 3500
PASS1 :Parr Shoals 267: 260.7/: -0.0 : 6970/  6990/  6350/ 5620/ 5170
PNVS1 :Lake Marion  77:  76.2/:  0.2 :35940/ 32780/ 31820/30740/29230
CHDS1 :Lk Thurmond 330: 330.6/:  0.0 :17250/  8270/  5140/ 4260/ 4040
.END

During periods of high water and flooding...river stage and crest
forecast can be obtained from River Flood Warnings and River Flood
Statements. This information is also available at the National
Weather Service Columbia website at {www.erh.noaa.gov/cae}.

$$
ACM





000
FGUS52 KCAE 251509
RVDCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-
037-039-055-057-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-251909-

DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1109 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2015

...River levels were gradually falling this morning across central
South Carolina and east-central Georgia...

Light to moderate rain will taper off from west to east through
the late morning. A warm frontal boundary will lift north late
this afternoon into the early evening. As it does...a moist and
destabilizing atmosphere will support scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Locally heavy showers are possible...but coverage
is not expected to be great enough to cause additional rises on
area rivers. Dry weather will return by Sunday afternoon and
continue through the early part of the week.

Area reservoirs will continue to maintain high pools for the next
several days. However...gradually falling or fluctuating stages are
expected on area rivers.


.BR CAE 0425 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF
.B1 DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:River Data
:                 Fld  8am   24hr   Forecast at 8am edt        Crest
:ID   Name        Stg  Stg    Chg   Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu  Stg/Time

CMDS1 :Camden     27: 20.4 /:-0.4: 19.9/19.2/18.7/17.9/15.8:      M
COLS1 :Columbia   19:  7.3 /:-0.9:  6.3/ 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.0/ 5.8:      M
CHES1 :Cheraw     30: 12.4 /:-6.2: 11.4/ 8.2/ 7.5/ 8.8/ 9.3:      M
ORBS1 :Orangeburg  8:  6.3 /:-0.2:  6.5/ 6.5/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.2:      M
AUGG1 :Btlr Cr.117.5:105.2 /:-0.6:105.9/106.7/106.6/106.2/105.6:  M
CEAS1 :C Eastman 115:113.0 /:-2.0:110.3/110.2/109.8/109.5/109.0:  M
WATS1 :L Wateree 100: 99.8 /:-0.4: 99.4/99.2/98.9/98.1/97.7:      M
.END

.BR CAE 0425 DH12/HP/DRH+24/QIIFF/DRH+48/QIIFF/DRH+72/QIIFF
.B1 DRH+96/QIIFF/DRH+120/QIIFF
:Lake data
:                 Full    7am  24 hr    7am Inflow in CFS
:ID    Name       Pool   Level Change   Sun    Mon    Tue   Wed   Thu

IRMS1 :Lake Murray 360: 358.1/: -0.2 : 4730/  4160/  3940/ 3840/ 3500
PASS1 :Parr Shoals 267: 260.7/: -0.0 : 6970/  6990/  6350/ 5620/ 5170
PNVS1 :Lake Marion  77:  76.2/:  0.2 :35940/ 32780/ 31820/30740/29230
CHDS1 :Lk Thurmond 330: 330.6/:  0.0 :17250/  8270/  5140/ 4260/ 4040
.END

During periods of high water and flooding...river stage and crest
forecast can be obtained from River Flood Warnings and River Flood
Statements. This information is also available at the National
Weather Service Columbia website at {www.erh.noaa.gov/cae}.

$$
ACM






000
FGUS52 KCAE 241532
RVDCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-
037-039-055-057-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-241932-
DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1132 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2015

...River levels remain elevated and flooding will continue around Lake Wateree
through Sunday...

High pressure over the area today will bring dry weather and allow area river
levels to gradually fall. However significant rainfall is expected on Saturday
as a warm front shifts northward through the Southeast. Rainfall amounts up to
one to one and a half inches are possible. Additional rainfall will keep area
rivers and lakes elevated however no forecast points...other than Lake
Wateree...are forecast to go above flood stage.

At 8am Lake Wateree had a pool height of 100.2 ft and falling slowly. Lake
Wateree may remain above flood stage through Sunday. The Congaree River at
Carolina Eastman fell below flood stage this morning. It will stay near flood
stage through this evening but confidence is high that it will continue to fall.

.BR CAE 0424 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF
.B1 DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:River Data
:                 Fld  8am  24hr  Forecast at 8am edt        Crest
:ID   Name        Stg  Stg   Chg  Sat  Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed   Stg/Time

CMDS1 :Camden     27:20.7 /:-0.5:20.1/19.6/18.1/17.3/16.6:         M
COLS1 :Columbia   19: 8.2 /:-1.1: 6.4/ 6.0/ 6.3/ 6.2/ 5.9:         M
CHES1 :Cheraw     30:18.6 /:-7.1:14.5/14.2/14.8/12.5/11.0:         M
ORBS1 :Orangeburg  8: 6.5 /:-0.3: 6.3/ 6.9/ 7.0/ 7.0/ 6.9:         M
AUGG1 :Btlr Cr.117.5:105.8 /: 0.9:102.4/103.5/106.4/107.9/107.6:   M
CEAS1 :C Eastman 115:115.0 /:-3.1:112.2/110.7/109.9/109.9/109.3:   M
MODS1 :Modoc      19: 3.3 /:-0.3: 3.4/16.6/ 8.4/ 4.8/ 3.5:         M
WATS1 :L Wateree 100:100.2 /:-0.2:100.1/100.0/99.7/99.2/98.4:      M

.END
.BR CAE 0424 DH12/HP/DRH+24/QIIFF/DRH+48/QIIFF/DRH+72/QIIFF
.B1 DRH+96/QIIFF/DRH+120/QIIFF
:Lake data
:                 Full    7am  24 hr    7am Inflow in CFS
:ID    Name       Pool   Level Change   Sat    Sun    Mon   Tue   Wed

IRMS1 :Lake Murray 360: 358.2/: -0.2 : 2570/  6260/  4460/ 3990/ 3700
PASS1 :Parr Shoals 267: 260.7/:  1.4 : 7920/  7930/  8280/ 7510/ 6290
PNVS1 :Lake Marion  77:  75.9/:  0.1 :39450/ 36590/ 32930/32120/30940
CHDS1 :Lk Thurmond 330: 330.6/:  0.0 : 3640/ 23180/ 10360/ 5650/ 4520
.END

During periods of high water and flooding...river stage and crest
forecast can be obtained from River Flood Warnings and River Flood
Statements. This information is also available at the National
Weather Service Columbia website at {www.erh.noaa.gov/cae}.
$$






000
FGUS52 KCAE 241532
RVDCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-
037-039-055-057-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-241932-
DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1132 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2015

...River levels remain elevated and flooding will continue around Lake Wateree
through Sunday...

High pressure over the area today will bring dry weather and allow area river
levels to gradually fall. However significant rainfall is expected on Saturday
as a warm front shifts northward through the Southeast. Rainfall amounts up to
one to one and a half inches are possible. Additional rainfall will keep area
rivers and lakes elevated however no forecast points...other than Lake
Wateree...are forecast to go above flood stage.

At 8am Lake Wateree had a pool height of 100.2 ft and falling slowly. Lake
Wateree may remain above flood stage through Sunday. The Congaree River at
Carolina Eastman fell below flood stage this morning. It will stay near flood
stage through this evening but confidence is high that it will continue to fall.

.BR CAE 0424 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF
.B1 DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:River Data
:                 Fld  8am  24hr  Forecast at 8am edt        Crest
:ID   Name        Stg  Stg   Chg  Sat  Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed   Stg/Time

CMDS1 :Camden     27:20.7 /:-0.5:20.1/19.6/18.1/17.3/16.6:         M
COLS1 :Columbia   19: 8.2 /:-1.1: 6.4/ 6.0/ 6.3/ 6.2/ 5.9:         M
CHES1 :Cheraw     30:18.6 /:-7.1:14.5/14.2/14.8/12.5/11.0:         M
ORBS1 :Orangeburg  8: 6.5 /:-0.3: 6.3/ 6.9/ 7.0/ 7.0/ 6.9:         M
AUGG1 :Btlr Cr.117.5:105.8 /: 0.9:102.4/103.5/106.4/107.9/107.6:   M
CEAS1 :C Eastman 115:115.0 /:-3.1:112.2/110.7/109.9/109.9/109.3:   M
MODS1 :Modoc      19: 3.3 /:-0.3: 3.4/16.6/ 8.4/ 4.8/ 3.5:         M
WATS1 :L Wateree 100:100.2 /:-0.2:100.1/100.0/99.7/99.2/98.4:      M

.END
.BR CAE 0424 DH12/HP/DRH+24/QIIFF/DRH+48/QIIFF/DRH+72/QIIFF
.B1 DRH+96/QIIFF/DRH+120/QIIFF
:Lake data
:                 Full    7am  24 hr    7am Inflow in CFS
:ID    Name       Pool   Level Change   Sat    Sun    Mon   Tue   Wed

IRMS1 :Lake Murray 360: 358.2/: -0.2 : 2570/  6260/  4460/ 3990/ 3700
PASS1 :Parr Shoals 267: 260.7/:  1.4 : 7920/  7930/  8280/ 7510/ 6290
PNVS1 :Lake Marion  77:  75.9/:  0.1 :39450/ 36590/ 32930/32120/30940
CHDS1 :Lk Thurmond 330: 330.6/:  0.0 : 3640/ 23180/ 10360/ 5650/ 4520
.END

During periods of high water and flooding...river stage and crest
forecast can be obtained from River Flood Warnings and River Flood
Statements. This information is also available at the National
Weather Service Columbia website at {www.erh.noaa.gov/cae}.
$$





000
FGUS52 KCAE 231505
RVDCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-
037-039-055-057-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-231905-
DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1105 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

.River levels are slowly dropping through the forecast area. However...
The Wateree and Congaree Rivers still remain above flood stage. Another
significant rainfall event is expected within 72 hours...

The dry pattern associated with high pressure behind dry frontal passages
continues. This is allowing for slow declines as drainages continue to
pass water associated with the rain event...with fluctuations due to dam
releases the primary variable. This will change as a significant low
pressure system and associated frontal wave approaches from the Great
Plains on Saturday. Current QPF products indicate significant moisture
transport and lift to produce one to 2 inches of rain with heaviest rains
expected in the mountain headwaters of many area rivers along with another
area associated with warm frontal development that stretches east to west
roughly from Augusta to Myrtle Beach...with heaviest rains expected south
of that general line. Rainfall associated with the event in the Piedmont
and to the north will be the primary focus for our forecast area to be
concerned with.

8AM EDT levels for the Congaree River are falling in Columbia and are
expected to stay below action stage for the next 72 hours...while at
Carolina Eastman downstream it is 118.1 or roughly 3 feet above flood
stage...expected to decline to below flood stage on Friday. Forecasts
for the Wateree River at the Wateree Dam continue to still have some
uncertainty due to continued releases upstream and discharge/overspill
capacity of the dam itself. The 8AM level of 100.4 remains above the
100-foot flood stage and is not expected to go slightly below flood
until Saturday...at which point additional rainfall will have arrived.

.BR CAE 0423 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF
.B1 DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:River Data
:                 Fld  8am  24hr  Forecast at 8am edt     Crest
:ID   Name        Stg  Stg   Chg  Fri  Sat  Sun  Mon  Tue Stg/Time

CMDS1 :Camden     27:21.2 /:-0.1:20.7/19.5/17.4/17.1/16.6:21.2
COLS1 :Columbia   19: 9.3 /:-2.1: 6.5/ 6.3/ 5.8/ 5.6/ 5.5:   M
CHES1 :Cheraw     30:25.7 /:-4.0:23.4/21.6/18.0/13.4/10.1:   M
ORBS1 :Orangeburg  8: 6.8 /:-0.2: 6.7/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.3/ 6.1:   M
AUGG1 :Btlr Cr.117.5:104.9 /:-0.8:102.8/104.1/105.1/105.8/106.0:    M

CEAS1 :C Eastman 115:118.1 /:-1.7:110.0/110.2/109.1/108.5/108.2:   M
WATS1 :L Wateree 100:100.4 /:-0.2:100.3/100.1/99.3/98.7/97.9:   M
WHMS1 :Whitmire   25:18.4 /:-1.9:18.0/17.5/17.1/   M/   M:   M
.END
.BR CAE 0423 DH12/HP/DRH+24/QIIFF/DRH+48/QIIFF/DRH+72/QIIFF
.B1 DRH+96/QIIFF/DRH+120/QIIFF
:Lake data
:                 Full    7am  24 hr    7am Inflow in CFS
:ID    Name       Pool   Level Change   Fri    Sat    Sun   Mon   Tue

IRMS1 :Lake Murray 360: 358.5/:  0.0 : 3850/  3500/  3090/ 2900/ 2760
PASS1 :Parr Shoals 267: 259.3/: -0.1 : 9490/  7330/  6340/ 5920/ 5530
PNVS1 :Lake Marion  77:  75.8/:  0.1 :41000/ 33120/ 31600/28900/27120
CHDS1 :Lk Thurmond 330: 330.6/:  0.2 : 3840/  3710/ 12060/ 6010/ 4350
.END

During periods of high water and flooding...river stage and crest
forecast can be obtained from River Flood Warnings and River Flood
Statements. This information is also available at the National
Weather Service Columbia website at {www.erh.noaa.gov/cae}.
$$






000
FGUS52 KCAE 231505
RVDCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-
037-039-055-057-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-231905-
DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1105 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

.River levels are slowly dropping through the forecast area. However...
The Wateree and Congaree Rivers still remain above flood stage. Another
significant rainfall event is expected within 72 hours...

The dry pattern associated with high pressure behind dry frontal passages
continues. This is allowing for slow declines as drainages continue to
pass water associated with the rain event...with fluctuations due to dam
releases the primary variable. This will change as a significant low
pressure system and associated frontal wave approaches from the Great
Plains on Saturday. Current QPF products indicate significant moisture
transport and lift to produce one to 2 inches of rain with heaviest rains
expected in the mountain headwaters of many area rivers along with another
area associated with warm frontal development that stretches east to west
roughly from Augusta to Myrtle Beach...with heaviest rains expected south
of that general line. Rainfall associated with the event in the Piedmont
and to the north will be the primary focus for our forecast area to be
concerned with.

8AM EDT levels for the Congaree River are falling in Columbia and are
expected to stay below action stage for the next 72 hours...while at
Carolina Eastman downstream it is 118.1 or roughly 3 feet above flood
stage...expected to decline to below flood stage on Friday. Forecasts
for the Wateree River at the Wateree Dam continue to still have some
uncertainty due to continued releases upstream and discharge/overspill
capacity of the dam itself. The 8AM level of 100.4 remains above the
100-foot flood stage and is not expected to go slightly below flood
until Saturday...at which point additional rainfall will have arrived.

.BR CAE 0423 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF
.B1 DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:River Data
:                 Fld  8am  24hr  Forecast at 8am edt     Crest
:ID   Name        Stg  Stg   Chg  Fri  Sat  Sun  Mon  Tue Stg/Time

CMDS1 :Camden     27:21.2 /:-0.1:20.7/19.5/17.4/17.1/16.6:21.2
COLS1 :Columbia   19: 9.3 /:-2.1: 6.5/ 6.3/ 5.8/ 5.6/ 5.5:   M
CHES1 :Cheraw     30:25.7 /:-4.0:23.4/21.6/18.0/13.4/10.1:   M
ORBS1 :Orangeburg  8: 6.8 /:-0.2: 6.7/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.3/ 6.1:   M
AUGG1 :Btlr Cr.117.5:104.9 /:-0.8:102.8/104.1/105.1/105.8/106.0:    M

CEAS1 :C Eastman 115:118.1 /:-1.7:110.0/110.2/109.1/108.5/108.2:   M
WATS1 :L Wateree 100:100.4 /:-0.2:100.3/100.1/99.3/98.7/97.9:   M
WHMS1 :Whitmire   25:18.4 /:-1.9:18.0/17.5/17.1/   M/   M:   M
.END
.BR CAE 0423 DH12/HP/DRH+24/QIIFF/DRH+48/QIIFF/DRH+72/QIIFF
.B1 DRH+96/QIIFF/DRH+120/QIIFF
:Lake data
:                 Full    7am  24 hr    7am Inflow in CFS
:ID    Name       Pool   Level Change   Fri    Sat    Sun   Mon   Tue

IRMS1 :Lake Murray 360: 358.5/:  0.0 : 3850/  3500/  3090/ 2900/ 2760
PASS1 :Parr Shoals 267: 259.3/: -0.1 : 9490/  7330/  6340/ 5920/ 5530
PNVS1 :Lake Marion  77:  75.8/:  0.1 :41000/ 33120/ 31600/28900/27120
CHDS1 :Lk Thurmond 330: 330.6/:  0.2 : 3840/  3710/ 12060/ 6010/ 4350
.END

During periods of high water and flooding...river stage and crest
forecast can be obtained from River Flood Warnings and River Flood
Statements. This information is also available at the National
Weather Service Columbia website at {www.erh.noaa.gov/cae}.
$$





000
FGUS52 KCAE 231505
RVDCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-
037-039-055-057-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-231905-
DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1105 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

.River levels are slowly dropping through the forecast area. However...
The Wateree and Congaree Rivers still remain above flood stage. Another
significant rainfall event is expected within 72 hours...

The dry pattern associated with high pressure behind dry frontal passages
continues. This is allowing for slow declines as drainages continue to
pass water associated with the rain event...with fluctuations due to dam
releases the primary variable. This will change as a significant low
pressure system and associated frontal wave approaches from the Great
Plains on Saturday. Current QPF products indicate significant moisture
transport and lift to produce one to 2 inches of rain with heaviest rains
expected in the mountain headwaters of many area rivers along with another
area associated with warm frontal development that stretches east to west
roughly from Augusta to Myrtle Beach...with heaviest rains expected south
of that general line. Rainfall associated with the event in the Piedmont
and to the north will be the primary focus for our forecast area to be
concerned with.

8AM EDT levels for the Congaree River are falling in Columbia and are
expected to stay below action stage for the next 72 hours...while at
Carolina Eastman downstream it is 118.1 or roughly 3 feet above flood
stage...expected to decline to below flood stage on Friday. Forecasts
for the Wateree River at the Wateree Dam continue to still have some
uncertainty due to continued releases upstream and discharge/overspill
capacity of the dam itself. The 8AM level of 100.4 remains above the
100-foot flood stage and is not expected to go slightly below flood
until Saturday...at which point additional rainfall will have arrived.

.BR CAE 0423 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF
.B1 DRH+96/HGIFF/DRH+120/HGIFF
:River Data
:                 Fld  8am  24hr  Forecast at 8am edt     Crest
:ID   Name        Stg  Stg   Chg  Fri  Sat  Sun  Mon  Tue Stg/Time

CMDS1 :Camden     27:21.2 /:-0.1:20.7/19.5/17.4/17.1/16.6:21.2
COLS1 :Columbia   19: 9.3 /:-2.1: 6.5/ 6.3/ 5.8/ 5.6/ 5.5:   M
CHES1 :Cheraw     30:25.7 /:-4.0:23.4/21.6/18.0/13.4/10.1:   M
ORBS1 :Orangeburg  8: 6.8 /:-0.2: 6.7/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.3/ 6.1:   M
AUGG1 :Btlr Cr.117.5:104.9 /:-0.8:102.8/104.1/105.1/105.8/106.0:    M

CEAS1 :C Eastman 115:118.1 /:-1.7:110.0/110.2/109.1/108.5/108.2:   M
WATS1 :L Wateree 100:100.4 /:-0.2:100.3/100.1/99.3/98.7/97.9:   M
WHMS1 :Whitmire   25:18.4 /:-1.9:18.0/17.5/17.1/   M/   M:   M
.END
.BR CAE 0423 DH12/HP/DRH+24/QIIFF/DRH+48/QIIFF/DRH+72/QIIFF
.B1 DRH+96/QIIFF/DRH+120/QIIFF
:Lake data
:                 Full    7am  24 hr    7am Inflow in CFS
:ID    Name       Pool   Level Change   Fri    Sat    Sun   Mon   Tue

IRMS1 :Lake Murray 360: 358.5/:  0.0 : 3850/  3500/  3090/ 2900/ 2760
PASS1 :Parr Shoals 267: 259.3/: -0.1 : 9490/  7330/  6340/ 5920/ 5530
PNVS1 :Lake Marion  77:  75.8/:  0.1 :41000/ 33120/ 31600/28900/27120
CHDS1 :Lk Thurmond 330: 330.6/:  0.2 : 3840/  3710/ 12060/ 6010/ 4350
.END

During periods of high water and flooding...river stage and crest
forecast can be obtained from River Flood Warnings and River Flood
Statements. This information is also available at the National
Weather Service Columbia website at {www.erh.noaa.gov/cae}.
$$






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