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000
WWMY80 PGUM 230955
SPSMY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
755 PM CHST TUE SEP 23 2014

GUZ001>004-240500-
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
755 PM CHST TUE SEP 23 2014

...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED EAST OF THE MARIANAS...

A BROAD CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 15N148E...WHICH IS ABOUT 120
MILES EAST OF SAIPAN. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION
COVER A LARGE AREA WHICH INCLUDES MOST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS.

COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THIS SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED. THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD. THE MONSOON
TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHWARD IN TANDEM WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE.
AS A RESULT...RAIN BANDS ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR GUAM AS WELL AS THE COMMONWEALTH OF THE
NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
VARY...DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK AND FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF THE
DISTURBANCE.

THIS REMAINS A STEADILY EVOLVING WEATHER PATTERN THAT WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED CLOSELY...SO PLEASE STAY INFORMED ON THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS AND LISTEN FOR ANY
FURTHER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

$$

STANKO








000
WWMY80 PGUM 222303
SPSMY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
903 AM CHST TUE SEP 23 2014

GUZ001>004-240500-
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
903 AM CHST TUE SEP 23 2014

...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...

A BROAD CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 12N148E...WHICH IS ABOUT 250
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CIRCULATION COVER A LARGE AREA WHICH INCLUDES MOST OF THE MARIANA
ISLANDS.

COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THIS SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED. THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE FAR NORTHERN
MARIANA ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY. THE MONSOON TROUGH
WILL LIFT NORTHWARD IN TANDEM WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. AS A
RESULT...RAIN BANDS ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR GUAM AS WELL AS THE COMMONWEALTH OF THE
NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
VARY...DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK AND FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF THE
DISTURBANCE.

THIS REMAINS A STEADILY EVOLVING WEATHER PATTERN THAT WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED CLOSELY...SO PLEASE STAY INFORMED ON THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS AND LISTEN FOR ANY
FURTHER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

$$

MCELROY







000
WWMY80 PGUM 222303
SPSMY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
903 AM CHST TUE SEP 23 2014

GUZ001>004-240500-
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
903 AM CHST TUE SEP 23 2014

...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...

A BROAD CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 12N148E...WHICH IS ABOUT 250
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CIRCULATION COVER A LARGE AREA WHICH INCLUDES MOST OF THE MARIANA
ISLANDS.

COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THIS SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED. THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE FAR NORTHERN
MARIANA ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY. THE MONSOON TROUGH
WILL LIFT NORTHWARD IN TANDEM WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. AS A
RESULT...RAIN BANDS ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY NORTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR GUAM AS WELL AS THE COMMONWEALTH OF THE
NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
VARY...DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK AND FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF THE
DISTURBANCE.

THIS REMAINS A STEADILY EVOLVING WEATHER PATTERN THAT WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED CLOSELY...SO PLEASE STAY INFORMED ON THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS AND LISTEN FOR ANY
FURTHER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

$$

MCELROY








000
WWPQ80 PGUM 220751
SPSPQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
551 PM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

PMZ172-222200-
CHUUK-
551 PM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

...MONSOON CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP NORTH OF CHUUK...

A MONSOON CIRCULATION NORTH OF CHUUK CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DEVELOP
THIS EVENING. THE CIRCULATION...CENTERED NEAR 11N151E...IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH THAT CURVES EASTWARD FROM NEAR GUAM TO
NORTH OF POHNPEI.

SOUTHWEST MONSOON WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CHUUK
STATE TONIGHT WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO TAPER AT WENO ON TUESDAY...BUT COULD PERSIST ACROSS THE
OUTER ISLANDS OF CHUUK STATE WEST OF WENO THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.

HEAVIEST WEATHER HAS SHIFTED JUST WEST AND NORTH OF WENO THIS
AFTERNOON. VIS SATELLITE SHOWS A LINE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS PASSING
OVER WENO FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WITH MUCH DRIER WEATHER IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL WATERS. WENO COULD SEE UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN
THIS EVENING BEFORE SHOWERS TAPER OVERNIGHT.

COMBINED SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THROUGH
TUESDAY AS WINDS DECREASE TUESDAY.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED FOR CHUUK UNDER THIS BULLETIN
HEADER. REFER TO THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THE
MARIANA ISLANDS UNDER WMO HEADER WWMY80 PGUM FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE STAY INFORMED ABOUT CURRENT
WEATHER SITUATIONS BECAUSE THE WEATHER CAN BE VERY CHANGEABLE THIS
TIME OF YEAR...ESPECIALLY AFFECTING MARINE ACTIVITIES. LISTEN FOR
INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES.

$$

AYDLETT













000
WWPQ80 PGUM 220751
SPSPQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
551 PM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

PMZ172-222200-
CHUUK-
551 PM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

...MONSOON CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP NORTH OF CHUUK...

A MONSOON CIRCULATION NORTH OF CHUUK CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DEVELOP
THIS EVENING. THE CIRCULATION...CENTERED NEAR 11N151E...IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH THAT CURVES EASTWARD FROM NEAR GUAM TO
NORTH OF POHNPEI.

SOUTHWEST MONSOON WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CHUUK
STATE TONIGHT WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO TAPER AT WENO ON TUESDAY...BUT COULD PERSIST ACROSS THE
OUTER ISLANDS OF CHUUK STATE WEST OF WENO THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.

HEAVIEST WEATHER HAS SHIFTED JUST WEST AND NORTH OF WENO THIS
AFTERNOON. VIS SATELLITE SHOWS A LINE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS PASSING
OVER WENO FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WITH MUCH DRIER WEATHER IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL WATERS. WENO COULD SEE UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN
THIS EVENING BEFORE SHOWERS TAPER OVERNIGHT.

COMBINED SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THROUGH
TUESDAY AS WINDS DECREASE TUESDAY.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED FOR CHUUK UNDER THIS BULLETIN
HEADER. REFER TO THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THE
MARIANA ISLANDS UNDER WMO HEADER WWMY80 PGUM FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE STAY INFORMED ABOUT CURRENT
WEATHER SITUATIONS BECAUSE THE WEATHER CAN BE VERY CHANGEABLE THIS
TIME OF YEAR...ESPECIALLY AFFECTING MARINE ACTIVITIES. LISTEN FOR
INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES.

$$

AYDLETT














000
WWMY80 PGUM 220345
SPSMY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
145 PM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

GUZ001>004-230500-
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
145 PM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

...AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER FORMING SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...

A MONSOON TROUGH HAS BECOME VERY ACTIVE FROM SOUTH OF GUAM TO THE
NORTH OF CHUUK. A BROAD ILL-DEFINED CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR
11N151E...WHICH IS ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN SEVERAL LARGE AREAS TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS.

MOST COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THE CIRCULATION WILL BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED AND MOVE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS IN
THE COMING DAYS. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALSO EXPECTED TO LIFT
NORTHWARD AND CAUSE PERIODS OF SHOWERS ALONG WITH GUSTY WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR BOTH GUAM AND THE COMMONWEALTH OF THE NORTHERN
MARIANA ISLANDS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK.

THIS IS A DYNAMIC AND DEVELOPING WEATHER PATTERN THAT WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED CLOSELY...SO PLEASE STAY INFORMED ON THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS AND LISTEN FOR ANY
FURTHER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

$$

SIMPSON/EDSON






000
WWMY80 PGUM 220345
SPSMY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
145 PM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

GUZ001>004-230500-
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
145 PM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

...AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER FORMING SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...

A MONSOON TROUGH HAS BECOME VERY ACTIVE FROM SOUTH OF GUAM TO THE
NORTH OF CHUUK. A BROAD ILL-DEFINED CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR
11N151E...WHICH IS ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN SEVERAL LARGE AREAS TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS.

MOST COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THE CIRCULATION WILL BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED AND MOVE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS IN
THE COMING DAYS. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALSO EXPECTED TO LIFT
NORTHWARD AND CAUSE PERIODS OF SHOWERS ALONG WITH GUSTY WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR BOTH GUAM AND THE COMMONWEALTH OF THE NORTHERN
MARIANA ISLANDS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK.

THIS IS A DYNAMIC AND DEVELOPING WEATHER PATTERN THAT WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED CLOSELY...SO PLEASE STAY INFORMED ON THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS AND LISTEN FOR ANY
FURTHER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

$$

SIMPSON/EDSON







000
WWPQ80 PGUM 212324
SPSPQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
924 AM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

PMZ172-222300-
CHUUK-
924 AM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

...MONSOON CIRCULATION NORTH OF CHUUK DRIFTING NORTH...

A MONSOON CIRCULATION NORTH OF CHUUK CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DEVELOP
AS IT DRIFTS NORTH. THE CIRCULATION...CENTERED NEAR 13N154E...IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH THAT CURVES EASTWARD FROM NEAR
GUAM TO NORTH OF KOSRAE.

SOUTHWEST MONSOON WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CHUUK STATE THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH TONIGHT.

MORE THAN 6 INCHES OF RAIN FELL OVERNIGHT AT WENO. AN ADDITIONAL 2
TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR HIGHER TERRAIN. SHOWERS HAVE TAPERED OFF A BIT
THIS MORNING...BUT IF MONSOON SHOWERS FILL BACK IN WITHIN THE
SURGE...MUDSLIDE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE DUE TO SOIL SATURATION.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE IN COVERAGE TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BY TUESDAY MORNING.

PLEASE STAY INFORMED ABOUT CURRENT WEATHER SITUATIONS BECAUSE THE
WEATHER CAN BE VERY CHANGEABLE THIS TIME OF YEAR...ESPECIALLY
AFFECTING MARINE ACTIVITIES. LISTEN FOR INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES.

$$

AYDLETT










000
WWPQ80 PGUM 212324
SPSPQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
924 AM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

PMZ172-222300-
CHUUK-
924 AM CHST MON SEP 22 2014

...MONSOON CIRCULATION NORTH OF CHUUK DRIFTING NORTH...

A MONSOON CIRCULATION NORTH OF CHUUK CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DEVELOP
AS IT DRIFTS NORTH. THE CIRCULATION...CENTERED NEAR 13N154E...IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH THAT CURVES EASTWARD FROM NEAR
GUAM TO NORTH OF KOSRAE.

SOUTHWEST MONSOON WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CHUUK STATE THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH TONIGHT.

MORE THAN 6 INCHES OF RAIN FELL OVERNIGHT AT WENO. AN ADDITIONAL 2
TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR HIGHER TERRAIN. SHOWERS HAVE TAPERED OFF A BIT
THIS MORNING...BUT IF MONSOON SHOWERS FILL BACK IN WITHIN THE
SURGE...MUDSLIDE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE DUE TO SOIL SATURATION.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE IN COVERAGE TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BY TUESDAY MORNING.

PLEASE STAY INFORMED ABOUT CURRENT WEATHER SITUATIONS BECAUSE THE
WEATHER CAN BE VERY CHANGEABLE THIS TIME OF YEAR...ESPECIALLY
AFFECTING MARINE ACTIVITIES. LISTEN FOR INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES.

$$

AYDLETT











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