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000
WTNT24 KNHC 230235
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC THU OCT 23 2014

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  90.9W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  90.9W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  91.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.8N  90.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.5N  89.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.2N  88.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.8N  88.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.3N  87.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  90.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN






000
WTNT24 KNHC 230235
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC THU OCT 23 2014

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  90.9W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  90.9W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  91.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.8N  90.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.5N  89.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.2N  88.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.8N  88.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.3N  87.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  90.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN







000
WTNT24 KNHC 222031
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  91.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.6N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA






000
WTNT24 KNHC 222031
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  91.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.6N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA







000
WTNT24 KNHC 222031
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
2100 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
TONIGHT.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  91.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  91.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.6N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA






000
WTNT24 KNHC 221452
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
1500 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.3N  91.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.8N  89.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.5N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N  85.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA







000
WTNT24 KNHC 220831
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.4N  91.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.3N  90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.1N  89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.9N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.5N  86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N  82.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH






000
WTNT24 KNHC 220831
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.4N  91.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.3N  90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.1N  89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.9N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.5N  86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N  82.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH







000
WTNT24 KNHC 220254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N  91.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  90.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.4N  88.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N  86.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N  83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN







000
WTNT24 KNHC 220254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N  91.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  90.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.4N  88.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N  86.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N  83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN






000
WTNT24 KNHC 220254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N  91.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  90.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.4N  88.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N  86.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N  83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN







000
WTNT24 KNHC 220254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0300 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
CELESTUN TO FRONTERA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N  91.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  90.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.4N  88.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N  86.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N  83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN






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