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000
WTNT21 KNHC 300845
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  18.9W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  18.9W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.4N  20.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.6N  22.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.0N  23.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.0N  25.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.5N  29.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 19.2N  34.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.8N  38.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  18.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300845
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 128.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 190SE 190SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 128.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 127.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.3N 130.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.1N 132.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.8N 135.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.2N 140.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.9N 142.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 128.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300845
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 128.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 190SE 190SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 128.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 127.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.3N 130.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.1N 132.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.8N 135.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.2N 140.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.9N 142.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 128.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300845
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 128.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 190SE 190SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 128.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 127.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.3N 130.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.1N 132.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.8N 135.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.2N 140.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.9N 142.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 128.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE






000
WTNT21 KNHC 300845
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  18.9W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  18.9W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.4N  20.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.6N  22.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.0N  23.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.0N  25.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.5N  29.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 19.2N  34.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.8N  38.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  18.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART






000
WTNT21 KNHC 300533
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0530 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W AT 30/0530Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W AT 30/0530Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  17.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.7N  19.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 13.9N  21.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.3N  23.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.6N  24.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.3N  29.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.9N  32.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N  36.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N  18.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART






000
WTNT21 KNHC 300533
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0530 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W AT 30/0530Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W AT 30/0530Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  17.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.7N  19.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 13.9N  21.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.3N  23.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.6N  24.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.3N  29.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.9N  32.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N  36.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N  18.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART







000
WTNT21 KNHC 300533
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0530 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W AT 30/0530Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W AT 30/0530Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  17.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.7N  19.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 13.9N  21.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.3N  23.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.6N  24.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.3N  29.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.9N  32.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N  36.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N  18.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART






000
WTNT21 KNHC 300533
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0530 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W AT 30/0530Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  18.4W AT 30/0530Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  17.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.7N  19.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 13.9N  21.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.3N  23.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.6N  24.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.3N  29.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.9N  32.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N  36.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N  18.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300247
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.5W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.5W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 127.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.7N 131.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.4N 134.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 136.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.9N 139.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 17.6N 141.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N 143.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 127.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300247
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.5W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.5W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 127.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.7N 131.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.4N 134.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 136.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.9N 139.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 17.6N 141.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N 143.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 127.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300247
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.5W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.5W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 127.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.7N 131.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.4N 134.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 136.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.9N 139.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 17.6N 141.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N 143.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 127.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300247
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.5W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.5W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 127.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.7N 131.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.4N 134.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 136.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.9N 139.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 17.6N 141.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N 143.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 127.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 292031
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 126.4W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 126.4W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 125.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.4N 128.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N 130.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.6N 135.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.6N 139.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.4N 141.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.0N 142.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 126.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 292031
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 126.4W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 126.4W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 125.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.4N 128.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N 130.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.6N 135.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.6N 139.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.4N 141.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.0N 142.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 126.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 291433
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 125.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 125.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.7N 131.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.4N 133.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.5N 137.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.1N 140.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.6N 142.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 125.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG







000
WTNT25 KNHC 291330
TCMAT5

REMNANTS OF ERIKA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1330 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  74.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  75.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN






000
WTNT25 KNHC 291330
TCMAT5

REMNANTS OF ERIKA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1330 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  74.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  75.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN







000
WTNT25 KNHC 291330
TCMAT5

REMNANTS OF ERIKA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1330 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  74.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  75.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN






000
WTNT25 KNHC 291330
TCMAT5

REMNANTS OF ERIKA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1330 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  74.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  75.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN







000
WTNT25 KNHC 290851
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0900 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE NEEDED
FOR THESE AREAS LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  75.1W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  75.1W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  74.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.3N  77.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.3N  80.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.0N  82.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 25.3N  83.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 31.0N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N  75.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290850
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.8W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.8W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 124.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.5N 126.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.3N 128.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N 130.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.2N 137.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.7N 141.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 124.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290850
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.8W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.8W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 124.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.5N 126.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.3N 128.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N 130.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.2N 137.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.7N 141.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 124.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE







000
WTNT25 KNHC 290247
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE
NEEDED FOR THESE AREAS ON SATURDAY AFTER ERIKA MOVES OFF OF
HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  72.9W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  72.9W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  72.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N  75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.0N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N  80.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 28.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 31.0N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  72.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA






000
WTNT25 KNHC 290247
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE
NEEDED FOR THESE AREAS ON SATURDAY AFTER ERIKA MOVES OFF OF
HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  72.9W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  72.9W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  72.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N  75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.0N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N  80.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 28.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 31.0N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  72.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290244
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.2W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.2W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 123.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.0N 127.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.9N 131.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.3N 136.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 139.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N 141.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 124.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290244
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.2W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.2W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 123.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.0N 127.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.9N 131.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.3N 136.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 139.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N 141.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 124.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN







000
WTNT25 KNHC 282054
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE
NEEDED FOR THESE AREAS ON SATURDAY AFTER ERIKA MOVES OFF OF
HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  71.2W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  71.2W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  70.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.3N  76.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.7N  79.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  71.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN






000
WTNT25 KNHC 282054
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE
NEEDED FOR THESE AREAS ON SATURDAY AFTER ERIKA MOVES OFF OF
HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  71.2W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  71.2W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  70.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.3N  76.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.7N  79.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  71.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN







000
WTNT25 KNHC 282054
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE
NEEDED FOR THESE AREAS ON SATURDAY AFTER ERIKA MOVES OFF OF
HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  71.2W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  71.2W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  70.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.3N  76.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.7N  79.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  71.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN







000
WTNT25 KNHC 282054
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE
NEEDED FOR THESE AREAS ON SATURDAY AFTER ERIKA MOVES OFF OF
HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  71.2W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  71.2W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  70.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.3N  76.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.7N  79.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  71.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 282031
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 123.1W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 123.1W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 122.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.4N 124.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.9N 126.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.7N 128.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.6N 130.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.2N 135.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.2N 138.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.7N 140.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 123.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG






000
WTNT25 KNHC 281444
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...AND
GUANTANAMO.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  69.4W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  69.4W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  68.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.3N  71.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.8N  74.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.3N  77.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N  79.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 26.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  69.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN







000
WTNT25 KNHC 281444
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...AND
GUANTANAMO.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  69.4W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  69.4W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  68.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.3N  71.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.8N  74.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.3N  77.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N  79.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 26.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  69.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 281431
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 122.0W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 122.0W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 121.5W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.4N 123.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.6N 125.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.2N 127.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.1N 129.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.9N 133.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 122.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 281431
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 122.0W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 122.0W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 121.5W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.4N 123.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.6N 125.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.2N 127.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.1N 129.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.9N 133.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 122.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG







000
WTNT25 KNHC 280845
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF
ISLA SAONA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  67.7W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  67.7W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  66.9W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.8N  69.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.5N  72.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.2N  78.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 25.6N  80.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 27.7N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.0N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  67.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN







000
WTNT25 KNHC 280845
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF
ISLA SAONA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  67.7W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  67.7W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  66.9W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.8N  69.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.5N  72.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.2N  78.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 25.6N  80.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 27.7N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.0N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  67.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN






000
WTNT25 KNHC 280845
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF
ISLA SAONA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  67.7W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  67.7W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  66.9W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.8N  69.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.5N  72.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.2N  78.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 25.6N  80.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 27.7N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.0N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  67.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280835
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 121.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 121.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 120.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.2N 122.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.3N 124.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.8N 126.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.6N 128.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.4N 133.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.9N 137.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.8N 140.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 121.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280835
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 121.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 121.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 120.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.2N 122.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.3N 124.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.8N 126.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.6N 128.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.4N 133.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.9N 137.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.8N 140.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 121.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280253
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.3N 121.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.4N 123.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.6N 125.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.2N 127.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.8N 131.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 16.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 119.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART






000
WTNT25 KNHC 280253
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO PUNTA PALENQUE
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND IN HAITI SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.3W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.3W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  64.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.2N  67.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.7N  70.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.1N  73.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.2N  79.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 27.3N  80.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.5N  80.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  65.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280253
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.3N 121.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.4N 123.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.6N 125.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.2N 127.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.8N 131.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 16.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 119.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART







000
WTNT25 KNHC 280253
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO PUNTA PALENQUE
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND IN HAITI SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.3W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.3W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  64.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.2N  67.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.7N  70.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.1N  73.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.2N  79.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 27.3N  80.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.5N  80.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  65.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA






000
WTNT25 KNHC 280253
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO PUNTA PALENQUE
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND IN HAITI SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.3W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.3W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  64.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.2N  67.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.7N  70.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.1N  73.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.2N  79.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 27.3N  80.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.5N  80.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  65.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280253
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.3N 121.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.4N 123.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.6N 125.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.2N 127.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.8N 131.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 16.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 119.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280253
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 119.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.3N 121.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.4N 123.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.6N 125.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.2N 127.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.8N 131.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 16.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 119.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART






000
WTNT25 KNHC 280253
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO PUNTA PALENQUE
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND IN HAITI SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.3W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.3W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  64.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.2N  67.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.7N  70.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.1N  73.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.2N  79.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 27.3N  80.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.5N  80.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  65.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA






000
WTNT25 KNHC 272036
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA
SAONA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  63.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.7N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N  74.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.9N  78.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH







000
WTNT25 KNHC 272036
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA
SAONA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  63.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.7N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N  74.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.9N  78.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH






000
WTNT25 KNHC 272036
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA
SAONA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  63.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.7N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N  74.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.9N  78.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 272031
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 118.7W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 118.7W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 118.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.5N 120.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.5N 122.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.6N 124.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 13.0N 126.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.3N 130.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 16.0N 134.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 118.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG







000
WTNT25 KNHC 271453
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER OF HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  67.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 26.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  63.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH






000
WTNT25 KNHC 271453
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER OF HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  67.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 26.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  63.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH







000
WTNT25 KNHC 271453
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE BORDER OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER OF HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  63.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  67.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.9N  77.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 26.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  63.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH






000
WTPZ22 KNHC 271443
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.5N 143.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.1N 146.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCMPA3...WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN






000
WTPZ22 KNHC 271443
TCMEP2

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.5N 143.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.1N 146.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCMPA3...WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271441
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 122.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.1N 126.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271441
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 122.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.1N 126.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG






000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271441
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 122.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.1N 126.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG







000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271441
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 122.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.1N 126.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG






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