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000
WTPZ31 KNHC 312054
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 PM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE NOW MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 101.4W
ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE






000
WTPZ31 KNHC 311437
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE MOVING ERRATICALLY WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.1N 100.8W
ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 195 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.8 WEST. VANCE IS
DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWEST MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.  A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE






000
WTPZ31 KNHC 310836
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.5N 101.0W
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWEST MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN






000
WTPZ31 KNHC 310836
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.5N 101.0W
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWEST MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 310232
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...VANCE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 101.3W
ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.3 WEST.  VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.  A
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI






000
WTPZ31 KNHC 302033
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...VANCE IS THE 20TH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 101.0W
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY... WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.  VANCE SHOULD TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST
ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 302033
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...VANCE IS THE 20TH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 101.0W
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY... WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.  VANCE SHOULD TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST
ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE






000
WTPZ31 KNHC 301446
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.5N 100.9W
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-ONE-E WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE
100.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9
KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY...
WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. THE DEPRESSION
SHOULD TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 300841
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 100.2W
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY...AND THIS
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTPZ31 KNHC 300841
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 100.2W
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY...AND THIS
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN






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