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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 310500
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Vance, located several hundred miles south-southwest of
Acapulco, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected through the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Vance are issued under WMO
header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$$
Forecaster Brown





000
ABNT20 KNHC 310500
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 302307
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
recently upgraded Tropical Storm Vance, located several hundred
miles south of Acapulco, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected through the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Vance are issued under WMO
header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi





000
ABNT20 KNHC 302306
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.


$$
Forecaster Pasch





000
ABNT20 KNHC 301750
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The area of low pressure just north of the Virgin Islands has
become less organized.  Upper-level winds are expected to remain
unfavorable for tropical cyclone development while the system turns
toward the northwest and north over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake





000
ABNT20 KNHC 301750
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The area of low pressure just north of the Virgin Islands has
become less organized.  Upper-level winds are expected to remain
unfavorable for tropical cyclone development while the system turns
toward the northwest and north over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301710
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Twenty-One-E, located several hundred miles south of
Acapulco, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected through the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$$
Forecaster Blake





000
ABNT20 KNHC 301129
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A westward-moving area of low pressure, located just north of the
Virgin Islands, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
mainly to the northeast and north of the center. Upper-level winds
are expected to remain unfavorable for tropical cyclone development
while the system turns toward the northwest and north over the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301123
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E, located several hundred miles
south of Acapulco, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected through the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$$
Forecaster Blake





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300535
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, continue
to show signs of organization.  Recent satellite images suggest that
the circulation may be becoming better defined.  If this trend
continues, then the low would likely become a tropical depression
overnight or Thursday while it moves generally westward at
about 5 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown





000
ABNT20 KNHC 300533
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A westward-moving area of low pressure, located just to the
northeast of the Virgin Islands, is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms mainly to the northeast and north of the Leeward
Islands.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become increasingly
unfavorable for tropical cyclone development while the system turns
toward the northwest and north over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 292338
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Recent satellite images suggest that the low pressure area located
several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, may be developing a
better defined center of circulation.  If this trend continues,
then the low would likely become a tropical depression tonight or on
Thursday while it moves generally westward at about 5 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg





000
ABNT20 KNHC 292336
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A westward-moving area of low pressure, located just to the
northeast of the Virgin Islands, is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms mainly to the northeast and north of the Leeward
Islands.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become increasingly
unfavorable for tropical cyclone development while the system turns
toward the northwest and north over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch





000
ABNT20 KNHC 291803
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

Corrected second sentence

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure has formed just north of the Leeward
Islands and is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are not particularly
conducive, some development of this disturbance is possible during
the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  After that time, conditions are
forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation
while the system turns northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake/Brown





000
ABNT20 KNHC 291758
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure has formed just north of the Leeward
Islands and is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are particularly
conducive, some development of this disturbance is possible during
the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  After that time, conditions are
forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation
while the system turns northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake/Brown





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291752
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure
located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, is
becoming better defined, and a tropical depression could be
forming. Environmental conditions are conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by
tonight while the low moves west-northwestward at about 5 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake





000
ABNT20 KNHC 291129
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A trough of low pressure extending from near the northern Leeward
Islands northeastward over the Atlantic for a few hundred miles is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are currently marginally conducive, and some
development of this disturbance is possible during the next day or
so while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15
mph.  After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable
for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291128
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with the area of low pressure
located several hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco,
Mexico, continue to show signs of organization.  However, the
system still lacks a well-defined surface circulation.
Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is expected to form by tonight while
the low moves west-northwestward at about 5 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 290551
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE OCT 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with the area of low pressure
located several hundred miles south-southwest of Puerto Angel,
Mexico, have increased during the past several hours.  However,
recent satellite wind data suggests the system does not have a
well-defined circulation.  Environmental conditions are conducive
for development, and a tropical depression could form later tonight
or on Wednesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 5
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven






000
ABNT20 KNHC 290538
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles
northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.  Upper-level winds
are currently marginally conducive, and some slow development of
this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it
moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
Afterwards, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for
tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A low pressure system, the remnants of Tropical Storm Hanna, is
moving inland over Belize while it produces disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Now that the low is moving inland, significant
re-development is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven





000
ABNT20 KNHC 282324
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.  Since
upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive, some
gradual development of this disturbance is possible while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next
couple of days.  Afterwards, conditions are forecast to become
unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

A low pressure system, the remnants of Tropical Storm Hanna, is
located over the western Gulf of Honduras and is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  The low is expected to move
inland over Belize by early Wednesday, and significant
redevelopment is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282324
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE OCT 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with the area of low pressure
located several hundred miles south-southwest of Puerto Angel,
Mexico, are not particularly well organized, and it is not yet clear
that the low has developed a well-defined center of circulation.
However, environmental conditions are conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression is still expected to form
tonight or on Wednesday while the low moves west-northwestward at
about 5 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg





000
ABNT20 KNHC 281740
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing
a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred
miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Since
upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive, some
gradual development of this disturbance is possible while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next
few days.  By the weekend, however, conditions are expected to
become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A well-defined low pressure system, the remnants of former Tropical
Storm Hanna, has emerged over the Gulf of Honduras near Roatan. This
system is producing scattered showers across the northwestern
Caribbean Sea and adjacant areas of northern Honduras, the Yucatan
Peninsula, and Belize. Although upper-levels winds are somewhat
favorable, proximity to land is expected to prevent any significant
redevelopment of this disturbance while it moves west-northwestward
at about 10 mph. The system is forecast to move inland over Belize
and northern Guatemala by Wednesday morning, ending any chance for
redevelopment after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart





000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281721
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains fairly well organized.
However, recent satellite data indicate the low does not have a
well-defined center and is not a tropical cyclone yet. Environmental
conditions still appear conducive for a tropical depression to form
later today or tonight while the low moves slowly
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake





000
ABNT20 KNHC 281132
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough continues to
produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms
from the Lesser Antilles eastward over the Atlantic Ocean for
several hundred miles. Since upper-level winds are expected to be
marginally conducive, some gradual development of this disturbance
is possible while it moves northwestward to west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph during the next few days.  By the weekend, however,
conditions are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone
formation. Regardless of development, this system will produce brief
periods of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of
the Lesser Antilles through today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart






000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281119
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 28 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec is on the verge of becoming a tropical depression.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development,
and a tropical depression is expected to form later today while the
low moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake





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