43rd NOAA Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop

Poster Session Presentations

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

(Click the image to enlarge the poster.)

I.  Improved understanding of the coupled atmosphere-ocean climate system through dynamical and statistical models and methods, forecaster practices and protocols, reanalysis data and model improvement, and scientific concepts.

2017 Northern Plains Drought: Variability and Predictability

by Zeng-Zhen Hu, Climate Prediction Center, NOAA

Seamless Coupled Prediction System (SCoPS): Assessment of the APCC In-House Model Real-Time Seasonal Forecast

by A-Young Lim, Young-Mi Min, and Suryun Ham, APEC Climate Center, Korea

Impacts of the Onset of the Rainy Season on Softs crops

by Thomas Walsh, Thomson Reuters

Developing an Experimental Week 3-4 Severe Weather Outlook for the United States

by Hui Wang, Alima Diawara, Arun Kumar, David DeWitt, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Anomalous Circulation Characteristics of Intra-seasonal Variation of East Asian Subtropical Westerly Jet in Summer and Precursory Signals

by Qingyun Zhang and Shouli Xuan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing

ENSO Simulation and Prediction Using a Hybrid Coupled Model (HCM)

by Mohammad Tabrez Alam1 and Youmin Tang1,2. 1Natural Resources and Environmental Studies (NRES), 2University of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, British Columbia, Canada.

Overview of the Climate Prediction Center Weekly Experimental Sea Ice Prediction System

by Yanyun Liu1, Wanqiu Wang2 and Arun Kumar2, 1Innovim LLC and 2NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC

An Analysis on Possible Connection of Seasonal Spread and ENSO SSTs in North American Multi-Model Ensemble Hindcasts

by Bhaskar Jha and Arun Kumar, CPC/NCEP/NOAA

Responses of Global Atmospheric Circulation to Climate Indices Based on APCC MME Hindcast Data

by Daeun Jeong and Yun-Young Lee, APEC Climate Center, Korea

Recent Slow Melt of Arctic Summer Sea Ice Caused by Tropical SST changes

by Ian Baxter, Qinghua Ding, and Axel Schweiger, University of California - Santa Barbara

Influence of positive IOD events on northwestward extension of Tibetan High in boreal summer to early autumn

by Kazuto Takemura, Akihiko Shimpo, Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency

II.  Prospects for improved understanding, prediction, and simulation of intra-seasonal, seasonal, and inter-annual climate variability, including the extratropical annular modes, stratosphere/troposphere coupling, tropical-extratropical interactions, land-surface forcing, atmospheric river events and drought/precipitation events etc.

Uncertainties in the El Niņo Response of Precipitation over the US West Coast

by Mingyue Chen, and Arun Kumar, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC

Atmospheric Rivers Impact on High Asia Mountain Precipitation

by Deanna Nash, University of California Santa Barbara

Characteristics and Abnormal Atmospheric Circulation of Regional High Temperature Process in 2017 Over China

by Guofu WANG, Dianxiu YE, Yingxian ZHANG, Dapeng HUANG, Wei HOU, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

Evaluation of the National Water Model for Potential Application in the NLDAS Drought Monitor

by Jesse Meng, IMSG at NCEP/EMC

 Processes Associated with Air-Sea ice Coupling Biases in Climate Models

by Pengfei Zhang1, Qinghua Ding1, Michelle L Heureux2, Kirstin Harnos2, Nathaniel Johnson, Mitch Bushuk, 1University of California at Santa Barbara, 2CPC/NCEP

Sub-Seasonal Variations and Predictions of Precipitation With BCC_DERF2.0 in Spring-Summer Transition Season

by Qingquan Li, Juanghuai Wang, Song Yang, Yihui Ding, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration

Objective Drought Tendency Forecast

by Li Xu, NOAA/NCEP/CPC/INNOVIM

GEFS Reforecasts and their Application in Calibration of Sub-seasonal Forecasts

by Hong Guan, SRG at Environmental Modeling Center, NCEP/NWS, College Park, MD

 A New Intraseasonal Oscillation Index Based on Cloud-Sat Observed Cloud Regimes

by Meng-Pai Hung, Wei-Ting Chen, Chien-Ming Wu, and Pei-Ning Feng, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan

Investigations on Moisture Transports, Budgets and Sources Responsible for the Decadal Variability of Precipitation in Southern China

by Yamin Hu, Guangdong Climate Center

The Great Plains Drought Onset from a Moisture Budget Perspective

by Amir Erfanian, Rong Fu, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, CA

III.  Observation, prediction and attribution of recent high impact weather and climate events, and implications for extreme precipitation and temperatures, heat/cold waves, droughts and wildfires.

Improved real-time ENSO wind stress knowledge from joint consideration of moored-buoy and scatterometer winds

by Andy Chiodi, University of Washington Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean and NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory

Large-Scale Conditions Leading to the Santa Ana Event During the Thomas Fire in December 2017: How Unique was this Event?

by Leila M. V. Carvalho, University of California, Santa Barbara

Discussion of the 2018 Heat Season through the Lens of the CPC’s Subseasonal Heat Event Forecast Suite

by Evan Oswald, Innovim LLC

 Flash Drought Characteristics and Prediction

by L. Gwen Chen, Jon Gottschalck, Rich Tinker, Adam Hartman, David Miskus, and Anthony Artusa, Climate Prediction Center, NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, MD

Characterizing Concurrent Hot and Dry Spell Events Across the Crucial Breadbasket Regions

by Ariel Avgi, Ehsan Najafi, NOAA Center for Earth System Sciences and Remote Sensing Technologies (NOAA-CREST), CUNY CREST Institute, New York

The July 2018 Japan flood – a Compound Event

by Simon S-Y Wang, Jin-Ho Yoon, Hyungjun Kim, Utah State University

 Quantifying the Agreement Between Observed and Simulated Extratropical Modes of Interannual Variability

by Ji-Woo Lee, Kenneth R. Sperber, Peter J. Gleckler, C. J. W. Bonfils, Karl E. Taylor, Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL)

Extratropical Cyclones over the Contiguous United States: Current Variability and Future Change

by Liqiang Sun, Kenneth E. Kunkel, David R. Easterling, and Scott Stevens, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies (NCICS), North Carolina State University

IV.  Improving climate information delivery for impact-based decision support services through the application of new technologies, including GIS, statistical tools, and software development practices.

Diminished ENSO Influence on North India Summer Monsoon Rainfall

by Ramesh Kumar Yadav, Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang and Chi-Hua Wu, Plants, Soils and Climate Department, Utah State University, Logan, Utah

Spatiotemporal Analysis of Wind Extremes and Trends in Santa Barbara County, California

by Katelyn Zigner, University of California, Santa Barbara

Development of An Hourly Analysis of Surface Air Temperature over the Global Land

by Yutong Pan, Pingping Xie, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Subseasonal Tropical Cyclone Prediction at CPC

by Lindsey N. Long, Climate Prediction Center, Innovim, LLC

Calibration and Evaluation Week3/4 Forecast for Canadian GEPS

by Qin Zhang, Liwei Jia, Adam Allgood, Dan Collins and Jon Gottschalck, Climate Prediction Center NCEP/NWS/NOAA

V.  Improving models, forecasts and observational data sets

Water in the Arabian Peninsula

by Muge Komurcu, Adam Schlosser, Center for Global Change Science Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

NOAA’s MAPP-CTB Projects Update: Community R2O Contributions to the Improvement of Operational S2S Climate Prediction

by Jiayu Zhou1 and David DeWitt2, 1NWS/OSTI, 2NWS/NCEP/CPC

 Improving Seasonal Forecasting of Alaska Wildfires

by Peter Bieniek, University of Alaska Fairbanks

Predictive capacity for Week3-4 Severe Weather Outlook for the United States

by Alima Diawara, Innovim LLC

CPC's New Consolidated Hybrid Statistical/Dynamical Model for Seasonal Prediction of Temperature and Precipitation

by Daniel Barandiaran, NOAA/NCEP/CPC/Innovim, LLC

 CWB CFS 1Tier Hindcast Analysis and Forecast Verification

by Tzu-Yu Wu1,4, Hann-Ming Henry Juang2, Yun-Lan Chen1, Pang-Yen Liu1, Shin-I Lin, and Jen-Her Chen3;  1Meteorology Research and Development Center, Central Weather Bureau, Taiwan, 2Environmental Modelling Center, NCEP, NWS, NOAA, 3Meteorological Information Center, Central Weather Bureau, Taiwan, 4Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Taiwan

Developing Capabilities for Analysis in the Arctic within the NOAA NWS Local Climate Analysis Tool

by Marina Timofeyeva, Michael Churma, Michael Coulman, Fiona Horsfall1, Jenna Meyers, NOAA NWS OCWWS Climate Services Branch

Note:  The images were taken from the 43rd NOAA Annual CDPW poster session.  Contact presenters for details.